If you’ve ever played golf, you know how important it is to hit the sweet spot on the clubface. This article will serve the same purpose for your lineups every week as a DFS tournament review. We’ll dive into the plays and try to find “the sweet spot” in each level of pricing to help your tournament lineups bring home bags of cash.
THE PLAYERS Championship DFS Tournament Review
DraftKings & FanDuel Contests This Week
- DraftKings (DK) PGA TOUR $2.25M THE PLAYERS Millionaire: 150 multi-entry (MME) GPP – $20 entry; $1,000,000 + DK Tournament of Champions entry to 1st, $100,000 to 2nd, $1,000 to 26th – 30th; min cash $30 (Less than 2x)
- (DK) PGA TOUR $75K Albatross: Single entry – $12 entry; $7,500 to 1st, $5,000 to 2nd, $1,000 to 6th; min cash $18 (Less than 2x)
- (DK) PGA TOUR $20K Long Drive: Single Entry – $100 entry; $3,000 to 1st, $2,000 to 2nd, $1,000 to 4th; min cash $200 (2x!!)
- Satellites. If your bankroll isn’t big enough to support playing $50+ GPPs, I’d recommend hitting as many satellites as you can to try to get into those big boy contests on both sites.
- DK limited max entry contests: Originally, I used to love the single-entry contests in golf, but with so much variance and being a GPP only player who typically doesn’t enjoy making hundreds of lineups by hand, this is my favorite way of getting more exposure to other good players while also getting some decent returns on good lineups.
- FanDuel (FD) $200K PGA Eagle – $9.99 entry, 150 entry max. $50,000 to 1st, $15,000 to 2nd, $1,000 to 8th; min cash $16 (Less than 2x)
This Week’s Expected Chalk (DraftKings / FanDuel)
- Rory McIlroy $11,700 DK / $12,200 FD
- Hideki Matsuyama $8,800 DK / $10,900 FD
- Webb Simpson $9,200 DK / $10,700 FD
- Bryson Dechambeau $9,100 DK /$11,300 FD
- Jon Rahm $11,000 DK /$12,000 FD
Top 5 Highest Ownership Projections: Looking for the full list? Click here
This Week’s Low Owned Plays (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Top 5 Lowest Ownership Projections (players you should actually consider under 12% owned)
- Billy Horschel $7,500 DK / $9,800 FD
- Abraham Ancer $7,200 DK / $8,900 FD
- Talor Gooch $6,900 DK / $7,000 FD
- Max Homa $6,600 DK / $8,500 FD
- Brendon Todd $7,100 DK / $8,700 FD
THE PLAYERS Championship DFS Tournament Review: The Golfers
For this section, I’ll list my favorite players at different price points to consider for tournaments (GPPs).
$11,000+ (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Rory McIlroy $11,700 DK / $12,200 FD: Defending champion who missed the cut here the year prior and has a roller coaster of finishes here over the years, Rory’s a no-brainer every week until he’s not so don’t overthink this play at all. He’s the best player in golf right now and we’re getting him $100 cheaper than last week on DK and the same price on FD.
$10,900-$9,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Dustin Johnson $10,000 DK / $11,800 FD: 6th SG: T2G, 2nd in ball striking 20th in putting and 2nd in DK points, DJ’s history here had been really poor outside of last year’s first Top 5. I think people will look at that as an outlier finish and click the names around him instead. My suggestion would be to stick with DJ when everyone else is down on him.
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 DK / $11,400 FD: MC – 23rd – 22nd in his only appearances at TPC Sawgrass on the PGA Tour. His form is solid leading in with a 17th at the WGC Mexico and 11th at Genesis. The California kid has avoided the Florida swing thus far and I’m guessing it has more to do with the conditions or his play historically in this area of the states, but his skillset and metrics line up for success here.
Webb Simpson $9,200 DK / $10,700 FD: A pair of 16th’s sandwich his win here in 2018 and he’s five weeks removed from his win at the WMPO. Webb’s a sneaky good play this week even at an elevated price tag compared to where he usually would be in this field, but I think that speaks to how good he’s been playing the past 2-3 years.
Bryson Dechambeau $9,100 DK / $11,300 FD: Course history for Bryson isn’t ideal, but he’s made both cuts (20th – 37th), the form is what’s really pulling me in here and it’s because of his off the tee and approach game (ball striking). He’s been almost as good as Rory this season and nobody is talking about it – Three straight Top 5’s, and four Top 10’s in his last five events.
$8,900-$8,000 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Hideki Matsuyama $8,800 DK / $10,900 FD: 8th – MC – 22nd – 7th his last four years here and playing some of his best/most consistent golf to date. The MC bug can hit anyone here, so I’m not too concerned with where he’ll finish based on how good his ball-striking has been this season.
Patrick Reed $8,500 DK / $10,500 FD: Reed’s priced in a perfect spot for us to jump aboard this week, as he’s already a winner in Mexico this year and looks poised to tack on another win before the end of the season. His history here has been worse than his price/odds indicate as he’s missed two cuts in six appearances, finished inside the Top 25 twice and has two finishes outside the Top 30, but I’m leaning more on his form than anything. If he can control his golf ball as he did for most of the WGC Mexico and more importantly putt as well as he did, he should be a good value play this week.
Paul Casey $8,200 DK / $10,100 FD: 5th SG: T2G, 3rd in ball striking, 52nd in putting and 6th in DK points, Casey’s history includes two (2) WD’s (eek!) and back-to-back Top 25’s along with three missed cuts. His form is solid as he’s made all of his cuts this season and finished 11th in Mexico following a 37th place finish at the Genesis.
Sergio Garcia $8,000 DK / $9,900 FD: A great value on the Spaniard this week as we know he’s similar to BHA in his ball-striking ability and actually a better putter on Pete Dye creations over the years as he ranks 84th in SG: Putting over his last 50 rounds on Dye courses. He’s a few years removed from a playoff here so he can definitely get to the podium if the putter cooperates.
< $7,900 (DraftKings / FanDuel)
Collin Morikawa $7,900 DK / $10,000 FD: Has only lost strokes from tee to green in 2 events since 2016. His game seems statistically made for this course – his putting and ball striking are solid, and this would be one helluva coming out party if he was able to grab a win here.
Matt Kuchar $7,800 DK / $9,700 FD: Kuch ranks 2nd in the field SG: T2G on Pete Dye courses over his last 50 rounds. 5th in ball striking, 59th in putting and 10th in DK Points. He hasn’t teed it up in two weeks, so he must be well-rested. Kuchar’s price in major fields is usually the ideal place to play him and it’s usually going to result in high ownership. He’ll be good chalk this week, in my opinion.
Byeong Hun An $7,800 DK / $9,000 FD: We all know about his game. Strong ball-striking poor putting, on Pete Dye courses it’s no different. That game has translated to one missed cut over the last three appearances and with conditions being a bit milder this week than the last two, I think we could see a ball-striking show from the DFS Twitter dandy this week.
Billy Horschel $7,500 DK / $9,800 FD: Florida courses and Billy Horschel. Finished decently in both events on the Florida swing thus far (nothing inside the Top 25, but still not bad). BillyHo has the bermuda putting splits and the state of mind to get around Sawgrass without making huge numbers, as he’s been vocal about playing more courses that take drivers out of the hands of the big dogs. I like Billy a lot this week.
< $7k DraftKings Options
- Talor Gooch $6,900 DK / $7,000 FD
- Max Homa $6,600 DK / $8,500 FD
- Keith Mitchell $6,600 DK / $8,100 FD
- Joel Dahmen $6,600 DK / $8,100 FD
- Sung Kang $6,400 DK / $7,800 FD
DFS Tournament Review Hot Takes
Below are the six best values when comparing DK & FD to Sportsbook Odds.
- JT Poston $6,400 DK
- Sung Kang $6,400 DK
- Jimmy Walker $6,000 DK
- Victor Perez $7,000 FD
- Patrick Rodgers $7,000 FD
- Sung Kang $7,800 FD
Last Week’s Hot Takes (API)
- Top 10’s: Max Homa (T24), Brendan Steele (MC), Henrik Stenson (MC)
- Top 5’s: Rory McIlroy (T5), Xander Schauffele (T24)
- Winner: Bryson Dechambeau (4th)
This Week’s Hot Takes
- Top 10’s: Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay, Byeong Hun An
- Top 5’s: Matt Kuchar, Dustin Johnson
- Winner: Bryson Dechambeau
Along with this DFS Tournament Review, Pari also offered a preview and cheat sheet for THE PLAYERS Championship!