Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS GPP’s with his top stacks, goalies, and value plays.
Here is a breakdown of tonight’s matchups:
Todd’s High-Key Stacks
WSH1: Alex Ovechkin – Nicklas Backstrom – T.J. Oshie
Possible add-on: John Carlson
This trio is averaging better than 60 shot attempts and 30 chances per 60 minutes. Unsurprisingly, a line of their caliber has consistently been able to turn those opportunities into goals. They’re finding the back of the net 4.75 times per 60 at 5v5, which is nothing short of remarkable. Whie Vegas is a good team, they’re an undisciplined one and we know how good Washington’s power play is. That this trio is fully correlated on the top unit makes them even more enticing.
PIT1: Alex Glachenyuk – Sidney Crosby – Jake Guentzel
Possible add-on: Justin Schultz or Juuso Riikola
Galchenyuk is a talented shooter and Crosby+Guentzel have been one of the league’s best duos for a couple years. Tonight they’re taking on a Blackhawks team that ranks 28th in attempts against/60, 30th in expected goals against/60, and 30th in chances against/60. The Blackhawks bleed quality and quantity, and this line definitely has the talent to take advantage. They’re also all on PP1.
Todd’s Mid-Key Stacks
MTL1: Tomas Tatar – Phillip Danault – Brendan Gallagher
Possible add-on: Shea Weber
This line was dominant at 5v5 last season and they’ve picked up right where they left off. At 5v5, they’re generating 74 shot attempts(!) and 33 scoring chances per 60 minutes. Insane totals. They’re extremely good, especially on home soil, and they’re going up against a LA team that a) concedes lots of goals and; b) plays extremely fast.
CBJ1: Gustav Nyquist – Pierre-Luc Dubois – Oliver Bjorkstrand
Possible add-on: Zach Werenski
They’ve out-chanced opponents 21-7 at 5v5 (pretty good!) in their limited time together and are taking on an Avalanche team that, low-key, has been leaky defensively. Only three teams on the slate have given up scoring chances at a higher rate. With cluster injuries, that makes the Avalanche even more vulnerable. I think this line could capitalize.
Todd’s Low-Key Stacks
TOR3: Ilya Mikheyev – Alex Kerfoot – Kasperi Kapanen
Possible add-on: Tyson Barrie
They have excellent underlying numbers across the board and they’re all used on special teams so they should get a good dose of minutes from Mike Babcock. Steady usage is really nice to get in cheap lines, especially when the game has a total of 6.5.
ARI1: Barrett Hayton – Christian Dvorak – Phil Kessel
Possible add-on: Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Their numbers aren’t anything to write home about (albeit in a small sample) but, on paper, this is a very talented line and they’re going up against a Wild team that is spiraling out of control and can’t get a save regardless of who starts for them.
As usual, I recommend correlating with your stacks. If you’re not, Carey Price, David Rittich and Braden Holtby are a few of my favorite plays.
A GPP punt I actually think has a decent chance of pulling out a win is whoever starts for Columbus.
A few value options I like beyond cheap players mentioned in stacks above:
C – Mikael Backlund
W – Joel Farabee
W – Jason Zucker
W – Tyler Toffoli
D – Shea Theodore
D – Travis Sanheim
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
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