If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the club face. This article will serve the same purpose for your DFS lineups every week as we’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests this week
- DraftKings (DK) PGA TOUR $250K Best Ball: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $8 entry; $50,000 to 1st,$20,000 to 2nd
- (DK) PGA TOUR $100K Club Twirl: 150 max entry – $44 entry; $20,000 to 1st, $10,000
- (DK) PGA TOUR $20K Dogleg: Single entry – $33 entry; $2,000 to 1st, $1,500 to 2nd
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK 3-max contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $60K PGA Eagle – $9 entry, 150 entry max. $10,000 to 1st, $5,000 to 2nd
This week’s expected chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Patrick Cantlay $11,100 DK / $11,800 FD
- Collin Morikawa $9,500 DK / $10,900 FD
- Scott Piercy $7,900 DK /$9,600 FD
- Joaquin Niemann $9,400 DK /$10,700 FD
Top 5 Highest Ownership Projections: Looking for the full list? Click here
This week’s low owned plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 10% owned)
- Gary Woodland $9,600 DK / $10,800 FD
- Jason Kokrak $8,600 DK / $10,000 FD
- Keegan Bradley $7,500 DK / $9,300 FD
- Kevin Na $7,700 DK / $9,500 FD
- Andrew Putnum $8,100 DK / $9,800 FD
Golfer Review: For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPP’s).
$11,000+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Patrick Cantlay $11,100 DK / $11,800 FD: 40% exposure – Runner-up, winner in his two appearances here, which is pretty impressive all things considered. Cantlay might be a pain to watch on TV, but his game is clearly made for the course regardless of conditions, so we’ll be going overweight on him this week.
$10,900-$9,600 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Bryson Dechambeau $10,700 DK / $11,600 FD: 40%+ exposure – Bryson comes in off a 13th place finish which was a bit disappointing as he was leading the Safeway Open for a brief period of time, but I’m sure he’s not kicking himself too hard. Taking the ending result out of it and pairing with his history I think makes him a strong play this week as he hits all of the key metrics we’re targeting. His game combined with a strong course history and good form is basically a fit for a title defense that could end up with another win.
Adam Scott $10,000 DK / $11,400 FD: 30%+ exposure – If the greens are fast again this week, I might change my mind as we’ve seen his putting on fast greens, but last week’s performance in his first event of the year was definitely a positive one. Last week marked the fourth straight event where Scott has gained strokes on the greens. He finished T17 and actually gained more strokes on the greens (1.7) than he did off the tee (-4.8). We should expect those numbers to normalize fairly quickly.
Hideki Matsuyama $9,700 DK / $11,100 FD: 20% exposure – GPP pivot play of the top tier caliber players as he’s expected to come in slightly underowned by the public this week coming off a missed cut in his first appearance of the year. He sets up well on any course and should be someone we target in our player pools this week.
Gary Woodland $9,600 DK / $10,800 FD: 15+% exposure – Gary’s teeing it up for the first time since the FedEx Cup playoffs ended and that’s literally the only reason I can think that people aren’t going to be playing him. He’s finished 10th& 18th here the last two years and really elevated his game last season, winning the US Open. We almost always want to target “expensive” Woodland, and this week is one of those weeks.
$9,500-$8,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Collin Morikawa $9,500 DK / $10,900 FD:25% exposure – 10th last week at 22% owned in GPPs means we’re likely to see MoriCHALKwa yet again this week and for good reason. He’s a beast from tee to green and has consistently turned out solid performances and provides a ton of upside in his young career. I think he’s good chalk for GPPs this week.
Byeong Hun An $9,000 DK / $10,000 FD: 15-20% exposure – BHA is very much like a cheaper version of Hideki in that his game translates well regardless of where he’s playing (to a certain extent). He’s a beast from tee to green and we’ve seen his putting improve over time so I’m willing to throw out the poor course history to play someone whose a few weeks removed from a Top 3 finish. He’s priced cheaper on FD compared to his Sportsbook odds, so I’d probably prefer he be played there.
Dylan Frittelli $8,900 DK / $10,100 FD: 15-30% exposure –7th & 6th in his last two events might be a better indication of some maturation on Frittelli’s part, or it’s just that he’s finally finding his game and place on the PGA Tour. His ownership will certainly be a concern this week as he was almost 20% owned in GPPs last week and coming off another strong finish you’d have to think that number won’t go down.
Andrew Putnum $8,100 DK / $9,800 FD: 15+% exposure – Putnum’s strength is with his putter. He typically gains most of his strokes on the greens so he’s not the typical player we target. On the off chance his irons are dialed in is when we see him really jump up the leaderboard – see: Charles Schwab 4.3 SG: APP (3rd), Northern Trust 3.7 SG: APP (12th). To me, he seems like a high upside GPP play this week, and nothing else due to primarily playing on the European Tour.
<$7,900 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Scott Piercy $7,900 DK / $9,600 FD: 15-20% exposure – $700 discount on Piercy this week, but with the price discount comes a high ownership as he’s projected as a top 5 highest owned play. His course history reads off as10th – 32nd– 24th – 25thand it shows us he’s extremely consistent at this course. He’s gained strokes putting at TPC Summerlin in half of his starts, which might be even more impressive. Naturally, when he gains strokes putting, he finishes inside the Top 10.
Sebastian Munoz $7,400 DK / $9,200 FD: 20% exposure – Munoz not mailing it in after his first career victory was a surprise last week as he started Sunday inside the Top 10. Unfortunately for him, he wasn’t able to keep it together and ultimately finished the day just inside the bonus zone for finishing position. We’re hopping back on the Munoz train as he was sub 10% owned in GPPs and is keeping his hot form since the start of the 2019 season.
Lanto Griffin $7,200 DK / $8,600 FD: 20+% exposure – 17th – 11th – 13th since beginning the new season is a great start for Lanto. He’s a scorer which is always helpful when targeting players and he’s shown a consistency during the last month of being able to hang around for four days, which is also good. He’s expected to come in around 10-12% owned, so we’ll want to be at or above that this week.
Mackenzie Hughes $6,200 DK / $7,300 FD: 20% exposure – Hughes comes in after missing his last two cuts this season, so there shouldn’t be any concern of his ownership. Statistically, he’s been horrendous T2G during that time as well, but over his last 24 rounds he’s been a Top 5 player in this field so we’re going to take a chance on a struggling player. He’s normally a strong putter as well, so hopefully that turns around with the rest of his game.
Below are the 6 best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds
- Bronson Burgoon $6,900 DK
- Graham DeLaet $6,100 DK
- Andrew Landry $6,600 DK
- Austin Cook $7,700 FD
- JJ Spaun $8,000 FD
- Kurt Kitayama $7,300 FD
Last week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Phil Mickelson (MC), Sungjae Im (T49), Jhonattan Vegas (T56)
Top 5’s: Kevin Streelman (MC), Adam Scott (T17)
Winner: Hideki Matsuyama (MC)
This week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Hideki Matsuyama, Adam Scott, Collin Morikawa
Top 5’s: Scott Piercy, Patrick Cantlay
Winner: Bryson Dechambeau