If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the club face. This article will serve the same purpose for your DFS lineups every week as we’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests this week
- DraftKings (DK) PGA TOUR $250K Best Ball: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $8 entry; $50,000 to 1st,$20,000 to 2nd
- (DK) PGA TOUR $100K Club Twirl: 150 max entry – $44 entry; $20,000 to 1st, $10,000
- (DK) PGA TOUR $20K Dogleg: Single entry – $33 entry; $2,000 to 1st, $1,500 to 2nd
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK 3-max contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $50K PGA Eagle – $9 entry, 150 entry max. $10,000 to 1st, $4,000 to 2nd
This week’s expected chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Hideki Matsuyama $10,500 DK / $11,500 FD
- Byeong Hun An $9,500 DK / $10,800 FD
- Justin Thomas $11,600 DK /$12,200 FD
- Adam Scott $10,700 DK /$11,700 FD
Top 5 Highest Ownership Projections: Looking for the full list? Click here
This week’s low owned plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 10% owned)
- Charles Howell III $8,100 DK / $9,600 FD
- Max Homa $6,700 DK / $7,700 FD
- Doc Redman $7,200 DK / $8,200 FD
- Jhonattan Vegas $7,300 DK / $8,600 FD
- Daniel Berger $7,500 DK / $9,100 FD
For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPP’s).
$10,600+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Adam Scott $10,700 DK / $11,700 FD: 40% exposure – Slow greens season means its Adam Scott season (it’s actually a thing, unfortunately I don’t have the list of courses where he’s benefitted by slow greens, but his play at The Open Championships comes to mind). He hasn’t played since the FEC Playoffs, but he finished them in solid form 5th – 9th – 5th and should be a good bet to do well this week considering the key metrics we’re targeting.
$10,400-$9,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Hideki Matsuyama $10,500 DK / $11,500 FD: 40%+ exposure – Matsuyama tees it up for the first time this season and while he hasn’t played here in the last five years, he did finish 3rd in 2014 and 17th in 2015 so he does have some sense of the layout. Based on what he does well (driving, ball striking) he should be a solid course fit and hopefully the slow greens minimize his issues with the putter.
Sungjae Im $10,100 DK / $11,000 FD: 30%+ exposure – Runner-up last week after losing in the playoff to Munoz and when you combine that with the 4th place finish here last year it almost seems too good to be true that things align this week for him to finally cap off this long run with a win. The field is a bit stronger than last week, but he’s still a solid play and has to have some confidence in his game.
Brandt Snedeker $9,600 DK / $10,700 FD: 30% exposure – Poa-popping-putter stroke Sneds returns following a disappointing 45th place finish last week. He’s well-known for his putting on poa, and he’s a solid ball striker from tee to green so I’m treating last week’s performance as his first action in a month and he should be able to rebound well this week.
Byeong Hun An $9,500 DK / $10,800 FD:15-20% exposure – $600 discount on DK for BHA this week following a 3rd place finish last week. He’s still in form and hits all of the key stats like usual.
Ryan Moore is basically a free square on FanDuelat $7,000. Major mispricing on FanDuel’s part there
$8,900-$7,500 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Scott Piercy $8,600 DK / $8,300 FD: 15-20% exposure – I like him better on FanDuel than DraftKings, but he makes for a nice value play there as well. He’s a strong ball striker and a very, very poor putter so there will always be highs and lows, but the highs are exactly what we want for GPPs and if the putter is working, the highs will be very high.
Kevin Streelman $8,300 DK / $9,900 FD: 30+% exposure –25th – 13th – MC the last three years here, but the real highlight is his current play after firing a Sunday 64 to vault him into the Top 5 at the Sanderson Farms. He’s a Scottsdale resident and someone who has played well at several of our comp courses so seeing the form continue this week should be expected.
Phil Mickelson $8,200 DK / $9,700 FD: 30% exposure – 17th – 3rd – 8th the last three years here. It seems like he’s doing everything he can to get back to where he once was just a year or two ago, but his game really struggled this past season and we’re still seeing that in his price this week. He’s obviously comfortable on this course so he deserves a look in all formats.
Daniel Berger $7,500 DK / $9,100 FD: 20% exposure – Hasn’t played here the last three years, but finished T17 in 2015 after missing the cut in 2014. On the surface he shouldn’t be very highly owned because of his reputation of being a better putter on bermuda, but the rest of his game translates well for Silverado CC so he’s absolutely in play this week.
<$7,400 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Lanto Griffin $7,400 DK / $9,000 FD: 20-30% exposure –11th & 13thin his last two PGA Tour starts shows he’s definitely in form. Lanto is a strong tee to green player whose been putting really well through two starts this season, so I’d be a bit hesitant to go super heavily on my exposure to him as he’s only gained strokes on the greens for three straight events once during a June run that resulted in finishes of MC – MC – 38th
Martin Laird $7,300 DK / $9,000 FD: 10% exposure – 46th – 17th – 8th in his last three appearances at Silverado, a course where he’s played quite well over the years including 2014 when he finished 3rd. He missed the cut last week, but finished 47ththe week prior so it could’ve been just a bad round. I don’t know exactly as he’s not a player I purposely follow, but he does play well this time of year when the rest of his competition is either fighting to get into fields later in the year or is being given exemptions. He’s a fine play in all formats, but nothing too crazy.
Jhonattan Vegas $7,300 DK / $8,600 FD: 20% exposure – Strong tee to green player and an excellent ball striker. The slow poa greens should suit his game this week as well. He rarely sees much ownership except for the obvious weeks where driving the ball all over the place helps certain players so he won’t be highly owned. If we play him at core exposures and things go as planned, he could put all of our lineups over the cash line.
Max Homa $6,700 DK / $7,700 FD: 10% exposure – 2/3 made cuts here over the years including a 39th place finish in his debut in 2014. This is his first event since the FEC Playoffs so there’s some concern with rust as it’s been close to two months now without competitive play, but his price is low enough where he’s worth the risk of a missed cut.
Below are the 6 best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds
- Sam Ryder $6,800 DK
- Andrew Landry $6,700 DK
- Harry Higgs $6,600 DK
- Ryan Moore $7,000 FD
- Dominic Bozzelli $7,000 FD
- Cameron Percy $7,000 FD
Top 10’s: Lucas Glover (MC), Emiliano Grillo (T39), Doc Redman (T52)
Top 5’s: Corey Conners (MC), Sungjae Im (lost in playoff – 2nd)
Winner: Scottie Scheffler (T16)
This week’s hot takes
Top 10’s: Phil Mickelson, Sungjae Im, Jhonattan Vegas
Top 5’s: Kevin Streelman, Adam Scott
Winner: Hideki Matsuyama