MadLab’s UFC Fight Night Breakdown and Predictions!!!
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT CARD
Derrick Lewis DK $8700 / FD $21 vs. Aleksei Oleinik DK $7500 / FD $16
Derrick Lewis has built a brand for himself in 2 ways. 1 way is on social media with some of his off the wall posts and his extremely fan-friendly interviews. The other way Lewis has made a name for himself is by bringing some serious hell bending power with him into the cage. A fighter with not the greatest amount of skill in the form of disciplines, Lewis makes up for it with his ability to end things at the drop of a hat with one single punch. Derrick Lewis is really a guy that you need on the right night. The way he fights really depends on the night. There are times you can just see that he doesn’t want to be there and then there are other times where he wants to literally just brawl until the night is won, and brawl he does. With a record of 23-7, Lewis has recorded 18 burials. In his 7 losses, he has been KO’d 4 times and submitted only 1 time. This is a stat that I really wanted to look into for a few reasons. If you have ever grappled, you know that guys as thick as Lewis are not easy to submit. Getting a good wrap on them or a good firm grasp on a limb is much harder. With that said he was submitted by DC via rear naked choke. However, I think there is a stark contrast between the pace, athletic ability and conditioning of DC opposed to Olenik. However, there is also a stark contrast in the submission ability which will lean the other way heavily. Olenik is arguably one of the most successful submission grapplers in MMA history. With a record of 59-13, he has a mind-blowing 46 by way of submission and has landed some amazing chokes that literally were only meant to be landed with a Gi on.
There are certain fighters that are so seasoned in their Discipline that there really is no thought behind the task at hand. They let the fight flow to them and have so many answers for whichever angle it comes from, they have it covered. Oleinik is one of those guys. However, with most specialists, there are also sometimes a few downturns. It is common when someone leans so heavily on one aspect of their game with success that they will lack more than they should in other areas. Oleinik is one of those fighters. A completely stiff stand up with very minimal movement and athletic ability, he looks to bull forward with strikes with only one thing on his mind. Dragging you to the floor and working his power grappling game and an insane grappling game it is. The dangerous thing with Olienik is that you only have a small window to escape once he starts to lock something up. When he gets that submission to a certain point in its motion, there is no reversal, no return and you are not out muscling the grip that he has. He has what I like to refer to as “Old Man Strength” and it is a very real thing. With that said if you take all that away from him, he can be had quite easily. Any fighter with good conditioning, good power, movement and good takedown defense ability can score on him easily. The key to beating Oleynik is keeping your hips in space and keeping your ass from hitting the canvas where he can go to work climbing you like a boa constrictor. Derrick Lewis has a few of these attributes but not all of them. We know that he has the KO power and on the onset has the ability to give you issues securing him in place, but when the fight begins to travel on, he will get very tired and start looking to land that 1 hitter quitter. He will back up, start covering his midsection, and then look to explode forward and land the big one. He also is very tender to the midsection. If you dig enough or land a good shot, you are more than likely going to make the big man start wincing. However, his concern is not striking. The concern is keeping his ass off the ground where he will be in a world of danger. Due to the nature of both men and cardio not being their stronger suits, They will be flying very parallel in that department and I think Lewis will have enough in the tank to really stuff a lot of these shots and land his own making Olienik think twice about approaching so openly. I will take Lewis in this spot.
The Pick: Derrick Lewis
Omari Akhmedov DK $8200 / FD $17 vs. Chris Weidman DK $8000 / FD $16
Weidman is a guy that never really impressed me as much as others. Very good wrestler, smart guy inside and outside the cage and well rounded, but there was always something about him that I never could put a bead on. I just never thought he was as good as people slated him to be. I get that he was the champ and I get that he has wins over Anderson Silva, but does he? When he fought Silva for the belt, it was Silva who gave him that fight in a sense. He was showboating to endless levels and simply got caught with his pants down and then when he was defending his belt in the rematch another fluke incident happened where Silva broke his leg in half getting one of his kicks checked. However, you have to give him the credit for the wins. Technically he did win by the books but he is NOT a better fighter than Silva. Not even in the same stratosphere. However, the Chris Weidman name was then born and off to the races it went. Since then, he has come severely back to earth. Losing 5 of his last 6 fights all by way of KO. Weidman is really premised on getting his wrestling going to keep his chin safe and to keep the fight in his wheelhouse. I am concerned with his durability issues now and in a stand up for 15 minutes is without a doubt a major risk. He will take on Omari who is making quite the statement as of late flying very low under the radar for quite some time. With a 20-4 record. Omari has 7 by KO and 5 by submission. He is undefeated in his last 6 fights stemming back to 2016 with only 1 draw. The level of Comp is very tough and even though he has been winning by decision in those 6 fights, most of these guys are extremely durable. In Omari’s 4 losses he has been KO’d 2 times and never submitted. If you really digest this fight, Weidman really has one path here and I am not sure it’s going to hold up. Weidman is not a known power puncher and with Omari facing guys like ARA, Tim Boetsch and some others that couldn’t put him away, I find it hard to trust that Chris is going to be the guy to do it. I also find it hard to believe that he will be able to maintain control on the ground long enough to keep Omari at bay. I can’t pick against Omari here.
The Pick: Omari
Darren Stewart DK $8600 / FD $17 vs. Maki Pitolo DK $7600 / FD $14
This is a fight that I really am up in the air about, to be honest with you. Stewart has shown the ability to be very bad and then look very good in some spots. He is very tricky to lay a bead on because he has a few elements of his game that whether he implores them or not is really determined on the day. To make things short and concise here, both would rather keep this on the feet, but Pittolo is the one that holds the ace of spades there. More technically sound, ties his strikes together better, even tho Stewart may hold the slight edge in power, Maki throws with some snap himself. With that said, Stewart has one path that if he uses it can control the area where this fight takes place. Pitolo is a good striker but it really just ends there. With a 30% takedown defense, Stewart should look very closely at that and utilize that to his advantage. All fights start on the feet, we all understand that, but if you take space away from a striker then their game starts to really unravel unless they are seasoned in the pocket and in the clinch. Pitolo likes space. He likes to be able to open up and use range and pace. If you take that away then they will need to resort to something else and Maki really doesn’t have anything else. Stewart can use his striking as a means to get what he wants but if he thinks that he is going to stand and trade in space with Pitolo, then I have to say it’s not happening or it’s unlikely. Stewart needs to make this dirty. Grind him against the cage, use elbows, knees, and look to drop levels pinning Maki up against the cage where he is not ultra versed. So the reason why this is hard for me is that I can tell you what they need to do. I can tell you what they are capable of doing, but I can’t tell you what exactly they will end up doing. The path of least resistance is there for him, we have seen him implore it before. He does it again and he wins. He doesn’t then it may be a long and unnecessary battle that he could have avoided.
The Pick: Stewart
Yana Kunitskaya DK $8800 / FD $16 vs. Julija Stoliarenko DK $7400 / FD $13
Kunitskaya is one of those fighters that is good, but it ends there. If you really go through her body of work she beats all the people that she should beat but the minute she gets tossed a name that can give her some trouble, she is yet to get by them. I think it’s safe to say that she is a roster filler at this point. Long, rangy, and has effective striking. With a record of 18-5, I think she was slated a little higher in the eyes of the brass for training with people like Holly Holm, but let’s face it, she isn’t Holly Holm. Her Achilles heel is her grappling where it is serviceable but without a doubt sloppy at times and any very seasoned grappler can have their way with her on the ground. With that said you have to get her there. Being as long as she is, elevating her and getting her off the ground and clearing her feet is not the easiest task. However, Storliarenko has the chops to put in the work on the ground if she can actually get it there. With a record of 9-3, she has 8 wins by way of Submission. All of her submissions have been by way of ArmBar, so she really knows how to find the limb when the window opens for it. However, she really doesn’t have the best wrestling to get it there, and that could be an issue because she isn’t going to beat Kunitskaya on the feet. If she does get it to the ground then watch closely because things will get very interesting, but I don’t see that happening. I see a fight that is going to be predominately boring and unproductive, but Kunitskaya winning the exchanges, throwing more volume, cleaner and crisper ultimately grabbing her the win.
The Pick: Kunitskaya
Beneil Dariush DK $9100 / FD $18 vs. Scott Holtzman DK $7100 / FD $14
Dariush was on his way to being one of the underground crusaders of the UFC. Very well-spoken, even-keeled temperament, very good kickboxing and a Black Belt in BJJ to match. He seemed to have it all and his fighting style really complimented his persona. Smooth, patient, composed and wasted no energy with useless attacks. Then he suffered a devastating loss to Edson Barboza and the complexity of his fighting changed a bit. He then fought Evan Dunham in which ended in a draw. However, the backbreaker would be against newcomer Alexander Hernandez. The short notice debuting fighter would literally shut Dariush’s switch off within a minute of the very first round and it seemed Dariush would lose all confidence going forward. It seemed he was damaged goods and a broken toy at this point. However, the only switch that would be flipped was the switch of his resurgence. Dariush is now on a 4 fight win streak just like that with 3 of the 4 by finish. Dariush seems like he has moved past his short stint of woes and has his confidence back. A confident Dariush is a dangerous thing for the division and a win here will really put him right back into the mix and the conversation. He will need to get by a very tough out in Scott Holtzman. Holtzman comes into this fight with a tough fought win against UFC future HOF Jim Miller making it 2 in a row after dropping a decision loss to Nik Lentz. Holtzman is no spring chicken but keeps himself in extremely good shape at the age of 36. Holtzman likes to have a very even leveled striking affair. He isn’t one to get into these gun slinging wars. He will back up and reset. What he does do is see what is landing during an exchange and if something gets through he will tie more together to push you against the cage and start to load up a bit more throwing hard overhangs and uppercuts. The Brown Belt in BJJ does have a serviceable ground game but the last place he wants to be is on the ground with Dariush. It’s really a bad matchup for him on paper here. Dariush is the much more polished striker, much better grappler, and has the better conditioning. Holtzman has better power and can muscle Dariush around a bit but you can’t really rely on that unless he catches Dariush and he doesn’t have the bending power that is going to spark you out cold with one shot unless it’s really placed on the button. I like Holtzman but this is a really bad matchup for him against the surging Dariush that seems like he is in a bit of a zone right now.
The Pick: Dariush
Laureano Staropoli DK $8300 / FD $17 vs. Tim Means DK $7900 / FD $16
Tim Means is one of the fighters on the roster that is almost impossible not to like. He has that Jim Miller factor to him. He is the guy that walks into the cage with no ego, no real crazy act and you know exactly what he wants in the fight. Means, better known as the dirty bird, holds very true to the handle bestowed upon him. He likes to really just draw you into a firefight filled with very polished striking and his signature gashing elbows that are sure to leave an everlasting mark long after the fight. With a record of 29-12 and 19 by way of KO, Means has done a good job sending people out of the cage early before the final horn. In his 12 losses, Means has been KO’d 2 times and submitted 5 times. The concerning thing with Means is that he seems to have taken a little downslide rather quickly. He lost 4 of his last 6. Even tho 2 of them were razor-close split decisions, it still raises an eyebrow. Sometimes it’s not about the “L” on paper or on the record, it’s more the loss of momentum and feeling stuck in the mud that can hinder your mind frame in upcoming fights. Some fighters will thrive when their backs are against the wall and others well shell up. Means also has shown a little more of a kink in his chin that I need to monitor going forward. He takes on a tough task in Staropoli, who really impressed me against Salikhov. Salikhov is known to be one of the more dynamic strikers on the roster, and Staropoli held his own quite well against him. After some very good shots, was put in bad spots, recovered, and found his way back into the fight a few times. He lost the fight but he showed the ability to face adversity and hold up against it. With a record of 9-2, he has 5 KOs and 2 Subs to his merit. The former police officer will look to get back to his winning ways against Means here but there is something that may be a bit overlooked here in this fight that may actually favor Means. Although Staropoli impressed me with the way he hung in there with Salikhov, his power really isn’t frightening and his volume isn’t overwhelming. You are going to really need to overwhelm Means with Volume or power. Means is so technical in his striking that you can’t go shot for shot with him, because he ties his strikes together so well and chains them together in numbers. Staropoli will end up getting lost in the translation of them if he doesn’t pick an approach. He either needs to press hard or look to really look to land something big that is going to back Means up and I am not sure he possesses the ability to do that. Im looking for Means to back him up and land the shots that sway the judges if it does end up going to the cards. I will lean on the Dog here and take the vet in this spot.
The Pick: Tim Means
Kevin Holland DK $9400 / FD NA vs. Joaquin Buckley DK $6800 / FD NA
I feel like Holland was pretty much begging for a fight last week to the point he would have fought one of the judges if it was offered to him. Well, he isn’t going to have to wait for too long considering they moved him to this card in a hurry. Holland is one of those fighters with a ton of talent and potential but there are spots where it looks like he doesn’t care. However, then there are other times where it looks like his refusal to lose is right where it should be. Holland really landed on the map when he took a late notice shot at Thiago Santos and did more than hold his own. He was able to take everything Santos could shell out and even put Santos in some difficult spots. With a record of 17-5 Holland has 8 KOS and 6 Subs. In his 5 losses, he has been subbed 2 times and has never been KO’d. Coming off his 5th loss by Submission against Brendan Allen, he bounced back in a big way with a TKO win over Anthony Hernandez. Holland isn’t a 1 trick pony and that’s what I like about him. The crazy thing is, we really don’t know what he is just yet. He has given us samples of his skillsets when he needs to. The one thing about Holland is he lets the fight come to him. He won’t go in with any set plan to implore. He will come in and move with the waves. We have seen him in space and we have seen him on his back, but what if someone just motors him into a dirty phone booth fight for 1 minute where they don’t give him space and it never goes ground. Buckley has the type of frame and fighting style that can bring that to fruition if he chooses to. The southpaw fighter will come in with a 6-inch reach disadvantage. So any way you shake it, he will need to work his way inside to have any type of success. If he gets there then he does have the physical attributes and the power to really get the attention of Holland. With a record of 10-2, he has 7 KOS and 3 decisions. In his 2 losses, he has been KO’d 1 time. Buckley has fight changing power in his hands if he gets the opportunity to get them working in the pocket. A few things that I did notice is that in range he does a good job tucking his chin and moving in and out, but when he gets into the pocket, all games are off and he just starts to swing recklessly. He will level change and does have a decent double leg, but it’s nothing Holland hasn’t seen before. The issue is that Holland sometimes can take his foot off the gas and I have seen him rocked quite a few times. This kid really goes after it if you leave a window open. I have to be honest with you here. I am picking Holland but this fight scares me a bit. Holland is hopefully taking this kid seriously because all it takes is one shot for Buckley to put Holland on skates. I tend to go back to the fight with Santos where Holland was eating some very big shots but he also knew Santos’ history of power. He didn’t overlook Santos. He can’t overlook this kid, his power, his left hand, and his reckless approach in the pocket can be a blessing and a curse. Holland needs to really get this kid’s attention early and make him understand that he is going to pay if he gets too close. It’s hard not to go with Holland here but it’s one that is a bit concerning. It always is when you have someone that throws caution to the wind.
The Pick: Holland
Nasrat Haqparast DK $9000 / FD $19 vs. Alex Munoz DK $7200 / FD $11
Haq was highly regarded coming into the UFC and was really being pushed hard as a top prospect. Then in his debut against Marcin Held he dropped a close decision and he then bounced back and got into a groove winning 3 in a row until his last fight when he was KO’d by Drew Dober in the very 1st round. I’m not sure what to make of him right now. In both of his losses, he fought 2 very different style fighters. Held was a much more ground sufficient fighter, where Dober is extremely high pedigree on the feet. With a record of 11-3, Haq has 9 wins by way of KO, and in his 3 losses, he has lost 1 way in all 3 ways. His striking is extremely crisp but there is a grappling deficiency that Held was able to expose late in their fight. Now he takes on Munoz who is a very high pedigree wrestler with serviceable striking, but he is not very active. With a 6-0 record, Munoz does it with a little bit of everything tied into one coupled with pace. I think it’s safe to say that he should throw every other game plan out the window because there is only one real way for him to make this a good fight and that is if he just commits to his wrestling. It’s apparent that the UFC is giving Haqparast this fight to get him back in the mix hoping he gets a win here. However, you never know how someone is going to bounce back from a KO loss like the one he suffered again especially when it’s your first. You can lose some confidence and also you can try to avoid certain situations in the hopes and the fears that it may or may not happen again. It really depends on the fighter, to be honest, but Haqparast doesn’t really seem short on confidence and if he can shake this last one off then he will be in for a good showing against Munoz. There is no doubt in my mind that Munoz can be a problem if he tears a page out of the wrestling playbook and adheres to it, but there is something about fighters that can sometimes be baited into situations that they are not supposed to be baited into. However, no matter what the case, Haqparast isn’t going to make it easy but he can still be had on the ground if you really want to get him there. I just don’t think the UFC has that as a plan. They want Haqparast back on track, and although this kid can throw a little scare into him and the UFC, he will, in fact, do that. Get back on the track he shall.
The Pick: Haqparast
Wellington Turman DK $8500 / FD $17 vs. Andrew Sanchez DK $7700 / FD $15
This fight really comes down to one thing for me and one thing only. WHERE IS SANCHEZ’S CARDIO. This is a kid that has a lot of talent and will win you rounds quick, but when I tell you fall off a shelf, his cardio will literally just fall off a shelf. He has gotten better but not enough to feel safe about it. With an 11-5 record, he will come out of the gate very hot and look like he is going to run through people, then it happens. It’s actually odd. In his 11 wins, he has 5 KOs and 2 Subs, and in his 5 losses, he has been KO’d 3 times. In the past, if you rostered him for DK, you would literally be moonwalking down the street after the 1st round because he would set a pace that would most likely shatter numbers. However, after the midway point, the moonwalking would turn into nail-biting. Now I am not saying that is going to be the case here but if it is then Turman can be very dangerous later in this fight. Turman comes to us with a 16-3 record. With 7 subs and 5 KOS, Turman has been impressive in most of his outings, win or lose. He isn’t one to roll over and die no matter what the situation is and I look for that in fighters. However, Sanchez is the more explosive and skilled fighter in this spot. Turman lets the fight come to him which is good but Sanchez goes into the fire and pulls the fight out and that is always going to look better to the judges in a close one. Sanchez will look to lock horns early and get this fight to the ground using his pressure and wrestling, but he will really need to watch his neck because Turman does search for that arm in Guillotine often and if Sanchez starts to gas out, he will get sloppy and if he gets sloppy then he may expose his neck or a limb on a sloppy and labored shot. These are things we can’t have out of Sanchez, and this is why cardio and conditioning are so important. It’s not only about having the energy for output. It’s also about the ability to fight tight and soundly so mistakes aren’t made. I hope this doesn’t come back to bite me in the ass but I am going Sanchez here. I am going to trust in his ability to fix the conditioning issues somewhat at least. It doesn’t have to be perfect but it has to be better. I think it will be.
The Pick: Sanchez
Gavin Tucker DK $8400 / FD $18 vs. Justin Jaynes DK $7800 / FD $13
If you want to talk about making a splash, then ask Justin Jaynes how to do it. On last minute notice, Jaynes came into the fight hard-hitting Frank Camacho and ended his night within a minute. Jaynes unloaded a striking assault that would leave Camacho out, confused and shocked. Now the Justin Jaynes story starts. We will start to see who this guy is for real. With a 16-4 record, Jaynes has 8 by way of KO and 5 by way of sub. In his losses, he has never been finished. Jaynes is one of the guys who has equal power in both hands and a lot of it. If you watch the fight with Camacho, he landed some serious shots with his left and some thunderous shots with his right. Now, we all know that every fight isn’t going to end like that and eventually he will have to really show a mixed bag. However, he showed us one thing already. That this boy can finish when he smells blood in the water. He takes on Gavin Tucker. A kid who came in with much hype behind him as well. Undefeated coming into the UFC and remaining that way after his debut win against Sam Sicilia. Then it all changed when he met Rick Glenn who literally just took it to him for 3 rounds. After a layoff, Gavin came back to fight Seung Woo Choi in which he would win Via Rear Naked Choke. Tucker has a ton of talent and having the knowledge of Zahabi behind him is nothing short of beneficial. Zhabi’s mantra is letting the fight flow to you. Patience and taking what you are given and being disciplined enough to wait for every opportunity. The only thing I will say about Tucker is that he seems to be a bit ego-driven. His fight against Glenn seemed to humble him a bit and he looked much better in his last fight, but Tucker will need to really be patient and composed against Jaynes. Jaynes is going to apply a lot of pressure on him and how he functionalizes that will be interesting. I think Gavin is the better athlete and has the better grappling if it hits the ground, but he is going to need to really be mindful of Jaynes’ left hand. I think it’s going to be a good fight, but a fight that Tucker has all the tools to win.
The Pick: Tucker
Youssef Zalal DK $9300 / FD $19 vs. Peter Barrett DK $6900 / FD $11
Zalal comes to us on 2-0 under the UFC umbrella and his last outing against Jordan Griffin was very very impressive. His striking looked good and his sharpness carried through the fight. At 23 years of age, he is a sponge to improve his game and the options are really boundless. The switch fighter has much room to grow and grow he still needs. He is talented, there is no doubting that but he is still very very raw. He needs to be handled the proper way here. I see many fighters coming into the UFC with a lot of steam behind them and they get ruined due to getting thrown in the lion’s den a little too soon. I think Zalal has the ability to be a very solid fighter if he is walked the right way. He takes on Peter Barrett, a very middle of the pack fighter that has some good pop in his hands and looks to stand and trade in the pocket. He has the right idea with his approach, but his range management and his distance need some work. Some of his movements are the right idea, but distance-wise, he just misses the mark. The key to this fight is going to be how Zalal keeps Barrett on the end of his punches and keeps this in range where he can pick Barrett apart. The fear of being taken down won’t be there as much, so we should really see Zalal open up a little more and give us a bit more of a peak on his overall ability on the feet. Against Griffin, the threat of both levels was there, whereas, in this fight, he will really be just defending one level. This is Zalal’s fight to win or lose and I think he passes the test and grabs his 3rd win here.
The Pick: Zalal
Irwin Rivera DK $8900 / FD $18 vs. Ali Qaisi DK $7300 / FD $12
Rivera’s film impressed me at first with his in and out movement, his ability to switch stances but settling into the southpaw stance. He can be a bit wild and he does move his hands a lot which is really not needed all that much, and it seems a bit showy. However, he does have an effective pressure game on the feet and his lower center of gravity allows him to really get inside and grind you with a bullish clinch game where he can get his dirty boxing rolling. With that said, he does have a clear deficiency on the ground. The one thing I did notice on a positive note from that is he always is at least working to get back to his feet, and he doesn’t just accept position. It’s clear that he is looking to keep it standing, enter the pocket on his terms and leave the pocket on his terms, but he will have to really compose himself a bit more against a guy like Qaisi. Qaisi will be at a disadvantage striking here in my opinion but does have the ability to search for the neck on the feet and locking up a standing Guillotine Choke in which 2 of 4 of his subs came standing and one came on the ground. But he does have the ability to find the neck and Rivera needs to be very very aware of this. I see Rivera staying a little cleaner in this feat. I think he keeps this in space, uses the grind to take away any tempo or momentum shifting out of his favor and then really resetting and starting the process over again. Probably not going to be the most exciting fight but one that can have some drama in it, especially if Rivera gets hooked up. He will need to find his way out and bring it back to his wheelhouse. I am going with Rivera here. I think his in-and-out movement along with being the better fighter athletically will allow him to stay safe enough to pull off a possibly close decision.
The Pick: Rivera
UFC FIGHT NIGHT DFS
Derrick Lewis – DK $8700 / FD $21
There is always a danger playing Lewis, but where there is risk there is always reward. You will need to give to get with someone like Lewis. The volume isn’t there. The takedowns aren’t there. The ability to gas and get finished is there. However, the one-hitter quitter is always there no matter what part of the fight we are in. For that reason alone, he is in play.
Aleksei Oleinik – DK $7500 / FD $16
His upside is fully predicted on getting Lewis to the ground and finding the Submission. If he can’t manage that then he will most likely get KO’d. However, the most accomplished submission artist in the UFC can find a way if anyone can. I am picking against him here but if you need to back yourself up here. Lewis is not a lock by any means.
Omari Akhmedov – DK $8200 / FD $17
Chris Weidman – DK $8000 / FD $16
We obviously know the rule of thumb here by now. With that said I will have a larger lean on Omari. There is no doubt that Weidman is the better fighter talent-wise, but that was then and this is now. His wrestling will always be his predator but if he gets touched on that chin, it could be the end of the night. Omari brings a lot of pressure and can take whatever comes back. He will be in Weidman’s face and how Weidman handles it is yet to be determined.
Darren Stewart – DK $8600 / FD $17
Not crazy about the price here and I think this should be priced a lot closer. I am not expecting a finish here but I think Stewart knows that the recipe to his success will be in the takedowns. So if he implores that plan and Pitolo can manage back to his feet, we can have a small rinse and repeat affair. I don’t hate the price but don’t love it. With that said, I’m interested.
Maki Pitolo – DK $7600 / FD $14
Look… He keeps this on the feet and the world can be his oyster here. I just don’t think he stays upright for 15 minutes. If he does then Stewart is a moron for letting it end up there.
Yana Kunitskaya – DK $8800 / FD $16
Fade…. I just don’t trust her.
Julija Stoliarenko – DK $7400 / FD $13
The upside is there for a submission, but I am not interested.
Beneil Dariush – DK $9100 / FD $18
Probably should be priced better, but Dariush seems to be catching fire at the right time and flies very much under the radar. The upside for a finish is there for Dariush.
Scott Holtzman – DK $7100 / FD $14
Without a live dog, I will have some small shots on him but nothing crazy. However, on a card that is hungry for some live dogs, he’s live.
Laureano Staropoli – DK $8300 / FD $17
I really don’t want to play him here, but if you play Means, which I am going to, I feel like you need a small backup just because of the state of Means’ questionable chin these days. Small
Tim Means – DK $7900 / FD $16
Tim Means is the better technical striker here and I am hoping we get a vintage Means performance with razor-sharp elbows and straight violence. However, the chin backs me up a bit but I am still going to indulge on the Dirty Bird.
Kevin Holland – DK $9400 / FD NA
Expensive and this guy has been waiting to fight. You wonder if he is going to be a little overzealous in his approach. Buckley does scare me a bit. I won’t lie. I think Holland wins but I think this kid can give him some trouble early. Play Holland but just back it up a hair here.
Joaquin Buckley – DK $6800 / FD NA
The kid isn’t that good but he generates a lot of explosive movements and has good power. He should lose this fight. Technically, he isn’t on Holland’s level, but if one of those big punches finds its way to Holland’s chin early then all the dynamics can change. I have to throw a bullet on the kid.
Nasrat Haqparast – DK $9000 / FD $19
He came in a little heavy, stripped down to the curtain, and made weight. I think he puts in work if he can stay off the mat. I’m interested.
Alex Munoz – DK $7200 / FD $11
He is really tied to his wrestling. I am not sure how successful he will be against Haqparast here. I’ll pass.
Wellington Turman – DK $8500 / FD $17
I am going with the Dog here, but I will say this. If Sanchez gasses out, you are going to wish you had some Turman. For that factor alone, I will have some here.
Andrew Sanchez – DK $7700 / FD $15
Get your damn cardio right will ya!!! I am playing him at sub $8k in the hopes that he fixed his cardio. No promises and it without a doubt is a risky play.
Justin Jaynes – DK $7800 / FD $13
I think many people will be on Jaynes after his last showing. I get it and maybe a taste, but I don’t see him catching Tucker as he did to Camacho.
Gavin Tucker – DK $8400 / FD $18
I like this kid. A little too hype trained but he is talented and after his loss to Glenn he seemed to simmer down a bit and looked good in his last fight. He is priced nice and this is a fight that you probably want a piece of.
Peter Barrett – DK $6900 / FD $11
Youssef Zalal – DK $9300 / FD $19
He keeps this in space, and this can be a big night for the youngster… Interested.
Irwin Rivera – DK $8900 / FD $18
Little pricey and the first fight of the night…. Meh… In a large field, I will take a shot on the kid.
Ali Qaisi – DK $7300 / FD $12
He loves the standing Guillotine, but I am not sure it ends that way. I think Rivera might be a little too sharp to get caught in that. This actually should be a good fight, but I don’t see Qaisi getting to the spots as quick as Rivera. Nah…
UFC FIGHT NIGHT VEGAS
1.85 to win 1
Lewis by way of TKO/KO -130
1.3 to win 1
.5 to win .65
1 Unit to win 1.35
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