MadLab’s UFC Fight Night Singapore Breakdown and Predictions!!! Here is what Twitter is saying.
UFC FIGHT NIGHT MAIN CARD
Zabit $9100 vs Kattar $7100
It’s hard to believe that I have been involved in the art of fighting for almost 30 years. I have studied every facet of this unforgiving sport. I have seen the highest of highs and the lowest of lows. The loneliest yet most rewarding art is one that has fueled me since I was very young. I never viewed it as a sport nor did I ever view it as an outlet to hurt another individual. It started as merely game for me. A game of being slicker, faster, more allusive and more creative. Setting traps, baiting, and walking another fighter onto land mines that you created from scratch. I realized early that there is in fact a science behind it. After studying tendencies, the habitual patterns of fighters and finding the ultimate blue print to capitalize on weakness. Every once in a while a fighter will come along that has something that catches my eye. It’s not very often but it does happen. Zabit may not look like much to the naked eye. Freakishly skinny, sluggish appearance and looks like he literally just rolled out of bed is actually the best way I can describe him. However, what people tend to not know is that most of the time a frame like his can work very effectively. From a scientific standpoint, ATP levels tend to take much longer to recover when you are all bricked up. ATP is a molecule that acts as a coenzyme to a cell. The main function of ATP is when the body calls for energy, it will release phosphates that will then convert to ADP. Once this cycle is complete it needs to restore itself so the cycle can continue. The more muscular that you are, the longer the ATP levels take to regenerate themselves. There is also Lactic acid build up, which is also a major concern especially if you are a predominantly grappling heavy fighter. Lactic acid acts as a backup generator when the body is low on oxygen. It will use glucose for energy and in turn will cause cramping and major muscular fatigue. The bigger your muscles are the more oxygen it requires, which in turn will cause this build up much sooner. These are all physical elements that Zabit genetically has in his favor with a frame like he has. Outside of the science of a fighters genetic code, Zabit seems to be extremely creative and sharp. He thinks loosely and understands that every transition and every movement needs to have an end point. He has the uncanny ability to roll you into things that will ultimately end up in his favor. I have seen Zabit tested a few times and it has concerned me to a point, but at the end of the day, I do think that this is a special fighter with a bright future ahead. With a record of 17-1 standing at 6’2 145 pounds, Zabit has the tools and the physical assets to really make things happen. Before he does so, he will need to face extremely sharp puncher in Calvin Kattar. I would not call Kattar creative. I wouldn’t call him an innovative type fighter. He is your typical fundamentally sound, move forward, in the pocket style fighter that will really just suck you into to his style of fight. With a record of 20-3, Kattar has impressed UFC brass with his approach and his overall fighting spirit. This is a tough blue collar kid with a heart for the game. With that said, to beat Zabit, you need to keep up with Zabit. I am not saying from an athletic and matrix standpoint. I am talking from a pace stand point. You need to always have the harder pace and be the one making him fight off the back foot. Don’t allow him to get creative and make him fight defensively. The minute you give Zabit time and control – he will try to start styling on you. Constant pressure is going to be huge in this fight and considering Zabit is coming in on short notice, this fight will only be 3 rounds, which I think doesn’t help Zabit all that much even though that’s what his camp asked for. I’m expecting it to be a close fight, and the short fight request does scare me a bit. It’s almost like his team knows things. However, the reasoning for the science breakdown up top was for this reason. Genetically some people just have much more of a matching DNA for things that others really need to train harder for. I think Zabits cardio and conditioning will be fine here and I think he pulls out a very very close win.
The Pick: Zabit
Hardy $7000 vs Volkov $9200
Hardy was stuck in the cross hairs of yet another controversy. During his last fight, which he won, he was under the impression that using his inhaler between rounds was a good idea. Well, if the commission said it was ok then it’s really not his fault. However. I fully blame his camp for not knowing that you can’t have an inhaler in the corner. Hardy was extremely upset that the focus was on the inhaler and not the win itself. So the turnaround is what he has here to right the ship. With that said, this is a very real matchup for someone at his skill level. He is fighting a guy much longer, more experienced, more well rounded, and has been through the muck a little more. It’s hard not to go back to the Lewis fight where Volkov was winning majority of that fight until he was sparked out cold by a haymaker attempt by the big man. I find it hard to believe that Volkov falls for that again. Especially against a guy that is so very raw. Hardy can charge in and find a naked slot for sure but I think Volkov understands now that it only takes one punch to change the entire complexion of a fight. I think he fights smarter, longer and more patient here, playing matador to a very impatient fighter looking to right a ship with a big statement.
The Pick: Volkov
Imadev $8800 vs Roberts $7400
This is a crazy guy to talk about because Roberts really can be a good fighter. But he just never had the greatest cage IQ. I have seen him make some extremely eyebrow raising decisions in there and these are mistakes that you just can’t make. These mistakes are ones that would ultimately cause him to lose a fight. However, a good athlete with much to gain, Roberts just really needs to fine tune some things in his mental preparation and understand that getting baited into the wrong fight is a part of the game. If your getting baited into another man’s fight, then you are losing control of yourself and ultimately losing the fight. I feel like Roberts gets baited into these pride competitions and wants to start flexing muscles. In turn, he makes a terrible decision and gets sparked. He has lost his last 2 fights and both were by finish. He was submitted by Silva, where he fought very tough, but ultimately made a bad decision and got finished. The same thing with his last fight. I think the matchup here with Imadeav is just too tempting for him. Imadeav is a wild man striking machine that loves to charge forward and get you sucked in to some wild exchanges. With an 8-1 record, he has finished all his opposition by way of KO and his sole loss was by decision. He isn’t one to go to the cards if he can have a say about it. So I see Roberts being composed in this slot early. I also see him cautious knowing that dropping 3 straight would be a dangerous ground to tread. However, once the bite of the fight starts to move it’s way into the heart of war, instinct will kick in and if Imadeav pushes a fire fight, Roberts will most likely give it to him. I just don’t like the matchup and I can’t trust Roberts in this spot.
The Pick: Imadeav
Herman $7500 vs Ibrogimov $8700
It just blows me away that not only is Herman still fighting, but he is finding himself back on a main card. That should tell you something about this card and this fight. The guy has 40 fights. He’s practically 40 years old and really has no room to really be better than he was in his actual prime which was average. He has lost 3 of his last 4 fights and even though he won his last fight against Patrick Cummins, what’s does that really prove to anyone? The guy has a background, I will admit. Black belt in BJJ and has 14 wins by way of submission. The problem is he has 14 loses and he himself has submitted 6 times. What he’s fighting for at this point just doesn’t equate or add up. I can see if you were in a division that was absolutely horrible and you thought you can really cause some waves, Then I would get it. However, this is a division of killers and he really isn’t going anywhere fast. So the motivation here is, he is a paid for stepping stone. Herman is a tough out for anyone, but if you can’t beat Herman at this stage of his career then you really shouldn’t be fighting within the top 10 or 5. He’s a very good measuring stick, but he just can’t keep up to the young bloods anymore. He may outsmart them, slowly out grind them, and have some tricks in his back pocket that these youngsters haven’t seen before, but at the end of the day his body won’t be able to have the reaction times. Ibroginov is not someone who will step off the gas. He has a very come forth style that causes him to be reckless at times. However, that recklessness is something that I feel will eventually take over late in the fight. It’s very hard to lean on a guy that’s pushing 40. Especially when he was never really able to cause waves in his prime.
The Pick: Ibroginov
Emeev $8400 vs Martin $7800
Martin has looked much better at his new weight class. He lost his last fight against Damian Maia, but was at least able to survive. Many people can not say that. In his fight before that he showed very good sparky standup against Moraes and beat him handedly. The issue with Martin is his takedown defense has always been an issue. With that said, he showed extremely slick grappling and the defensive grappling for it not to be a major issue for him. It’s still never a good look to be on your back but Martin does have the ability to make things happen there and he actually becomes very offensive at that point. He will need to expect that from Emeev who is much more of a ground specialist with 18 wins and 7 by way of submission . He also has had 8 of wins by way of decision. So a KO specialist he is not, but a control fighter with a submission game he is. I don’t think he will be able to control Martin on the ground. Martin seems to have this confidence in his ground game that he is not worried about getting too offensive. I think Emeev has success with takedowns but I also think Martin turns the tables at some point in the transitions to end up in better spots on the feet and on the ground.
The Pick: Martin
Gamzatov $8900 vs Abreau $7300
Gamzatov impressed me on film. Usually you see a Russian debuting fighter that’s undefeated in Russia and you think “filler”. However, the guy has some very sharp striking. He has a very good jab that he snaps in and out. Sharp combos and he really does tie his punches and knees together well. He throws with very solid power. Not devastating, but solid and strong. He follows through with his punches fully and really doesn’t just snap it out there. His movement on the feet also allows him to keep his hips in space making his opponent think twice before committing so hard for a takedown. His grappling is serviceable but he will need it to be better than serviceable if he hits the ground with Abreau. With a 15-3 record, Abreau has 10 by way of submission. He is a very fast paced grappler. Not one to waste too much time on the ground when he is there. He hits the ground running and looks to make something happen sooner then later. The problem for him is getting it there. You can have great submissions and an unstoppable submission attack, but if you can’t get it there then it’s pointless. I like Abreau but I think he is going to have issues getting in on the quick in and out striking or Gamzatov. Abreau is 1-1 under the UFC banner and is looking to stay on the right side of the win column against the hometown debuting fighter. However, I think he comes up short here. The stand up is going to keep him too honest and that isn’t going bode well for him.
The Pick: Gamzatov
Ankalov $9400 vs Langinbula $6800
We all remember that fateful night when Ankalov was beating the snot out of Paul Craig and with one second left he was caught in a triangle choke and tapped with no time left on the clock. I was shocked that he couldn’t hang on for a split second. That told me a little bit about his person. Since then he has redeemed himself. However, I can’t get that out of mind. Ankalov is a very slow calculated fighter. He won’t look for a KO even though he has 6 to his credit. What he will do is methodically take you down and just grind you and grind you. Even on the feet he will keep the pace slow and to his liking and pace. Langinbula looks the part and the kid can bang, but this one has writing on the wall. At 10-1 he is most likely going to come out hot. Throwing hard and heavy. Ankalov is going to wait and pace him and as the rounds go on he is going to methodically take him down and just control him on the ground making him carry his weight. As long as Ankalov makes it out of the first round, his pace and ability to dictate the fight, should be enough to pull this one out as Langinbula tires out.
The Pick: Ankalov
Khabilov $8600 vs Khandozhko $7600
If your looking for a finish then Khabilov is probably not your guy. With 23 wins he has 14 by way of decision. He was on quite the run before he lost to Diego Ferriea. However, he hasn’t had a finish since 2014. He really just sets a tone and adheres to it. It’s not exiting, but it is consistent. It seems the 33 year old has adjusted to his age and has learned to fight a pace suited for him and in order to do that you need to bring your opposition down to your speed and level. He will be facing another fighter in Khandozhko that really doesn’t enjoy to dance for distance. In 26 wins he has 10 by KO and 6 by submission. However, his dynamic attack at times is not something you want to do against someone like Khabilov. He will need to stick to squaring up and fighting fire with fire. The entire spinning kicks and kicking game that he has works, but when you have a guy that will literally dial in on your hips once you jump off your base is something you need to be weary of. If he can keep Khabilov off his hips and keep this standing, then he is the faster and sharper striker that should out work him there. I just don’t see it happening. Although his grappling is serviceable and he does have some submissions under his belt, he isn’t someone that is going to have great success releasing and getting his hips super loose against someone like Khabilov. I think this fight is somewhat sluggish once Khabilov starts gaining some top top control, but it is a fight he should control when he does get it there.
The Pick: Khabilov
Kopylov $8300 vs Roberson $7900
This fight twists me up a bit because the UFC have a guy in Roberson, who given some time, can be a pretty good fighter for them, but he still is very raw. With that said, they give him a matchup against a debuting undefeated fighter that is an extremely high pedigree stand up martial artist in combat sambo. Undefeated with 7 of his 8 fights coming by way of KO. Well, we know that Roberson’s krypyonite is his submission defense and he would much rather stay away from that situation. However, his only option outside of that is to stand and trade with this kid. Even though Roberson is extremely comfortable there, it’s a hard sell on either man knowing who’s standing across the cage from each of them. I’m expecting Roberson to be the more athletic and sharper fighter in the beginning. Taking some more chances and really feeling quite loose. I can see Kopylov feeling him out a bit and picking his spots a little more wisely. Sending messages high and low to really gauge and asses where Roberson is comfortable and where he is not. Once he dials that in, I just feel like the better skill set points wise will take over and I think that’s is kopylov. He will start tieing together punches and kicks that will begin to accumulate points while Roberson begins to slow down a bit. I am not expecting this to be a fight of the night candidate because I think they will both respect each others strong suits. But eventually risks will be taken and Roberson is most likely the one to take those risks. With that said, where there is a reward there is always a risk involved. This is a situation where the risk involved here is more than likely to come up a little short. I just think Kopylov will be the more confident striker where Roberson will look to stay a little more cautious before he starts trying to make something happen out of desperation. He could be dealing with a situation that he is down a few rounds and Kopylov will make you pay if you get too sloppy and cute. Super close fight and it’s even money for a reason. However, I would rather go with the more patient and calculated fighter in this spot considering they will be most likely keep this dance on the feet. Very very close fight but I have to lean with Kopylov ever so slightly.
The Pick: Kopylov
Nurmogomedov $9300 vs Zawada $6900
Don’t get it twisted. This is not Khabib. However, this is in the same family and no he is not nearly as good. However, he does have the same family tree when it comes to fight style. Is it as effective as Khabib? Not in the slightest bit it is effective. His style is simple. He uses his striking as a means to get in on your hips and just grind you with control and strikes. It’s just the Nurmogomedov way. Get in on the hips, get you south, and grind away. He’s going against a tough guy in Zawada, but they honestly couldn’t given Zawda a worse matchup. A striker at heart, Zawada has 11 of his 16 wins by way of KO. That’s all fine and great but you need to be on your feet to make that become a reality in most fights, unless of course you are on top which I highly doubt will happen here. I’m expecting Zawada to be in step with Nurmogomedov; getting out of the gate early yet being cautious. Trying to slow down the shots of Nurmog by catching him coming in and making him really think twice before entering that hip zone. However, I just don’t see him keeping Nurmog off him for too long. Eventually he will find his hips and start to work and depending on where it is in the round will tell the tale about the scoring of that round. A fight that can be interesting if Nurmog can’t get this south. But unlikely to happen.
The Pick: Nurmogo
Clark $8200 vs Kianzad $8000
Jessica Rose Clark has a had a tough life and road to get to this point in her career. It just seems life tossed some curve balls at her that were completely defeating to most. Without getting too deep into her past, let’s just say her luck hasn’t been the best. However, here she is and that has to speak for something. Clark is not going to wow you with style points but she does have a gritty way about her that just doesn’t quit. She is 2-1 under the UFC umbrella and lost her last fight to a, at the time, surging Jessica Eye. She takes on Kianzad who holds an 11-5 record. She has 3 KOs and 8 decisions. It’s quite obvious that she likes to keep the fight standing, but if she beats you it’s from volume and pace. Both ladies have their paths, but their paths are also very wide open meaning they can both be beaten anywhere. When it’s a game of holes like this, it’s who can find the most holes and jump through them. I think Clark is the more gritty fighter and will not get her way, but it just seems she will stretch a little farther to get it done. Women’s MMA is tough to call at this level, but I will lean Clark here to get this one done buy decision.
The Pick: Clark
Yakovlev $7700 vs Roberts $8500
Roberts impressed me when I watched his film a few fights back. He is athletic and has a lot of tools that you can definitely build upon. Sharp stand up and he is not afraid to look for submissions standing, which shows that he is very aware of where he is and what positions he is in at all times. However, there is a path to beat him and that is to really just put constant pressure on him. He took his first loss against Pichel in his last fight from exactly that process. Pichel put on a pace that he just couldn’t keep up with and against a guy like Yakovlev, he can possibly see that same type of pace and style. Yakovlev isn’t the guy that is going to get you style points, but he is going to make you fight him. The 35 year old has 25 wins with 9 by KO, 9 by sub, and 7 decisions. He can finish things wherever they go and he is happy to take it there. He has that old school fighting mentality that a lot of the new breed just can’t grasp. It’s a dangerous spot for him because anytime you bring in the new breed of fighter against the older gritty vet, you wonder if they will be able to really keep up pace with them. However, Pichel showed that the blueprint is there if you want it and to me, Yakovlev is a little better version and more well rounded version of that old saavy vet style. Not a fight that I’m super confident in but I do think that Yakovlev has a very good chance in this one especially knowing that Roberts is on short notice. I’ll take a mild swing on the dog here to see if Roberts fixes some things that Yakovlev will def test.
The Pick: Yakovlev
Grant $7200 vs Popov $9000
I hate this fight to be honest. It seems like this is your typical striker vs grappler here and a pretty lower level one at that. Popov is going to look to keep this standing and stick you up with volume and Grant needs to get you to the ground and start working there. He isn’t anything special when he gets there, but it is his game and where he is most comfortable. Popov is not going to even attempt to try with Grant on the ground, so Grant will have to really work to get it there. Grant is going to have to walk through some volume to get it there, but in the end I think he does. Popov is dedicated to his craft and striking is his bread and butter, once Grant gets it to the ground I find it hard to believe that Popov will be able to do much about it and he may be stuck there for awhile. Grant sticks to the game plan and grinds this one out on the ground.
The Pick: Grant
UFC FIGHT NIGHT DRAFTKINGS
The thing that scares me here is that it is a 3 round fight and not a 5 round fight. You need be very weary of that. I would say that it isn’t a must play at this point but people might lean off it a little and also may jump on Kattar at his price. So he may be a little unappreciated. I don’t hate it but it’s not comforting. I’ll have some but not overexposed.
His price is nice and given the issues I have seen Zabit have in certain spots, this one can go distance in a tough hard fight. I wouldn’t fade him but I think Zabit has too many tools.
I think he loses but he does have that 1 hitter quitter. Not a full fade but I definitely don’t like him in this spot
Pricey here. Usually the big guys need a finish to cover that price because they don’t throw that heavy volume. Not super high on him here because even thoough he can work Hardy over, it is still a tough price tag. Small stab because it’s heavyweights but nothing crazy.
I don’t like his price here, but I do like him and I do think he has the opportunity to finish this one. So if I feel that way at sub 9k, it’s worth a place on a few rosters.
He’s athletic enough and he does have the tools, but he just doesnt have the greatest cage IQ. He isn’t a full fade but I would definitely temper expectations here. He has proven the ability to put himself in some really bad spots.
The matchup is good for him. Fighting an aging vet with not much left and has enough pride left to think he still can okay a young mans game. The opportunity will be there, but it’s on him to get it done. I’m interested.
I’m actually off him here. I don’t think he will finish Martin even if he wins and that can be dicey with scoring. Fade.
I’ll take my swing here. I think Martin has looked good in his new weight class and he has the chops to get this done. I’m interested at dog money.
Dangerous fight. I think his tag is a little high here. You can proceed if you want but proceed very very lightly.
His grappling is what intrigues me. If he gets this to the ground then this can get really interesting. For that reason alone, he’s hard to avoid totally.
He is expensive and that will drive people away. He also isn’t a profound finisher. However, Langinbula is a guy that can be finished late when his gas tank starts to dwindle. I’ll have him in spots.
Kopylov $8300/Roberson $7900
I would honestly touch this both ways with a heavier lean on Kopylov. Both these men like to stand and trade, so it’s anyone’s guess who will be on their mark better on Saturday. With that said, Kopylov is the more polished fighter in my opinion so I will give him the heavier lean.
He’s not Khabib, but he does share that similar style and that style can accumulate points. I’m not thrilled about the price at all, but I can see him covering if he gets what he wants. I’m interested. However, be aware his ownership may be slightly higher off his name. People know it’s not Khabib, but they may buy into the name a bit so he may be higher owned then he should be.
Clark $8200/kianzad $8000
Low scale MMA, but a fight that will not kill your allocated money. I would probably my go Clark or nothing here. I’m not sold on either of these women but I’m more sold on Clark at this point.
He can win this fight if he makes it ugly and at 7700 he doesn’t need to have a crazy amount of activity to cover. He’s in play.
The price isn’t bad at all, but he does have cardio issues and this is on late notice. Concerning for me. He is talented so I get drawn back to him, but I’m not feeling too comfortable here. I may have a few small plugs just because I don’t want to miss the train if he does do something sneaky to win, but I have fear of this fight for him considering the style matchup.
No reason Grant should be this price. I know he hasn’t looked all that great, but he is fighting a guy that is just looking to stand and trade. Going to the ground is not something that he has any interest in, and that’s exactly where Grant should plan on taking it. Striker vs grappler and at this low price he’s worth a few spots.
I’m not crazy about this tag at all. Should be a lot cheaper than 9k.
Be very Careful With this card….. You play what you are comfortable playing… These day cards over seas can get hairy…
1.7 to win 1
1 to win 1.3
Props to fool with
Volkov by KO/TKO (worth a stab) +160
.5 to win .8
Zabit By Decision -120
.6 to win .5