If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the club face. This article will serve the same purpose for your DFS lineups every week as we’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests this week
- DraftKings (DK) PGA TOUR $250K Best Ball: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $8 entry; $50,000 to 1st,$20,000 to 2nd
- (DK) PGA TOUR $100K Club Twirl: 150 max entry – $44 entry; $20,000 to 1st, $10,000
- (DK) PGA TOUR $20K Dogleg: Single entry – $33 entry; $2,000 to 1st, $1,500 to 2nd
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK 3-max contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $45K PGA Eagle – $9 entry, 150 entry max. $9,000 to 1st, $4,000 to 2nd
This week’s expected chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Henrik Stenson $11,400 DK / $11,900 FD
- Scottie Scheffler $9,900 DK / $10,800 FD
- Cameron Tringale $8,700 DK /$9,600 FD
- Russell Henley $10,100 DK /$10,500 FD
Top 5 Highest Ownership Projections: Looking for the full list? Click here
This week’s low owned plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 10% owned)
- Pat Perez $9,700 DK / $10,600 FD
- Kevin Chappell $7,900 DK / $9,300 FD
- Cameron Champ $10,800 DK / $11,100 FD
- Martin Laird $7,800 DK / $9,400 FD
- Harry Higgs $7,400 DK / $8,600 FD
Golfer Review: For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPP’s).
$11,000+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Henrik Stenson $11,400 DK / $11,900 FD: 40% exposure – Course horse who has never won this event, but he’s actually been a strong start in PGA Tour events when he’s the event favorite – something he has yet to do on the European Tour. 6th last year, 2nd in 2016 & 2013 and 3rd in 2009 gives us the upside we would need to play him and I’m sure many people will go with balanced builds versus a star and scrubs approach this week.
$10,900-$9,600 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Cameron Champ $10,800 DK / $11,100 FD: 40%+ exposure – First timer at this event, and he missed the cut following his win at the Safeway, but I haven’t heard much about how his grandfather’s health, so this suggestion comes with some risk. If word comes out that his grandfather has passed away, then we obviously wouldn’t be playing him as he’d be a sure bet to withdrawal, but if not, he looks like an ideal play considering his length off the tee and ability to provide a ton of upside in his scoring.
Brian Harman $10,600 DK / $10,900 FD: 15-30% exposure – Harman’s had a rough go at the Golf Club of Houston over the years, so maybe the change in schedule will be a betterment to his game. He’s sneaky long off the tee for a short stack, he’s a good putter and decent enough ball striker where I’d assume, he’d have a better record here than he does. His form speaks for itself, which could mean a promising finish for the first time in Houston.
Daniel Berger $10,400 DK / $11,000 FD: 20-30% exposure – 18th – 5th – 5th – 25thover the last four years here and it makes sense as the course is primarily a bomb & gouge type of course and he hits it well off the tee and putts better on bermuda greens. He has yet to see any kind of ownership in GPPs yet this season, so I doubt that changes drastically this week.
Scottie Scheffler $9,900 DK / $10,800 FD: 15-20% exposure – He’s expected to be pretty chalky so the stance here is pretty lenient. Either take him at expected ownership or fade outright. Last week’s 74th place finish was his worst this season, so a bounce back is expected. Prior to that he won on the Korn Ferry Tour and has finished inside the Top 20 twice on the PGA Tour.
$9,500-$8,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Kyle Stanley $9,300 DK / $10,100 FD:25% exposure – Long off the tee, excellent ball striker and a HORRENDOUS putter. We’re in peak #brand mode with the KFS suggestion this week coming off his first made cut of the season (48th). He finished 8th here two years ago which followed a 19th place finish, which is all I need to know about his upside.
Keegan Bradley $9,000 DK / $9,800 FD: 15-20% exposure – 43rd – 15th – MC – 5th over his last four years here and he did get through all four days last week (finishing DFL), but prior to that he finished 24th at the Military Tribute. He’s long off the tee, an excellent ball striker and a much better putter on bermuda greens than he has been historically, so I think he’s worth a shot in all formats this week.
Luke List $8,500 DK / $9,700 FD: 20-30% exposure –24th – 3rd – 27th over his last three years here and finished T13 last week after missing his last two cuts in a row. List’s game seems perfect for the course because of his length off the tee and ball striking ability. He’s shown us he can actually make putts on bermuda grass greens and outside of Stenson, there’s minimal elite competition.
Lanto Griffin $8,000 DK / $9,500 FD: 20+% exposure – Chalkiest player in the field this week, so you know you either need to go massively overweight or fade outright in order to make a difference come Sunday. That being said, his finishes this season have been 18th – 17th – 11th – 13th since beginning the new season. He’s a scorer which is always helpful when targeting players and he’s shown a consistency during the last month (plus) of being able to hang around for four days and get us the finishing place bonus we need in both GPPs and cash games. He missed the cut here last year, but as we’ve seen, his game has progressed quite well since then.
<$7,900 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Kevin Chappell $7,900 DK / $9,300 FD: 15-20% exposure – Chappie dusted off the clubs a few weeks ago, started off with a decent opening round and then fired a 59 heading into the weekend. That’s where his highlights end from his debut after sitting out all of the 2018-2019 season due to surgery. It’s also all I needed to see to fire him up again this week as he’s made the cut in 50% of his appearances here (best showing was 6th) and has the ideal game for this course.
Robby Shelton $7,900 DK / $9,300 FD: 20% exposure – 42nd – 52nd – 28th – 7thsince the beginning of the new season shows us the full spectrum on Shelton. He has yet to miss a cut (knock on wood) and has played all four days every week using an array of skills (or lack thereof). At the Safeway he had his worst ball striking performance to date, and still made the weekend (so I’m not too concerned about him missing the cut). In Texas, he’s missed the cut at the Byron Nelson and finished 16th at Valero so I probably prefer him as a GPP play this week.
Martin Laird $7,800 DK / $9,400 FD: 20+% exposure – Laird’s a good ball striker who putts very well on bermuda greens, which plays to his favor this week. His history here isn’t ideal (2 made cuts – 66th & 40thand two missed cuts) and his form isn’t either (same results – 2/4 cuts made, both finishes outside the Top 40), but we need some savings and he has one of the bigger sample sizes over his career so I’m willing to throw him into a couple lineups.
Grayson Murray $6,900 DK / $8,200 FD: 10% exposure – People still don’t like to play this guy so we’re going to. He’s basically List (long off the tee, good ball striker, but a better putter) and will come in at a fraction of the ownership this week making him an ideal GPP target at a lower cost as well. His form sucks, but he finished 14th & 55th in two appearances at this event.
Below are the six best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds
- Scott Brown $6,500 DK
- John Merrick $6,000 DK
- Chase Seiffert $6,300 DK
- Doc Redman $8,400 FD
- Peter Uihlein $8,500 FD
- Sepp Straka $8,300 FD
Last week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Hideki Matsuyama (T16), Adam Scott (T42), Colin Morikawa (T42)
Top 5’s: Scott Piercy (MC), Patrick Cantlay (2nd)
Winner: Bryson Dechambeau (T4)
This week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Berger, Bradley, Griffin
Top 5’s: Scheffler, Shelton