MadLab’s UFC 241 Breakdown and Predictions!!! Here is what Twitter is saying…
UFC 241 MAIN CARD
Daniel Cormier $8500 vs. Stipe Miocic $7700 TITLE FIGHT
The rematch is here and even if DC were to win again, I can promise you that the fight will play out with a little more drama than it did in their first meeting. I want to give you a little backstory about what makes DC so special and what really put him on my radar. Those of you that haven’t been following MMA for a very long time probably would not know that DC was considered in “Alternate” in the StrikeForce Heavyweight GrandPrix tournament back in 2011 where he was called upon with 5 weeks notice to compete against a field that he was grossly under sized and inexperienced against. He ended up beating Jeff Monson in a reserve match, Antonio Silva and then Josh Barnett to become the tournament winner. He used heavy horsepower and wrestling to just out work the field and it was then that I really knew we had someone special on our hands. Since then DC has transcended his career much further than fighting. He has taken advantage of every opportunity that has crossed his path and I truly believe his clear head and his extremely clean life outside of the cage has a lot to do with that. He has carried all the markings that champions should without skipping a beat. It wasn’t too long ago that DC was being booed when he made his walk, but after a certain period of time, longevity and consistency changes what happens in the universe. At 40 years of age it is quite apparent that his genetic code is not formulated like a Yoel Romero but his extremely high pedigree wrestling, his clean lifestyle, and his thirst to win has carried him here to prove his greatness once more. While all this was taking place there was a man hiding in the shade that hailed from Cleveland Ohio that was making silent waves of his own. Stipe Miocic was slowly doing something; cleaning out the Heavyweight division one by one. Stipe would make his mark when he won the strap by KOing Werdum in a match that people thought he would be clearly out matched. It didn’t end there. Stipe would win his next 5 straight including beating the big bad wolf in Francis Ngannou in a fight that was not even close. It seemed after that fight Stipe was on his was to do something very special to his legacy and in the heavyweight history books. Then on july 7, 2018 his reign at heavyweight would come to a dead stop when Daniel Cormier ignited Stipes chin like a stick of dynamite. Stipe would give up his belt making DC the 2 division champion. As time went on Stipe screamed from mountain tops for a rematch. A rematch that he rightfully did deserve, but for whatever reason, the UFC and Cormier really showed no interest in it which I found to be quite odd. With that said, like everything else in life, time can be your greatest asset and your greatest demise, but either way time wins. It was just a matter of time for Stipe, but he was chomping at the bit and his patience just started to run very thin. The loss resonated with him, it stung him and it haunted him every time he had to see DC with the belt or it was brought up in any one of his interviews. However, here we are and Stipe will get his one and only shot at redemption. There are a few factors that do concern me on both ends here and before I get into the points of the fight for both mens’ success, I would like to give you a few nuggets that are a bit concerning on both ends. On DC’s end, he seems to be enjoying his life now as he should, but you wonder if the good life has grabbed a hold of him a bit. The vacations, the finer things and foods in life that no longer hinder him in the light heavyweight platform. It is very easy to sit back a bit when you know that you are coming to the end of your career and you really have nothing left to prove. Lets face it, he beat Stipe already. This isn’t a fight against Bones that would mean much more than money to him. Can he lose his belt and somewhat tarnish his legacy if he loses the strap? Sure, but the harm is much greater to Stipe than it is to DC. So the motivation is there I am sure but when you get older, it doesn’t get any easier and even though the brain knows exactly what spot to be in, sometimes the body says, “I know where you want me to go, but I will get there when I get there”. So in turn, you need to really alter your training. You need to focus on sparking your muscle fibers to really react quickly and your body also needs more downtime to recover. So these are all real factors that will always be a concern against an aging fighter like DC. As far as Stipe, sometimes you can really want something so bad that you can be hesitant to really pull the trigger. You try to be too perfect. You try not to make that dreadful mistake again and you think a little too much. Its a chess match and you need to think on your feet, but you need to think quick and if you are tentative, gun shy, or try to be too perfect it can often hinder your performance in a negative manor. There is something to be said about having nerves, but being fluid and letting your hands go smoothly is extremely important. It is part thinking, part instinct, and part trust. Trust in yourself that your body is going to fire in all the right spots. This is a do or die situation for Stipe here and how he handles it is yet to be determined. So what does Stipe need to do to win this fight? He needs to use his length. He doesn’t want to tie up with DC. As good of a wrestler as he is, he isn’t going to out wrestle DC. He will also need to be very coherent if he does lock up with DC because one thing that DC does very well is fight aggressive from underneath. He is the shorter fighter and in the clinch he can catch your chin with full extension when throwing his uppercuts. It also allows him to have solid reads on your hips if it’s there. Stipe is really going to want to make DC hunt him down. Make him reach and don’t allow DC to get what he wants which is a phone both fight. Use footwork, create angles and make DC shoot from distance. Make him work and make him work hard. Create what I like to call “A Confused GPS system”. Keep him guessing with good in and out movement. Engage and disengage when the time is right and never let him feel like he is dictating the pace of the fight or the real estate in the cage. For DC, he just needs to do what he does. Come in low, look to get underneath and really find a home for that uppercut again. Dirty box and keep Stipe guessing when the level change is going to come. He should look to cut corners as Stipe looks to create angles. Trap him and just make him fight out of situations. The game plan really isn’t going to change much from the last fight for either man. If DC outworked him then yes, major adjustments will be made, but Stipe has success until he got caught. This time around he should be much more aware and prepared for DC coming underneath. I see this fight playing out very similar to the last fight before the stoppage. Both men having success in spots, but in the end I think it is very hard to deny DC after all the adversity he has overcome in his career. Outside of Jon Jones he has cemented every ones fate that stepped in the cage with him and although Stipe is no ordinary fighter and no ordinary man, he isn’t Jon Jones and why should that change with this possibly being DC’s last fight of his career. The story would just not be well written if it ended any other way except him winning this fight. I have to go DC to get it done again.
The Pick: DC
Nate Diaz $7900 vs. Anthony Pettis $8300
This fight has trap written all over it but I can’t let that get the best of the years of knowledge that I have acquired in combat sports to sway me, but tell me this fight doesn’t have a weird smell to it all away around. I think Nate is a very very good fighter but I think he is a little over valued after the Mcgregor fight. What people fail to realize is that Conor’s star was much bigger than his fighting abilities. Is he a great showman? Yes. Is his stand up as sharp as razor blades? Yes. However, his ground game is absolutely not on the level of a high pedigree wrestler or grappler. It clearly showed against Nate and Khabib. He has a clear hole in his game that up to that point was never exposed. Some fights are just so well matched that it is hard not to be a great fight and I think Nate and Conor are just twin puzzle pieces that fit so well and created a recipe for a great fight. However, you can say that for many fights in history in all combat sports. For example, Ward vs Gatti. Two men that were very good but they were not elite fighters by many standards. However, when both of their styles would mesh, they would give us one of the best trilogies in boxing history. Some fighters just have each others number and it doesn’t make them elite, it just means they just have the recipe to beat the other and vice versa. Diaz comes in on a three year layoff and for some fighters you would really want to stay away from a situation like this, but the Diaz brothers are a little different. These guys are always active and the conditioning that they go through as a hobby will always keep their cardio at peak and elite levels. Nate is also a true fighter to his core which means its not a job for him, it is in his DNA. It’s who he really is as a person. So from a conditioning standpoint I have zero concerns. However, my concerns with him on a three year layoff is more of a timing issue. A rust issue if you will. I know he has been active in the gym and with his training but the difference in gym action to live action is far different. With that said Pettis has a few unturned stones of his own that people may be over looking a bit. Pettis has been a rotating door of wins and loses. It seems whenever he takes one step forward, he will take a step back. In his last fight against WonderBoy, he was losing clearly, but was able to dig deep and land a superman punch off the cage that would KO WonderBoY for the first time in his career. With that said, was he truly winning the fight? No. However, credit to him for finding his opening and capitalizing. That is what Pettis is good at. He is very athletic and unhinged in his approach and if someone is going to find a spot like that, it will be him. Pettis seems to have a new chip on his shoulder and I like it, but he is facing a kid with an even bigger chip on his shoulder that will be happy to meet in the middle and see who’s chip falls off first. Looking at this fight from a matchup perspective it seems to be very well matched, but Nate holds some of the more important aspects that make me lean on him a little more here. There is no doubt the better and more dynamic fighter is Pettis. The ability to slip, move, and be extremely tricky on the ground are all things that make Pettis who he is. Creating angles and situations that will really make Diaz work are all things that Pettis has the ability to do, but the biggest concern for me outside of Diaz getting a slow start due to rust is his lack of checking kicks. Pettis is going to be looking to really chip away at Diaz’s lead leg and if he succeeds then that can be a major breaking point in this fight. Diaz is an extremely high level black belt in BJJ, but he has a very extensive boxing background which makes you stand a little more settled on that lead leg. For someone with Pettis’s pedigree and background, that can be a focus in this fight for him. So we will need to see how Pettis plans on firing those low kicks and if he plans on doing it early. Diaz is usually a very slow starter and as the fight goes on he starts to catch his stride. Especially in striking. Sometimes he needs to be wounded before he really starts pouring it on, but when he does the patterns are very readable but also very hard to stop. He will throw the same 1-2 in many instances that will land like clockwork and although they may not be powerful, the volume is what tends to get to you. It is the accumulation of punches that starts to take effect and once he catches his stride, he pours it on so fluently and smoothly. Even though Pettis does have a very underrated ground game, Diaz is just that much better there so I am expecting Pettis to want to keep this largely on the feet. In the grand scheme of it all this is an amazing matchup and if both men are in peak form that night, we can be looking at a fight to remember. This fight is going to be largely told by the end of the 1st round. I am not expecting Nate to come out firing from all angles but if he isn’t making reads and at least answering back, it could be an issue going further into the fight. I am fully expecting Pettis to be the more active fighter out of the gate but I think there will be an exchange in the opening round that will leave Nate walking back to his corner understanding that he started to change the complexion of the fight in his favor. In the 2nd round I am expecting Nate to start opening up and cutting Pettis. Pettis cuts very easily and sometimes that is all thats needed for Diaz to hunt. I believe once he opens Pettis up, the hunt will be on and Diaz starts to get the openings and spots that he is searching for. It will be a back and forth battle and a fight that may even end up a split decision in the end, but when the smoke clears I think Nate sets himself up for another big spot and a possible trilogy fight with Conor.
The Pick: Nate Diaz
Yoel Romero $8600 vs. Paulo Costa $7600
Talk about a fight that I don’t see going yard. If you are looking for two huge middleweights that have hands of lead, then look no further because this is the spot you want to be. Yoel Romero is not your normal 40 year old man. I would dare to say that I have never seen someone in his age bracket with the genetic code that he has. Not only from a physical appearance perspective but from a sheer athletic performance perspective. It is so hard as you get older to not have injuries, constant pain, and just slow down heavily. With that said Yoel just never loses his explosion and power, but at some point in time even Yoel can’t beat father time. Eventually it is all going to come to an end and father time is going to say, “Its been fun Yoel, we gave you more rope than everyone else and now its time to close the door”. It is going to happen, but when? That is the big question. If you look at him in this training camp, it sure as hell doesn’t look like that is going to happen anytime soon, but the shell isn’t the story in fighting. Especially when you are fighting a young hungry lion in Costa. At 12-0 Costa has put out the flames of 11 of them by way of KO. However, they were not fighters in the league of Yoel. Guys like a washed up Hendricks, a very chinny Hall, a horrible McClellan, and a very unorthodox fighter in Bamgbose. The talent pool hasn’t been there for Costa, but here is, his time to really prove his worth and show the world that he has truly arrived. Costa is without a doubt a very good face for the UFC especially for Brazil. He has a young Vitor Belfort marketing edge to him that can really sell. He has blistering power and if he hits the button there is a very small chance you are recovering from it. We haven’t seen too much of him on the ground and we saw him face small forms of adversity against Hall but nothing that really stood out as noteable. Costa is all power all the time and he looks to “Erase” you with every punch and kick. The issue that concerns me with him is that in his 12 fights he has never been out of the 2nd round and he did show some exhaustion in some of his fights that early. So you wonder how he handles a guy like Yoel that works of short and explosive movements. Movements where you need to be defensively sharp to get your hands up and react. When you are tired, its very hard to react as quick as your brain is telling you. The lactic acid build up forces you to drop your arms and recover. That will not sit well with Romero. He will see that and plunge forward and when he does you need to be ready. If your not, the night can end really quick. Also, you wonder if Yoel is going to test his wrestling. Lay on him and make him carry his weight for a round to really gas Costa out, helping debilitate the pop and power of Costa going forward. Don’t get it twisted, Yoel has some gas tank issues as well but he has also been five rounds two times in his career and three rounds eight times in his career. It seems like the 3rd round is usually his lucky number with finishes as well with six finishes coming in the 3rd round. If Costa wants to win this fight there really are two paths here. Either look to pour it on early or play very patiently and wait for those mini explosions of Yoel to capitalize on them during the aftermath. As far as Yoel, I would honestly test this kids ability to wrestle. We all know Costa has the power to finish anyone including Yoel. So I would try and take away his one weapon and go to the well to make him prove his worth outside of the striking arena. I don’t think Costa has ever really been hit by someone like Yoel. I don’t think he has ever seen awkward movements like Yoel either. I think this fight frustrates Costa a bit and its a lesson learned that there are still bigger fish in the pond right now. A lose isn’t always a bad thing, especially for growth of a young fighter such as him. It can be humbling. Its easy to win and be undefeated, but losing and getting better and more refined to win again is what champions are really made of. I don’t think its Costa’s time just yet. I think the old man teaches him a lesson here.
The Pick: Yoel
Gabriel Benitez $6900 vs. Sodiq Yusuff $9300
This fight is going to be interesting in a sense where both men are strikers, but Yusoff is more upstairs with his hands and Benetiz is extremely well versed in the kicking game with a nice tie in of submissions. So if more of an adjustment needs to be made it will have to be on Yusoffs end. Yusoff is a young up and comer with good hands, above average power and a very good understanding of stand up engagement. At 9-1 he has five by the way of KO and has been finished one time by the same formula. I would say that Yusoff is still very raw but a very good athlete that at least understands the nuts and bolts of proper composing in the craft of his choice. He showed some serious durability against Mike Davis and then again against Sergio Moraes. Yusoff has the potential to cause some waves under the watchful eye of Lloyd Irvin. He will have a riddle to solve in the kicking game of Benetiz who kicks like thunder and they come out of the barrel like lightning. If you allow him to get his leg going, it is going to be very painful aftermath for you win or lose. With a 21-6 Record, you would think that he would be much more of a finishing specialist on the feet but that is not the case. His well rounded ability has given him ten wins by way of submission and seven by way of KO. He has a nice bag of submissions but has a very solid Guillotine Choke that he will go to if you give him the opportunity. In his six losses, he was KO’d one time and submitted two times. I without a doubt do not agree with this price, but I do think Yusoff wins this fight. I think after a while the punches and power will start to wear on Gabe like they did on Mike Davis and Moraes. It seems Yusoffs power doesn’t downgrade as the fight goes on which is a good sign for him and a bad sign for fighters that tend to drop off the shelf a bit. Super Sadiq will need to check kicks and keep this in a comfortable range for himself, but at the same time he will need to hunt Gabe putting him on his back foot. If he does this, then the more powerful shots will come out of his fox hole in which will give him the edge in the judges eyes if he doesn’t get the finish first.
The Pick: Yusuff
Derek Brunson $7400 vs. Ian Heinisch $8800
This is a fight that I really flip flopped on a few times. Brunson is without a doubt a talented fighter but it seems that he just can’t seem to find his footing as of yet. With a 19-7 record he takes two steps back when he takes and one step forward. With an extremely well versed wrestling background it seems Brunson likes to shut the lights off with eleven of his wins by way of KO. However, along with an impressive KO ratio comes a very unimpressive KO ratio in his loses. In seven loses he has been KO’d in five of them. Part of it is because he really doesn’t have the greatest chin but also apart of it is due to the fact that he doesn’t make the smartest decisions in his exchanges. Brunson is really a hard fighter to lay a bead on because for all his abilities, he some times negates it with bad choices. However, if he can tie it all together and make it all work in concert than he can be something more dangerous than he already is. He takes on extremely tough and consitant fighter in Ian Heinisch. He comes from a very troubled past that even landed him a stint in the notorious Rikers Island. This is a no nonsense fighter that has seen much in his life in a cage with another man locked in it and is not something that I would say makes him nervous. He has seen much worse. A very good pressure fighter with a 13-1 record, Heinisch puts on a steady pace and dose of wrestling coupled with striking. He is much more of a guy that is going to just beat you with pace and pressure opposed to looking for the KO or the Submission. With seven of his thirteen wins coming by way of decision, four by KO and two by submission, there is no doubt he has the ability to finish the fight where it goes. With that said, he will really try to make you keep up with his pace and see if he can beat you in the cross country end of things rather than the sprint. I would honestly sit here and say that Brunson is the better wrestler and holds more power in the striking department, so he has some clear paths here, but its just the decision making that drives me nuts sometimes with this guy. As much as I see many ways for Brunson to win this fight, I see Heinisch just out working him here winning a very close decision.
The Pick: Heinisch
UFC 241 UNDERCARD
Devonte Smith $9500 vs. Khama Worthy $6700
I am keeping this short…. Worthy is coming in on Super Short Notice. He is 2-1 and is not winning this fight. I will leave it there…. Smith is going to have fun in there. I would be shocked if Worthy walks away with a W here. Shocked.
The Pick: Smith
Raphael Assuncao $7500 vs. Cory Sandhagen $8700
One of the most consistent fighters in the division is Assuncao. He has a style to him that will never leave you to say wow, but it is quite effective. Extremely solid fundamentals and he truly just understands the game so very well. Extremely under appreciated, Assuncao kept his mouth shut for a very long time and would just win. At one point RA tallied seven straight wins including wins against TJ Dillashaw, Bryan Caraway and Pedro Munoz. Then he dropped the rematch to TJ, but jumped right back on the horse winning four straight including Marlon Moraes and Aljo until falling in his last fight to Moraes in the rematch. Despite all his accomplishments and the resume of who’s who that he has faced, RA has been grossly under appreciated and overlooked for whatever reason. Maybe because he isn’t flashy enough for today’s landscape, but the guy can fight. With a 26-6 record, RA has won thirteen of those fights by decision, ten by submission and only four by KO. Assuncao is the fighter that fights up or down to his opposition. He’s not concerned about the flashy finishes, he just wants to get back in the win Column. He faces up and coming prospect Corey Sandhagen in which I have had my eye on for a bit now. With an 11-1 record Sandhagen has done everything to make us believe that he not only belongs in the UFC but he is here to make some noise in the division. He represents the new breed of fighters and he represents them in fantastic fashion. 4-0 in under the UFC umbrella, he has four KOs and three submissions to his merit. A good combination of power and grappling, Sandhagen has all the raw potential and tools to be an extremely dangerous fighter to loom out for. This is a bench mark fight for him. Beating such a very tough out in Assuncao will only further his outlook by so many to being the real deal. It’s a fight he really needs to win to leap into that deep water the sharks who swim around the championship waters. A win on Saturday would leave him 5-0 under the banner along with beating one of the top guys in the division. At that point how does he get denied entrance into serious contention talks. Must win for his already bright future and a must win for RA to avoid a further skid down the ladder. Intriguing fight here but I see Sandhagen just being more of the motor in this fight and although I see RA having his spots, I see Sandhagen doing more to get the judges approval.
The Pick: Sandhagen
Christos Giagos $7200 vs. Drakkar Klose $9000
This fight is priced a little wacky to me, but I do agree with the pick. Giagos reminds me of a very hybrid more polished version of Phil Baroni. Good athlete with good wrestling and striking that may be a bit too wild for my taste but effective. With a not super impressive 17-7 record, he has seven KOs and and two subs. He, like so many grinding fighters, does his best work when he is pacing the fight and getting things his way. He isn’t a fighter that is going to have great success fighting fed how back foot or on the retreat. His cardio is questionable to me to be honest but like I said above it really all depends on what he’s getting in the fight. He takes on Klose who was groomed by The MMA Lab. Very athletic kid with good wrestling and solid striking. The thing with Klose is that there is so much room for him to grow, but concerns for me are that some fighters never really evolve and tap into that genetic recipe. I’m not certain that is the case here but I just get the vibe that he will have a called ceiling when he truly has more to give. With that said it won’t really mean too much in this fight considering Giagos is not a world beater. With a record of 11-1-1 he is doing his job and he is winning but his last seven fights went to the distance and that just feels like coasting to me. At some point in time if you want public eyes on you, you really need to step on the gas and go for it. I think this is a good fight for Klose to really test his chops against another explosive athletic guy. Klose holds the edge here on the feet and in the wrestling department, but if he decides to “coast” then this can get dangerous and even be closer then it should be. I’ll still go Klose here on him just being the better all around fighter.
The Pick: Klose
Manny Bermudez $8400 vs. Casey Kenney $7800
This fight is priced right where it should be to be honest. I know people love the “Bermudez Triangle” due to the upside of his submission abilities but this fight scares me a bit. Eventually his luck is going to run out. Not that it’s luck, but you eventually run into a buzzsaw and his price rage at 8400 really pulls you closer to gravitate to him. With a 14-0 record, he has eleven by way of submission. So it is clear that he wants you to play in the sandbox with him. The thing with Kenny is that he showed what a dog he is against Ray Borg who in his own right has some serious grappling and scrambling ability. With a 12-1 record, Kenny has two by way of KO and four by way of submission so most of his handy work is at running the pace. With that said he needs to be very safe with tangling up with Manny. I know he did very well against Borg but Manny is bigger and much more dialed into get the fight where he wants it where Borg will trade with you if you gave him a reason to. However, this is a very scary fight for Manny and I would not be surprised at all if Kenny finds a way to get this done. I just think Bermudez gets him into some positions that will make Kenny fight extremely cautious and safe from the ground which in turn will allow Bermudez to control the clock gaining the nod from the judges in those rounds. However, if Kenny can keep this standing and force Manny to trade with him then we have seen clear holes in Mannys striking that could give him fits. However, Manny just needs an opening to put you in a bad spot and if he doesn’t submit you, he can at least ride you long enough to earn rounds.
The Pick: Bermudez
Hannah Cifers $9200 vs. Jodie Esquibel $7000
A fight that I am not interested in. I can honestly see a lot of people jumping on the Cifers train here and I’m not sure why. Do I like her? Yeah she’s ‘aight, but she isn’t a fighter that should ever be looked at as a lock or a fighter that you would be willing to lay Major wood on. With a 9-1 record and five by the way of KO, but who has she really fought to be deserving of a 9200 price tag against anyone? She will take on Jodi Esquibel who holds the candle in fighting more experienced fighters. With a 6-5 record under her belt, Esquibel is on a three fight skid but does bring a pretty polished boxing game with her into the cage. In her five losses she has only been finished one time. The 33 year old knows her time is probably going to be short in the UFC but her durability and the ability to get into a fox hole with you, gives her a little more of an edge then her talent let’s off. With that said I am picking Cifers here because I think for a fight that probably goes to the final horn, I see Cifers being the one really pushing the pace looking good to the judges in the end. In a fight that may have some exciting spots but nothing that i trust or have interest in investing in but I do think Cifers gets it done.
The Pick: Cifers
Kyung Ho Kang $8900 vs. Brandon Davis $7300
I like this fight. Brandon Davis is a good striker that has no problems dancing on the feet with you. His success is really premised on how well versed you really are on the feet. What I mean by that is that Davis thrives in the art of the trade. If you stand and trade with him, he has very tight combos that he will throw and most likely catch you at a higher clip. So if you have a very good patient striking game, you can bait him to engage extremely sloppy where you then can catch him off counters. Now if you add a grappler into the mix then his hips are open at that point for a level change. He will start to over extend giving you the look you need to come underneath. With that said KHK has both options at his disposal. He will stand with Davis, in which depending on his approach can be a blessing or a curse, but if he can get this fight to the ground then I think Davis is going to have real trouble. A take down early can be huge early. It will put Davis on notice that he will search for the takedown of you expose it and in turn could cause Davis to be more composed due to the threat of defending two levels. Davis has avenues to win here but I don’t see him keeping KHK on the feet for all three here. At some point he gets controlled on the ground putting him in situations that he just is not comfortable with.
The Pick: Kyung Ho
Sabina Mazo $8000 vs. Shana Dobson $8200
Mehhhh. I’m not going to spend a ton of time on this fight here because none of these women work the meter for me. Mazo to me is the better fighter. Much more crisp striking and just seems sharper to me. She has had a tough go in her last fight against Maroz be she did show some promise. What better way to get her back on the map then give her a fellow striker in Dobson. The thing that makes Dobson dangerous is that she is very durable and she does have some pop in her punches but I wouldn’t say that she has any good fundamentals behind it. Mazo ties her punches together a little better and she is more of a fighter that will walk forward. With a 6-1 record Mazo, she has two KOs and in her sole loss it was in her last outing by way of decision. She will look to get her back off the wall against Dobson that should really beat if she wants any type of a future here in the UFC. Dobson with a very underwhelming record of 3-2 is not someone that has a long shelf life here, but if you sit back on her she will find her rhythm and start walking you down. Mazo is going to want to dictate terms right out of the gate and make Dobson fight her fight. If she does this you can expect Dobson fighting to keep Mazo off her instead of tying punches together to create offense. I have no faith in Mazo to do these things but I think she has the ability to do so. I just see her as the more solid fighter here and that’s not saying much for either of them.
The Pick: Mazo
UFC 241 DRAFTKINGS
Daniel Cormier $8500
Its DC. How can you ever count this guy out of any fight unless his name is Jon Jones. He has stood up to the test of time and given this may be his last fight of his career, I am expecting him to make the best out of it. In a five round fight where he has cardio to stretch it and put it on you in many facets. He wins, he covers. Get some exposure.
Stipe Miocic $7700
There is a lot of value here. Stipe is alot bigger and longer. He is a true heavyweight to the fullest and in the first fight he was showing very good chops in there. He got caught, and it happens, but to say that this fight is not in Stipe’s reach would be absolutely absurd. He has a very bad taste in his mouth, a chip on his shoulder, and a new found focus. Don’t fade Stipe no matter what the masses tell you.
He hasn’t fought in three years but one thing about Nate, he always stays in shape. He and Nick thrive on training in all aspects of conditioning. The conditioning isnt the concern for me. The concern is the timing and him getting too late of a start where he falls behind on the cards leaving him that 3rd round to really start opening up. With that said, when Nate wins he breaks the 100 point mark and above. In his last six wins, they all went over the 100 marker. So he is clearly in play and I do have him winning this fight, but you may have some company.
His path to victory is to get out of the gates early. His main weapon should be firing away his leg kicks. Nate is a very high level grappler but he also has a very good boxing pedigree and boxers lean very heavy on that front leg which can be chewed up. The issue here is that Pettis may be a bit undersized for the division and if Nate starts to really walk him down, then that kicking range can be nullified. I don’t see him finishing Nate if he wins. He is really going to have to win the early half of the fight because Nate will turn it up late. I will have some small shares here to cover tracks, but I see Nate having issues early and then starting to takeover slowly but surely with his pressure.
This is a little pricey here for Yoel. If you look at his overall body of work, Yoel works in spurts. He doesn’t have that constant pressure, especially early on. He does have a knack for finishing in the 3rd which can really make things dicey with points. I see him being very cautious and patient with the extremely powerful young man. He is going to let him throw heat and possibly take some steam off the punches before he really starts hunting. That would be the smart game plan. I wouldn’t hate you for a small touch here but I really am not thrilled with this price tage and there is much better value elsewhere.
There is value here because he needs to finish this early on. So if he can manage to trap and catch Yoel early, he will blow the cap off his value. However, I do give pause because it’s Yoel Romero he is facing. It easier said than done. In any event the value is there, but I wouldn’t bank to much here. This is a very dangerous fight for both men, a bit a small dose due to the KO upside is in play.
Very good and powerful kicking game. If he gets it going early he can give Yusoff something to think about when he marches in. However, I don’t like him in this spot. I think Sadiq carries too much power and will back Benetiz off once he tastes the sting of his strikes.
I don’t except him to be highly owned with some other chillier plays on the board. With that said he has the power to finish any fight inside the horn. I don’t mind getting a little different here in large field GPP, but dangerous fight so tread lightly.
Brunson $7400 / Heinisch $8800
I honestly am just fading this fight all together. I think you should probably do the same.
Is he very high priced for a new comer that hasn’t really showed us much except quick finishes? Yep. But hey that’s what this game is about right? I’ll have him in spots.
I don’t think he wins but it’s tough to fade him fully. He has beaten so many great talents in the game and putting this past him is foolish.
You know how I feel about this kid. His volume and pressure gives him good upside but fighting a very good fight pace manager like Assuncao is nerve racking. With that said I will have some here.
I do think Klose is the better fighter but Giagos does come to bring it. At 7200, it’s not the worst stab in the world but it should only be a stand and not a means to soak him up in many lineups. There is a path here but i still think he loses. With that said on a card where you need a few swings in large field GPP. He is someone who could be considered lightly.
So hit or miss here but you need to really pick and choose your spots. I think he is priced way too high here and I will be leaving this alone.
The price tag is nice but the opposition is tough. However, I don’t see Kenney avoiding grappling exchanges all together here and I think Bermudez will have opportunities to try and tie something up. I will have exposure to this fight with more weight on Bermudez.
I actually will have a few plays here. I’m picking Bermudez but this kid is no pushover and if he can take it deep, he has a shot. I don’t mind a few plays here at all.
Cifers $9200 / Esquibel $7000
Really not interested here.
Kyung Ho $8900
The price tag is a bit high but I have seen worse plays at 8900. There is better value else where. Safer value. But I’m not expecting a huge train of people on him here so I will have a small dose.
There is value here but I don’t see him winning the fight so it’s a tough spot to be in. I won’t hate you for taking a a few swings here but I will probably leave it alone outside of a few small hits for hedging reasons.
Mazo $8000 / Dobson $8200
This is a fade for me.
UFC 241 PRIZE PICKS/VEGAS BETS
We have a new game in town and it is Prize Picks! This is such an awesome add on to the MMA landscape and I am so happy to be apart of such a cool and unique game. So what prize picks offers is very black and white and it ties in DFS and Wagering all in one format! Quick, easy to navigate, and so fun to play. Here is how it works.
Prize Picks will give you a hand full of fighters with their projected DFS score after their fight. Your job is to basically pick the over/under of their projected total correctly and you win! It’s as simple as that! The kicker is that you can parlay any fighter you want up to 4 fighters. It’s that simple.
I will be adding this to my article every week as an inclusive add on to my already extensive article.
I am trying to give you guys every outlet to win money with my article giving you the best bang for your buck and the ultimate ROI. Below I will give you some of the plays I will be looking at here. I am telling you right now that you will LOVE this game. Use the below link and use promo code ELITE to get started!
MadLab’s Prize Picks!
- Kang Over 75.1
- Pettis Under 67.3
MadLab’s Vegas Bets!
2 Units to win 1.54 Units
2 Units to win 2.2 Units
2 Units to win 1.48 Units
Long Shot Parlay
1 Unit to win 3.41 Units