Your weekly guide to Thursday night’s Showdown slate on DraftKings. Ryan Clifford breaks down the top options at CAPT & FLEX, optimal stacking rules, and all of the slate-specific strategy you’ll need to get yourself atop the leaderboards!
I finally got around to setting up a full tutorial of my entire NFL Showdown process with the Elite Fantasy optimizer. The answers to nearly all of your “how-to” questions can be found right here: NFL Showdown Optimizer Tutorial.
Check out Thursday afternoon’s video guide for setting up the optimizer for your Showdown lineups:
Setting Up the Optimizer
You’ll want to jump into our optimizer, which has been preloaded with our projections for the entire week, and then you can set up your initial groups:
- At least 1 QB (Watson CAPT, Watson, Stafford)
- At most 1 K (Fairbairn, Prater)
- At most 1 DST (Texans, Lions)
- In the position stacks tab, stack CAPT with at least 1 QB/RB/WR/TE/K/DST from the same team
Building the Punt Pool
Next up, we need to put our “punts” into the player pool, as we’ll be building a group with them.
You must pay attention to the inactive list that is announced 60-90 minutes before kickoff. Make sure none of these guys are on that list. Some of them will probably be, and you’ll need to adjust your pool at that point.
Here are the punts you should add to your player pool at this point.
Texans: Scottie Phillips (RB), Darren Fells (TE)
Lions: Adrian Peterson (RB), Kerryon Johnson (RB), Quintez Cephus (WR), Isaac Nauta (TE)
Deshaun Watson has been an optimal CAPT in 4 of his 14 appearances in a perfect Showdown lineup since 2019. He has the ability to scramble near the goal line which provides some upside for scores. Matthew Stafford…not so much. Not worrying about Stafford at CAPT as he’s still missing two of his top wideouts.
At running back, Duke Johnson will need to be in the pool, where D’Andre Swift will join him so long as he’s active.
We want to target the WR1 and WR2 for CAPT exposure. For the Texans, it’s Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks that are the obvious candidates. The Lions don’t really have a WR1. I’m rolling with Marvin Jones and T.J. Hockenson in my CAPT pool for Detroit tomorrow.
Refer to the video above for detailed instructions on setting up tonight’s CAPT groups.
Filling the FLEX Pool
The last step is to fill in the FLEX pool with all of the remaining players that will appear. Again, you may need to adjust when inactives are released, but for now, you should have 33 total players in your pool.
CAPT (7): Watson, Johnson, Fuller, Cooks, Swift, Jones, Hockenson
QB (2): Watson, Stafford
RB (6): D. Johnson, Prosise, Phillips, Swift, Peterson, K. Johnson
WR (8): Fuller, Cooks, Coutee, Jones, Hall, Sanu, Agnew, Cephus
TE (6): Akins, Fells, Cooper, Hockenson, James, Nauta
K (2): Fairbairn, Prater
DST (2): Texans, Lions
We’re ready to build! Head back into “Advanced Options” and use the following settings:
- 2 unique players
- $48,900 maximum salary
- max 3 offensive players vs. defense
- 15% randomness – MAKE SURE TO TURN ON & CLICK ON “CHANGE ALL PLAYERS” (see image below)
- 0.1 minimum projection included in calculation
Notable Positive Correlations
Deshaun Watson – Will Fuller 0.41
Matthew Stafford – Marvin Jones 0.41
Matthew Stafford – T.J. Hockenson 0.39
Deshaun Watson – Brandin Cooks 0.34
Matthew Stafford – Marvin Hall 0.30
Matthew Stafford – Jamal Agnew 0.25
Deshaun Watson – Keke Coutee 0.24
Matthew Stafford – Quintez Cephus 0.21
Deshaun Watson – Jordan Akins 0.20
Deshaun Watson – Matthew Stafford 0.19
Matthew Stafford – Jesse James 0.17
Deshaun Watson – Darren Fells 0.16
Matthew Stafford – Matt Prater 0.15
Matthew Stafford – Kerryon Johnson 0.15
Notable Negative Correlations
Deshaun Watson – Lions DST -0.41
Will Fuller – Lions DST -0.16
Ka’imi Fairbairn – Lions DST -0.15
Texans DST – Matthew Stafford -0.15
We’re ready to go. Click on “Calculate 50 Lineups” (or less depending on how many you are building) and your first 50 lineups will be built. If you’re like me, and you’re building more than that, click that same button again and spit out 50 more. With the randomness set to 15% and 3 unique players, you shouldn’t get too many duplicate lineups.
When you have your second set of 50 lineups, click on “select lineups” and “move 50 selected” from the drop down menu, and it will move all of the non-duplicated lineups over to your first batch. Keep repeating the process until you have your desired number of lineups.
Click on “export lineups”, make sure to select to proper slate, and your lineups are ready to upload into DK!
Remember to keep an eye on inactives, I’ll be in chat once they’re out.
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