Your weekly guide to Sunday night’s Showdown slate on DraftKings. Ryan Clifford breaks down the top options at CAPT & FLEX, optimal stacking rules, and all of the slate-specific strategy you’ll need to get yourself atop the leaderboards!
I finally got around to recording my entire process for building MME Showdown lineups with the Elite Fantasy optimizer, which is now posted on the website under the main optimizer tutorials section. Here it is: Optimizer Tutorial for DK Showdown.
Setting Up the Optimizer
You’ll want to jump into our optimizer, which has been preloaded with our projections for the entire week, and then you can set up your initial groups:
- At least 1 QB (Allen CAPT, Allen, Mahomes)
- At most 1 K (Bass, Butker)
- At most 1 DST (Bills, Chiefs)
- In the position stacks tab, stack CAPT with at least 1 QB/RB/WR/TE/K/DST from the same team
Building the Punt Pool
Next up, we need to put our “punts” into the player pool, as we’ll be building a group with them.
You must pay attention to the inactive list that is announced 60-90 minutes before kickoff. Make sure none of these guys are on that list. Some of them will probably be, and you’ll need to adjust your pool at that point.
Here are the punts you should add to your player pool at this point.
Bills: T.J. Yeldon (RB), Isaiah McKenzie (WR), Kenny Stills (WR), Lee Smith (TE)
Chiefs: Nick Keizer (TE)
CAPT Pool
With Mahomes dealing with a turf toe injury, he’s not likely to be out there scrambling or rushing the ball at the goal line. As usual, it’s probably going to be either Kelce or Hill that pile up a monster game and get into the optimal CAPT spot if Mahomes has a big game. I’m going to take my chances and leave the reigning Super Bowl MVP out of my CAPT pool.
Josh Allen, on the other hand, has monster upside on the ground, as well as consistently big fantasy performances through the air. We’ll need some exposure to Buffalo’s quarterback.
As far as running backs go, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not likely to be 100%, so I’d expect a big chunk of work going to Darrel Williams. I think we can fade the position at CAPT.
For the Bills, Devin Singletary has the clear path to RB1 work with Zack Moss out. Kansas City tends to struggle against the run, so I’ll want some ownership with Singletary.
For the Chiefs, you can grab 5% each of Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman, if you’d like. Personally, I’d rather save my precious CAPT spots for Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. This KC offense completely revolves around these two players of late. It’s hard for me to imagine an outcome where Robinson or Hardman outscore either. I especially like Kelce in this matchup.
Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley are the Buffalo wideouts I’ll have CAPT exposure to. Diggs has been putting up Davante Adams-like numbers this season, while Beasley is more of a DK play with PPR scoring.
Here’s a look at my approximate exposures at CAPT:
- Travis Kelce 30%
- Stefon Diggs 25%
- Josh Allen 20%
- Tyreek Hill 15%
- Devin Singletary 5%
- Cole Beasley 5%
CAPT Groups
Josh Allen
Set Allen CAPT as key player. Use between 1-3 Buffalo WR/TE when key player is used.
Stefon Diggs/Cole Beasley
Set Diggs CAPT and Beasley CAPT as key players. Use at least one of Josh Allen (QB) and Devin Singletary (RB) when at least one of the key players is used.
Tyreek Hill/Travis Kelce
Set Hill CAPT and Kelce CAPT as key players. Use Patrick Mahomes (QB) when key player is used.
Filling the FLEX Pool
The last step is to fill in the FLEX pool with all of the remaining players that will appear. Again, you may need to adjust when inactives are released, but for now, you should have 29 total players in your pool.
CAPT (6): Allen, Singletary, Diggs, Beasley, Hill, Kelce
QB (2): Allen, Mahomes
RB (4): Singletary, Yeldon, Edwards-Helaire, Williams
WR (9): Diggs, Beasley, Brown, McKenzie, Stills, Hill, Hardman, Robinson, Pringle
TE (4): Knox, Smith, Kelce, Keizer
K (2): Bass, Butker
DST (2): Bills, Chiefs
Optimizer Settings
We’re ready to build! Head back into “Advanced Options” and use the following settings:
- 1-2 unique players
- $48,900 maximum salary
- max 3 offensive players vs. defense
- 15% randomness – MAKE SURE TO TURN ON & CLICK ON “CHANGE ALL PLAYERS” (see image below)
- 0.1 minimum projection included in calculation
Correlations
Notable Positive Correlations
Patrick Mahomes – Tyreek Hill 0.45
Patrick Mahomes – Travis Kelce 0.39
Josh Allen – Stefon Diggs 0.31
Josh Allen – John Brown 0.28
Patrick Mahomes – Mecole Hardman 0.26
Josh Allen – Cole Beasley 0.23
Patrick Mahomes – Demarcus Robinson 0.21
Josh Allen – Isaiah McKenzie 0.16
Devin Singletary – Tyler Bass 0.15
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Chiefs DST 0.15
Notable Negative Correlations
Josh Allen – Chiefs DST -0.50
Devin Singletary – Chiefs DST -0.24
Tyler Bass – Chiefs DST -0.21
Josh Allen – Clyde Edwards-Helaire -0.14
Devin Singletary – Clyde Edwards-Helaire -0.14
T.J. Yeldon – Chiefs DST -0.14
Stefon Diggs – Chiefs DST -0.11
Tyler Bass – Clyde Edwards-Helaire -0.11
Devin Singletary – Harrison Butker -0.10
Tyler Bass – Harrison Butker -0.10
Bills DST – Patrick Mahomes -0.10
Tyreek Hill – Travis Kelce -0.10
Build!
We’re ready to go. Click on “Calculate 50 Lineups” (or less depending on how many you are building) and your first 50 lineups will be built. If you’re like me, and you’re building more than that, click that same button again and spit out 50 more. With the randomness set to 15% and 3 unique players, you shouldn’t get too many duplicate lineups.
When you have your second set of 50 lineups, click on “select lineups” and “move 50 selected” from the drop down menu, and it will move all of the non-duplicated lineups over to your first batch. Keep repeating the process until you have your desired number of lineups.
Click on “export lineups”, make sure to select to proper slate, and your lineups are ready to upload into DK!
Conclusion
Remember to keep an eye on inactives, I’ll be in chat once they’re out.
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