If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the club face. This article will serve the same purpose for your DFS lineups every week as we’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests this week
- DraftKings (DK) $300K Club Twirl: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $44 entry; $50,000 to 1st,$25,000 to 2nd
- (DK) $400K Drive The Green: 150 MME GPP – $5 entry; $100,000 to 1st, $40,000 to 2nd
- (DK) $20k Dogleg (Single Entry): $33 entry; $2,000 to 1st, $1,500 to 2nd
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK 3-max contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $125K PGA Eagle – $9.99 entry, 150 entry max. $25,000 to 1st, $10,000 to 2nd
This week’s expected chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Brooks Koepka $11,400 DK / $12,600 FD
- Keith Mitchell $9,100 DK / $10,200 FD
- Hideki Matsuyama $11,000 DK /$11,500 FD
- Charles Howell III $8,500 DK /$10,400 FD
This week’s low owned plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 15% owned)
- Lucas Bjerregaard $8,700 DK / $9,900 FD
- Jimmy Walker $7,700 DK / $9,400 FD
- Adam Schenk $7,000 DK / $8,500 FD
- Thorbjorn Olesen $8,100 DK / $9,900 FD
- Pat Perez $7,700 DK / $9,500 FD
Golfer Review:For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPP’s).
$11,000+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Brooks Koepka $11,400 DK / $12,600 FD: 20%+ exposure – Not much to say about Brooks that you don’t already know. Apparently we’re expecting chalk ownership on him this week and based on how roster construction has gone for me thus far, I think it’s better to build more lineups without him than with him.
$10,900-$9,400 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Jordan Spieth $10,800 DK / $11,200 FD: 20% exposure – He’s a member at Trinity Forest, so he’s familiar with the course which is evident by his 21stplace finish here last year when he was searching for his game. With everyone off of him this week I think he’s in play as a GPP pivot near the top of the board and allows you to build much more balanced lineups than Brooks.
Henrik Stenson $10,300 DK / $11,000 FD: 30% exposure – Stenson’s issues this season have come with the putter. We know he’s actually a decent putter most weeks, so a quick swing of the putting variance puts him at the top of the board from a statistical perspective this week.
Marc Leishman $10,000 / $10,800 FD: 25% exposure – The “Aussies in Texas” narrative lives on again this week as Leishman sets up as a strong play for many reasons. He’s a good wind player, finished well here last year, and has played well in the state of Texas the last two years. The current state of his game isn’t ideal, but that may mean we get him at reduced ownership this week.
Aaron Wise $9,400 DK / $10,900 FD: 25-30% exposure – Wise looks to be back in our good graces after another strong week in Charlotte and his game is much better suited for Trinity Forest (obviously, as he’s the defending champion). His ownership spiked a bit last week, which was a surprise, and while he’s a bit more expensive this week I think we can expect more of the same again this week with the rise in his play, which is why we’re going a bit heavier on our exposure.
$9,300 – $8,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Keith Mitchell $9,100 DK / $10,200 FD: 20% exposure – Trinity rewards a good off the tee game and the ability to putt on bermuda grass greens, and that’s exactly what Mitchell does well. Last week’s spike in ownership had a lot to do with minimal accountable options in his price range, and while there are a few more to choose from this week, I think we can expect higher ownership on him again after a strong performance in Charlotte.
Ryan Moore $8,800 DK / $$10,300 FD: 30% exposure – Moore’s a course fit for most courses due to his strong tee to green game and above average ability to putt. His history in Texas over the last two year’s is the best in the field, and we’re getting him while he’s in form so a strong performance this week wouldn’t be a surprise at all.
Lucas Bjerregaard $8,700 DK / $9,900 FD: 20% exposure – Bjerregaard gets his first look at Trinity Forest this week, and on the surface I think the course suits his game. He’s a strong driver of the ball and can get hot with the putter. He’s also a strong links player, which makes sense considering he gains a ton of strokes off the tee.
Rafa Cabrera Bello $8,600 DK / $10,500 FD: 20% exposure – Chalk Rafa week is upon us so it’d be silly not to include him in the article this week. His form is solid as he’s only missed two cuts in his last ten events and provides us with a ton of upside in his scoring ability. He does have the ability to let us down in ideal spots, so I’m not going to go crazy with my exposure to him in case he’s more concerned with getting to Bethpage for next week’s major.
Thorbjorn Olesen $8,100 DK / $9,900 FD: 20%+ exposure – Thunder Bear shouldn’t be a chalky play this week as most people just throw his name out when they’re grasping for straws. He’s a perfect GPP play in my opinion as he’s a typical brand play for this article – Strong APP game, poor putter. He’s similar to Brooks in his better finishes come in majors & WGC events, but this could be his coming out party on the PGA Tour.
<$7,900 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Jimmy Walker $7,700 DK / $9,400 FD: 15% exposure – Walker’s run-good in Texas is well known, as he’s won a few times in his home state. Last year’s debut at Trinity Forest was a bit of a surprise considering how bad he had been playing and while he’s a guy whose season long stats don’t really tell us a story as to when he’ll be good or not, I do think he’s a guy who just plays well on courses where he’s comfortable (specifically in Texas and Hawaii). Because of his expected low ownership, he’s in my GPP player pool this week.
Pat Perez $7,700 DK / $9,500 FD: 15% exposure – 8th last week and looks like he’s fully recovered from the surgery. Perez is a good ball striker who relies on good tee shots to get him in position to score and this week he won’t have much rough to deal with, which makes him a superb value play, in my opinion.
Trey Mullinax $7,600 DK / $8,900 FD: 25% exposure – Trey is basically a poor man’s Keith Mitchell as he’s great off the tee, strong from a ball striking perspective and a strong bermuda grass putter. He’s made 12 of 13 cuts this season so he offers us a sense of security in his cut making ability at close to bargain bin pricing, which is always nice.
Adam Schenk $7,000 DK / $8,500 FD: 15% exposure – Schenk is a good ball striker, which is actually being bumped up by his strong driving game as his approach game has been a bit suspect. His putter is reliable enough to bail him out of some bad scores, and is typically the deciding factor when carding birdies or better. He’s best suited as a GPP value play, but could be someone to look at in cash games if you’re in need of some salary relief.
Below are the 6 best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds
- Benjamin Silverman $6,200 DK
- Jonathan Byrd $6,400 DK
- Brandon Hagy $6,100 DK
- Alex Prugh $7,100 FD
- Sam Saunders $7,200 FD
- Brandon Harkins $7,200 FD
Last Week’s Hot Takes
- Top 10’s: Paul Casey (T4), JB Holmes (WD), Keith Mitchell (T8)
- Top 5’s: Rickie Fowler (T4), Phil Mickelson (MC)
- Winner: Rory McIlroy (T8) or Justin Rose (3rd)
This Week’s Hot Takes
- Top 10s: Trey Mullinax, Ryan Moore, Aaron Wise
- Top 5’s: Henrik Stenson, Marc Leishman
- Winner: Keith Mitchell