Your weekly guide to Sunday night’s Showdown slate on DraftKings. Ryan Clifford breaks down the top options at CAPT & FLEX, optimal stacking rules, and all of the slate-specific strategy you’ll need to get yourself atop the leaderboards!
Again, I strongly recommend MME for these NFL Showdown slates. If you do only play single-entry, the same rules still apply, but again, it’s the optimal lineup winning these large-field GPP’s, and the more entries we put in, the better the chance of us landing on that perfect lineup.
Check out Sunday night’s video guide for setting up the optimizer for tonight’s Showdown contests (video is processing and will be available to view as soon as it’s done):
Setting Up the Optimizer
You’ll want to jump into our optimizer, which has been preloaded with our projections for the entire week, and then you can set up your initial groups:
- At least 1 QB (Jackson CAPT, Jackson, Newton CAPT, Newton)
- At most 1 K (Tucker, Folk)
- At most 1 DST (Ravens, Patriots)
- In the position stacks tab, stack CAPT with at least 1 QB/RB/WR/TE/K/DST from the same team
Building the Punt Pool
Next up, we need to put our “punts” into the player pool, as we’ll be building a group with them.
You must pay attention to the inactive list that is announced 60-90 minutes before kickoff. Make sure none of these guys are on that list. Some of them will probably be, and you’ll need to adjust your pool at that point.
Here are the punts you should add to your player pool at this point.
Ravens: Patrick Ricard (RB), Miles Boykin (WR), James Proche (WR)
Patriots: J.J. Taylor (RB), Jakob Johnson (RB), Jordan Thomas (TE)
Although it will be a bit windy in Foxboro tonight, both quarterbacks must be considered for our CAPT spots. Since 2019, Lamar Jackson and Cam Newton have been the optimal CAPT a combined 9 times out of 20 total appearances in the perfect lineup (2/5 for Newton, 7/15 for Jackson). I strongly prefer Jackson, but he’ll be the higher owned play, too.
The Ravens allow the fewest fantasy points in the league to opposing running backs. With the aggressiveness that this Baltimore defense plays with though, I’m expecting a ton of dump-offs to Rex Burkhead and James White tonight. I don’t want to waste too many of my precious CAPT spots on these two, but I will have perhaps 5% exposure to each of them on DK. Without PPR scoring on FanDuel, I don’t think you need to worry about either.
I will want some CAPT ownership on these Raven backs though. The Patriots are well-known for trying to eliminate the opposition’s top weapon. That is Lamar Jackson, and if they’re spying and trying to contain him to the pocket, there should be some massive holes for these backs to run through. J.K. Dobbins is the guy who will see the most work out of the backfield, but Gus Edwards has been the team’s goal line back. Mark Ingram is due back, but I don’t trust him as far as I can throw him across the street, injury or not.
We generally only want the WR1 and WR2 for CAPT exposure. Well, the Ravens WR2 has been Mark Andrews to this point. Marquise Brown is the only true receiver I care about on this team.
The Patriots WR situation is extremely unclear heading into tonight’s game. I think the only for sure option right now is Jakobi Meyers. Behind that, N’Keal Harry is back tonight, and Isaiah Ford will make his debut. How they work into the mix with the speedster Damiere Byrd is completely unknown. I’ll look to end up with no more than 5% of each of the latter three, with Meyers possibly around 10%.
Refer to the video above for detailed instructions on setting up tonight’s CAPT pools.
Filling the FLEX Pool
The last step is to fill in the FLEX pool with all of the remaining players that will appear. Again, you may need to adjust when inactives are released, but for now, you should have 41 total players in your pool.
CAPT (12): Jackson, Dobbins, Edwards, Brown, Andrews, Newton, Burkhead, White, Meyers, Byrd, Harry, Ford
QB (2): Jackson, Newton
RB (9): Dobbins, Edwards, Ingram, Ricard, Harris, Burkhead, White, Taylor, Johnson
WR (10): Brown, Snead, Duvernay, Boykin, Proche, Meyers, Byrd, Harry, Ford, Olszewski
TE (4): Andrews, Boyle, Izzo, Thomas
K (2): Tucker, Folk
DST (2): Ravens, Patriots
We’re ready to build! Head back into “Advanced Options” and use the following settings:
- 2 unique players
- $48,900 maximum salary – UPDATED
- max 3 offensive players vs. defense
- 15% randomness – MAKE SURE TO TURN ON & CLICK ON “CHANGE ALL PLAYERS” (see image below)
- 0.1 minimum projection included in calculation
Notable Positive Correlations
Lamar Jackson – Mark Andrews 0.31
Lamar Jackson – Marquise Brown 0.24
Cam Newton – Jakobi Meyers 0.24
Cam Newton – N’Keal Harry 0.22
Nick Folk – Patriots DST 0.20
Cam Newton – Damiere Byrd 0.19
Cam Newton – Nick Folk 0.19
Lamar Jackson – Willie Snead 0.18
Lamar Jackson – Miles Boykin 0.18
Cam Newton – James White 0.18
Cam Newton – Ryan Izzo 0.17
Justin Tucker – Ravens DST 0.15
Cam Newton – Rex Burkhead 0.14
Damien Harris – Patriots DST 0.14
Notable Negative Correlations
Lamar Jackson – Patriots DST -0.41
Gus Edwards – Patriots DST -0.23
Ravens DST – Cam Newton -0.23
Justin Tucker – Patriots DST -0.20
Mark Ingram – Patriots DST -0.18
We’re ready to go. Click on “Calculate 50 Lineups” (or less depending on how many you are building) and your first 50 lineups will be built. If you’re like me, and you’re building more than that, click that same button again and spit out 50 more. With the randomness set to 15% and 3 unique players, you shouldn’t get too many duplicate lineups.
When you have your second set of 50 lineups, click on “select lineups” and “move 50 selected” from the drop down menu, and it will move all of the non-duplicated lineups over to your first batch. Keep repeating the process until you have your desired number of lineups.
Click on “export lineups”, make sure to select to proper slate, and your lineups are ready to upload into DK!
Remember to keep an eye on inactives, I’ll be in chat once they’re out.
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