Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS lineups with his top stacks, goalies, and cash plays.
GPP Stacks of the Night
CAR1: Teuvo Teravainen – Sebastian Aho – Andrei Svechnikov
Possible add-on: Dougie Hamilton
Head coach Rod Brind’Amour recently said the Hurricanes would go ‘full speed ahead’ and dress their full lineup despite clinching the division. If that’s going to be the case again tonight, then I definitely have interest in CAR1. The Predators are giving up shots and chances at a very high clip at 5v5. Juuse Saros has generally been there to bail them out but, with this game meaning nothing to Nashville, I think he could get some much needed rest. Pekka Rinne has allowed 11.9 goals more than expected this season (by comparison, Saros has saved 13.2 goals more than expected) so the Preds with Rinne starting are definitely a team we can attack. I’d have real interest in CAR2 as well if you need more savings.
FLA1: Carter Verhaeghe – Sasha Barkov – Anthony Duclair
Possible add-on: Keith Yandle
Carter Verhaeghe is back, which means one of the league’s top trios is together again. While, outside of Barkov, these names might not pop off the page, the numbers they put up sure do. This line generates more than 70 attempts, and 36 scoring chances, per 60 minutes. Those are absurd offensive numbers. This team is still playing for something – a point clinches home ice in the 1st round – and they get a beaten up Tampa Bay team missing Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, Victor Hedman and Ryan McDonagh, among others. I really like FLA1 in this spot and will flat-out love them if Tampa decides to rest Andrei Vasilevskiy for the playoffs.
Also consider: COL1. Vegas’ defensive numbers haven’t been great of late and this game means a lot. I’m not playing COL1 if Nathan MacKinnon isn’t back, though, so we’ll have to watch for injury news.
VAN1: Nils Hoglander – J.T. Miller – Brock Boeser
Possible add-on: Quinn Hughes
Winnipeg is, uh, laboring towards the finish line of this regular season. They’ve dropped eight of their last 10, have been routinely out-chanced at 5v5, and just look off. Nik Ehlers, arguably their best player, is out. Their vezina winning goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, is getting the night off. One of their best defenders in Neal Pionk is expected to miss this game too. I think the Jets can be targeted, and VAN1 has enough pop to expose them. They’re generating nearly 33 chances per 60 at 5v5 and they’ll all see PP time (Miller and Boeser on PP1).
NJ2: Pavel Zacha – Nico Hischier – Jesper Bratt
Possible add-on: Damon Severson
This has probably been New Jersey’s best offensive line in recent weeks. I don’t think they’re going to see much of Sean Couturier or PHI’s top defensive pair at even-strength, which is a nice bonus. They’re also fully correlated on the top power play against a poor Philadelphia PK; another bonus. Oh, and they get to shoot on Brian Elliott. He ranks 2nd to last in goals saved above expected this season (-20) so you generally don’t need many quality looks to beat him. I think there could be plenty of goals in this one and NJ2 is my preferred Devils unit.
PHI2: Joel Farabee – Kevin Hayes – Jakub Voracek
Possible add-on: Ivan Provorov
I think this line is sneaky. New Jersey has been outshot/outchanced at 5v5 in nine straight games. This trio, which averages more than 16 Grade A chances per 60, should be able to do some damage at 5v5. They also fully correlate on the 2nd power play unit and New Jersey has struggled killing penalties all season long. On top of that, Mackenzie Blackwood is getting the night off. Scott Wedgewood and Aaron Dell have both posted bad numbers this season so regardless of which netminder is in there, I think the Flyers can exploit them.
LA2: Alex Iafallo – Gabe Vilardi – Lias Andersson
Possible add-on: Drew Doughty (PP1 with Vilardi and Iafallo)
We’re still dealing with a small sample size here but the early returns are pretty promising. This line has controlled 56% of the expected goals at 5v5 and generated high-danger opportunities at a pretty strong clip. With the Blues locked in where they are, I think we could see some key players sit for them; most notably Jordan Binnington. I think Ville Husso is one of the very worst goaltenders in the NHL. If he starts, and some Blues rest, there’s very real upside for this cheap Kings line.
Cash: Tuukka Rask, Petr Mrazek, Chris Driedger, Jake Allen (if Oilers rest), Phillip Grubauer.
As always, in GPP, I recommend correlating with your stacks. If not, Driedger, Allen (if Oilers rest), and Cal Petersen (if Blues rest) are a few of my favorites.
Cash, Cash, Cash
We’re doing 2-in-1 articles these days, so let’s dig into my favorite cash plays. Obviously, some good players and usable pieces won’t be listed – particularly on bigger slates – so don’t be alarmed if one or two of your guys aren’t mentioned. If you want clarification, feel free to reach out.
Now let’s dig into some of my favorites (sorted by DK price).
Nathan MacKinnon (COL) – if MacKinnon plays in this one, he’s one of the top plays on the slate. Insanely high shooting floor and Vegas has been leaky defensively of late.
Sasha Barkov (FLA) – No Hedman, no McDonagh, (potentially) no Vasilevskiy. An elite peripheral player, and point producer, facing a team without its top dogs will always be enticing.
Sean Couturier (PHI) – Been shooting a lot of late and facing off a Devils team that ranks bottom-5 in attempts against/60 and xGA/60 over last 10.
J.T. Miller (VAN) – Miller has seen at least 20 minutes in six straight and, as mentioned above, Winnipeg is very vulnerable right now. They’re struggling at 5v5 and missing some key players.
Chandler Stephenson (VGK) – Has put up at least 8DK points in eight of nine and should be heavily relied upon with Vegas in a potential division clinching scenario.
Jack Hughes/Nico Hischier (NJ) – Both should see plenty of minutes at ES, and PP1 time, in a very favorable matchup.
Pius Suter (CHI) – Centering Patrick Kane at ES, playing on PP1, and in a sneaky spot at home (with fans) against a Dallas team that was recently eliminated and is resting key, banged up players.
Tyson Jost (COL) – If MacKinnon is out, he’s pretty cheap for a player centering Landeskog and Rantanen.
Radek Faksa (DAL) – Should see 16+ minutes in a pace-up spot with Roope Hintz out.
Sean Kuraly (BOS) – Is averaging more than 3SOG+BS per game and is the kind of guy who’ll work through contact to get to his spots in a tight checking game vs NYI.
Mikko Rantanen (COL) – COL has to win to keep their hopes of getting the No. 1 seed, and home ice through at least two rounds, alive. I think they could lean heavily on the big guns.
Patrick Kane/Alex DeBrincat (CHI) – Dallas is undermanned, they’re playing for nothing, and I think Chicago will have some motivation to finish strong at home in front of their fans. Caution kind of seemed to be thrown out the window in this matchup yesterday and that definitely benefits these snipers. I lean Kane but both are very much in play.
Tyler Toffoli (MON) – Montreal somehow still hasn’t clinched a playoff berth. Toffoli is their best offensive player right now and Edmonton could rest guys.
Brock Boeser (VAN) – Shooting lots, playing lots, and facing a Winnipeg team without arguably its best forward, best defender, and Vezina winning goalie.
Anthony Beauvillier (NYI) – The matchup isn’t great but he’s been shooting a ton and gets you exposure to the big guns on PP1.
Alex Tuch (VGK) – I love Tuch if Max Pacioretty is out again. He’s a big-time volume shooter who is seeing extra ice right now.
Joel Farabee (PHI) – Ranks 2nd on the Flyers in 5v5 chances over the last 10 and should get plenty of them with the way the Devils are defending right now.
Blake Coleman (TB) – Coleman generates shots at an extremely high clip and should get extra reps with all the injuries in Tampa.
Denis Gurianov (DAL) – Top-6 minutes in a pace-up spot for an efficient shot generator and point producer. Sign me up.
Also consider: Brandon Hagel, Dominik Kahun.
Cale Makar (COL) – Taking on a bigger role in the offense with MacKinnon out. Even if he returns tonight, Makar should see a ton of ice with so much riding on the game.
Alec Martinez (VGK) – Of the Vegas big three on defense, I think Martinez offers the best floor. He blocks so many shots and Colorado is one of the best teams at generating them in bulk.
Mackenzie Weegar (FLA) – Very strong peripheral player who should see a bunch of minutes with home ice riding on this game.
Connor Murphy (CHI) – One of the best shot blockers in the NHL and Dallas is a volume generating team. With so many injuries on Chicago’s backend he could see 24+ minutes.
Travis Hamonic (VAN) – High shots + blocks per minute guy. Only issue is he probably sees ~4 fewer than Murphy and they’re priced in the same range.
Travis Sanheim (PHI) – One of the best volume generating shooters on the backend over the last few weeks and NJ is struggling defensively. It’s a good spot for him.
Ryan Pulock (NYI) – A game against Boston will likely be low-event but, even so, he’s probably priced ~1K cheaper than he should be.
Evan Bouchard (EDM) – With Edmonton playing for nothing, Bouchard could very well get back in the lineup. He shoots insanely frequently so I’d have quite a bit of interest.
Ryan Murray (NJ) – Dirt cheap, willing shot blocker, and seeing 20+ minutes per night.
- Sasha Barkov (FLA)
- Mikko Rantanen (COL)
- Denis Gurianov (DAL)
- Connor Murphy (CHI)
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via naturalstattrick.com and MoneyPuck.com
Follow me on Twitter @ToddCordell