Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS GPP’s with his top stacks, goalies, and value plays.
Todd’s High-Key Stacks
TOR1: Joe Thornton – Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner
Possible add-on: Morgan Rielly
This line has been absolutely steamrolling opponents in the early going. They have a 75 CF%, 75 xGF%, and are generating chances at an absurd rate. Small sample, I know, but through three games they’re averaging 45 chances per 60 at 5v5. Morgan Rielly often plays behind them at 5v5 and correlates with Matthews/Marner (and sometimes Joe Thornton) on PP1. I love them in this spot against an Edmonton team that ranks 27th in xGA/60 and dead last in shot suppression.
EDM1: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – Connor McDavid – Zack Kassian
Possible add-on: Tyson Barrie
This line does give a lot up defensively but they’re extremely dangerous with the puck. They’re generating nearly 3.6 xG, and more than 20 Grade A chances, per 60 minutes at 5v5. Toronto is not a defense we need to avoid targeting and Frederik Andersen has been shaky at times in the early going. Kassian is very much optional but you can go here.
Todd’s Mid-Key Stacks
STL2: Jaden Schwartz – Brayden Schenn – Jordan Kyrou
Possible add-on: Torey Krug
San Jose ranks dead last in chances against per 60, and expected goals against per 60, in the early going. They are a defensive trainwreck and their goaltending tandem is among the worst in the league. We’re going to want to target them early and often.
STL2 has controlled ~60% of the attempts, and more than 70% of the xG, through their first few games. Schwartz and Schenn skate on what should be a dangerous PP1 as well.
I think they are much too affordable given their quality, and matchup, and I will likely be playing a lot of St. Louis in both cash and GPPs.
VGK2: Jonathan Marchessault – William Karlsson – Reilly Smith
Possible add-on: Shea Theodore (PP2 with Marchessault and Smith)
This has been one of the better 5v5 lines in recent years and this season is no different. They’re generating upwards of 40 chances per 60, and are in a very good spot tonight against Arizona. The Coyotes rank 29th in xGA/60 and have played at a faster pace than you might expect. I think they’re going to get overlooked in GPPs.
MTL2: Jonathan Drouin – Nick Suzuki – Josh Anderson
Possible add-on: Shea Weber or Jeff Petry (both PP1 with Suzuki/Anderson)
The Canucks played at a very fast pace last season and bled shots/chances. While they revamped the defense a little bit in the off-season, the same problems persist. Only two teams are giving up scoring chances at a higher rate right now. MTL2 is generating more than 3 xG/60, all three guys see power play time, and they’re quite affordable.
Todd’s Low-Key Stacks
Barrett Hayton – Nick Schmaltz – Conor Garland
Possible add-on: Jordan Oesterle (PP2 with Garland/Schmaltz)
UPDATE: Barrett Hayton will not play tonight.
I know, I know. Playing Arizona is quite gross. But hear me out. This trio is generating more than 60 attempts and ~35 chances per 60 minutes of 5v5 play. That is good. They all get power play time. Also good. And they might get to shoot on Marc-Andre Fleury. He is a big name but his perceived value doesn’t quite hold up to his actual value. Last season he ranked 35/50 in overall save percentage and T36/50 in high-danger save percentage. He is very beatable. ARI1 is a decent low-owned dart regardless, but I’ll like them much more if Fleury starts.
MIN2: Marcus Johansson – Nick Bonino – Kevin Fiala
Possible add-on: Jared Spurgeon (PP1 with Bonino/Fiala)
I don’t enjoy stacking against John Gibson. I do enjoy stacking against teams that rank 30th in scoring chance suppression, though. I also like buying low and playing Kevin Fiala when ownership is low. He has slate breaking potential. While he hasn’t recorded a single point this season, he has recorded at least 10DK points in all three games. The points are coming, and his linemates should come along for the ride.
I recommend correlating your stacks. If not, Carey Price and Cam Talbot (if starting) are a couple of my preferred options.
I also like punting with Arizona’s starter in GPPs (if not using VGK, of course), particularly if Fleury starts.
Beyond guys mentioned in stacks above, here are some salary savers I like to fill out your lineups:
C – Robert Thomas
W – Mike Hoffman
W – Tyler Toffoli
W – Alex Tuch
W – Dominik Kahun
D – Alec Martinez
D – Justin Faulk
D – Cam Fowler
D – Zach Whitecloud
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
Follow me on Twitter @ToddCordell