Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS GPP’s with his top stacks, goalies, and value plays.
Here is a breakdown of tonight’s matchups:
Todd’s High-Key Stacks
EDM1: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – Leon Draisaitl – Kailer Yamamoto
Possible add-on: Oscar Klefbom
They own strong shot+chance metrics and have been on for 28 Edmonton goals in a little over 300 minutes, which is absurd.
They will also have full PP1 correlation if Connor McDavid is out once again. (UPDATE: McDavid is in) The Jets are 27th in expected goals against this season, and don’t have the luxury of getting their top players out vs EDM1, so this is not a matchup you should be afraid of.
If McDavid does play and the Oilers reunite RNH/McDavid/Kassian, that’s probably my favored unit. If they do something like Athanasiou/McDavid/Ennis, I’d stick with this trio.
There’s a lot of moving parts here so feel free to hit me up on Twitter if you need any clarification or insight once more is known.
WPG1: Kyle Connor – Mark Scheifele – Blake Wheeler
Possible add-on: Neal Pionk
If you want some more certainty, I quite like WPG1. The Oilers’ defensive play has slipped of late – they’re 27th in xGA/60 over the last 10 – and WPG1 will be afforded every opportunity to take advantage. Each of these guys have realistic shots at playing 21-22+ minutes and they’re fully correlated on PP1. If you’re only playing a couple of these guys, Connor would be my priority.
Todd’s Mid-Key Stacks
CHI1: Alex DeBrincat – Jonathan Toews – Brandon Saad
Possible add-on: Duncan Keith
If this line really is going to be a thing, I will absolutely have exposure tonight. DeBrincat leads the Blackhawks in shots/60, Saad leads the Blackhawks in chances/60, and Toews leads the Blackhawks in assists/60. I think he will nicely compliment the pair of talented shooters on his flank. I also love the matchup against a San Jose team missing Tomas Hertl, Erik Karlsson, and (potentially) Logan Couture, among others.
COL1: Gabriel Landeskog – Tyson Jost(?) – Vladislav Namestnikov
Possible add-on: Cale Makar
There is some guess work here as to what the lines will look like without Nathan MacKinnon. We’ll have to check closer to puck drop, but I think Jost moving up is the natural move. He has played very well in the 2C spot of late and already has familiarity with Landeskog from his recent role on PP1. The Rangers are not a good defensive team, they take a ton of penalties, and I don’t think we have to worry about Igor Shesterkin starting again. This trio is a good way to get talent and upside at a very affordable cost.
Since all three are listed as wingers, one thing you can do is drop Namestnikov in favor of J.T. Compher (listed at C and will correlate on PP1).
Todd’s Low-Key Stacks
LAK3: Trevor Moore (optional) – Gabe Vilardi – Martin Frk
Possible add-on: Sean Walker
Vilardi is one of the most talented players on the Kings roster, is generating scoring chances at a solid clip, and leads the team in points/60 (small sample size, though). I think he makes a nice partnership with Frk, who has one of the best shots you’ll see and will have pucks funneled his way on the power play. Vilardi and Frk are together at ES and on the PP, and they’re in a great spot tonight. The Senators struggle defensively in all situations and they’re in the latter half of a road B2B.
Here are some of the duos I like:
Artemi Panarin – Ryan Strome (NYR)
Brady Tkachuk – Colin White (OTT)
Patrick Kane – Dylan Strome (CHI)
Evander Kane – Kevin Labanc (SJ)
Home favorites but some risk/cause for concern:
True GPPers (in order of preference):
A few value options I like beyond cheap players mentioned in stacks above:
C – J.T. Compher
C – Nick Paul
C – Kirby Dach
W – Adrian Kempe
W – Zack Kassian
W – Phil Di Giuseppe
D – Darnell Nurse
D – Ben Hutton
D – Olli Maatta
D – Connor Murphy
Blues vs Ducks (FanDuel only)
- Zach Sanford – ROR – David Perron – Alex Pietrangelo
- Rickard Rakell – Adam Henrique – Jakob Silfverberg
Colton Parayko (higher priced but still too cheap)
Jake Allen (if he starts)
Good luck, everyone!
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
Follow me on Twitter @ToddCordell