MadLab’s UFC 252 Breakdown and Predictions!!! Here is what Twitter is saying…
UFC 252 CARD
Stipe Miocic DK $8200 / FD $20 vs. Daniel Cormier DK $8000 / FD $19 TITLE FIGHT
When you look at the history of a fighter or the resume of a man’s life, there isn’t much more that needs to be said about the success that Daniel Cormier has cultivated for himself and his family. The three-time State Champion wrestler was also an All-State linebacker in which he was offered a scholarship to play at LSU. He would decline to further pursue his wrestling career. Ending his collegiate wrestling career as an All-American for OSU, he would walk out the doors with a 53-10 overall record with 6 of those losses coming by the hands of the legend, Cael Sanderson. In 2008, Cormier was the captain of the US Olympic Wrestling team in which he was pulled from competition due to Kidney failure from weight cutting. Cormier’s MMA story really started to take shape when he entered the Strikeforce Heavyweight Grandprix as an alternate with a major disadvantage and ended up dark horsing the competition and winning. Cormier continued his ways throughout his career, becoming a 2 weight division Champion and being widely known as arguably one of the greatest that has ever done it in the Octagon. One thing that will be tied to the legacy of DC is his ongoing feud with Jon Jones. This feud would be the one roadblock that would hinder him from being recognized as the greatest of all time and he knows this. In some careers, there is one person or obstacle that just has your number and Jon Jones will always be DC’s cross to bear. However, DC has an opportunity to walk away as the greatest Heavyweight to ever do it. His entire heavyweight legacy sits within 25 minutes on Saturday night. To be known as “One” of the best Heavyweights ever or “The” Best ever. He will have a tough hill to climb in Stipe Miocic.
This is the 3rd and final fight between these 2 great warriors. If you watch the first fight, you obviously know what happened there. Quick KO, and DC walks away the victor. However, it is the 2nd fight that we really need to concentrate on. If you really watch that fight DC was winning that fight from Pillar to post. He was getting inside, underneath and over the top. He was getting tagged but the important thing was that he was finishing the exchanges on his terms. How was he finding that success to walk Stipe down like that? SImple. DC used the outreaching of his arms not only to gauge range but also to interfere with Stipe letting his hands go. The formula worked very well even tho there were a few eye pokes in there that DC will need to get in check. Walking Stipe down, connecting with big shots, utilizing the dirty boxing perfectly and things really seemed to be going his way. Then there was a sudden turn in events. You see, fighting is about adjustments on the fly. You can’t walk into the cage with a game plan and expect it to work the entire way through. It just doesn’t work like that. You can expect certain things from the fighter you trained for and they throw a completely different look at you. You can also experience failure of translation in the cage with what actually worked in practice. Stipe made an adjustment in a very big way. I don’t know if his corner saw something or he saw something but someone saw something. Stipe came out fully committed to digging into DC’s body and dug to the body he did. Little by little, you saw DC really start to slow down and fight labored. He still carried a very good poker face, but it was apparent that the bodywork really started to take its toll and take its toll quickly. So Stipe kept peppering him on the same side over and over again. Once he saw that DC was severely compromised, he went in for his final bite. Storming back after being down 3-0 is exactly what he did. Knocking out DC in the 4th round. It was a picture-perfect performance in that round and the adjustment could not have been or worked any better than it did.
With that said, DC made no adjustments in the 4th round to avoid getting hit in the midsection. He kept moving forward as he was in the first 3 rounds, taking the same shots over and over again until Stipe realized that DC was now the one backing up. That was a clear sign that what Stipe was doing was working. He pressured on and started connecting more to the body and DC eventually had to protect that Mid Level. Once he went there, Stipe would come upstairs, unload and finish the job and the ongoing war was now 1-1. My takeaway from the last 2 fights is that DC is the better fighter, better wrestler and better boxer on the inside. However, Stipe may have found a bit of a loophole here. No one has worked DC’s body like that before and if he doesn’t have the ability to neutralize that then DC can be in for a tough tough night. This fight is not easy to call because you have both men that are fighting for something here. The Belt and for Legacy. DC has the opportunity to have a sort of piece with the shadow of Jon Jones and capture the title as the greatest Heavyweight ever which honestly curries more weight then being the best Light Heavyweight champ of all time. However, if he loses then once again DC will have to accept his position in yet another division as 2nd best. Here is the thing people, Winners find ways to win. DC has found ways to win his entire life. The one roadblock that stood in his way just so happens to be arguably the best of all time. (not in my eyes, but to many). However, I can’t see DC going out into the sunset with another roadblock on his back, walking away with an L, and sealing his career like that. I am expecting the best DC that we have seen in a while. This is not a money fight for DC. He has a career when all this is said and done and he will be just fine money-wise. This is literally a personal conquest to go out on top and shed some of the weight of the demons he carries with Jon Jones by easing the sting capturing the title as the Goat in the most respected division in combat sports. Stipe won’t make it easy and he sure as hell doesn’t want to be the name that DC solidifies this with, so he will be just as motivated to keep and end this chapter in his career. DC was never embraced like he should have been in his career. DC never truly got the accolades that he deserved and could never figure out why. How anyone can not like this man is beyond my comprehension. He’s never been in trouble, he is well-spoken, good for the sport and a good role model. He embodies everything a champion should be and is a perfect poster board for what a champion truly is and should be. It makes no sense that people don’t like him. However, I think DC walks away into the sunset as the greatest heavyweight to ever step foot into the Octagon and leaves the sport as the rightful owner of the belt. Let’s get it, big man.
The Pick: DC
Sean O’Malley DK $9200 / FD $21 vs. Marlon Vera DK $7000 / FD $10
I really was torn here for a while on this one because I know the upside of Sugar and I know how bad the UFC wants this kid to be a star. He has personality, a great character and loads of talent and potential. There is no doubt win or lose that O’Malley is groomed to do some big things. His long frame coupled with his extremely unorthodox striking and ability to create angles everywhere are ahead of its time. He really understands the chess match of striking. He fights very well going forward, backward and laterally. His feints and his ability to make you bite on them are extremely high level. However, there are things about his game that are still in question. The level of competition he has faced is questionable as well. If you really look at the landscape of his resume in the UFC, they have been predominantly strikers. Picture perfect matchups for the young prospect and cheers to the UFC for doing that because the kid is undefeated and they should walk him the levels. Especially if they think they have a superstar in the making. However, that doesn’t take away from the fact that we have never seen him in any major adversity. We also have never really seen him on the ground with a true vet that still has legs with a creative ability on the ground that will throw problems at him that he would need to solve on the fly. Marlon Vera is a perfect measuring stick for Sugar and his show. I look at Marlon Vera as Sergio Martinez was to boxing. I highly skilled fighter that was grossly under-appreciated by many but you would be very very wary to bet against him against anyone. Vera has been on a tear as of late and in his last fight where he was jobbed by the judges against another highly touted fighter in Yadong, Vera should be running a 6 fight win streak right now with wins over Buren, Cannetti, Saenz, Hernandez and Ewell. However, he did beat Yadong in my eyes and many others.
The issue with Vera his entire career is that he beat everyone that he is supposed to beat and once he fights someone in the upper tier, he tends to lose that fight. With that said, in his entire career, he has never been finished, so he went yard with everyone he has ever fought. Even tho Sugar lives and dies with his striking and fighting long, Vera is one of the Longer fighters that Sugar has fought but even in that wheelhouse, O’Malley is going to win that exchange all day. However, that doesn’t tell the tale for me here. It’s the way you approach O’Malley is going to be the ultimate test. You can’t let him get his way in the cage. You need to bully O’Malley. You need to give him a certain amount of respect and then you need to throw it out the window. Vera is the guy who is not going to give him respect. Vera is of the mindset that he is the veteran and O’Malley needs to respect him. Vera has one element that I need to see him go to and that will tell a huge tale of this fight and where O’Malley is as a fighter. He needs to completely commit to getting this to the ground and test O’Malley there. So how does he accomplish this? He needs to use his striking as a means, not to an end, but a means to clear range and put O’Malley into spots that are very uncomfortable. Against the cage, change levels and make him very very tentative to just let his hands go. If you put him on his ass and threaten with a few transitions, you may catch him, but if you don’t it will make him think twice about being so loose on the feet and he will become a little less trigger happy. Especially if he goes down a round. Vera has the chops on the ground and will hold the advantage there. He needs to commit to getting it there at all costs, and I think once again this is a Sergio Martinez effect, which is highly insulting to Vera being such a big dog in this spot. Without a doubt, he should be the underdog in this spot, but not a chance in hell should it be this wide. I am rolling with Vera to deliver O’Malley his first loss here.
The Pick: Vera
Jairzinho Rozenstruik DK $8400 / FD $17 vs. Junior Dos Santos DK $7800 / FD $15
A few years back this fight would be a complete no brainer for me. Dos Santos would literally use his speed, movement and striking ability to pepper Rozenstruik on the outside while back peddling and using his angles and accuracy to put on a clinic. However, that was then and this is now. Dos Santos is older now, and he has been in his fair share of wars, but unlike most divisions, the heavyweight division is one division that you can hang around longer. The speed and conditioning aren’t as big of a concern as some of these other divisions. With a 21-7 record, Dos Santos has 15 by way of KO and in his losses he has been KO’d 5 times. Dos Santos was making a bit of a surge with a 3 fight win streak against Ivanov (dec), Tuivasa (TKO) and Lewis (TKO) before hitting a wall and being TKO’d in his last 2 fights by the hands of Ngannou and Curtis Blaydes. Dos Santos enters this fight looking to avoid a 3 fight skid, but he will have to get by well-established kickboxing and power striker “Biggy Boi.” With a 76-8 record in kickboxing, Biggy Boi has 64 of his wins by way of KO and in his 8 losses he was only stopped 2 times, so the striking pedigree is there. However, this is MMA where there is much more involvement, and even though Dos Santos is much more of a striker, he is the much more well-rounded fighter. With a 10-1 MMA record, Rozen has 9 of them by way of KO and in his one loss to Francis, it was obviously by way of KO. Rozenstruik has a very calculated approach but he is much more stationary then Dos Santos and will most likely need to walk him down without getting caught in which Dos Santos fights very well going backward. However, if Rozenstruik is fighting off the back foot it will be a very different story. He needs to either be in the pocket or the one controlling which direction the fight is going. I am not a huge fan of Rozenstruik but I think he has enough to land enough big shots on Dos Santos to either win the decision in the eyes of the judges or maybe catch him with something clean.
The Pick: Rozenstruik
Herbert Burns DK $8900 / FD $19 vs. Daniel Pineda DK $7300 / FD $12
Many probably never heard of Pineda, and that may be why he is such an overlooked fighter in this spot. Pineda has been around for quite some time, and he is not debuting here as some may think. He actually had a stint here in the UFC back in 2012 but his record overall before getting released was 3-5. He then became a bit of a journeyman from organization to organization and finally ending up in the PFL where he did quite well and was supposed to go to the finals after submitting Jeremy Kennedy in the very 1st round. However, when he tested positive for elevated testosterone levels the fights in the PFL were overturned. Now almost a year later the UFC is giving him another crack at it. The Black Belt in BJJ has an extremely impressive ratio in the grappling department. With an overall 28-13 record, Pineda has finished 18 of them by way of submission. In his 13 losses, he has been submitted 6 times and KO’d one time. So his grappling pedigree is far and beyond his best weapon in his tool bag even tho it has been the biggest curse in his losses. He takes on Herbert Burns and that is probably not the matchup that he wanted to draw here. You see, all black belts are not created equal and I say this over and over again. Is Pineda a very good grappler? Indeed he is. However, Herbert Burns is a much better grappler and that really doesn’t bode well in a matchup that will most likely end up there at some point. Burns comes to us with an 11-2 record in this matchup and has 8 of his wins by Submission. In his 2 losses, the brother of Gilbert has never been finished. I do agree that this fight should be much closer than the people are seeing it but at the end of the day, Burns is really set to win this fight. I noticed that Pineda is not one to really be heavy wrestling based which means he is not the one that is usually securing takedowns and working from top control to gain access to where he wants to go. Many of his attacks are off mistakes where that is fine but how many mistakes will Herbert actually make on the ground. Not many. I see Herbert the one initiating the takedowns, securing them, and working from there.
The Pick: Herbert Burns
Merab Dvalishvili DK $8700 / FD $18 vs. John Dodson DK $7500 / FD $14
When you look at Jon Dodson, you see a guy that is always scraping the top but never could grab the top and pull himself up. Super durable, extremely fast hands and a counter-punching wizard when he is on his game. His takedown defense is also something that has been a major asset in his tool belt. With a record of 21-11 – 10 wins by way of KO and never having been finished – Dodson has been grossly underappreciated by the UFC and its fan base. At 35 years of age, the speed will eventually start to slow and the reaction times will start to also rear its head, but he still possesses the speed needed to edge most of the division when it’s needed. After dropping 2 decision losses to Rivera and Yan he bounced back with a TKO win over highly touted prospect Nathanial Wood looking as sharp as ever. He will need the speed, the reaction time and the takedown defense to fend off the extremely high-pressure takedown in Dvalishvili. After a shaky start in the UFC Merab has bounced back win 4 straight and has completely exposed people’s conditioning and ground games in the process. Merab has secured 35 takedowns in his last 4 fights and now understands where his ace in his pocket sits. With a 15-4 overall record, Merab is really catching stride now, but don’t expect him to be a finishing machine because 8 of his 15 are by way of decision. His last win inside the distance was in 2017 in Ring of Combat. This is a major test for Merab despite what people may think. Dodson is not going to just get ragdolled to the ground as people think and on the feet, Merab isn’t going to get a clear look at his hips. He is going to really have to work to get a bead on Dodsons hips. If he can’t do that and is forced to stand with Dodson then I can see him getting desperate and overextending with his punches allowing Dodson to really start getting the counter game going. However, I think Merab really understands where this fight is won and lost and I don’t think he will give up on the hips too easily. Dodson is very hard to secure on the ground but as of late, he has been taken down. If Peter Yan can ground him 2 times then I see no reason why Merab is going to be set to fail here. Getting him there and keeping him there are separate things tho. With that said, Merab takes this down as many times as he needs to, to get enough control and win this fight.
The Pick: Merab
Jim Miller DK $8300 / FD $16 vs. Vinc Pichel DK $7900 / FD $15
This is a great fight. Both of these guys are straight up dogs. Miller is set to be in the UFC Hall of Fame and still hanging around as a super tough out for anyone and Vinc Pichel is one of the underappreciated guys in the UFC. I have a soft spot for Jim Miller considering we were in the same gym in NJ for a while and I watched him and Danny grow into very very good fighters. Jim Miller is a Black Belt under extremely well respected Jamie Cruz and has really tied that in very well with his solid wrestling game. With a record of 34-14, Jim Miller has fought not only in the cage but outside of it as well. Suffering from Lyme, It really riddled his ability to give forth full camps and the energy needed to maximize and extract everything out of it. He claims that he has figured it all out now, and that is the reason for him fighting on a regular pattern again and doing quite well. His career took a major dip when he lost 4 straight and his career seemed over at this point. Then he bounces back with a submission win over Alex White. Following that fight, he was submitted himself and it’s been an up and down ride ever since. However, winning 3 of his last 4 by submission is a telling sign where Miller is really looking to get this fight. With 18 wins via submission, Miller knows that taking damage is not the cool thing to do at this point in his career, so the sooner he can get this to the ground, the better. The problem is that Miller has not secured a takedown in 4 of his last 6 fights. So it is not like he really is a lock to get anything to the floor. With that said Vinc Pichel comes in with a higher takedown ratio with over 3 Takedowns per affair. With a record of 12-2, Pichel has 8 by way of KO. In his 2 losses, he was KO’d and submitted. Pichel didn’t have the easiest roads, but he is now making the best of it. Pichel is the more violent minded fighter where Miller is much more the strategic and calculated fighter at this point in his career. I am expecting Pichel to come out with his guns blazing looking to put hands on Miller early, but I think Miller weathers the storm and gets what he wants on the ground at some point where he should be able to have his way there. He will need to watch his conditioning and his chin if he wants a chance to get it there tho because Pichel will be hunting. Miller wins a close one.
The Pick: Jim Miller
Virna Jandiroba DK $9000 / FD $17 vs. Felice Herrig DK $7200 / FD $10
On a normal day and in a healthy world, I would pick Herrig here, but what scares me is the layoff, not the skill set. It is so hard to gauge where she will be physically coming off the ACL surgery. I know Felice and she is always in shape. She always has good conditioning and she is always ready to scrap. With that said, it’s not the conditioning that I am worried about, it’s the explosion and the agility she will have or the confidence in it. ACL’s are very tricky injuries and it really all depends on the healing and PT involved. At 35 years of age, she isn’t healing up like she used to, and being lighter also helps with being less weight-bearing then heavier people. However, the speed and explosion may be a hair off and that can make a huge difference in reaction time. Herrig also had some complications with her knee after the injury which is also a concern. Herrig is a very talented fighter but when you have an injury like that, you really need to be in a very good mental headspace as a fighter. I have been there. I shattered my Talus bone, which required emergency trauma surgery, and I was constricted to a wheelchair and crutches for just shy of 6 months. It’s not an easy thing when you are an athlete and you really need to be headstrong. Felice gets very very emotional when talking about her injury and she voiced numerous times that she felt like she lost her identity being laid up like that. Terrible place to be and you have to wonder how mentally confident she really feels coming into this one. Crazy, because if there weren’t so many question marks around her knee, I would be picking her here. With that said, too many question marks loom but this line is far out of whack. This fight is going to be a good one.
The Pick: Jandiroba
Danny Chavez DK $7400 / FD $13 vs. TJ Brown DK $8800 / FD $17
Brown was looking like a good prospect until he lost to Jordan Griffin and then that just put a major gash in the tire for me. Not that Griffin is terrible, but he is not very good and not only did he lose but he was put to sleep. TJ Brown comes in with a 14-7 record, with 4 KOs and 9 Submissions. A very very high finishing rate which we always do like. In his 7 losses, he has been finished evenly with 3 subs and 3 KOs. Brown is a very hard pressure fighter that does tend to make mistakes when he is pushing into the pocket. He doesn’t really set things up on the feet well. He tends to just rush in and grab what he can get. When he does hit the ground, he will really soften you up with strikes until he can open up one of his favorite go-to submissions, which is the arm triangle in which he has 6 out of 9 Subs in that fashion. The one thing that does concern me a bit is how he leaves his chin on the shelf and also he leans pretty heavy on that front leg which brings me to my next issue that Chavez can bring to the table. Chavez is not the prolific finisher that Brown is but he does things in a very very scripted manner. He is very calculated and really uses his overall striking prowess to score including very well-timed kicks. With a record of 10-3, only 3 of those fights did not reach the final horn and all 3 were by way of KO. In his 3 losses, he was submitted 1 time. The debuting fighter hasn’t really shown me enough to pick here. He does some well-timed things but he just doesn’t have the pop or the volume that really threatens me in any way. Tough to pick him here.
The Pick: TJ Brown
Ashley Yoder DK $7600 / FD $11 vs. Livinha Souza DK $8600 / FD $15
When you look at competition faced, Yoder holds the candle for sure, but if you also look at that competition they all beat her. With a record of 7-5, Yoder lost 4 of the last 6 and has beaten everyone that she should beat. Then when she fights someone to take her to the next rung, she loses. Not a good look because it makes you wonder if her ceiling has been capped. The 4 recent losses are Markos, Dern, Hill, and Kish. She tends to be in very close fights and in those 6 fights 3 of them were split decisions. 2 she lost and 1 she won. In her 7 wins, she has 4 of them by submission, and in her 5 losses, she has never been finished. Yoder is an opportunistic grappler. If the submission comes to her then she will take it but if it’s not there, she will hang on long enough to make it a very close fight. She tends to fight up or down to her competition unless something falls in her lap. I like Yoder, I am not bashing her at all because she is a tough out for many people. I am just stating flaws that I have seen in her game. She will need to correct a few of these things if she wants to get by Souza. Souza brings pressure and she is going to make you fight her. Yoder needs to be ready for that and she will need to level up here.
Souza is a finisher and she will be looking to do so against yoder here. With a record of 13-2, Souza has a very aggressive submission game. She looks to advance at all times and you need to appreciate that. With 8 of her 13 wins coming by way of submission there is no denying that her skills are clear cut ground heavy. I think Yoder keeps up early but eventually Souza will just start to apply too much pressure and be a little too aggressive for yoder. She is going to drag it out of Yoder to a point but I dont think Yoder has the ability to keep up with Souza on the ground if it turns into a scrambling game.
The Pick: Souza
Chris Daukaus DK $7700 / FD $14 vs. Parker Porter DK $8500 / FD $17
This is really low-level MMA guys. I am holding no confidence at all in this fight. I am transparent with you and I am not going to sit here and lie and tell you that I watched all this film on these 2 guys and I found all these nuggets. That would be a lie. What I did do is watch enough film to see how bad these guys really are, and sometimes when they are that bad, it really is just a barroom brawl at that point and may the best man in that moment win. That is pretty much what this is. Parker has good pop but he is very reckless and can be had on the chin as the fight ventures on. Don’t get Daukaus confused with his brother who just fought Brendan Allen. This is the older brother and although he is also a decent grappler, he really isn’t his brother. This guy is sloppy and he doesn’t do much well outside of his grappling. However, he does do that better than anything Parker Porter does. I am expecting a very sloppy low-level fight here that I am not very interested in watching and I can’t understand why it’s even on the card but I will lean on Daukaus lightly here with no confidence.
The Pick: Daukaus
Kai Kamaka DK $8900 / FD $18 vs. Tony Kelley DK $7300 / FD $12
I’ll keep this one short since it was just added. Kamaka comes to us with a very disciplined Striking background. He really is a points fighter and it shows in his style and his record. With a 7-2 record, he has 6 decisions and 1 submission. He will look to stalk you slowly and really pick and choose his spots in the process. He is not one to really engage in a firefight. He will back up and reset before he gets into fiery exchanges and that can be an issue against someone like Kelley who enjoys a good fight in the pocket. Kelly was on a 3-year layoff before coming back in 2019, but the guy’s style isn’t about timing. It’s not about being reckless either but it is somewhere in the middle. He is going to be the one bringing the fight to Kamaka, but I think Kamaka is crisp enough to keep him at bay with his range striking. However, I have no real feel here.
The Pick: Kamaka
UFC 252 DFS
Cormier – DK $8000 / FD $19
It’s DC at $8k? You mean the guy that beat Stipe in the 1st fight. The Guy who was up 3-0 in the 2nd fight before the crumble? Arguably, the greatest heavyweight of all time if he wins this fight and walks away into the sunset with an amazing legacy? Yeah, that guy. I’m in…
Stipe – DK $8200 / FD $20
Stipe found a recipe to beat DC and it worked like a charm even being down 0-3 in the 2nd fight. However, I am using Stipe as a hedge play. I will have more of DC here, but if you fade Stipe you are just a fool.
O’Malley – DK $9200 / FD $21
People are going to be all in on O’Malley here. I am urging you not to. The kid is super talented with superstar upside, but he is in for a fight and quite honestly we are going to learn a lot about O’Malley here. This could turn into a dog fight and I am going to be underexposed here.
Vera – DK $7000 / FD $10
Vera has never been finished. A creative grappler with a Black Belt in BJJ and all the experience needed to throw at O’Malley to see if he is ready to face a guy that can do a little bit of everything. He is grossly underrated in his career and in this fight. I will have some of Vera. Don’t sleep on this kid.
Rozenstruik – DK $8400 / FD $17
$8400 with upside for a KO. I’m interested.
Dos Santos – DK $7800 / FD $15
Dos Santos is going to be retreating in a lot of this fight and I am curious if he will go to the grappling well which I doubt. Sub $8k, he is worth a swing because I think both men have the ability to finish the other, but I like Rozenstruik’s upside a little more.
H. Burns – DK $8900 / FD $19
This is not Gilbert, but his grappling is super high level and he is facing a kid with a high grappling pedigree. Just not as high as his. The submission upside is there.
Pineda – DK $7300 / FD $12
I wouldn’t be completely blown away if this kid pulled this off. He has a ton of experience but I don’t see it happening. However, it’s plays like this that can break the slate if you have 1 or 2 and he wins.
Dvalishvili – DK $8700 / FD $18
I am expecting him to win this fight, but I am not sure he will have the numbers on the takedowns that he usually does against Dodson. However, he isn’t going to take the foot off the gas just because he fails a few times. I’m interested to a point here because I also don’t see him finishing Dodson. However, there is still value here.
Dodson – DK $7500 / FD $14
Superfast hands and has a very detailed counter game. Dodson made his career on speed and crisp countering. He can make this super interesting if he can keep this upright. I see Merab on his hips a lot here as he does with everyone, but if he can shuck him off and open up a bit, things can get dangerous. Small dose.
Miller – DK $8300 / FD $16
Miller’s upside for a first or early second-round submission is always there. However, as it goes down the stretch is where things can start unraveling for him against a dog like Pichel.
Pichel – DK $7900 / FD $15
Pichel is going to really have to mind his business early with Miller, but if he can get past the halfway point of the fight without getting caught, he can start running away with this one. I wouldn’t fade either guy here.
Jandiroba – DK $9000 / FD $17
Fade. Even given Herrig’s knee issues, she is going to fight and isn’t going to be an easy out.
Herrig – DK $7200 / FD $10
She is worth a small look here. Just for the mere fact that you have no idea how that knee is and if it is good to go and she has her bounce and explosion off the knee then she is plenty good enough to win. But if it doesn’t look right then you won’t harm yourself too bad if you go small.
Chavez – DK $7400 / FD $13
Meh. Fade for me here.
Brown – DK $8800 / FD $17
I’m not really interested in this fight as a whole. Maybe in large field GPP in the hopes that he can grab a sub or something, but GPP only.
Yoder – DK $7600 / FD $11
I like Yoder, but she has a tendency of fighting up and down to the competition. That is not something you want to see against someone like Souza, who brings heat early and looks to finish her work early. You need to get in front of fighters like Souza and stop them from catching their steam, not keep up with them. Not crazy about her spot here.
Souza – DK $8600 / FD $15
The price is not terrible. But she will most likely need to grab a limb before the end of the fight to really make value tight. But I don’t hate it because there is upside for it.
Daukaus – DK $7700 / FD $14
Porter – DK $8500 / FD $17
This is super low-level MMA here guys. I mean someone can finish the other here and picking this fight is really guessing. So if you DO PLAY THIS FIGHT….. FUCKING HEDGE!
Kamaka – DK $8900 / FD $18
Kelley – DK $7300 / FD $12
No Interest here.
UFC 252 VEGAS
1.45 to Win 1
Yoder fights to her level of competition but you need to get in front of Souza. You can’t try and keep up with her cause she can lose you and I dont know if Yoder is going to be able to get in front of her early.
Vera/Sugar Over 2.5 -115
1.15 to win 1
Vera has never been finished. I think he brings enough to the table to keep that rolling here. Sugar will be making a HUGE statement if he can be the first fighter to finish him. I’ll take the odds that he doesnt finish him here.
1.05 to win 1
Whether he retires or not he won every round in their last 2 fights except for that 4th round that he was finished. He weighed in at 236 which his lightest to date for quite sometime. I think he is ready.
1.20 to win 1
JDS is one of the cleanest Strikers in the UFC with his movement and the way he utilizes his spots. However, Rozenstruik is no stranger to the game on the feet and has also been in much less wars. I don’t mind this price here.
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