Check out Scotty C’s Cash Game Breakdown for tonight’s six-game NBA DFS slate!!
We’ve got six games tonight and not a lot in the way of news (yet), which is unusual for this Covid season. Aaron Gordon is out for the Magic, Marcus Smart is out for the Celtics and James Wiseman will miss for the Warriors. Jonas Valanciunas and Grayson Allen continue to be out for the Grizzlies.
There are a number of spendups in the two high-total games on tonight’s slate – POR/WAS and LAC/BRO – so if we do get any news that opens up good, cheap value, we can move towards more of a stars and scrubs approach.
As it is, pricing is a little tight so we’ll really look to take advantage of price discrepancies between the sites. Let’s get into it.
Russell Westbrook (9100 DK, 10000 FD) – Russ had been limited for three games after returning from injury, but exploded for 73 fantasy points in 35 minutes on Sunday. Should be a great game environment tonight for fantasy and the pricing is solid on DK. Now that the minutes appear like they’re back, it’s a good time to hop back on the Russ train after a difficult stretch.
Kemba Walker ($6700 DK, $5700 FD) – If you rostered Kemba over the last two games, you might be looking at this play with a jaundiced eye, but 5700 is too cheap for 28-29 minutes of a guy with his ability and track record, and we don’t mind the matchup against Steph and the Warriors. We should take advantage because he won’t be this cheap for long.
Damian Lillard (10700 DK, 10200 FD) – The Blazers saved Lillard last night after the Bucks built a huge lead and he was limited to just 27 minutes, which sets up well for tonight. We’ve seen times where the usage % has reached 40% with McCollum out and Lillard goes into absolute Beast Mode. He also loves matching up against Westbrook. Lillard is the preferred play over Westbrook on FD, but I’d rather take the extreme savings on Westbrook over on DK tonight.
Kyle Lowry ($7300 DK, $7500 FD) – Didn’t shoot it particularly well, but racked up 15 assists against this same Magic squad on Sunday to the tune of 47 fantasy points. The big three for the Raptors are all priced in the $7k’s tonight on DK, which puts all of them in play for cash in this matchup.
Paul George ($8900 DK, $8400 FD) – We are seeing a historically leaky defense (and potent offense) from this Nets squad since the big trade and this is reflected in the 242 total. We can get PG-13 for $1200 less on FD than Kawhi, which is enticing, while Kawhi is the preferred play between the two on DK.
De’Anthony Melton ($4500 DK, $4900 FD) – Melton has been helped out a little the past two games by some blowout run, but he’s still likely looking at 24-25 minutes tonight regardless. 13 and 14 shot attempts the past two games and Melton is also a strong contributor across multiple categories.
Fred Van Vleet ($7400 DK, $8800 FD) – Tough one last time out but don’t be afraid to run it back with FVV, who has been outstanding all year long. Both Lowry and FVV project similarly well on DK, but the added positional flexibility of FVV could help him find his way into your lineups there.
Jeremy Lamb ($5300 DK, $5100 FD) – He’s fine as a last guy into your lineups type of play. Should see around 30-31 minutes. Isn’t likely to give us any upside with Brogdon and Sabonis dominating the offense, but on most nights will get us 25+ fantasy points.
Kawhi Leonard ($9200 DK, $9600 FD) – The Clippers average 114.5 ppg on the season but are projected to score 122. We’ve also got a marquee matchup and a projected close game, which could easily push Kawhi up into that 38-39 minute range, something we’ve seen a few times this year when the Clippers have needed a little extra from their superstar.
Terrance Ross ($5300 DK, $4700 FD) – Five shot attempts last game which is very un-Ross like. With coach Steve Clifford staring down the bench at the likes of Gary Clark, James Ennis and Dwayne Bacon to help fill in for Gordon, it could easily be Ross jumping up into that 32-33 minutes territory instead. I think we see a correction tonight for Ross where he comes out aggressive and gets up 14-15 shot attempts for a team that desperately needs his offense.
Justin Holiday ($4900 DK, $4600 FD) – I can’t stand rostering this guy but he’s playing all the minutes right now and that’s why he projects well.
Rui Hachimura ($5300 DK, $4700 FD) – This is a nice price point on FD for Hachimura. The upside is somewhat limited with Russ and Beal dominating the ball, but he should be able to cobble together value given the projected pace of this game.
Brandon Clarke ($6200 DK, $6400 FD) – Clarke has been a Steady Eddie for the Grizzlies over the past couple weeks. His minutes were limited by blowouts the past two games, but he’s got a great shot of seeing 30+ in anything reasonably close. Averages nearly a FPPM and has shown a solid floor in his current role.
Pascal Siakam ($7700 DK, $8300 FD) – Put together a monster 55 fantasy point game against Orlando on Sunday. No Gordon should only help his cause. It’s always tough to predict how things will shake out between the big 3 on Toronto, but at their price points on DK, they all project well.
Davis Bertans ($4700 DK, $4300 FD) – Bertans has had an incredibly slow start to the season, but it was great to see him ramp up to 30 minutes of action last game. He’s been ice cold of late but he’s still a great shooter and this is a really low price point for him. We’re also getting additional exposure to one of the highest total games on the slate.
Robert Covington ($5200 DK, $4900 FD) – RoCo’s floor is terrifying, but really we’re playing the matchup and game environment here against Washington. RoCo should be able to find his way to value racking up peripheral stats while any sort of contribution in the scoring department would be a bonus.
Draymond Green ($4900 DK, $4900 FD) – I cringe. If there’s anyone DFSers have wanted to punch in the face this year, it might be Draymond. We haven’t seen any minutes upside from him, which has been disappointing, but we’ve seen a minutes floor. Fortunately, the loss of Wiseman leaves the Warriors thin up front, which gives us an increased chance of seeing the 29-31 minutes we’re hoping for from him.
Kevon Looney ($3400 DK, $3900 FD) – With Wiseman out for the Warriors, Looney should step into more minutes than usual. He’s not going to play 30+ or anything like that, but anywhere from 22-24 should be enough to get him to value and to help you pay up elsewhere. I’d expect him to be highly owned on DK.
Enes Kanter ($6900 DK, $7000 FD) – As long as Kanter continues to start with Nurkic out, he’ll be a double-double machine with plenty of upside at this price. We should see a high number of possessions and shots in this Was/Por game, which means rebounding opportunities for Kanter, particularly on the offensive end, an area where he excels. Nothing better than seeing the offensive rebound, offensive rebound, put back in the play-by-play feed.
Nik Vucevic ($8200 DK, $8800 FD) – A really nice discount for Vuc on DK. Has had a couple tough shooting games in a row but still managed 45.5 fantasy points against this same Toronto team on Sunday. The loss of Aaron Gordon could help pop his usage up beyond 30%. This is a strong buy low opportunity, particularly on DK, for a staple in cash games.
DK Core: Russell Westbrook, Kawhi Leonard, Kevon Looney, De’Anthony Melton
FD Core: Damian Lillard, Paul George, Kemba Walker, Brandon Clarke