Your weekly guide to Sunday evening’s Showdown slate on DraftKings. Ryan Clifford breaks down the top options at CAPT & FLEX, optimal stacking rules, and all of the slate-specific strategy you’ll need to get yourself atop the leaderboards!
I finally got around to recording my entire process for building MME Showdown lineups with the Elite Fantasy optimizer, which is now posted on the website under the main optimizer tutorials section. Here it is: Optimizer Tutorial for DK Showdown.
I won’t be able to record videos this weekend with the short turnaround time between games. We should all know how to do this by now, but if you don’t, you can always refer to the video above.
Setting Up the Optimizer
You’ll want to jump into our optimizer, which has been preloaded with our projections for the entire week, and then you can set up your initial groups:
- At least 1 QB (Trubisky, Brees)
- At most 1 K (Santos, Lutz)
- At most 1 DST (Bears, Saints)
- In the position stacks tab, stack CAPT with at least 1 QB/RB/WR/TE/K/DST from the same team
Building the Punt Pool
Next up, we need to put our “punts” into the player pool, as we’ll be building a group with them.
You must pay attention to the inactive list that is announced 60-90 minutes before kickoff. Make sure none of these guys are on that list. Some of them will probably be, and you’ll need to adjust your pool at that point.
Here are the punts you should add to your player pool at this point.
Ty Montgomery (RB), Michael Burton (RB), Lil’Jordan Humphrey (WR), Juwan Johnson (WR), Austin Carr (WR) (UPDATE: Montgomery, Johnson, and Carr are all inactive. Burton is not in DK’s player pool)
We should have a defensive battle on our hands this evening. Both teams rank in the top-10 in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. With Michael Thomas due back, these production in these offenses is extremely condensed to just a few players. I think this is probably a safe spot to fade the QB CAPT.
My CAPT pool with have both of the star running backs: Alvin Kamara and David Montgomery. I think both are obvious candidates.
As are Michael Thomas and Allen Robinson. With Darnell Mooney out, I’ll probably sprinkle in a bit of Anthony Miller, but just a taste. On the Saints side, I think we take a cautious approach and get some exposure to both Emmanuel Sanders and Jared Cook. Cook has started coming to life, of late, with double-digit DK points in four of his last five. Only two teams (Jaguars and Jets) allowed more fantasy points to opposing tight ends throughout the 2020 season.
Here’s a look at my approximate exposures at CAPT:
- Alvin Kamara 30%
- Michael Thomas 20%
- Allen Robinson 15%
- David Montgomery 12%
- Emmanuel Sanders 10%
- Jared Cook 10%
- Anthony Miller 3%
Filling the FLEX Pool
The last step is to fill in the FLEX pool with all of the remaining players that will appear. Again, you may need to adjust when inactives are released, but for now, you should have 32 total players in your pool.
CAPT (7): Kamara, Thomas, Sanders, Cook, Montgomery, Robinson, Miller
QB (3): Brees, Hill, Trubisky
RB (5): Kamara, Murray,
T. Montgomery, Burton, D. Montgomery
WR (9): Thomas, Sanders, Callaway,
Carr, Humphrey, Johnson, Robinson, Miller, Wims, Harris (UPDATE: adding Deonte Harris to my player pool)
TE (4): Cook, Trautman, Graham, Kmet
K (2): Lutz, Santos
DST (2): Saints, Bears
We’re ready to build! Head back into “Advanced Options” and use the following settings:
- 1-2 unique players
- $48,900 maximum salary
- max 3 offensive players vs. defense
- 15% randomness – MAKE SURE TO TURN ON & CLICK ON “CHANGE ALL PLAYERS” (see image below)
- 0.1 minimum projection included in calculation
Notable Positive Correlations
Mitchell Trubisky – Allen Robinson 0.48
Drew Brees – Michael Thomas 0.40
Drew Brees – Emmanuel Sanders 0.38
Mitchell Trubisky – Jimmy Graham 0.36
Drew Brees – Jared Cook 0.35
Mitchell Trubisky – Cole Kmet 0.34
Mitchell Trubisky – Anthony Miller 0.27
Drew Brees – Marquez Callaway 0.25
Mitchell Trubisky – Javon Wims 0.20
Mitchell Trubisky – Drew Brees 0.18
David Montgomery – Cairo Santos 0.17
Mitchell Trubisky – David Montgomery 0.16
Drew Brees – Adam Trautman 0.16
Notable Negative Correlations
Mitchell Trubisky – Saints DST -0.42
David Montgomery – Saints DST -0.30
Cairo Santos – Saints DST -0.19
Drew Brees – Saints DST -0.15
Allen Robinson – Saints DST -0.14
Jimmy Graham – Saints DST -0.13
David Montgomery – Taysom Hill -0.11
Cole Kmet – Saints DST -0.11
Bears DST – Drew Brees -0.10
Latavius Murray – Saints DST -0.10
Alvin Kamara – Michael Thomas -0.09
Alvin Kamara – Emmanuel Sanders -0.09
Michael Thomas – Saints DST -0.09
Latavius Murray – Alvin Kamara -0.08
Alvin Kamara – Bears DST -0.08
Alvin Kamara – David Montgomery -0.08
We’re ready to go. Click on “Calculate 50 Lineups” (or less depending on how many you are building) and your first 50 lineups will be built. If you’re like me, and you’re building more than that, click that same button again and spit out 50 more. With the randomness set to 15% and 3 unique players, you shouldn’t get too many duplicate lineups.
When you have your second set of 50 lineups, click on “select lineups” and “move 50 selected” from the drop down menu, and it will move all of the non-duplicated lineups over to your first batch. Keep repeating the process until you have your desired number of lineups.
Click on “export lineups”, make sure to select to proper slate, and your lineups are ready to upload into DK!
Remember to keep an eye on inactives, I’ll be in chat once they’re out.
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