If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the club face. This article will serve the same purpose for your DFS lineups every week as we’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests this week
- DraftKings (DK) $1MM Mini Main Event: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $8 entry; $200,000 to 1st,$100,000 to 2nd
- (DK) $400K Champ Series Mid Main Event: 150 max entry – $88 entry; $100,000 to 1st, $40,000
- (DK) $50K Dogleg: Single entry – $33 entry; $5,000 to 1st, $3,500 to 2nd
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK 3-max contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $133K PGA Eagle – $9.99 entry, 150 entry max. $25,000 to 1st, $10,000 to 2nd
This week’s expected chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Jon Rahm $10,900 DK / $11,800 FD
- Sungjae Im $7,200 DK / $8,200 FD
- Justin Rose $10,200 DK /$11,400 FD
- Adam Scott $9,200 DK /$10,900 FD
Top 5 Highest Ownership Projections: Looking for the full list?Click here
This week’s low owned plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 15% owned)
- Matt Kuchar $8,200 DK / $9,700 FD
- Rory Sabbatini $7,400 DK / $8,200 FD
- Jordan Spieth $8,900 DK / $10,600 FD
- Si Woo Kim $6,500 DK / $7,500 FD
- Corey Conners $6,600 DK / $7,700 FD
Golfer Review: For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPP’s).
$11,000+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Rory McIlroy $11,500 DK / $12,100 FD: 15-20% exposure – Medinah seems like a good course fit for Rory. His ownership was non-existent last week, which was weird, even for him, though I do expect that to jump up this week following yet another Top 10. He crushed the strokes gained metrics off the tee and putting last week and pretty much has done that all year. In my opinion, he’s best suited for MME players this week.
$10,900-$9,500 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Jon Rahm $10,900 DK / $11,800 FD: 40% exposure – Rahm has been on an absolute tear the past two months. He’s finished inside the Top 10 in five of his last six events worldwide, including a Euro Tour win. His worst finish was 11th at The Open and he doesn’t look to be cooling down any time soon. At this point, I’m willing to forego playing most of the highest priced players the next two weeks and will be building all lineups featuring Rahm as my number one play.
Justin Rose $10,200 DK / $11,400 FD: 15-20% exposure – Last week’s 10th place finish should keep his ownership high yet again, but Rose did a ton of damage on the greens last week, gaining over 7.5 strokes putting. That’s not sustainable. That being said, gaining strokes on the greens is and he typically does a lot more from tee to green, which carries his game. I expect the pendulum to swing back to his baseline this week, which doesn’t affect whether or not I think we should be playing him – we should.
Justin Thomas $10,000 DK / $11,500 FD: 30-40% exposure – Last week marked JT’s fourth straight Top 15 and his game looks just as sharp as it did when he was one of the favorites early in the year. His skillset is perfect for another run this week as he’s long off the tee, solid from a ball striking perspective and can roll the rock on any surface.
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 DK / $11,200 FD:30-40% exposure – Two straight 12th place finishes and a penchant for turning up in big events, Cantlay playing well this week should be more of what we expect from the slow playing, fidgety ball striker as he’s got quite the resume built up already. Like JT, he possesses a game that’s fit for success on almost any course.
$9,400 – $8,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Tommy Fleetwood $9,000 DK / $10,800 FD: 20% exposure – Tommy didn’t really do a whole lot last week to inspire me to think he has a shot at winning this week, or even this year on the PGA Tour. That being said, at this price he doesn’t need to win to pay off, plus it’s a no cut event and we know he’s good when the pressure isn’t on him to make a cut and he’s definitely a strong course fit.
Jordan Spieth $8,900 DK / $10,600 FD: 15-20% exposure –Spieth did Spieth things last week for about 2 days before reverting back to how he’s played all of this year (bad). That being said, he does look like he’s getting much more comfortable on approach shots and playing a course with tree lined fairways might be a good thing for him as he’ll need to club down off the tee if he wants to keep it in the fairway. Eventually he’ll get back to draining everything he sees outside of 20’ and we need to take advantage of his low ownership when the opportunity presents itself.
Matt Kuchar $8,200 DK / $9,700 FD: 20+% exposure – He’s accurate off the tee and someone who we can rely on in most weeks, but when you see something in someone’s game that doesn’t look right, you have to jump on those opportunities. That all being said, Kuch is the type of player who refocuses his game when it hits rock bottom and his history the last two years after a missed cut speaks for itself regardless of what course he’s playing (4that RBC after MC at Memorial, 60th at Northern Trust after MC at PGA in 2018, 14th at WGC Bridgestone after MC at RBC Canada, 9that The Open after MC at US Open and 32nd at Charles Schwab after MC at Byron Nelson the last two years).
Bryson Dechambeau $8,300 DK / $10,000 FD: 15-20+% exposure – Bryson’s antics last week caused quite a stir, and if there’s one thing we know about DFS players it’s that they let personal biases affect their lineup construction. Bryson’s price is ridiculously low this week on DK and his expected ownership is equally as low so we need to take advantage of the situation. He’s no worse of a course fit than anyone else in this article, despite how he makes you feel when you watch him play (or see what everyone else is talking about on Twitter).
<$7,900 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Jason Kokrak $7,800 DK / $9,100 FD: 15-20% exposure –His ball striking continues to be the best part of his game and last week was another indication that he’s clicking on all cylinders. He’s great on long approaches and off the tee, so the only part of his game that doesn’t mesh with being a course fit would be the putting, and we all know how that can swing week-to-week.
Byeong Hun An $7,400 DK / $8,300 FD: 15-20% exposure –Phenomenal ball striker with a balky putter, but he’s shown signs of life as recently as two weeks ago at the Wydnham (weak-ish field). All he needs is an average week with the putter and he’ll turn in a Top 15 finish and has the potential to turn it into a Top 5 finish.
Corey Conners $6,600 DK / $7,700 FD: 15-20% exposure – His tee to green game is what everyone will be talking about this week, but he’s expected to be much less owned than I had expected coming off another good week. He’s a weekly value play whose price continues to plummet, making him a solid filler for our lineups this week for balanced and stars & scrubs builds.
Max Homa $6,100 DK / $7,000 FD: 15-20% exposure – Homa’s ball striking has been pretty solid since the win, enough to the point where he’s worth the recommendation this week especially considering those priced around him. He seems extremely motivated to keep plugging along through the playoffs, and that seems like enough reason to back him this week.
Below are the 6 best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds
- Andrew Putnum $7,300 DK
- Tiger Woods $8,000 DK
- JB Holmes $6,000 DK
- Ryan Moore $8,500 FD
- Cameron Champ $7,000 FD
- Troy Merritt $7,300 FD
Last week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Emiliano Grillo (MC), Jason Kokrak (T12), Justin Thomas (T12)
Top 5’s: Patrick Cantlay (T12), Jon Rahm (T3)
Winner: Rory McIlroy (T6)
This week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Matt Kuchar, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay
Top 5’s: Bryson Dechambeau, Byeong Hun An
Winner: Jon Rahm