MadLab’s UFC Fight Night Brasilia Breakdown and Predictions!!! Here is what Twitter is saying.
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UFC FIGHT NIGHT MAIN CARD
Kevin Lee $8300 vs. Charles Oliveira $7900
You are looking at two men that actually match up in a way that if they implore it properly then the other can be exposed and if they start slipping then that strength can be the others ace in the hole. Kevin Lee is a pure athlete with a solid wrestling pedigree and an evolving striking game. The learning curve with an athlete is much different than someone who is the lesser athlete. It is just common math. With that said you need to be intelligent enough to understand it, create it, embrace it and implore it and I think that is a lot of issues in fighting today. Some very very good athletes out there with solid chops, but when it comes to tying it all together or making the right decisions, The cage IQ just isn’t there. We have seen it so many times before where the people have the perfect blueprints laid out for them and when it comes time to walk on the path set for them, they decide to take the path of MOST resistance instead of least. It’s not uncommon at all and we will embark more on that in the co-main event breakdown. Kevin Lee has many strengths but he does have one weakness that has been exposed 2 of the last 3 times he has lost in the cage on top of one other issue that has been consistently lingering for him. The lingering issue is his conditioning. Lee looks the part in the conditioning department, and for the most part, his conditioning is not terrible. But, his poker face in hiding it doesn’t sell. When Lee is tired, you know Lee is tired. He comes out of the gate sharp, lasered, and very explosive. You will often see him really trying to own the real estate in there, but as the time travels on, you will notice that he begins to fade, starts leaning on his heels and begins to let that mouth piece start creeping its way visually to the naked eye. Now, Lee has gone to the 5th round 2 times in his career and into the 4th 1 time. Out of those 3 times, he lost a decision to Al Iaquinta, Lost by submission to RDA in the 4th and knocked out Edson Barboza in the 5th round. So he is 1-2 in fights that travel outside of the 3rd round. With that said it is safe to say that he made things harder on himself near the down stretch when he ended up losing steam. However, you can’t take away the ability that he does have when he is firing on all cylinders. The other issue I do have with him is, in 2 of his last 3 losses, he has been submitted. One by a triangle choke and one by arm triangle. Anyone can get caught in a submission but when Lee gets tired, he tends to get sloppy. Getting sloppy allows you to really float your neck in loose takedown attempts and also makes your arms very unchained and susceptible to getting hooked up. So it’s not the jump of the fight I am worried about with Lee here. Its when he gets sloppy and honestly, there aren’t many fighters out there that don’t regret getting sloppy against Charles Oliveira. Holding a record of 28 – 8 with 18 of those wins coming by way of submission. The Black Belt in BJJ makes it quite clear that he is there for one thing and that’s taking a limb home with him. With that said, he does have 8 losses, and amongst those losses, he has been knocked out 4 times and submitted 3 times. The man’s grappling game is on another level, but something that I did notice in his fights is that he can be broken. You can steal his will. However, it does not come without a cost. For someone like Kevin Lee who wants to tie it all together, being extremely mindful of where you are on the ground at all times will be important. He will need to apply good pressure on the (and during his) hip entries, while he will really need to protect his neck. Once he is on the ground, if he gets it there, Lee will need to really use good weight distribution in order to keep CO’s hips from getting loose. Control the position FIRST and then look for offense. He is going to really need to stay heavy and tight. CO is going to want to stand a bit to give Lee a false sense of security. The other reason is for mere fact that Lee is very strong, so shaking off the takedown for him early is not nearly a problem for him early but later in the fight, it can be an issue and a tired Kevin Lee on the back is not a very good Kevin Lee especially against Submission artist CO. However, I think he brings a good pressure in this fight. A pressure that is the type to break CO. maybe not in a finishing aspect but in the aspect of taking a hard early lead. Lee is going to want to finish. He does not want to take this to the cards in a close fight. In Brazil, we have “The Brazilian Effect” and the judges adhere to this on a consistent basis. They tend to lean on their fighters in a big way in Brazil when the lights are bright and the fights are close. So you def want to be cautious here but I think Lee gets this one done with pressure.
The Pick: Kevin Lee
Demian Maia $7200 vs. Gilbert Burns $9000
I often talk about fighters straying away from what they are really good at, and Gilbert Burns seems to be one of those guys. A 2nd-degree black belt in BJJ, Burns is extremely decorated in the game of human chess. Holding a bronze medal in the ADCC and gold medals in multiple other world tournaments, Burns really is one of the elite grapplers in his class. With that said, despite his 4 fight win streak against talented opposition, it seems you can bait him into a firefight and he will actually enjoy it. You see as a grappler, you can easily fall in love with a knockout once you taste one and vice versa with a striker. Gilbert Burns knows where his bread and butter is but if you challenge him in the arena of standup then he has no issues with showing you his newfound chops and power. Normally, I would boo this man for that, but in this case, I feel using his secondary attack over his primary attack is a good idea here. You see there are very good grapplers, Elite Grapplers and Wizards. Gilbert Burns is an Elite Grappler, but Damian Maia is a Grand Wizard. The 4th Degree Black Belt in BJJ holds accolades that span far and wide. A Gold and Silver Medalist in The ADCC World Championships which is one of the most prestigious grappling tournaments in the world, Maia has been able to transition his craft into the MMA world. The 42-year-old is getting up there, but he hasn’t really given us any reason to count him out in any affair, nor should we. Before his 3 fight win streak, Maia was on a 3 fight skid where questions started looming on him and his career. However, before laying judgments on his losses, you need to see where they stemmed from: Woodley, Covington and Usman. All top of the food chain wrestlers that know what an elite takedown defense is. After losing to a murders row of Elite wrestlers, Maia is now on a tear beating Lyman good, Anthony Rocco Martin, and the best wrestler of all 6 in Ben Askren. With a 28-9 record, Maia has 14 by way of submission and 3 by way of KO. In his 9 loses he has only been KO’d one time which shows the merit of his durability. The thing with Maia is that he, Unlike Burns, is dedicated to his craft and knows that if his knife is going to cut into hot butter, it will be by using his grappling abilities. For example in his 3 losses against solid wrestlers in which he had no success in that category, he shot for 49 TD attempts. What does that tell us? No matter what, Mai is not deviating from what he knows. So what does Burns need to do? Well, for starters, not get greedy. He needs to keep his hips in space and he needs to keep this standing for as long as he can. Utilize his secondary weapon working in this one. He should really only use his grappling as a means to fight defensively and to get out of bad situations. Maia won’t knock him out but despite Burns’ grappling pedigree, Maia can and will submit him if he’s given a window. Especially if Burns is tired early in the affair. He will need to lay a bead on Maia early and send a few messages keeping him honest. Make Maia shoot from long range causing desperation shots that aren’t timed and that are visually easier to clear space. Maia most likely will work his way to the cage, looking for trips and rides this way if he isn’t landing open space Shots. It will Burns’ job stay off the cage but not turn in a position where Maia can saddle up and latch on his world-famous backpack. Once his back hits the cage he needs to roll away, reset, and square up again. Maia is a great grappler but at the end of the day he is still 42 years of age and there is something to be said about that when it comes to explosion and pop in your approaches. I think Burns’ grappling keeps him safe defensively and, in turn, owns the striking. Providing Burns doesn’t gas out, this is his fight to win or lose. With that said, I never feel comfortable with anyone who fights the Grand Wizard. Still… The Pick is Burns.
The Pick: Burns
Renato Moicano $9400 vs. Damir Hadzovic $6800
Well, if you wanted a stand-up battle, you got one here. Both men have had their ups and downs under the UFC umbrella, but both have shown some serious promise during these times. Moicano had an impressive little run going for him with his entrance under the banner until he fought Brian Ortega in which brought a lot of questions about his Cage IQ. In a great fight, Ortega was clearly losing going down the stretch. It seemed that Moicano was controlling the dance and owned the streets on the feet that night. Then near the end of the fight, for some God Forsaken reason, he decides to take a shot on a guy in Ortega that is a submission Ace and Bam! With Seconds left he was submitted, literally leaving me speechless. There was literally no reason for him to go to the ground. He was on his way to a clear cut victory and he had a complete mental meltdown. That gave me pause with him going forward. However, after his 2 fight win streak against Kattar and Swanson, he seemed to be dialed in quite well again. Then when things were looking up and up, he takes a two-fight skid against Aldo and Korean Zombie. So now here he stands at a crossroads taking on fellow striker Damir Hadzovic from Bosnia. With a record of 13-5, Hadzovic has more than half of his wins by KO with 7 and 3 submissions. In his 5 losses, his chin has stood up to the test for the most part with only 1 of the 5 by way of finish. This is a really good matchup, but a matchup that Moicanno really should win. Not only is he the cleaner and more high volume striker, but he also has his black belt in BJJ to fall back on if things start to get a little haywire in there which very well may happen. However, if you look at that numbers alone, that tells a small story here. Moicano lands around 5.5 Significant strikes per minute while Hadzovic about 3 and Moicano average a little over a takedown per fight in which he should be able to take advantage of that against Hadzovic. Providing he doesn’t come out flat or come out and get clipped. I see Moicano winning this one wherever it may go. The native Brazilian will be looking to put on a show in front of his home people and I am convinced that he does just that.
The Pick: Moicano
Johnny Walker $8600 vs. Nikita Krylov $7600
Ya know, I never like dealing with a guy coming off a loss with so much hype behind him because you really have no idea where his head will be. Walker came into the UFC looking like one of the Light HeavyWeight Saviors in the UFC to possibly get a crack at Bones. After literally starching people like quick work, Walker finally came crashing down to earth very hard while riding an impressive win streak upon his entrance under the umbrella with 3 1st round finishes in spectacular fashion. The stage for a possible new star on the rise. He had the look, the swag, the size and power to make a statement in the division in a very short amount of time. However, I think he let it all get into his head a bit too much when Corey Anderson gave him a dose of his own medicine by sending him into orbit in the very first round in their fight. Now, coming off a loss, you wonder how he will handle it. Will his confidence be there and will he be afraid to pull the trigger. These are all things that are yet to be determined. With 17 wins and 4 losses, Walker has 14 by way of KO and 3 of his 4 losses have come by way of KO. So he can be finished and it seems every time he does, it’s in a big way. He takes on very underrated Krylov. Krylov is an interesting guy to gauge. With a 26-7 record, he has 11 by KO and 15 by way of submission. In his 7 losses, 5 of them have been by submission and 1 by KO. So both of these men, when they lose it, seems the lean is inside the horn that can be an interesting look when we hit the props. Krylov is currently on an up and down roller coaster with wins and loses and needs to really stabilize something soon if he wants to be in any discussions and Walker needs a win here so the UFC does not start raising an eyebrow. This is going to be essentially who slips on a banana peel first here. With that said, I think Krylov is just more well rounded here. The crisper striker, the more durable fighter and the more savvy vet. I think Walker is a master of the phantom finishes and that isn’t enough for me here. His chin is just not to be trusted. I’m taking the dog here.
The Pick: Krylov
Francisco Trinaldo $8900 vs. John Makdessi $7300
This is a very interesting matchup here. Trinaldo is one of those guys that has that Jim Miller gene, but for Brazil. At 42 years of age, you don’t sign to fight him and are super thrilled about it. The guy is just a grind to fight and no matter who he fights, he is going to make the best of it. Depending on your style with someone like Trinaldo will ultimately dictate the outcome of the fight. Fighting him is really all about the approach. There is a right way at his age and there is a wrong way, depending on where you are suited. With a 24-7 record, Trinaldo has 8 by KO and 5 by submission with 11 decisions. In his 7 loses, 3 have been by submission and he has never been finished by strikes. He tends now in his older age to go to the cards, and he is fine with that, especially in Brazil. He has a Brown Belt in BJJ that I highly don’t think he will need to use in this fight. Especially given his opponent. John Makdessi is a polished striker with a background in Shotokan Karate. With a record of 17-6 he has 9 of them by way of KO. in his 6 losses, he has been KO’d 2 times and submitted once. JM is one of those fighters that truly knows what he is good at and will adhere to that. He understands that space and range fighting is his greatest asset. Coming from his background point fighting is real. From the tournaments to the training. It’s about scoring, so John is no stranger in fighting to the cards and winning. In 11 fights that have gone to the cards, John is 8-3 while Trinaldo is 11-4. So the tightness is there and Trinaldo does hold a 2-inch reach advantage here, but it will ultimately be the speed and technical approach that Makdessi takes to win this one. He seems revived at the lab and he is more than honored to be training with Ben Henderson in his corner. It seems he has found a home with the MMA lab and your camp means so much. In the end, it will be Makdessi getting to the spots a little sooner than Trinaldo and just landing the cleaner and sharper strikes. The issue we have here is, in a close fight, what will the Brazilian judges do? Well, I am not going to base a pick around that. I can only base it on who I feel has the best path to win and that is JM. Give me the dog for the 2nd time. If you would like to see his interview with me from Brazil, please go to iTunes if you have it, and if you don’t, it’s on all other major platforms. Please rate, review and subscribe while you’re there.
The Pick: Makdessi
UFC FIGHT NIGHT PRELIMS
Jussier Formiga $8800 vs. Brandon Moreno $7400
Awesome fight. Formiga is another fly under the radar type fighter. He has some great names on his but whenever it’s almost time for him to get his crack, he ends up faltering before he gets there. With a 4 fight win streak, a win against Joe-B would have most likely given him a title shot. However, things didn’t shake out that way. He lost by head kick in the second round.
A black belt in both Judo and BJJ, he has a good bead on how to tie it all together. A very solid and well-rounded fighter both with his hands and feet Formiga is much more suited when he is on the ground playing chess. With a 23-6 record, Formiga has 10 of those wins by way of submission. In his 6 losses, he has 3 of them by KO and 3 by way of decision. Formiga has one of the best back takes in the game with an astonishing 8 of his 10 subs by way of rear naked choke. He will take on Brendon Moreno who holds a 16-5 record with 10 of them by way of submission. In his 5 losses, he has never been finished. However, even tho he does like to stand and sling some leather, Moreno is much more comfortable when he is making things happen on the ground. With that said it is hard to imagine that he will catch Formiga sleeping here. Formiga is far and away the better grappler and in a transitional game on the ground, I see no way that Moreno catches him unless it’s on the feet and I don’t see that happening either. Moreno is slippery, but not that slippery.
The Pick: Formiga
Amanda Ribas $9300 vs. Randa Markos $6900
This fight is priced oddly for me here. Ribas is very wet behind the ears here, and even tho she is coming in with a 2-fight win streak, the level of opposition just isn’t there. Emily Whitmire is ok, and Dern is really living off her name from the grappling world. With that said, Ribas comes in with an 8-1 record, good striking pedigree and a black belt in BJJ, plus she is fighting on her home soil. Ribas has something that the UFC looks for and that is being marketable. With that said, she is taking on a tough task in the always tough Markos. The thing with Markos is that she just can’t be trusted fully. She will have fights where she looks outstanding and then fights where she really just shits the bed. She needs a certain kind of a fight to win. She wants you to get dirty with her and if you do then her toughness tends to take over in those situations. However, the trust is just not there fully with her, especially with someone the UFC would love to market further for the Brazilian market space. With 10 wins and 7 losses, you aren’t going to finish Markos off easily. She has only been finished one time before the final horn, and that was in 2016 against Courtney Casey. So her overall toughness can keep her in this one, and although I hate the odds in this fight, Ribas can be risky while she still travels the “Is she that good” category. I am picking Ribas to win this fight but I would not be shocked if Markos ended up grinding her way to a very close decision either.
The Pick: Ribas
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos $8400 vs. Aleksei Kunchenko $7800
Ya know, the jury is still out for me with Kunchenko. I know he comes from an extremely high pedigree of striking and holds an extremely impressive record coming from M1 but he just hasn’t really impressed me just yet. In his last fight, Gilbert Burns stole his undefeated record. Now, he will need to bounce back off his 1st loss against someone who is as tough as they come. dos Santos is not just a 1 trick pony. From a dynamic Capoeira background, he has an extremely solid striking game and a serviceable grappling game that he really doesn’t use all that much nor does he need to. dos Santos showed his toughness, sharp striking, power and steel chin when he fought Lyman Good in an absolute stand up war. One thing that I did really look for against Lyman going down the stretch was his ability to keep his pop and durability when his gas tank started to dwindle. If it was for Lyman’s Steel chin, he had plenty of pop to finish. He lost a very close decision and it was then I know he not only had the chops but had the overall grinders gene to get dirty and get it done. We haven’t really seen that from Kunchenko just yet. I haven’t really seen him in a full-blown war as of now. dos Santos is the guy to bring it to him, and we already know dos Santos can slang and bang, but can Kunchenko really do it deep in the final minutes of the fight when it’s on the line? Not sure we know that just yet. The level of competition was far weaker then it is here in the UFC and I would say that dos Santos is his toughest test to date since being under the UFC umbrella. I have to go with the Brazilian here.
The Pick: dos Santos
Rani Yahya $7500 vs. Enrique Barzola $8700
How can you not love Yahya and saying his name!? The guy is so not the part. He honestly looks like a guy mowing his lawn next door to you that has some IT job in the city. Little would you know, he is 2nd degree Black Belt in BJJ and holds a silver and gold in the ADCC Submission Wrestling World Championship. With a 36-10 record, he has 20 of them by way of submission, and in his 10 losses, he has only been finished 3 times. I know it seems like he is a machine, and in a way, he is a grappling machine, but he doesn’t have the best chain wrestling to get it there and he does tend to fade down the stretch. He comes out looking great, but once the rounds start to expire he will start falling off the cliff very slowly, depending on where he is in the fight and what pace is being set. With fights that go to decision, Yahya is just skating below 50 percent with a 6-7 record. That is a clear indication he is slowing up when the fight grows long in the tooth. At 35 years of age, it’s not getting any better, and facing someone like Barzola with a high motor and a good gas tank can be an issue at this point in Yahya’s career. With a 16-5 record, Barzola has 3 KOs and 3 subs, but the majority of his handy work is with his wrestling, controlling the clock and getting a decision. Nine of Barzola’s last 10 fights went to decision, and that is stemming back to 2015. So he has no problem with taking things into the deep water if you decide to test his chops there. His dedication to wrestling is for the most part there, except for sometimes where he is baited into a different style. Barzola is going to have to be extremely aware of his surroundings in this one if he is going to look for the hips of Yahya at any point in time. The key for Barzola here would be to stay in space for the first round and a half. Let Yahya tire out a bit. Then, if he must score in a close ending to a round, change levels, stay heavy, don’t let Yahya’s hips get loose and reset into the next round. You have to be strategic when you fight a guy like Yahya. Yahya is always a fear factor but I think the motor of Barzola starts to weigh heavily on Yahya in this one down the stretch.
The Pick: Barzola
Mayra Bueno Silva $8200 vs. Maryna Moroz $7700
Here is a fight that I am a bit torn on, to be honest with you, and as these last few fights come to a close, you must proceed with caution. Silva is coming in with a 5-0 record: 3 by way of submission, 1 by KO and 1 by split decision. However, if you really look at her overall body of work, it really isn’t anything to shake a stick at. Her last fight against Gillian Roberson was an impressive one considering Roberson is a pretty slick grappler and has made a name for herself with that skill set. However, Roberson was the one that was really pressuring the takedowns and Silva was following suit. Silva was stalking Roberson the entire time, completely squared up looking to exchange leather. I am not sure that will be a good idea against someone with the striking pedigree of Moroz. A coach of the Ukraine boxing team, Moroz has her finger dialed in on the sweet science quite well. She works behind a good jab, as all boxers should, and she understands the mechanics. My issue with her in this fight is can she keep this upright. Will she be able to keep Silva standing for 3 rounds. If she can’t then she may be facing a serious issue once she hits her back. I think Moroz can bait Silva into the fight that she wants if she can keep the proper range and keep her hips in space for an extended period of time. Silva will hunt and it will be up to Moroz to measure and keep her at the end of her jab. I know it’s in Brazil but the vibes will be odd and the judges can’t be swayed by the fans because there will be no fans. I am taking the DOG again here. Silva needs to show me more and even tho Moroz hasn’t shown me all that much either, she has more upside right now in my eyes going forward.
The Pick: Moroz
Bruno Silva $8200 vs. David Dvorak $8000
Here is where we come to a real danger zone here. These fights are really shots in the dark. When I came across Dvorak, the record looked impressive as well. With a 17-3 record, he has 8 KOS and 7 Submissions. So I was interested. I then watched his last fight and he looked good. Good movement, starts fast, doesn’t really sit tight on the center line and throws with good heat. He then was able to take the back of his opponent, flattened him out and was able to submit him. However, in organizations that aren’t highly respected, you really need to dive deeper so I did just that. The level of competition can be a major reason why he has such a tight record. It doesn’t mean he is not good and it is not his fault, he is merely working the people that they are putting in front of him, but at the end of the day, you need to really view what the level is that these fights are taking place. He is going to bring the heat and he is going to bring pressure but how effective it will be when a higher level of competition is throwing back at him is yet to be seen. Bruno Silva is by far not a world killer, but he does seem to be a little more polished. With a 10-4 record with 3 KOS and 3 Submissions, the Brazilian will have to stay composed and patient with this guy. Let him throw early and then capitalize late. Eventually, the steam will come out of his sails a bit and the grappling game starts to rear its head. Sounds easier then it is. He will need to follow this game plan, while he makes sure that chin is tucked. If he gets clipped, we may see if Dvorak’s power is real or not. The fight is scary but Dvorak seems a bit reckless to me. It may pay off in spots but at this level fighters need to be a little more calculated and at this moment in time, I think Silva is more calculated and polished in his approach.
The Pick: B. Silva
Veronica Macedo $9100 vs. Bea Malecki $7100
I can honestly give 2 shits about this fight. Macedo has seen better days in her last 4 fights. Macedo is 1-3 in her last 4. Her last fight was a good victory against Viana with a nice submission under her belt. It was a much-needed win after dropping 3 straight making her 0-3 under the UFC umbrella. With that said she just isn’t that good period. Malecki comes in with only a 3-0 record but she is going to hold a huge size advantage here along with a 10-inch reach. With that said, she is another one that just has no fluidity to her game. Size only takes you so far and while people are going to be intrigued by the size of Malecki here, I can’t really get behind it. I think Macedo can get this done if she can get underneath and get in close. When you are in close, the range isn’t there anymore and Macedo can start working from there. As I said, I have no interest in this fight, but I have to go with Macedo from a picking perspective.
The Pick: Macedo
UFC FIGHT NIGHT DRAFTKINGS
There is value on both ends here. Five rounds and nicely priced. Lee needs to push a smothering pace on Oliveira and not allow him to get his. If he does that, then he will score well over his mark. The issue is his gas tank. Will it? Well, I’m willing to find out. I will have more of a lean on Lee here.
Always dangerous, and if you fade him, then I think you all are out of your minds. Just because I picked Lee here doesn’t mean he can’t get caught by this slick grappler. Don’t fade this man.
Tough fight for Maia here. His chops are 2nd to none when it comes to the game of ground chess, but Burns has a very high pedigree as well to not beat him there but fight defensively to keep it standing. If that’s the case, it’s going to be a long night for Maia, but at $7200, it’s hard to fade him totally.
I don’t like his price here. $9k is a bit pricey against Maia. I like Burns to win here, but I can’t see him trying to get this to the ground. I see him fighting cautious, and that may cause him to underwhelm a bit, scoring-wise.
$9400 is quite the number to spend for anyone, especially when you don’t agree with the price. However, a dialed-in Moicano is a fighter totally capable of it. I’ll have some here because people may stray away from him due to the high pricing.
He’s not the worst punt in the world, but I don’t see him outworking Moicano here.
Walker can, without a doubt, win this fight quickly and abruptly, but what if he gets dragged into a dog fight? There is only so far reckless power goes. After a while, you need to have some substance behind your game, and we haven’t seen all that yet. Be very careful here. You are paying $8600 for upside for a quick finish, yes, but with that comes a questionable chin and questionable skill.
I think he’s the better fighter down the stretch. I think he has more durability and more ways and paths to win this fight. In a fight where I am expecting it to end inside the horn, I’ll take the value on the dog a bit heavier then I do the unproven commodity.
A savvy vet, but $8900 is absolutely ludicrous here. Especially for a guy that is most likely taking this to the cards.
Good value here. I’m expecting this to be a competitive fight but a fight that at $7300 holds some value if Jmak can start getting off early. I’m expecting him to do just that. I’ll have some.
Should be a high volume fight, and I’m expecting a hard pace. I think the pricing on this fight should be much closer than it is, but Formiga gets your back and consider your price covered.
I like Moreno. I just don’t like him against Formiga. He’s probably not a full fade for me, but he isn’t sitting in a lineup that is on the top of my list.
Ribas may have the chops, but Markos is super tough and not easy to finish. I would say 1 foot in and 1 foot out here, but I don’t like her price at all.
Markos is very durable. You aren’t just walking in and walking on Markos. Her durability and her wrestling chops alone will always make her a decent punt play. I’ll have a few shares.
dos Santos $8400
Love his price here. I will def be plugging him in some lineups.
He has the chops and very polished striking, but he just can’t seem to get it all working together. Very questionable play here. Hedging a few is fine, but I’m much heavier on dos Santos.
The submission threat is always there, but Barzola puts on a pace. He isn’t a horrible idea due to his skillset and submission percentage. There is a clear path for him, but I am not expecting him to win this fight.
The Barzola that we USUALLY want probably won’t show up. It would be wise if he didn’t. The takedown machine should put that weapon away for this one. It would be safer to trade. Because of that, I am pulling back much of my normal base shares. Light if any.
M. Silva $8200 / Moroz $7700
Moroz or bust in this one. I have no real skin in this one. I can fade it all together, to be quite honest.
B. Silva $8200 / Dvorak $8000
You have to play this both ways with a slight lean on Silva. You have been warned.
Crazy price for her. Macedo shouldn’t be that price against anyone. The size disparity alone will take an adjusting period. With that said, if you don’t give 2 shits about a lineup or two in large field GPP, I can assure you that she will be very low owned.
Meh. Single bullet or 2 maybe on Macedo and that’s about it here. You can also fade this all together if you wish.
I usually don’t throw this many picks in the pack, but since it’s the only show in town, I wanted to at least give you what I look to as the best picks on the card with the most value. Have fun ya’ll and I hope these find you riches… -Lab
1.8 to win 1
1 to win 1.55
1.55 to win 1
Dos Santos -125
1.25 to win 1
1.80 to win 1
1 to win 1.3
1.5 to win 1.2
UFC FIGHT NIGHT FANDUEL BONUS
Ok, guys, this is very last minute they did this but I am here. I went through the scoring and it is very similar. Not the same pricing but they are using the same type of structure. The pricing is not that confusing and the lineups can fit even with the 1.5 they are adding at the top. If you don’t know then the 1.5 is basically you are gaining 1.5 more points but you are paying more for that spot. Im sure you all know that already but I am just refreshing for those who do not. Below are the fighters, the prices and my favorite plays. You can use the article the same way you would in draft kings for FanDuel, but I will help you lean the right way this week on this. Man is Lab putting in some serious work this week. I am going to run this on a scale of 10 lineups. 0 being a fade all the way to 10 being across the board, then I will also tell you if it’s a good 1.5 play.
Ribas 20 (2)
Moicano 19 (6) *1.5
Burns 18 (4)
Trinaldo 18 (2)
Walker 17 (3)
Formiga 17 (5) *1.5
Lee 16 (5) *1.5
Dos Santos 16 (6)
Oliviera 15 (4) *1.5
Krylov 14 (4) *1.5
Kunchenko 14 (3)
Moreno 14 (3)
Makdessi 13 (5) *1.5
Maia 12 (3)
Markos 11 (3)
Hadzovic 10 (2)
We have a new game in town and it is Prize Picks! This is such an awesome add on to the MMA landscape and I am so happy to be apart of such a cool and unique game. So what prize picks offers is very black and white and it ties in DFS and Wagering all in one format! Quick, easy to navigate, and so fun to play. Here is how it works.
Prize Picks will give you a hand full of fighters with their projected DFS score after their fight. Your job is to basically pick the over/under of their projected total correctly and you win! It’s as simple as that! The kicker is that you can parlay any fighter you want up to 4 fighters. It’s that simple.
I will be adding this to my article every week as an inclusive add on to my already extensive article.
I am trying to give you guys every outlet to win money with my article giving you the best bang for your buck and the ultimate ROI. Below I will give you some of the plays I will be looking at here. I am telling you right now that you will LOVE this game. Use the below link and use promo code ELITE to get started!
See how MadLab did for UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero!