Before jumping into the details of this week’s PGA Tour Event, I wanted to mention a timeline for all PGA DFS items that you can expect each and every week from Frank and myself:
- Monday: Course/Event Preview
- Tuesday: Cash article, GPP article, Cheat Sheet, PGA DFS Video
- Wednesday: Chat room (8pm EST) to answer lineup questions
Without further ado, let’s jump into this week’s event.
Event: Tour Championship
Dates: Thursday September 2nd through Sunday September 5th
Course: East Lake
Field: 30 players
Scoring: 4 rounds of stroke play but players start event at different scores based on FedEx Cup standings
Past Winners: D Johnson (2020),McIlroy (2019), Woods (2018), Schauffele (2017), McIlroy (2016)
- Thursday/Friday: 1pm-6pm EST (Golf Channel) plus PGA Tour Live
- Saturday: 1pm-2:30pm (Golf Channel), 2:30pm-7pm (NBC) plus PGA Tour Live
- Sunday: 12pm-1:30pm (Golf Channel), 1:30pm-6pm (NBC) plus PGA Tour Live
- East Lake (just outside of Atlanta) is a course that puts a high emphasis on iron play and managing your game. Mistakes are punished and good shots are rewarded. This is why we typically see the cream rise to the top at this event.
- The par 70 course plays over 7,300 yards
- Let’s take a look at the breakdown of yardages per hole:
- 2 Par 5s (507, 563): Will be plenty of birdie and eagle opportunities.
- 4 Par 3s (202, 215, 218, 203)
- Par 4s: Distribution of distance:
- <400 yards: 1
- 401-445 yards: 4
- 446+ yards: 7
- Approach Shots:
- This will be the most important stat of the week as it accounts for 36% of strokes gained.
- In particular, you will see the largest distribution of approach shots outside 150 yards. The 7 par 4s that are 446+ yards, the 4 par 3s beyond 200 yards and the 2 reachable par 5s means that players will most likely have about 10-13 approach shots that are from beyond 150 yards.
- Off the Tee:
- This course will have a normal amount of emphasis (21%) on gaining strokes off the tee. Players will need to gain strokes via either accuracy or length. Being inaccurate and average distance is a killer at this course because the rough is typically fairly difficult to play out of coming into the firm greens.
- The greens this week are going to be quick (12 on the stimpmeter).
- Putting accounts for 23% of strokes gained
- Around the Green:
- The green surrounds here aren’t overly challenging but the Bermuda rough can at times cause difficult lies for chipping.
- Accounts for 20% of strokes gained
What type of player typically succeeds here?
- I see one clear path to victory at this course:
- The path to victory here is simple: Elite iron play
- You can’t fake it around this course, you must be elite on approach especially from beyond 150 yards.
What areas of a player’s game will be tested the most this week?
- Largest emphasis:
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Large emphasis on outside 150 yards as nearly all players will have at least 10-13 approach shots from that range
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Smaller emphasis:
- Strokes Gained Off the Tee
- Strokes Gained Putting
- Strokes Gained Around the Green
- Par 3 Scoring
- The four par 3s at this course will play extremely difficult in comparison to the rest of the course so players who can play these close to even par for the week will have a big edge.
- Birdie Rate
- As we see week after week in DK scoring, birdies are king. We always need to keep this stat in consideration when choosing players especially in a limited field, no-cut event like this.
Check back in on Tuesday for the Cash article, GPP article, Cheat Sheet and PGA DFS Video