Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS GPP’s with his top stacks, goalies, and value plays.
Here is a breakdown of tonight’s matchups:
Todd’s High-Key Stacks
TOR1: William Nylander – Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner
Possible add-on: Tyson Barrie
This line is expensive, and Dallas generally isn’t a team you go out of your way to target, but these are three elite talents who produce big numbers at 5v5 and on the power play. Dallas is penalty prone, so they should have plenty of opportunities to go to work. They’ll also get favorable matchups, and zone starts, playing on home soil.
COL1: Andre Burakovsky – Nathan MacKinnon – Mikko Rantanen
Possible add-on: Cale Makar
MacKinnon and Rantanen are one of the more lethal duos in the league. Burakovsky’s rate stats are strong, too, and he helps make the line more affordable than if Gabriel Landeskog were on the line instead. Makar should see quite a bit of ice with this group at 5v5 and on the PP, so I’d also want him in the stack if you can afford it. The Capitals are a good team, however, they’re a sneaky team to start when Braden Holtby (.894 SV%) is between the pipes.
Todd’s Mid-Key Stacks
DET1: Darren Helm – Dylan Larkin – Anthony Mantha (feel free to leave Helm out)
Possible add-on: Filip Hronek
The Devils rank 31st in chances against/60 and goals against/60 over the last 10. They’re an absolute trainwreck defensively. I know Detroit sucks, and they don’t have much to play for, but Larkin+Mantha are fantastic chance generators and I think they have a ton of upside in this spot. The price (Larkin and Mantha are pretty expensive) should help keep ownership down, too.
EDM1: RNH – Leon Draisaitl – Kailer Yamamoto
Possible add-on: Oscar Klefbom
This line is generating 65 attempts and 31 chances per 60 minutes at 5v5. Excellent numbers. With Connor McDavid out, they’re essentially Edmonton’s only good line so they’re going to get a ton of ice time. They fully correlate on the power play, and they’ll have a better chance of controlling play vs Tampa Bay with Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli, and Ryan McDonagh out.
Todd’s Low-Key Stacks
PHI2: Joel Farabee – Kevin Hayes – Travis Konecny
Possible add-on: Matt Niskanen or Travis Sanheim
The Panthers are not a great defensive team. On the year, they rank 26th in expected goals against/60 and 28th in goals against/60 at 5v5. They are exploitable. I think PHI2 definitely has the talent to take advantage of that, especially considering they won’t have to deal with the Barkov line. They all see PP time (Konecny on PP1, Hayes+Farabee on PP2) so there is real upside across all gamestates .
TB2: Patrick Maroon – Cedric Paquette – Alex Killorn
Possible add-on: Kevin Shattenkirk
Stay tuned closer to lineup lock but a dirt cheap top-6 line, with power play time, vs an Oilers team with one good line would be pretty enticing if you’re MMEing. This line, or something similar to it, would let you fit any line on the slate.
As usual, I recommend correlating. If not, Phillip Grubauer, John Gibson, Elvis Merzlikins, and Jonathan Bernier (more of a dart throw) are a few of my favorite plays.
A few value options I like beyond cheap players mentioned in stacks above:
C – Jack Hughes
C – Mikael Backlund
C – Sam Steel
W – Kevin Fiala
W – Mikael Granlund
W – Alex Tuch
W – Andrew Mangiapane
W – Blake Coleman (FD)
W – Anthony Duclair (FD)
D – Damon Severson
D – Ryan Graves (FD)
D – Erik Cernak
D – Noah Hanifin
D – Dante Fabbro
D – Rasmus Andersson
Good luck, everyone!
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
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