Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS lineups with his top stacks, goalies, and cash plays.
- Mika Zibanejad (NYR)
- Nico Hischier (NJ)
- David Pastrnak (BOS)
- Travis Sanheim (PHI)
GPP Stacks of the Night
BOS1: Brad Marchand – Patrice Bergeron – David Pastrnak
Possible add-on: Matt Grzelcyk
Stacking against Pittsburgh, especially on home soil, generally isn’t a winning proposition. But BOS1 just might be a line worth making an exception for. They have a ~60 Expected Goals For% at 5v5, which is elite. They dominate on the shot and chance clock nearly every night at 5v5, and are fully correlated on the top power play. Last game they saw a ton of Sidney Crosby’s line. While they didn’t score, attempts were 14-7 BOS with the top line on the ice at even-strength. That’s encouraging. They also didn’t get a single PP opportunity to work with, which almost certainly won’t be the case again in this one. Oh, and Tristan Jarry is expected to start. I know he’s coming off a shutout but he’s very beatable. He has allowed 8.5 goals more than expected this season, putting himself in company with the likes of Carter Hutton, Jonas Johansson, and Elvis Merzlikins. I’m not saying BOS1 is a stone cold lock but, in this spot, they’ll probably carry less ownership than they should. And finding those spots is how you have success in GPPs.
NYR2: Artemi Panarin – Ryan Strome – Colin Blackwell
Possible add-on: Adam Fox (PP1)
This line hasn’t produced a big game in a couple weeks, and they’re very expensive (well, Panarin/Strome/Fox are), but I think that could help keep ownership lower than you’d expect. On the year, this line has scored nearly four goals per 60 minutes at 5v5. That’s big time production. Panarin and Strome are also together on a lethal top power play unit and the matchup is pretty enticing. While Buffalo has gotten more results of late, they rank near the bottom of the league in suppressing Expected Goals over the last 10 games and I’m not exactly scared of targeting Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen. He was pretty highly touted coming out of junior but that hasn’t translated to professional success – at least yet – as he owns a sub .890 SV% through 25 AHL games and, just a year ago, was a regular in the ECHL.
NJ2: Pavel Zacha – Nico Hischier – Jesper Bratt
Possible add-on: Ty Smith – GTD (PP1)
Surprise, surprise! I’m writing up a Devils line in GPPs and it is not the Jack Hughes unit. Crazy, I know. But hear me out. They’re generating more than 60 attempts and 32 chances per 60 at 5v5. Those are strong offensive numbers. They’re fully correlated on PP1 against a bad penalty killing team, and they’re facing the team with the worst save percentage in the league. Shot+chance volume vs bad goaltending generally results in production. This line isn’t going to be popular, and I see real upside here.
NYI1: Mathew Barzal – Travis Zajac – Jordan Eberle
Possible add-on: Noah Dobson (PP1)
I like this line quite a bit tonight. Barzal and Eberle are a fantastic offensive duo and Zajac is a nice two-way compliment. He doesn’t shoot a ton, but he’s an above average finisher who converts the shots he does take at a high clip. He should also be able to create some opportunities for his linemates. The Capitals are without Alex Ovechkin, Justin Schultz, and I don’t think they’re as invulnerable as their record suggests. I’m also not at all afraid of Vitek Vanecek, who has conceded 6.7 goals more than expected based on the shots and chances he’s faced. The one thing about this unit is we’ll have to monitor warmups. The Islanders tend to shuffle lines quite a bit.
Also consider: FLA2, particularly if Pekka Rinne starts. He’s nowhere close to what he once was.
NYR3: Chris Kreider – Filip Chytil – Kaapo Kakko
Possible add-on: no preferred correlation play
This line has spent the last few games together and the early returns are very promising. They’ve controlled more than 60% of the attempts, 61% of the expected goals, and have already found the back of the net a couple times. There’s a lot of talent on this line and they can feast against opposing team’s depth; especially bad, shallow, teams such as the Sabres. They’ve very cheap, there is upside, and I don’t expect them to carry much ownership. They’re a nice play to fit with big stacks.
TB3: Alex Killorn – Anthony Cirelli – Tyler Johnson
Possible add-on: no preferred correlation play
This one is pretty cut and dry. Alex Killorn scored at a 30+ goal pace last season. Anthony Cirelli produced at a 50+ point pace. And Tyler Johnson scored at nearly 20 goal pace. While they haven’t been as productive this season, these are three talented players with a history of strong offensive outputs. They’re in a great spot tonight, too, against a Chicago team that a) plays at a high pace and; b) gives up Grade A chances at a high clip. They’re not correlated on the PP, which sucks, but you can only ask so much from a line of that price. The talent is there, and so is the matchup.
Cash: Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB), Igor Shesterkin (NYR), Alex Nedeljkovic (CAR), Spencer Knight (FLA – like more if Rinne starts), Tuukka Rask (BOS).
GPP (beyond cash guys or correlation): Elvis Merzlikins (CBJ), Semyon Varlamov (NYI), Mackenzie Blackwood (NJ), Jonathan Bernier (DET – not Thomas Greiss if he starts).
Cash, Cash, Cash
We’re doing 2-in-1 articles these days, so let’s dig into my favorite cash plays. Obviously, some good players and usable pieces won’t be listed – particularly on bigger slates – so don’t be alarmed if one or two of your guys aren’t mentioned. If you want clarification, feel free to reach out.
Now let’s dig into some of my favorites (sorted by DK price).
Sasha Barkov (FLA) – This guy is a peripheral god, he’s very productive, and he’ll get all the ice he can handle with Florida battling for top spot in the division. Big bump if Rinne starts.
Mika Zibanejad (NYR) – Juicy matchup and leads the Rangers in attempts, shots on goal, chances, high-danger chances, expected goals, and everything else you can think of over the last 10.
Nico Hischier (NJ) – Has multiple shots on goal in seven of eight since returning to the lineup. His line is really starting to play well, too.
Jack Hughes (NJ) – My guy has at least four shots in six consecutive games. He’s generating shots/chances at an absurd rate and, as touched on above, is facing the team dead last in save percentage.
Jeff Carter (PIT) – High volume shooter who will see very little of BOS1.
David Krejci (BOS) – BOS2 has been dominant since the addition of Taylor Hall and he often brings exposure to the big guns on PP1.
Kirby Dach (CHI) – Don’t like playing against Andrei Vasilevskiy but Dach centers DeBrincat at evens, is on PP1, and plays a lot of minutes. He’s too cheap for a guy in his role.
Sam Bennett (FLA) – He’s gone nuclear since the trade to Florida. While I don’t expect him to continue producing at more than a point per game rate, he is generating a lot of shots/chances. Only Barkov has more chances at 5v5 over the last 10.
Radek Faksa (DAL) – Very strong peripheral floor and could get some extra reps if Roope Hintz, who generally misses a game in each B2B set, sits out.
Artemi Panarin (NYR) – Doesn’t shoot as much as I’d like but he’s an elite point producer and should see 20+ minutes in an advantageous matchup.
David Pastrnak (BOS) – One of the best volume generators in the NHL. He’s essentially matchup proof. Even without a single PP opportunity last game, he still had six shot attempts and four on target.
Jason Robertson (DAL) – Robertson has been killer on home soil this season, producing 31 points in 25 games. He shoots a bunch, too, and has quickly turned into one of the most reliable cash pays in the league. He’s recorded 10+ DK points in nine of 10.
Andrei Svechkinov (CAR) – Leads Carolina in shot attempts and scoring chances at 5v5 over the last 10, yet has zero (0) goals to show for it. Only a matter of time before they start to go for him.
Frank Vatrano (FLA) – Frank The Tank is one of the most trigger happy players in the NHL. The only question with him, generally, is ice time. He’s played 16+ in four straight so he’s becoming more safe to use. As with all Florida players, big bump if Juuse Saros gets the night off.
Jakub Vrana (DET) – An efficient 5v5 point producer, and shot generator, in a juicy matchup against a struggling Blue Jackets team that sits 29th in xGA/60 over the last 10.
Tage Thompson (BUF) – Fun fact: Tage has attempted more shots over the last 10 than the likes of Brayden Point, Jake Guentzel, Gabriel Landeskog, Mark Scheifele and Brad Marchand. The chances are there, too, and he’s seeing PP time. Playing Sabres can be gross but Thompson has been reliable and is too cheap.
Teuvo Teravainen (CAR) – If he returns to the lineup tonight, you’re getting a high-end forward who is priced between 1000-1500 cheaper than he should be.
Blake Coleman (TB) – Is only five chances shy of Brayden Point for the lead among Lightning forwards at 5v5. His average ice is trending upwards, and it’s a pace-up spot vs a bad defensive team.
Alex Barre-Boulet (TB) – I think he’s going to be a real player and, simply put, he’s too cheap for a top liner vs Chicago.
Roman Josi (NSH) – Shoots every chance he can get, plays PP1, and is a shot blocking machine. He’s hit the bonus in four of five and I like his chances of doing so again in this one. Florida should dominate at 5v5, which means Josi will have a lot of pucks to absorb.
Dougie Hamilton (CAR) – No defenseman shoots more and always possesses real point upside.
Connor Murphy (CHI) – Big time shot blocker and Chicago should be on their heels a lot in this one.
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) – Ranks 7th among defenders in shot attempts over the last 10 and is playing absurd minutes as Carolina fights for top spot in the division.
Travis Sanheim (PHI) – Among defenders he ranks 9th in attempts, and 25th in blocks, over the last 10. Should see heavy minutes against a Devils team that’s played in a lot of high-event, high-total games.
Ty Smith (NJ) – He’s a GTD but if he plays, I have interest. Has been shooting the puck pretty consistently, QBs PP1, and logs a lot of minutes.
Jamie Oleksiak (DAL) – He has one of the best floors going among defenders right now. Like him regardless but if John Klingberg is out? Love him.
Also consider: Adam Pelech, Colin Miller, Noah Dobson, Connor Carrick.
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
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