MadLab’s UFC Fight Night Florida Breakdown and Predictions!!! Here is what Twitter is saying.
UFC FIGHT NIGHT MAIN CARD
Alistair Overeem DK $7500 / FD $18 vs. Walt Harris DK $8700 / FD $22
Walt Harris really had a rough year. When his daughter vanished, he took to social media for help finding her and getting her back. Time passed by and the stark reality started setting in that she wasn’t coming back. The loss of your daughter is something that I am not sure anyone can ever prepare for. With a record of 13-7, Harris has all of his wins by KO, and in his 7 losses, he has been only KO’d 2 times. The Big man comes into the cage with extremely heavy hands but this time with a very heavy heart as well. Harris is on a 3 fight win streak after losing two in a row and a no contest against Godbeer, Spivak and Arlovski. Now, he takes on a Legend of the game in which I like to refer to THE REEM. Overeem has been around it seems like forever. It is safe to say that The Reem has fought not a who’s who of fighters but the Reem has fought pretty much all of them. With a 45-18 record, it’s safe to say that Overeem has been around the block a few times. I can honestly say that I have seen every one of The Reems 64 fights and can probably recite the outcomes in each of them blindly. With 23 KO’s and 17 Submissions to his credit, he was literally a technical wrecking machine at one time in his career. I would say that his most impressive run was from 2007 to 2011 where he literally went through 12 fights without a single defeat. It was really when Antonio Silva KO’d him was where the slide started. Since that time, he has really split his win and loss ratio. Another factor in his career, despite what he says, The Reem was on a boatload of gear and you can see the way his body changed from the early days into his fight with Brock and now. Muscular wise at one time, he made Brock look small and now he is really a shell of that due to the USADA restrictions. The once-feared striker has taken a backseat in his old approach. The once hunter tries to play the strategic hunted game, and it has worked for and against him as of late. Against Francis, it was clear that the new style wasn’t something that boded well for him. The way he dipped and ducked his off his counters, the way he was overreaching and leaving himself exposed is not what you expect to see from such a seasoned striker like Reem. However, there are times where it does fair well for him. With that said he just doesn’t look super comfortable in his new role as counter chess player. Reem also tends to have cardio issues and has become chinny in his older years. In his last fight against Rozenstruik, he actually looked good and was winning that fight, but he got sloppy, and he got sloppy because he was gassed, much like Anthony Smith did in his last fight against Glover. When you gas out it is a very different feeling when you are fighting. It’s not about the slowing down and the heavy breathing as much as it is the fire that you feel in your lungs, the legs begin to get weaker which in turn doesn’t allow you to really generate, and your punches tend to fly in slow motion. Lactic acid starts to build up and no matter how hard you throw it seems like you are in a bad dream stuck in the mud. Everything is coming out like a half of a shotgun shell. In turn, it also makes you very sloppy and exposed. You start dropping your hands and you’re on rubber legs. Rozenstruik took advantage of that very late in the fight and blistered The Reem with a comb that would split his mouth open to measure it looked unrepairable. There is no doubt that The Reem has seen his fair share of damage in the cage but he still wants to scrap. Reem is going to have his hands full with Harris here. For the most part, Harris has been fairly durable in his matchups, suffering his only KOs in 2014. What scares me with him is the talent pool on his resume really isn’t good: Daniel Spitz, Spivak, an aging Arlovski and an aging Oleinik. They aren’t the biggest measuring sticks, to be honest, but more importantly, where is his head after the biggest loss of his life in his stepdaughter. It can fuel him or seriously, with good reason, distract him. However, I think it will be a hard sell for me to pick against him here. I feel like he is on a mission in this fight in the name of his daughter. To be able to win this fight and tribute his daughter over the microphone in his post-fight speech in the cage may be all he has in mind and that alone can be a very powerful driving force.
The Pick: Big Ticket Harris
Claudia Gadelha DK $9100 / FD $17 vs. Angela Hill DK $7100 / FD $12
Interesting matchup here both women have caught my eye early in their careers for very different reasons. Hill caught my eye with her sharp and wiring striking ability. She has a very long and rangy frame that actually fits her style quite well. At 12-7, Hill has the majority of her wins by way of decision, and in her 7 losses, Hill has only been stopped 2 times by submission. She will not wow you with power but Hill gets it done on volume. Punches in numbers. Averaging around 5 strikes per minute she usually spits out a very consistent pattern from fight to fight, but it seems that she never transcended to the next level of her fighting career. You know what you are getting with Hill. A solid striker that if you are willing to, it will not hit the floor once. She averages less than 1 takedown per affair but does hold a 70 percent takedown defense. One issue with her is that, even tho she has high output in strikes, she seems to take back about the same punishment as she shells out and if the opposition hits harder or more significantly, this can ultimately be the deciding factor in her losses. She will take on Claudia Gadelha, who caught my eye early with not only her appearance but the savage style she brought to the cage. The feud with her and JJ really pulled a dog out in her but it also pulled her back in a bit as well. I haven’t seen that Claudia for some time. The high-pressure savage that will ragdoll you no matter where in the cage you are. Just a forward relentless pressure that made her so tough to fight. She was never a huge volume striker but she did it on takedowns, control and damage. She would literally string fights together with 5,6 and 7 takedowns per affair and slowly that number would start dropping to anywhere between 0 and 4. Now you take that with a lower volume count and you have a concern. Also, another thing I have noticed about Claudia is her gas tank It has really slowed down quite a bit. It seems that she falls off a shelf late in fights, and that has been a huge issue for her, as of late. That coupled with her cutting very easily: the 3rd round and beyond if it’s a main event has been a major question mark lately with her. So buying into the Claudia of old is something you just can’t do. She isn’t that savage anymore that she once was. With that said I think she understands that standing with Hill is not exactly something that will end very well for her. Even tho she does have the power advantage, Hill is the slicker striker that will pepper Claudia up in most exchanges coupled with the better cardio. Her game plan should be to get top control early and make hill work off her back. Make the fight dirty and murky. You can’t get into a technical exchange war with Hill, She will end up in the bonus in most exchanges if you aren’t as slick and technical as she is. So Claudia needs to at least tear a small page out of her old school book and look for level changes in this one. I think this will get extremely Dicey in the 3rd round and I think Hill being super active with 7 fights in a little over a year and Claudia with only 1, it could take a bit for Claudia to get her timing down again. Super close fight but I think Claudia needs to understand that standing with Hill is just not a good idea. I think she needs to really implore her grappling as a means to an end here and even if she gasses out she can use it as a security blanket to at least top control and stall a bit while still looking good in the judges’ eyes. Hill has never fared super well against pressure grapplers so I will side with Claudia here to get it done.
The Pick: Gadelha
Edson Barboza DK $8500 / FD $17 vs. Dan Ige DK $7700 / FD $16
Dan Ige might be one of the most overlooked fighters in the UFC. The guy is just so solid and has been for quite a few fights now. With a 13-2 record, his only losses were to Julio Ace in a very close fight and Taichi Nakajima by split decision in Pancrase. The BJJ BlackBelt holds 5 submissions and 3 KOs. In his 2 losses, he has never been stopped inside the horn. Since his last loss to Arce, he has gone on a tear and is starting to catch the eyes of the UFC brass to the point that they won’t be able to ignore him anymore. With wins against Mike Santiago, Jordan Griffin, Danny Henry, Kevin Aguilar and Mirsad Bektic. Ige is a decent striker but he does his best work when he is able to play in the sandbox on the ground. He tends to land at least 1 takedown per affair even though his stats say over 2. A win here can put him in a really good spot beating hard-hitting and possibly the pound for pound best kicking game in the business in Edson Barboza. Oddly enough Barboza is coming down in weight so I am expecting him to be huge when he fills back up. Barboza has def had bright spots in his career but he has also had some very humbling ones as well. His career has always been win 2, lose 1 or a see-saw of wins and loses after his loss to Jamie Varner. Before that, he was on an absolute sprint through the regionals all the way to his 4th fight in the UFC. Then… he met Khabib. He was beaten and battered in that fight to the point it looked we watched his soul leave his body during that fight. They say sometimes you can literally get the heartbeat out of you in some fights. The great Teddy Atlas used to say, “Every time you fight, you leave a part of yourself in the ring or cage, never to be returned again.” I really believe something was taken from Barboza that night. Since then his record stands at 3-1 not counting the loss to Khabib. Two of those fights he was finished and his last one against Felder was a barn burner where he lost a split decision. However, there is no doubt that Barboza is an insanely powerful striker with a leg game that can and will cripple you if you don’t understand checking them or getting out of the way when he goes high. He can literally change the entire complexion of a fight if he catches you with one. With that said Ige is a pretty durable guy, but even with Barboza possessing a decent takedown defense game, it is fair to say that it is not his strong suit. A brown belt in BJJ under the great Ricardo Almeida is never a bad thing to have on your resume but he really doesn’t dust it off to use it in his fights unless it’s absolutely needed. With 20 wins he has 12 by KO and only one by submission. In 8 losses he has been KO’d 3 times and submitted 2 times. So, his game plan is to keep this sending while sending limbs from every direction with power and position to see if your foundation will start to break. Ige may think he is going to stand with Barboza, but eventually, it will lead to his demise. He is going to need to get in close and take away that range. Take away that thunderous leg game by crowding him and not allowing Barboza to get into any type of a tempo. Fighters like Barboza work off timing and tempo. If you take that away from them or start feeling when they are laying a bead on you and take it away, it makes them needing to hit the reset button and start over trying to find that path to catch fire again. Ige has the grappling chops to get that done. Ige is a very fundamental player that cuts the fat away and will never be flashy. He stays tight and doesn’t waste energy that is not necessary. Barboza has also been criticized of late for having a questionable gas tank in spots, which can give Ige an easier time down the stretch to get in on his hips. Anyone with any sort of grappling pedigree needs to steal a page out of Khabibs handbook. It works. Lock up with Barboza and do not give him any airspace to breathe. There is no doubt that Barboza is the bigger stronger fighter here, but that weight cut to 45’s can be a big problem coming down the stretch. This is really going to be all Predicted on the weight cut. How does he look and how drained will he be? If he is not drained and he rehydrates up with no issue, Barboza can be a serious problem in that division. I can see him just laying volume on Ige and by outclassing him on the feet. However, if the weight cut tears him down too much, he can find himself in a bad position late against the smaller guy with the better gas tank and extremely high pedigree grappling. This weight cut really scares me for Barboza. But if he does make weight cleanly it’s hard to go against him here.
The Pick: Barboza
Krzysztof Jotko DK $8600 / FD $18 vs. Eryk Anders DK $7600 / FD $13
Nothing about this fight intrigues me so I am going to keep this one short. Jotko has been a major disappointment for the UFC brass. There is no doubt that the kid has skills, but he has really just taken a step back as of late. With a 21-4 record, Jotko lost 3 of those in a row in his last 5 fights. He seems like his trigger is jammed and he just doesn’t come out firing anymore. The Brown Belt in BJJ is well rounded enough to beat someone like Anders who is extremely raw at this point in his career, but you just never know what Jotko is going to show up. Anders is a very good athlete who played linebacker at Alabama and does or should say has shown some promise. But as of late he went from a fighter that literally would just walk you down despite his experience and technique to a fighter that is extremely hesitant in his approach. Point blank he just has not looked good. He brings good athletic ability, good power and a good will to survive durability wise but if you are going from a talent and technique perspective you really need to turn your eyes to Jotko here. I think Jotko no matter how boring this fight may be, he just is better in its entirety. With that said, whoever decides to pull the trigger and go will most likely win this fight. But with the uncertainty around who will, I have to lean on the more well-seasoned fighter in Jotko. However, not a fight that I am really interested in at all.
The Pick: Jotko
Song Yadong DK $8900 / FD $19 vs. Marlon Vera DK $7300 / FD $14
I love this fight. Marlon Vera has come a really long way in his career. With a 15-5 record, this well-rounded fighter is riding high on a 5 fight win streak. With 5 KOs and 6 submissions, Vera is fighting like a man possessed at the moment. In his 5 losses, he has never lost inside the horn. Vera fights very long for the division and he just has a good smooth style that translates very well with putting it all together and playing g I’m concert. The one issue I have with Vera is he tends to make some odd decisions in the cage but it doesn’t take away from the streak and momentum that he is currently surging on. Across the cage trying to have a say in that is Yadong. Yadong is an extremely just raw and powerful fighter with a record of 15-4. With 6 by KO and 3 by way of submission. I like this matchup for both men because it really will test their strengths. Marlon Vera is the better grappler. Slicker off his back and in transitional situations as well, but Yadong’s top game is extremely heavy and he doesn’t make it easy getting your hips loose in space. The issue with this is the Line. There is no way that Vera should be this much of an underdog. Yadong is a very promising young prospect at 22 years of age, but is extremely seasoned and seems to be hitting a major stride. His entire career he has been extremely overlooked. I am going to lean on Yadong here just for the mere fact that I expect this to hit the ground and his top control should be able to nullify Vera’s ground game from his back, but overlooking Vera here is just not smart.
The Pick: Yadong
UFC FIGHT NIGHT PRELIMS
Miguel Baeza DK $9000 / FD $20 vs. Matt Brown DK $7200 / FD $14
Matt Brown has always lived up to his name as “Immortal”. The guy is as blue lunch box as it gets, and when he walks into the cage he comes to fight. This is a guy who comes in loving to throw heat to work his way into the clinch, gash you with elbows, inside leg trips and lay hell on earth on you when he gets you there. The con is that he is 3-5 in his last 8 fights, but hey, he is 39 years old. So, the Matt Brown I did describe above is primed, Matt Brown. However, the one thing you can’t take from this guy is that he is going to come to fight no matter how old he is. The issue with Brown is his body, You can hurt him to the body and that has been a known fact for a while now. The issue for Matt Brown in this fight is basically he is fighting a younger much more athletic fighter that comes in at 8-0 in Miguel Baeza. Baeza is a sharp fighter with quick feet and can really utilize the entire cage to make Brown chase him around all night. In his 8 wins, he has 6 by way of KO so it is no secret that the kid has some torque in his hands. With that said, who did he really fight? Hector Aldana? That’s it. That is the top prospect on his resume. If Baeza can keep this in space then Matt Brown will have a long dragged out night. With that said, what happens when Baeza sees that Brown is still just not going away. When he finally does close space and Baeza has to engage in close with him. I just feel like athletic ability will take you so far, but against someone like Brown no matter how old he is, you need to kill this guy to stop moving him forward and I am not sure Baeza has seen that kind of situation before where Matt has been there many times before.
The Pick: Matt Brown
Kevin Holland DK $8200 / FD $16 vs. Anthony Hernandez DK $8000 / FD $16
Kevin Holland has that persona that you either love or hate. The issue I have with him is I feel like he just doesn’t take much seriously. In his fight against Santos on super short notice, he actually gave a really good showing but his showboating needs to have a cap put on it because in a super close fight you can really get yourself in a bad situation. There is something about Holland that I see clear talent, but it really all depends on how serious he takes things. I have seen him shine early and fall off the shelf late but other times he looks very solid conditioning-wise all the way through. So it’s really not a talent thing for Holland, it’s more of a preparation thing for me here. He is going to come in the much bigger man with a 3-inch height advantage and a 6-inch reach advantage. He takes on Anthony Perez who claims that his lie hasn’t changed at all since this pandemic. He is a tough kid with a very high motor that just likes to charge forward and create some sort of chaos. In his 2 fights under the UFC umbrella, he was submitted by Markus Perez and then came back and beat Parks. Hernandez can, in fact, win this fight if he keeps hard, steady and consistent pressure on Holland. Holland does not like to be pushed past a certain point. He begins to get very sloppy and unhinged. With that said, I just feel Holland is better everywhere and holds the more glaring attributes as well. Pending on where his conditioning is, he should win this fight. Hernandez won’t make it easy but Holland should really get this one done. If you were able to handle the forward pressure of Thiago Santos for 3 rounds on late notice, there is no reason why you can’t handle forward pressure from Hernandez.
The Pick: Holland
Irwin Rivera DK $7000 / FD NA vs. Giga Chikadze DK $7000 / FD $11
Talk about a late replacement, Jesus. Irwin comes in a day before to replace Mike Davis who I was super high on coming into this spot. However, after a bad weight cut, Mike Davis was forced to pull out. Now, they call up titan FC bet Irwin Rivera. This is a really tough ask for Rivera here and a bad matchup. Rivera is a good striker but I don’t see him hanging with Chikadze on the feet here. Chikadze really has such a well-polished kicking game and really can dictate terms here. Late notices like this historically don’t do well. It is more of a feeding to keep the fight alive. With that said it still is a fight but what went from a mile Davis pick against Chikadze has now turned into a Chikadze win over Rivera.
The Pick: Chikadze
Darren Elkins DK $8300 / FD $15 vs. Nate Landwehr DK $7900 / FD $15
Ahhhhh, “The Damage.” Darren Elkins has probably one of the most fitting names tattooed on his body. This guy is widely known for one of the sickest comebacks in MMA history, when he was being beaten down in an Anthony Smith vs. Glover manner, and managed to turn the table in the most primalistic ways and knock Bektic out. He became an instant name. Since then he went on a nice little run until he ran into current champ Alexander Volkinovski and lost by decision. Since that fight, he has entered 3-fight skid zone. Losing his next by KO and another by decision. Elkins is just a grinder. This guy just wants to be on top of you and grind you from opening bell to closing bell. However, The Damage has taken a ton of damage in his career, and you wonder how much longer his body is going to allow him to just beat on it the way he does in the cage. The thing that makes him special is that it really looks like he is outmatched in all his fights. He is so herky-jerky that you can’t even imagine him standing up to guys like Michael Johnson, Volkanovski, or Bektic on the feet. Then, as he starts to take a beating, Elkins finds a way to rally back and throw such odd patterns into the mix that putting a bead on him becomes very difficult. He breaks you. He doesn’t break you physically; he breaks you mentally. Because you just start to wonder, “WTF do I need to do to get this guy out of here?” Then when you least expect it… He secures a takedown and his Indiana State Champion wrestling pedigree kicks in and if you are not seasoned on the ground he will just start to assail you. In order to beat Elkins, you need to submit him to sleep or KO him out cold. Perfect example is in the AV fight. After the first round, he couldn’t even find his stool. He was so out of it, and he came out in the second round like it never happened. The guy is a freak, earning the name the damage, but don’t look for a dynamic athlete because he is not. It is just so hard to pick against him unless he is facing someone that has been there before. He takes on a former M-1 high pressure and brash fighter in Nate Landwehr. The kid is a very good striker with a very good gas tank, but I have noticed that he does leave his chin exposed on numerous occasions in many of his fights. In his debuting fight vs. Herbert Burns, he looked sharp and smothered Burns with a berating of strikes, and on the break, he left his chin exposed and Burns caught him with a perfectly tied knee that would put him out cold. He is going to look to bounce back from getting caught like that, but it won’t get any easier for him here. There is nothing more frustrating than throwing the kitchen sink at someone and they just are not going away. He has the speed, volume and offensive power to get this done, but he MUST NOT engage in Elkins’ style of fight or he will find himself in a very dark place. I am going to lean on the grizzled vet here to turn the tides mid-fight and grind his way to a dirty and hard-fought victory.
The Pick: Darren Elkins
Cortney Casey DK $8800 / FD $14 vs. Mara Romero Borella DK $7400 / FD $13
Tough fight here, and I always did like Cortney Casey, but it seems that she will always just be stuck in the mud. A good fighter that is a tough out for many but will never reach that bracket to contend for a strap. It’s been the story of her entire career so far. Extremely tough with a chip on her shoulder, Casey is always game to sit in the pocket and scrap. However, she has had issues in the past staying on her feet and there is a clear pattern with the outcome against those fighters that look to take it there. Coming in at 8-7, she really is what her record shows. A 50/50 fighter and that is where she will most likely remain. With 3 wins by submission and 3 by KO, she will look to push that pace at least, and in her 7 losses, she has only been finished 1 time by submission. She takes on Borello, coming to us from Italy with a record of 12-7. But this Black Belt in Judo will clearly look to take this to the ground against the smaller Casey where she really should be able to control things a bit better than Casey. With only 4 submissions to her credit, she does have a very good transitional BJJ game and can be a big problem for Casey if she can actually secure a takedown and keep it there. I am going to say she is the bigger, stronger fighter, and at some point, I don’t think Casey is athletic enough to keep her hips in space for 15 minutes without being dragged down at some point. I expect Casey to be extremely durable here, but the fact that this fight is close as it is, the top control of Borella could indeed be the deciding factor here.
The Pick: Borella
Don’Tale Mayes DK $8400 / FD $17 vs. Rodrigo Nascimento DK $7800 / FD $15
This is really a High Pedigree Grappler vs. an Average Striker with power. Mayes is a bigger lumbering striker, but he really is just a raw fighter with power. When you have power, you can be an equalizer but he still hasn’t learned out how to really use his range and distance. So what do you do when you really don’t have much to rely on? You come out hot in the hopes to get things done early. With that said at his size, you also tend to gas out. Nascimento is the far better grappler here. At 7-0, he has 5 by way of submission. He is going to have to weather the early storm here by Mayes and if he can do that coming out of round 1, He should be able to get this thing to the ground and start having his way there. There is a clear cut path for both men. Stay Standing and Mayes should take this home and if it hits the ground Mascimento may be walking out with a limb. I will take Nascimento here but both men are extremely Raw in their MMA careers, so I am not surprised whoever comes out the victor.
The Pick: Nascimento
UFC FIGHT NIGHT DFS
Walt Harris – DK $8700 / FD $22
Walt Harris has had a really tough go as of late with his Step Daughter’s death, and it makes you wonder where his head is right now. There is no doubt he has the power and pop to shut the lights out on The Reem, but if he doesn’t do it early, then there may be a cause for concern here. Especially how cautious The Reem has been fighting. Roster this carefully and remember that there is a window for Harris here. But he is worth a few swings for the upside on a KO if he connects. Not high on the price tho.
Alistair Overeem – DK $7500 / FD $18
The Reem’s price suits him here just for the mere fact he is not a very active fighter anymore. He will look for takedowns to slow things down but he slowly plods forward with caution now. However, it is still the reem and the power is the last thing to go. Also, his grappling is very underrated and although Harris is not terrible, he doesn’t want to be there tired and late with The Reem. So is he worth a few dog shares? Yes.
Gadelha – DK $9100 / FD $17
$9100 is pricey, and I am not expecting to see the Claudia of old. Her path to victory here is obviously look for the takedown and try not to get caught in the web of a striking battle. You can expect her to look good early, and it may even look like she is going to blow the cap off her value if that pace keeps up. But the pace won’t keep up because she tends to gas out and start handing over the handy work she did early. You can expect her to be cut and tired going down the stretch and Hill may even make a good excuse for a close decision late. So, I am really not comfortable with Claudia at this price. Fade for me.
Hill – DK $7100 / FD $12
There is no reason that this fight should not be closer than it is. Hill is looking very sharp as of late and she has been super active. But her biggest issue is her takedown defense in which Claudia would be happy to bring it there if she has the opportunity to do so. It is no secret where she wants it and Claudia’s timing may be off from a year-long layoff. This is almost like a dog or pass situation in DK, and even tho I picked Claudia to win, I can’t pass up a live dog at $7100. I will have some here.
Barboza – DK $8500 / FD $17
The weight cut to 45 really scares me for Barboza. There is no doubt he is the better striker here as well as the much larger fighter. He has trouble making 55. However, Ige is super durable and super underrated. If his gas tank doesn’t hold up or he loses heavy pop in his kicks, this can have a not so happy ending especially if it ends up on the ground. With that said I have to expect him to be rehydrated enough to just look so much bigger than Ige in there. I think his kicks will bring a different dimension to the game that Ige just never experienced coming at him. $8500 is risky, but I am willing to risk some here lightly.
Ige – DK $7700 / FD $16
The only reason that I would entertain Ige in this spot is because of the weight cut of Barboza. I think Ige is grossly underrated and I think if Barboza’s weight cut goes sour then he has a real legit shot in beating him. With that said if you are rostering due to that then you roster small but don’t fade Ige.
Jotko – DK $8600 / FD $18
Anders – DK $7600 / FD $13
I picked Jotko to win here, but it’s really a dog or pass spot here and I am not feeling Anders all that much. As far as Jotko? Little pricey at $8600 until he shows me he is willing to pull the trigger.
Yadong – DK $8900 / FD $19
Probably one of the coldest takes on the card next to the Angela Hill fight. Yadong is young, and he def is someone to look out for, but to be this much of a favorite against Vera is kind of alarming to me. I can’t see it. I don’t see it. This is much closer than that. I think if he wins he covers value but man not by much because Vera is extremely Durable. If he finishes Vera that would be a major feather in his cap. I would be cautious here.
Vera – DK $7300 / FD $14
Grossly underpriced. I picked Yadong, but Jesus, how can you pass up $7300 on a fight that I am seeing much differently than DK? I would throw a few darts here.
Baeza – DK $9000 / FD $20
$9k against Matt Brown? Ummmm no. I don’t care if Matt Brown is 50. That dude always has a dog in the race. This kid does not deserve this price tag win or lose. Fade.
Brown – DK $7200 / FD $14
Yes… I will have some of the Immortal here. How the hell can you not at that price.
Holland – DK $8200 / FD $16
Hernandez – DK $8000 / FD $16
You know what to do here. Close in price and you can mix and match without too much disturbance. My lean is Holland here, and I will be a little heavier on him. I feel he is better everywhere.
Elkins – DK $8300 / FD $15
Be prepared to have about 3 scares in this fight if you roster him, but also keep in mind that there is a very good chance that this dude storms back and wins. Watch the Bektic fight. Now, the guy is aging and he is as war-torn as it gets, but he isn’t going anywhere unless you put him out. He is not the better athlete here and he really will need to work to get inside but if he does he can give Landwehr fits. His ceiling is not very high but he may be glossed over in spots.
Landwehr – DK $7900 / FD $15
If he keeps moving and stays away from Elkins he can def do some work and cut Elkins up. But what happens when Elkins starts to walk through things just to get in on his hips. Will he be there to stay composed and keep him at bay? Answer is we don’t know if he can because he has never fought someone with Elkins’ style. I don’t hate it because Elkins can be finished but I’m not sold on this kid until he shows me something.
Casey – DK $8800 / FD $14
Too expensive for me here. This price should not be this high. I’m off.
Borella – DK $7400 / FD $13
At $7400, there is a path here for her. She is the bigger fighter and the better grappler. Casey isn’t one to really give in but at 7400 where I believe she does have the tools to win this one, I would tell you to consider her in a few. However, the fight itself is not important to me and I don’t see either woman being a slate breaker.
Mayes – DK $8400 / FD $17
I get why he’s favored here, but if this goes to the ground, he is going to have some issues. He is going to need to really keep his hips in space and throw leather. If he wins it happens early and that’s where his value lies. If it goes deeper and it hits the ground it could get ugly for him. First fight of the night, it’s always tough so the upside for him is a KO so keep that in mind when rostering him.
Nascimento – DK $7800 / FD $15
He isn’t going to want to stand and bang with Mayes but Mayes isn’t going to want to tango on the ground with him here. After watching how Crowder was smothering him 20 pounds lighter, it’s hard to believe Nascimento can’t abuse him there if he can do the same. I hate first fight of the night, but at sub $7800, I would not hate ya if you took a shot here.
Chikadze – DK $7000 / FD $11
Rivera – DK $7000 / FD NA
This is odd. I’m telling you right now, if this stands on DK, Chikadze will most likely be the chalk here. How can he not be with Rivera walking in the day before to take this fight. I mean, it’s a no brainer that you should have some, but you will have a ton of company. As far as Rivera, I’m not picking him to win, but with so much weight probably leaning in Chikadze, it would be crazy not to take a small bullet on Rivera in a large field GPP. What do you have to lose? Really?
UFC FIGHT NIGHT VEGAS
Matt brown +140 win or lose I don’t care. There is no way I’m passing up the Immortal in any dog situation. I don’t care how old he is.
1 to win 1.4
VERA/Yadong over 2.5 rounds -130
1.3 unit to win 1
He made weight and he actually looked good. It’s a really tough fight but I’ll take it.
1.3 to win 1
Gahdella by decision -105
I was hoping to get this in the plus to be honest because I do fear her gassing out but she only has 1 submission since 2010 and I don’t see her knocking Hill out considering she has never been knocked out before. So I’m picking her to win but won’t touch that -200 tag. So if I’m gonna have any action. I guess it would be here. But she has really burned me in the past.
1.05 to win 1
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