Duke’s UCL DFS Preview for Tuesday’s Showdown slate between Man U and Paris SG…
THESE ARE THE CHAAAAAMMMMPIIIOOOONNNNNSSSS!!
I’ll use this space to address the bullshit we saw on Sunday outside Old Trafford. I understand protest. I think peaceful protest is great and I’m happy that my country and others around the world allow protests. Where my understanding stops is when you break the law. Breaking and entering the stadium is not OK. Running rampant on the pitch and causing damage is not OK. These are my opinions and you are fine to disagree.
What I think is going on with the Glazers and Manchester United is a complete lack of understanding of modern day football. You have a bunch of small faced Brits who still think of their club as a local shop. It’s not. It’s a monster. $800 million in annual revenue.
I completely understand the frustration of fans who see owners pillaging their club for hundreds of millions of dollars. Fans rightfully feel like they have to do something. The protests outside the stadium produced stunning images and drove home that they are unhappy with the owners. It’s going to require government legislation to change this ownership. Fans will still buy jerseys. Fans will still go to games. But throwing beer bottles at police and causing injury will be what headlines the news, not your original intentions.
Football is a religion. It can cloud judgement and unfortunately many fans can’t see the forest through the trees.
Enough about my club being in shambles, let’s talk about a couple of teams owned by billionaires. Hip hip hooray for Nasser Al-Khelaifi and Sheikh Mansour!
To the desert…
OK so yeah…it’s not looking good for PSG here. Or is this overstated? Let’s talk about what PSG need to do to reverse the 2-1 loss at home and then decide if they can do it.
As a reminder, PSG lost the home leg of this tie 1-2. Marquinhos broke the deadlock early on a set piece. We should note that PSG were dangerous on set pieces throughout the game and it’s something to look for in the second leg. City controlled the match entirely after the second half when PSG changed tactics for the worse. Man City were up 2-1 before the 75th minute.
This dominance was enhanced by the ejection of Idrissa Gueye in the 77’ for a straight red card but City were not urgently pushing for the third goal like I thought they should. City will have the lead on aggregate and 2 away goals in their back pocket.
PSG can advance to the next round with the following results:
- PSG win 2-0
- PSG score 2 or more goals and win the match.
- Should the match end 2-1 with PSG leading at full time, the match would then head to extra time.
Here is my question, why is that so outlandish? Did people watch the game?
Not only were PSG ahead at the half, they were dominating. Look at that graph in the first half. Remember, Man City are a possession based team. Even in close games the graph will generally point their direction for the majority of a half or game. PSG were pressing high and winning back possession. They could have and probably should have had 3-4 goals in the first half.
These are the extended highlights from the match. For whatever reason, they didn’t show the few chances that Neymar had in the match but take special note of HOW Man City scored their two goals.
Kevin De Bruyne’s goal was a cross. Granted, when we are all taught to take a free kick from that angle we are told to play it about head height and to the back post with enough curl that if no one touches it, it will go in the side netting. That is exactly what KDB did.
The second goal was a poorly hit free kick that went through the wall and found the back of the net. Paredes basically chickened out and cost his team.
In the first half PSG were the better side. In the second half Man City were the better side. Now that we head back to the Etihad I guess it makes sense that City are the favorites to go through to the final but to be a big favorite in this game is probably over doing it.
Let’s call it like it is, PSG will be chasing this game. They are the ones that need to press the action. What I like is that we saw what that looks like in the first half and it was an advantage against City.
City present a unique problem where if you press them high they can pass through the press and end up with even numbers in the attack going to goal. Ultimately, if that happens enough times you will absolutely concede a goal or more.
Another option is to sit deep and try to stay organized while allowing them possession inside your half. With this tactic you are essentially delaying the inevitable and City poke and prod their way through your defense. At least in the first tactical setup you are in your opponent’s half when you win the ball and literally seconds away from getting a shot on goal.
With that said, I do expect a high press from PSG. They have to score and if they concede a goal, it really doesn’t matter as they still need to score two. This should lead to a very entertaining contest and one in which we need to find the goals and squeeze as many attackers as we can in our lineup.
I could be wrong, but I don’t see the goalies providing value in this scenario. I’d lean towards attackers and midfielders that attack. However, we can’t see counter attack after counter attack for 90 minutes.
My read is that PSG will have to sit at times to potentially allow their players and the fans to catch their breath. Knowing that, perhaps City defenders could have some value but my preference would be Florenzi if he starts. He was routinely getting around the right side and tearing up Cancelo who was at LB and completely lost.
It should be a fun one!
- Neymar – PSG – $10.8k
- This MFer should have had 2 goals. He picked up his typical 5 fouls drawn and had 2 shots assisted. We’ve seen what he can do in this competition when his team is down. Floor and ceiling here.
- De Bruyne – MCI – $10.6k
- Only a slight price break and could be the beneficiary of MCI taking the lead enough to make PSG quit. At that stage, KDB has likely had a hand in a goal and will be able to dictate play. He’s basically 1A and might even be 1 on some people’s lists. Remember he picked up 4 fouls and a yellow card in the last game or his DK score would have been much nicer. Goal was bit fluky.
- Di Maria – PSG – $8.8k
- That was about as good as I’ve seen him play in a PSG shirt and it still wasn’t enough to get them over the hump. 5 crosses and an assist with 4 shots. I’ll take that again for the discount.
- Mbappe – PSG – $9.2k
- He was more of a provider than finisher but that will likely need to flip should PSG have success. 0 shots last game and just 1 over the last 2. Are teams figuring PSG out? Not really but Mbappe is carrying a little injury that he’s playing through.
- Foden – MCI – $9.8k
- He did not shy away from the moment and was spectacular at times in the first leg. He burst through 4 men to get a toe poke on target in the second half but in the first he was alone in the box and hit it straight at Navas. More composure and he finishes it. GPP only.
- De Bruyne – MCI – CASH AND GPP
- Neymar – PSG – CASH AND GPP
- Di Maria – PSG – CASH AND GPP
- Foden – MCI
- Mbappe – PSG
- Mahrez – MCI – CASH AND GPP
- Gundogan – MCI
- Marquinhos – PSG – CASH AND GPP
- Florenzi – PSG – CASH AND GPP
- Cancelo – MCI
- Herrera – PSG – CASH AND GPP
- Verratti – PSG
- Navas – PSG
- Rodri – MCI – CASH AND GPP