Welcome to the NFL DFS WR Coach, where we identify the best wide receivers for our lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel!
It’s important to note this article is posted mid-week, so injuries and other news can change our reads as we get closer to Sunday.
Welcome back! Hopefully you had a profitable week of DFS and are ready to continue building that bank roll here in Week 11. Let’s take a look around the league at which wide receivers we should be targeting in DFS this week on the main slate.
Michael Thomas vs TB ($9,900 DK & $9,000 FD)
The return of Drew Brees to the offense meant another big fantasy outing for Michael Thomas last week, who finished the day with a 13-152-0 stat line on 14 targets. He draws a plus matchup this week against a Tampa Bay secondary that he shredded in Week 5 for a receiving line of 11-182-2. The Bucs secondary continues to be a primary target of ours in DFS, with them giving up the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. They are more specifically giving up the third-most fantasy points to perimeter wideouts and second-most to slot wideouts. Thomas — 72% perimeter, 28% slot — should have no issues putting up big numbers again this week no matter where he lines up.
Julio Jones vs CAR ($7,500 DK & $7,800 FD)
This is a contingent play dependent on the health of the Panthers’ secondary. As of the time of this writing (Thursday AM), starters James Bradberry (groin) and Donte Jackson (hip) have yet to practice this week. Bradberry missed last week’s game due to this injury and his shadow coverage is something we want to avoid if rostering Julio. He shadowed Julio on over 70% of his routes in their two matchups last year, limiting him in both games from productive outings. If he and Jackson are unable to go, that would set up Julio to run most of his routes (80% perimeter) against backups Ross Cockrell and Javien Elliott. With Devonta Freeman sidelined (foot), expect a pass-happy attack from Atlanta this week and a possible Julio eruption spot.
Chris Godwin vs NO ($7,300 DK & $8,000 FD)
Godwin roasted the Saints in Week 5 for a solid 7-125-2 on nine targets. Godwin has cooled down in recent weeks, but with Mike Evans drawing what should be tougher coverage on the outside, Godwin sets up nicely for a massive rebound. The Saints remain a sieve to opposing slot receivers, giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to them this season. Slot corner P.J. Williams remains a favorite target of ours to pick on this season. He’s giving up a 113.2 QB Rating to opposing passers when targeting receivers against him. This game opened with a 51.5 game total, and with the previous matchup going for 55 points, we can expect plenty of scoring in this matchup again. After watching Evans explode in recent weeks, it looks like it’s Godwin’s turn here based on matchup.
D.J. Moore vs ATL ($5,900 DK & $6,000 FD)
Over his past four games, Moore is averaging 10.0 targets per game, 7.0 receptions, and 83 receiving yards. He’s also reached the century mark in back-to-back outings (great for DK) and draws a very favorable Week 11 matchup against the Falcons. Moore runs 58% of his routes from the left side of the formation, where he’ll run against RCB Isaiah Oliver. Oliver has allowed a 121.0 QB Rating when targeted this season and is being thrown against at a heavy rate — once every 5.6 snaps in coverage. Look for Moore to continue his recent success here while getting an uptick in projected touchdown equity.
Marquise Brown vs HOU ($5,600 DK & $5,600 FD)
Brown had a fantastic Week 10 performance against the Bengals’ backups, catching all four of his targets for 80 yards and a score. He should find himself in a much more competitive environment this week with Houston (49-point game total currently), that should lead to more targets thrown in his direction. Brown moves all over the formation for Baltimore, but more importantly, he’s seen 38-of-43 targets come when lined up on the right side of the formation or in the slot. That should lead to most of his routes being run against Johnathan Joseph on the outside and Bradley Roby in the slot. 35-year-old Joseph has been targeted at a top-10 rate (once every 5.0 coverage snaps) and Roby has been torched against zone coverage, Houston’s primary coverage, allowing a 130.4 QB Rating. Both these corners were held out of Week 9’s matchup (Week 10 on bye) and enter this matchup banged up. The blazing-fast Marquise Brown, who also happens to excel against zone coverage (129.5), should run circles around this secondary en route to another big fantasy outing.
Terry McLaurin vs NYJ ($5,600 DK & $5,500 FD)
Given the rough start to the season for Dwayne Haskins, who currently sports a 15.4% sack rate and a 9.1% interception rate, this play projects better for tournaments. For reference, last year’s league leaders in these categories were Ryan Tannehill (11.3% sack rate) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (4.9% interception rate) among qualifying quarterbacks. That being said, we just saw fifth-round rookie Darius Slayton torch this injury-depleted Jets secondary for a 10-121-2 stat line. Trumaine Johnson (IR), Darryl Roberts (calf, doubtful) and Nate Hairston (benched last week) all likely won’t be playing this week, setting up McLaurin to feast on fourth/fifth-string corners. Monitor injury reports and coach-speak heading into this matchup, but on paper, it sets McLaurin up well for a potentially huge outing in GPPs.
Tyrell Williams vs CIN ($5,400 DK & $6,200 FD)
After drawing back-to-back difficult cornerback matchups over the past two weeks, Tyrell Williams finally draws a plus matchup here against Cincinnati. The Bengals have been fighting injuries in the secondary for much of this season and it’s led to them trotting out B.W. Webb and William Jackson III as starters. Webb has allowed a 121.5 QB Rating when targeted and Jackson comes in as PFF’s No. 60 graded cornerback. Williams’ aggressive 15.2 aDOT bodes well for him considering the struggles Cincinnati has had this season defending the deep pass. The Bengals have allowed the fourth-most pass plays of 20+ yards this season (40) and lead the league in yards per target to opposing wideouts (10.2). His target volume has been a bit sporadic as of late, but that should get back on track this week in a plus matchup. I wouldn’t go crazy with exposure, but if MME’ing, he’s a solid value add to your WR pool.
Tyler Boyd vs OAK ($5,200 DK & $5,900 FD)
The Bengals implemented a run-heavy scheme last week as they debuted Ryan Finley under center. They may not be able to do that as much this week against the pass-funnel Raiders (No. 29 in Pass DVOA defense, No. 16 in Run DVOA defense). Boyd led the Bengals in targets (8) last week and draws a plus matchup here against a Raiders defense that’s giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to slot receivers. Slot cornerback Lamarcus Joyner (hamstring) could miss this week’s game, relegating backup duties to Nevin Lawson. Lawson has not played much this season, but did give up five touchdowns in coverage last year with the Lions as PFF’s No. 91 graded corner. Boyd should thrive against a backup, and given the low aDOT, high-percentage routes he runs, should find success this week as a high-floor value play.
Mohamed Sanu vs PHI ($5,100 DK & $5,800 FD)
Coming off a 14-target outing in Week 9, Sanu could end up being a popular DFS play against the Eagles’ secondary this week. Sanu’s 10-81-1 stat line against Baltimore should provide some confidence in selecting him and the matchup is one that we’ve routinely gone to this year in targeting Philadelphia. During his first two games with the Patriots, Sanu has lined up in the slot and out wide at a near-50% rate each. The Eagles have given up the second-most fantasy points to opposing perimeter wideouts and eighth-most to wide receivers in general this season. Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills returned to the starting lineup in recent weeks, but these were both two corners we targeted heavily last season in DFS. Vegas projects this game to be a close one (-3.5 NE), and with teams opting to throw against Philadelphia at a 61.8% clip (eighth-highest rate) and fade running at their No. 8 ranked Run DVOA defense, pass volume should be plentiful for New England and Sanu.
Deebo Samuel vs AZ ($4,000 DK & $5,600 FD)
It’s a thin week if looking for receivers under the $5K mark on DraftKings, but one wideout that’s worth considering is San Francisco’s Deebo Samuel. Samuel took advantage of both George Kittle and Emmanuel Sanders missing time in last week’s matchup, posting career numbers across the board. It looks like Sanders should return in this matchup, occupying Patrick Peterson in coverage and letting Samuel square off against Byron Murphy on the other side of the formation. Murphy currently ranks as PFF’s No. 97 graded cornerback (out of 115) and has given up a 107.0 QB Rating when targeted this season. He’s given up the ninth-most receptions (40) and been targeted at a top-5 rate (63). The last time these two teams played each other, San Francisco barely escaped with a 3-point win. Samuel had 7 targets in that outing. I’d anticipate another competitive game here with Samuel building on last week’s success.