Welcome to the NFL DFS WR Coach, where we identify the best wide receivers for our lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel!
It’s important to note this article is posted mid-week, so injuries and other news can change our reads as we get closer to Sunday.
Welcome back! Hopefully you had a profitable week of DFS and are ready to continue building that bank roll here in Week 6. For those less fortunate, it’s still just one week, we’ve got plenty of time to turn things around and I’ll give you a hint … you’re at the right place to do it at EliteFantasy. Let’s take a look around the league at which wide receivers we should be targeting in DFS this week on the main slate.
Julio Jones vs AZ ($8,000 DK & $8,500 FD)
Not only does Julio Jones have a cupcake matchup on the perimeter against Arizona’s backup cornerbacks, he and the Falcons offense benefit from a paced-up game as they try to go toe-to-toe with the Cardinals in Week 6. No team has passed at a heavier rate than the Falcons to start the 2019 season (72%), and while Jones hasn’t been the primary target hog like in years’ past, he should be heavily involved this week with a gameplan that exposes these cornerbacks. Tramaine Brock and Byron Murphy man the outside in Arizona’s base defense. Brock is giving up a 114.4 QB Rating when targeted this season and Murphy’s rate is even higher at 124.2. Brock’s 262 yards allowed in coverage rank 16th-highest among all corners, while Murphy has allowed three touchdowns to opposing receivers. It lines up for a good week for Julio (and Calvin Ridley — especially on FD at $5,500) on paper.
DeAndre Hopkins vs KC ($7,400 DK & $8,400 FD)
We’re going back to the well with two of last week’s chalk receivers in Julio and Hopkins. Both were heavily rostered last week and after putting up relatively disappointing performances, they should come in slightly less owned while still being in great spots. Hopkins draws a matchup in this week’s highest scoring game (currently a 55-point total) with the Texans implied for a 25.5 team total. Hopkins sports a team-leading 28% target share and should be running most of his routes against Charvarius Ward and Bashaud Breeland. These two have performed quite well to date but have yet to face a receiver of Hopkins’ caliber. Hopkins is averaging 8.8 targets per game, and with both teams operating inside the top-10 in situation neutral pace, he could see expanded target volume in this fast-paced matchup.
Cooper Kupp vs SF ($7,100 DK & $7,800 FD)
It’s tough to build a DFS cash lineup and not immediately lock in Kupp. Through five weeks, he’s currently the WR3 in PPR leagues. He’s seen target totals of 10, 9, 12, 15, and 17 over the past five games. He’s reached the 100-yard mark each of the past four games. He’s scored touchdowns in each of the past three games. That being said, he draws a tough matchup on paper with 49ers slot corner, K’Waun Williams, who is playing lights out football. He’s holding opposing passers to a 28.7 QB Rating when being targeted and is currently PFF’s No. 2 overall CB. WR/CB matchups are important, to a degree, but elite receivers should generally always possess the advantage over elite corners. They know where their route is taking them, when to turn to look for the ball, and generally where the ball should be located. Yes, Kupp draws a tough cornerback matchup based on the early-season results for K’Waun Williams, but I’m not letting that deter me from rostering him and neither should you.
Amari Cooper vs NYJ ($7,000 DK & $8,100 FD)
Cooper balled out against a tough coverage corner in Jaire Alexander last week, providing further evidence that WR/CB matchups should slide in the WR’s favor most of the time. Cooper draws a far softer matchup this week with the Jets defense. Cooper has run 88% of his routes on the perimeter this season. LCB Trumaine Johnson is currently PFF’s No. 103 graded cornerback (out of 105 qualifying) while RCB Darryl Roberts is allowing the most fantasy points to opposing LWRs. No matter which side of the field Cooper lines up, he (and Michael Gallup) should have a superior matchup.
Adam Thielen vs PHI ($6,700 DK & $7,200 FD)
It’s tough to trust the Minnesota passing attack, but when facing a pass-funnel defense like Philadelphia, we can confidently roster Thielen once again. The Eagles are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts this season. Thielen moves around the formation quite often but runs the plurality of his routes from the RWR position. The Eagles are giving up the most fantasy points to RWRs. Thielen sports a 24% target share and 42% MS of Air Yards. With the Eagles holding opposing running backs to just 2.8 YPC, Minnesota will likely be forced to turn to the pass and exploit this secondary with Thielen.
Marquise Brown vs CIN ($6,200 DK & $5,800 FD)
Make sure to monitor injury reports heading into the week, but if Brown is able to play this week (DNP Wednesday, ankle), he’s in for a potentially great rebound spot. Brown left last week’s game early after suffering an ankle injury, cutting short a promising start (3-22-1, five targets). He’ll square off this week against cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick, who mans the opposite side of the field of where Brown runs most of his routes (RWR, 52%). Kirkpatrick is allowing a 127.4 QB Rating when targeted this season. He’s already allowed three touchdowns and falls inside the top-20 in most receiving yardage allowed to opposing receivers. Brown has the wheels (4.32) to blow right by Kirkpatrick (4.57) en route to a big fantasy outing. Baltimore has one of the highest explosive pass rates (20+ yd pass plays) in the league at 24%, per Rotoworld’s Ian Hartitz. Again, make sure to monitor Brown’s injury status as we head towards Sunday, but Hollywood’s already shown us that he can excel on limited snaps.
Larry Fitzgerald vs ATL ($6,100 DK & $5,600 FD)
Injuries are starting to pile up in Arizona. Christian Kirk, Damiere Byrd, and David Johnson all have nagging injuries. That could lead to additional target volume for Larry Fitzgerald in a shootout with the Falcons. Atlanta’s secondary was torched last week by Deshaun Watson for 426 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns. Fitzgerald draws an ideal matchup in the interior (94% slot routes run) with Damontae Kazee. Among starting corners, Kazee is giving up a top-5 rate in fantasy points per pass route defended (0.63). Opposing QBs are sporting a 137.3 QB Rating when targeting Kazee in coverage. Fitzgerald’s set up here for a potentially high ceiling with surplus targets against a beatable secondary.
Will Fuller vs KC ($6,000 DK & $6,600 FD)
There’s no real point in doing victory laps on Fuller last week. He was mentioned literally everywhere across the fantasy/DFS industry, possessing a top-5 ownership rate in DK’s $9 Slant, $20 Millionaire Maker, and $333 Wildcat. He’ll continue to carry high ownership this week in a shootout with the Chiefs and is once again a good play. Kansas City falls toward the middle of the pack in terms of 20+ yard pass plays allowed. Fuller and Hopkins are two of just 13 receivers with over 500+ Air Yards, and we know Deshaun Watson isn’t afraid to throw deep (10.1 aDOT). PFF has KC as the 26th-ranked pass rush defense, which should afford Watson the time needed to hit his playmakers deep in this high-scoring affair. Ownership is the biggest concern regarding Fuller this week.
Robert Woods vs SF ($5,600 DK & $7,100 FD)
Over the past three weeks, Woods has seen target totals of 9, 15, and 8. If we see Brandin Cooks out in this matchup (LP on Wednesday, concussion), Woods could be in for elevated targets in Week 6. Woods moves all over the formation, but runs most of his routes as the RWR (48%). That sets him up to run against Richard Sherman often this week. Sherman has done well defending opposing wideouts so far this season, holding them to a 50.6 QB Rating when targeted and is currently PFF’s No. 17 CB. Woods will have a tough matchup, but I expect we see the Rams implement a quick-passing game plan to offset the 49ers’ pass rush. That would benefit Kupp (7.4) and Woods (8.5) with their shorter aDOTs. Woods is also a prime candidate for touchdown regression with him yet to hit pay dirt. Woods has hauled in 31 receptions for 355 yards so far this year, and with this game total already climbing up to 50.5 (and counting), he could find the end zone here with the Rams implied for 27 points. He’s an absolute bargain on DK.
DJ Chark vs NO ($5,500 DK & $6,500 FD)
The Jaguars are set to take on the Saints this week in a battle between two squads with strong defenses and surprising offenses. Chark has made a massive leap in his sophomore year, and currently leads the Jaguars in just about every receiving category. He’s another one of those 500+ Air Yard wideouts and he’s also got five receiving touchdowns to his name already. It’d be surprising to see the Saints shadow in this one, leaving Chark to run most of his routes from the right side (48%) against Eli Apple. Teams have been ruthlessly targeting Marshon Lattimore (38 tgts against) compared to Apple (14), but the two are neck-and-neck in QB Rating allowed when targeted (121.1 to 120.8). Chark’s combination of 4.34 speed, 6’-3” height, and his 14.5 aDOT make him a terrific combination for racking up fantasy points against a secondary that’s allowing the seventh-most to opposing wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton vs TEN ($5,000 DK & $5,900 FD)
Through the first five weeks, there may not be a more under-appreciated wide receiver than Courtland Sutton. He’s currently the WR10 in PPR leagues, averages 16.8 FPPG, has scored three touchdowns over his past two outings, but DK prices him at just $5K? Sutton predominantly runs from the left side of the formation (58% of routes run), meaning he’ll spend most of his day against Tennessee’s Malcolm Butler. Butler has giving up the fifth-most yards to opposing wide receivers. Over the past three weeks, he has given up a combined 17 receptions for 257 yards and 1 touchdown. That’s 15.1 yards per reception. Big plays down the sideline are exactly where Sutton excels. In a projected low-scoring outing (41-point total), Sutton will likely be overlooked once again and draw low ownership.
Mohamed Sanu vs AZ ($4,500 DK & $6,000 FD)
Over the past three weeks, Sanu has totaled 23 targets and stat lines of 6-75-0, 9-91-0, and 5-42-1. That receiving volume combined with his cheap DK pricetag makes him a better play on DK over FD. His matchup with the Cardinals sets him up for a big week with them allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing slot receivers. Tyler Boyd (10-123-1), Danny Amendola (7-104-1), and Curtis Samuel (5-53-1) all reached the end zone against the Cardinals. With Sanu running 84% of his routes from the slot, look for him to put up another week of solid production against this porous secondary.