Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS GPP’s with his top stacks, goalies, and value plays.
Todd’s High-Key Stacks
NYI1: Anders Lee – Mathew Barzal – Jordan Eberle
Possible add-on: Ryan Pulock or Noah Dobson (both PP1)
NYI1 has been absolutely terrific this season, generating 3.32 xGF per 60 minutes and controlling nearly 63% of the xG at 5v5. They spend a lot of time on their front foot and create a lot of high-quality chances as a result. New Jersey ranks 26th in xGA/60 at 5v5, 30th in xGA/60 on the PK, and they’ll be without Mackenzie Blackwood tonight. I think this is a fantastic spot for a very talented line and I’ll definitely want some exposure.
WPG2: Nik Ehlers – P.L. Dubois – Kyle Connor
Possible add-on: Neal Pionk (PP2 with Ehlers and Dubois)
We don’t have a large sample of data to work with on this trio but I’m going to make an educated guess and say they’re capable of doing some serious damage. Ehlers and Connor are both volume shooters and the most talented wingers on the roster. Dubois is a very steady two-way player who should compliment them nicely. And they couldn’t ask for a better matchup. Vancouver ranks dead last in xGA/60 this season and they take a ton of penalties. Oh, and Braden Holtby has been one of the NHL’s worst netminders and he is the expected starter. The only thing that sucks with this line is they’re all listed as wingers on DK.
Todd’s Mid-Key Stacks
MTL2: Jonathan Drouin – Nick Suzuki – Tyler Toffoli
Possible add-on: Shea Weber
We’re dealing with small sample sizes here but this line has generated 4.41 xG/60. They’re piling up the chances at 5v5 and they all see power play time. Ottawa gives up a lot defensively, are expected to start their 3rd string goaltender, and they’re in the latter half of a back-to-back against a Montreal team desperate for a win. I like the Habs to get back on track tonight and I’m guessing this line will play a big part.
NYR1: Alexis Lafreniere – Mika Zibanejad – Pavel Buchnevich
Possible add-on: Adam Fox
This line hasn’t posted eye-popping numbers by any means. Playing NYR1 would be more about picking on the Sabres. They rank 29th in xGA/60 over the last 10 games and have looked completely lifeless under head coach Ralph Krueger, whose job isn’t exactly looking secure. With Linus Ullmark out for the foreseeable future, the Sabres are forced to turn to Carter Hutton between the pipes. He’s been one of the NHL’s worst goaltenders over the last few years and it’s more of the same so far this season.
Todd’s Low-Key Stacks
MTL1: Tomas Tatar – Philipp Danault – Brendan Gallagher
This should probably be in the middle range but they’re cheap enough that I’m going to cheat a little here and double up with some Montreal. The matchup is enticing vs Ottawa and this line has absolutely cratered teams at 5v5 all season, controlling more than 70% of the expected goals. It is only a matter of time before they really enjoy a breakout performance.
TB3: Blake Coleman – Yanni Gourde – Barclay Goodrow
Coleman quietly continues to lead Tampa Bay in 5v5 scoring chances. This line is very good at 5v5 (60 xGF%) and they’re dirt cheap. I am expecting a low scoring affair between Tampa Bay and Dallas but I could see the big guns canceling each other out and a solid depth unit proving to be the difference. I wouldn’t be racing to lock them in but if you need a cheap line to fit an expensive stack, and a big named defender or two, I think they’re usable.
I recommend correlating your stacks. If not, Igor Shesterkin and Laurent Brossoit are a couple of my favorite GPP plays.
Beyond guys mentioned in stacks above, here are some salary savers I like to fill out your lineups:
C – Colin White
W – Anthony Beauvillier
W – Andreas Johnsson
D – Mattias Ekholm
D – Scott Mayfield
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
Follow me on Twitter @ToddCordell