Well folks, if you thought choosing a team defense in NFL DFS was difficult during the Wildcard Weekend, things won’t get any easier during the Divisional Round.
Well folks, if you thought choosing a team defense in NFL DFS was difficult during the Wildcard Weekend, things won’t get any easier during the Divisional Round. These guys stack up very closely when compared to each other, so the name of the game can be summed up in two words, “home favorites.” When putting lineups together, I decided to focus on the three defenses listed below.
New Orleans Saints: The Saints are home favorites (-8.0) and take on the Philadelphia Eagles, who have an implied team total of 21.3. This will serve as a rematch of week 11’s battle that saw the Saints allow a season-low seven points. They also came away with three sacks and three interceptions (13.0 fantasy points). Carson Wentz was at the helm back then, however, Nick Foles will soon learn that the only thing harder than playing at the Mercedes-Benz Super Bowl during the regular season is playing there in the playoffs.
New England Patriots: The Patriots are home favorites (- 4.5) and take on the Los Angeles Chargers, who have an implied team total of 21.3. The Patriots defense is less formidable than the Saints defense (New England ranked 16th in overall defensive DVOA), however, the venue tends to elevate their game. New England has posted double-digit fantasy points in each of its last three home games, including a 23.0 fantasy point outing against the New York Jets to wrap up the regular season.
Los Angeles Rams: The Rams are home favorites (-7.0) and take on the Dallas Cowboys, who have an implied team total of 21.3. According to Pro football focus, the Rams have had the league’s best pass rush this year (pressuring the opposing quarterback on 40% of their dropbacks), while the Cowboys were ninth worst overall in pressures allowed per drop back. While Dallas would like nothing more than to feed Ezekiel Elliott for the entire game, they are expected to be behind at some point and will need to try to open up the passing attack. That’s when the Rams defense will pounce.
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