Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS lineups with his top stacks, goalies, and cash plays.
- Auston Matthews (TOR)
- Jack Hughes (NJ)
- Oliver Bjorkstrand (CBJ)
- Travis Hamonic (VAN)
GPP Stacks of the Night
TOR1: Nick Foligno – Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner
Possible add-on: Morgan Rielly (PP1)
Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner haven’t ‘popped’ of late but they continue to generate chances at an absurd rate (while logging big minutes). With the talent they have it’s only a matter of time before they put forth a slate breaking performance. While stacking against Connor Hellebuyck isn’t something to make a habit of, the Jets don’t exactly play great defense in front of him; and that’s what makes TOR1 so appealing. The Jets rank 25th in high-danger chances against/60 over the last 10 and dead last on the season. High-danger opportunities for a line of this caliber? That’s a scary thought for Winnipeg.
COL1: Gabriel Landeskog – Nathan MacKinnon – Andre Burakovsky
Possible add-on: Cale Makar (PP1)
Losing Mikko Rantanen is obviously a blow (he’s insanely talented); but not to the extent you’d think. This line has generated 15 Grade A chances per 60 dating back to last year. For perspective, the usual COL1 line is at ~13.5 per 60 this season. Now, the sample size for COL1 with Burakovsky isn’t large but he’s a talented, and ultra efficient, player so it makes sense that they are still lethal without Rantanen. Burakovsky fully correlates with the rest of the crew on the top power play and his price helps make them a lot more affordable. The matchup is sneaky good as well, as the Blues rank 26th in xGF% over the last 10 games and have struggled killing penalties this season.
Also consider: BOS1. Low-event matchup but BOS1 always has blowout potential and Dustin Tokarski isn’t a guy to be scared of.
NYR1: Alexis Lafreniere – Mika Zibanejad – Pavel Buchnevich
Possible add-on: Adam Fox (PP1)
Zibanejad and Buchnevich have been an effective 5v5 duo for years and lethal on the power play (and PK). Philadelphia’s goaltending has struggled mightily all season long and these guys definitely have the talent to take advantage. Lafreniere’s presence makes this line extremely affordable and, with NYR playing for their season, they should see plenty of ice time.
CBJ1: Oliver Bjorkstrand – Jack Roslovic – Cam Atkinson
Possible add-on: Seth Jones
Tampa Bay is a great team. There is no way around that. BUT they’re also quite banged up right now and they’re not starting Andrei Vasilevskiy, the best goaltender in the NHL and leader in GSAE. Instead, they’re turning to Curtis McElhinney. He has been nothing short of a disaster this season, allowing more than one goal above expectation *per game*. The 37-year-old looks cooked and CBJ1 has the high-end shooting talent to ensure that stays the case. I don’t think this trio will carry much ownership – it’s a massive slate and people don’t line up to stack against Tampa – but there is slate winning upside.
NYI3: Anthony Beauvillier – J.G. Pageau – Josh Bailey
Possible add-on: Noah Dobson
I was on this line last time out and they came through for me with four goals. I don’t know that I’d expect that again but there’s reason to believe this line can do some damage. We’re dealing with a small sample size but they’ve controlled more than 80% of the expected goals at 5v5. A line with high-end finishers – these guys routinely score more goals than expected – that also controls the run of play is very enticing. They’re dirt cheap, and they play with Mathew Barzal on the top PP. Ilya Samsonov (-6.7 goals saved above expected) isn’t someone to be scared of either.
NJ1: Janne Kuokkanen – Jack Hughes – Yegor Sharangovich
Possible add-on: Will Butcher (PP1)
I just can’t quit this line. They generate chances at the rate of a Matthews or McDavid line, and have exploded for some big games in recent weeks, yet their price just won’t go up. I realize Pittsburgh is a very good team but that didn’t stop NJ1 from netting a pair of goals, and generating 19 shot attempts, last game. If NJ1 is going to continue piling up chances, you can comfortably keep using them as a secondary stack; especially with a goaltender like Tristan Jarry between the pipes. Jarry has allowed 11.5 more goals than expected this season, which puts him in the same ballpark as washed up goaltenders like Ryan Miller and Pekka Rinne.
Cash: Jeremy Swayman, Anton Khudobin, Jack Campbell, Alex Ndeljkovic
GPP: I recommend correlating. If not, and not going with a ‘safer’ play, I’d add the likes of Thatcher Demko (NOT Braden Holtby if he starts), Semyon Varlamov and Elvis Merzlikins to the pool.
Cash, Cash, Cash
We’re doing 2-in-1 articles these days, so let’s dig into my favorite cash plays. Obviously, some good players and usable pieces won’t be listed – particularly on bigger slates – so don’t be alarmed if one or two of your guys aren’t mentioned. If you want clarification, feel free to reach out.
Now let’s dig into some of my favorites (sorted by DK price).
Auston Matthews (TOR) – Leads the NHL in goals and facing a team that ranks 31st in suppressing high-danger chances.
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) – High point outputs and one of best shooting floors in the NHL. Solid matchup, especially for the PP.
Mika Zibanejad (NYR) – Has found his scoring touch, facing poor goaltending, and should see a lot of ice if the game is remotely close.
John Tavares (TOR) – Has quietly produced 10+ DK points in eight of 10 and will avoid Winnipeg’s matchup players (you can debate if they are actually good).
Jeff Carter (PIT) – Shooting the puck a ton and New Jersey’s goaltending has struggled for months.
Jack Hughes (NJ) – Is averaging nearly 12 DK points per game over the last 10 and his price is going down??? Take advantage. This kid is shooting everything and his line is firing on all cylinders.
Brock Nelson (NYI) – Very good at generating HD chances and facing a goaltender who has struggled mightily against them.
Casey Mittelstadt (BUF) – I don’t love the matchup but he’s playing his best hockey right now. Points and shots trending upwards and seeing PP1 ice.
Sam Bennett (FLA) – Has piled up the points since being dealt to Florida and is coming off B2B four shot games.
Alex Ovechkin (WAS) – Do I like the matchup? No. But Ovechkin shoots the puck at such an absurdly high rate that he can give you a double digit performance even if he’s blanked on the scoresheet. High floor, high ceiling.
Kyle Connor (WPG) – Elite chance generator in a pace up spot. Sign me up.
Brady Tkachuk (OTT) – Is the most efficient chance creator in the NHL and Vancouver struggles mightily to prevent them. Bump if Braden Holtby starts again.
Jason Robertson (DAL) – High volume shooter who is averaging nearly a point per game. Has a juicy matchup vs Detroit and his price is very affordable.
Taylor Hall (BOS) – Has generated multiple shots in nine of 10 and has picked up points in three of his last four. Should see a lot of Buffalo’s depth lines, which is a good thing.
Oliver Bjorkstrand (CBJ) – Has shot the puck a ton of late, ice time is on the rise, and going up against Curtis McElhinney. I have a lot of interest.
Andre Burakovsky (COL) – Playing with Nathan MacKinnon at even-strength and on the power play. Simply put, he’s too cheap for a player seeing that kind of opportunity; especially considering his talent level and productivity this season.
Yegor Sharangovich (NJ) – Is anything but trigger shy and has logged at least 20 minutes in four of the last five.
Nikita Gusev (FLA) – Has generated three shots in each of his four games with Florida and is playing PP1 and L1 with Barkov. So long as that remains the case, I have interest.
Tage Thompson (BUF) – I’m not a long-term believer of Thompson’s NHL ceiling but he is a shoot first player who has seen more ice time of late.
Jakub Vrana (DET) – Detroit sucks, and so does the matchup tonight, but he’s a 5K+ talent who should get all the opportunity in the world moving forward.
Alexis Lafreniere (NYR) – Hasn’t had the best rookie campaign but you’re getting a 1st overall pick on the top line at min price. If ever there’s a time to use him…
Dougie Hamilton (CAR) – I feel like I could copy/paste the same writeup for Hamilton every slate. No defender shoots more, which is pretty good news for his floor. Oh, and he averages nearly a PPG.
Seth Jones (CBJ) – Shoots a lot, blocks a lot, and should see 24+ minutes if the game remains competitive, which should be a lot more achievable with McElhinney starting.
Miro Heiskanen (DAL) – He is a GTD so there is some uncertainty here. If he plays, I like him quite a lot. He is one of the higher volume shooters among defensemen and there is real point upside here.
Travis Hamonic (VAN) – His price is moving up but I still think there’s real value here. This guy shoots every chance he gets, is a shot blocking machine and, with Alex Edler suspended, should see 23+ minutes.
Jaccob Slavin (CAR) – Has averaged well over 4 SOG+BS per game over the last 10 and is playing a ton. With another pivotal division clash on the docket tonight, he should get all the ice he can handle.
Jamie Oleksiak (DAL) – This guy has the floor of a 5K+ defenseman and is in a great spot against Detroit, which increases his point potential. Simply too cheap.
Damon Severson (NJ) – He doesn’t pick up peripherals at an efficient rate but, with so many injuries on NJ’s back end, it might not matter. He has a real shot at playing 23+.
Will Butcher (NJ) – NJ is a good team to go to for punt D. Butcher is another guy who generally isn’t great peripherally but he should see 20+ minutes and play PP1. Where else do you find that at this price?
Derek Forbort (WPG) – Sees a lot of ice and blocks a lot of shots. I expect Toronto to dictate play at 5v5, which is good for his floor. He might have to absorb a handful of shots.
Also consider: Victor Hedman, David Savard, Ryan McDonagh, Travis Sanheim. CBJ is a good matchup for opposing defenders because they take a lot of outside shots and try to force opponents to do the same. Increases the SOG+BS floor.
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com
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