Taylor shares the DraftKings Cash Game lineup she used on Sunday, and breaks down where it went right and where it went wrong!
Week 15 did not pan out as I hoped. I really liked the slate and I thought we had a lot of good options, as well as some decent value. My issue with week 15 was I really wanted to go after a more balanced lineup which ultimately ended up sending me to my cash game grave. Here is how week 15 shook out for me and the decisions that shaped my week….
There were two very popular quarterbacks this week who I knew would garner the majority of ownership in cash games. Deshaun Watson and Kyler Murray. Watson, week in and week out, has a massive floor due to his rushing upside as well as his touchdown equity. He had a fantastic matchup this week and a game that was projected to stay close, as well as playoff implications. Late in the season, I do like to pay close attention to the implications of games, as teams have been known to take the pedal off the gas just a little when things have already been decided and/or divisional matchups don’t matter. Watson really had no warts; it was really just me deciding to save salary make sure I liked the rest of my lineup. Murray was very underpriced, as he had just come off a stretch of games that would prove difficult for any signal caller, and I wanted to take advantage of the misprice, especially in a decent matchup. Murray let me get the rest of the pieces I wanted without sacrificing a rushing floor.
People went a lot of different directions this week with running back. You had Derrick Henry, who I thought was a little overpriced for his projection. You had Patrick Laird, who, well, I’m just not ever playing a running back without a secure role on a bad team in cash. And then you had the pool of guys who you basically had to mix and match. I considered Fournette, whose stats tell me every week is a smash play, and then when the games are over, they tell me I’m a moron. I am pretty much done with Fournette this season. The Jags are dust and I can’t justify paying those prices for a running back whose team is simply trying to paddle water. Chris Carson was a smash play this week and he was locked in since jump street. No Rashaad Penny, good matchup, positive game script. Doesn’t need too much analysis. CMC is a week in and week out fantasy juggernaut, and on a week with uncertainty, I felt his floor and ceiling were more important to my lineup than ever. I fully stand by my decision to use Gurley in cash. His workload has returned to normal touch counts, the Rams are not afraid to use him in the pass game, and he has just as good TD as any back in the league. His price at $6k was just too low for me to pass up.
Per usual, this is where it all went to hell in a handbasket. Chris Godwin was popular, but I just couldn’t get on board. I felt game script and the injury to Jameis would both negatively affect Godwin and it just wasn’t a play I could stomach going into the day, but in hindsight, I may have over thought it. Woods’ usage has been up since the Rams have tweaked their scheme to see more 2 TE sets, leaving Kupp and Cooks on the sidelines for these plays. His price was decent, and he had at least 9 targets in the three games before this week. I just couldn’t pass on him. Kirk had a good matchup with a dicey Browns secondary in one of the highest game totals on the week. He sees a huge market share of targets and DK just refuses to price him appropriately. Conley was an easy play and pretty popular too. With no DJ Chark, the target share in Jacksonville was busted wide open with Conley getting more a deep threat role and Dede staying in the slot. For his price, he was an elite value. What I should have done instead of all of this was take advantage of the Philadelphia WR and pay up at a spot instead of going so balanced. Balanced lineups are by no means -EV, but it is very slate specific, and I missed in this one.
TE truly came down to which of Thomas and Higbee I could afford after filling my other slots and it just so happened to be Thomas.
I went with the popular play of the week in the Detroit Lions. Home team, INJURED Jameis Winston, $2300. Didn’t work out as Jameis went nuclear, but I stand by the play.
2019 Cash Lineup Record: 9-7-1