– Goran Dragic is OUT
NOTES: This is obviously not news as Dragic has been out for a long time. What's notable is that Justise Winslow has become essentially the starting point guard in his absence and is averaging nearly six assists over his past seven games. One thing to keep an eye on with this Heat team is Dion Waiters is back healthy. He played about 11 minutes in his first game back but didn't crack the rotation in the last one. If he starts seeing time, he could further complicate what is already a deep rotation.
– Taurean Prince is OUT
– Kent Bazemore is OUT
NOTES: Prince has been out a long time and Baze has missed the last three games. Kevin Huerter has been the main beneficiary here as he's averaged over 39 minutes a game the past three games. He's been getting big minutes no matter what, even seeing 34 in a massive blowout last time out against the Bucks when the Hawks were down 33 at half. Daniel Hamilton has entered the starting lineup but it's worth keeping an eye on whether that will continue going forward as he has mostly been a non-factor. We've seen consistent minutes – 28 mpg over his past six – and consistent production from DeAndre' Bembry off the bench and his spot in the rotation appears secure (or as secure as a rotation spot can be on an insanely bad team).
– John Wall is OUT
– Markieff Morris is OUT
NOTES: Tomas Satoransky has averaged just over 35 minutes a game since Wall went down with a season-ending injury. Unfortunately, his price has caught up to his new role on DK and FD, but he's still pretty decently priced on Yahoo at $17. Bradley Beal has averaged 1.26 FPPM on 31.4% usage in 455 minutes when not on the court with Wall this year, and if we project him for 36-40 minutes tonight, that's between 45-51 fantasy points, which ain't bad at all. There should be plenty of opportunity for hero-ball on the road against OKC. Jeff Green and Trevor Ariza have filled in in the absence of Morris with both playing huge minutes (especially Ariza), but Otto Porter Jr. is working his way back from injury and should see his minutes increase after playing 21 minutes last game.
– Alex Abrines is OUT
NOTES: Terrence Ferguson has stepped in as the starter and played 25, 19, and 26 minutes over the past three games and done absolutely nothing. HOWEVER, if he continues to play this many minutes, at the stone cold minimum on both DK and FD, he will at some point have a game where he plays well. He's total Kool-Aid, but if I'm playing 10 GPP teams, he's a guy I'd be willing to throw on a team if he starts again, just in case he puts a decent game together.
– Myles Turner is a GTD
NOTES: Turner played last game after being a GTD so it seems likely he would be a go here. If he doesn't play, Domantas Sabonis would have some excellent minutes upside and he averages 1.31 FPPM on the season, Kyle O'Quinn becomes interesting off the bench, and Thad Young could see a slight bump as well.
– Kawhi Leonard is OUT
– Kyle Lowry is a GTD
NOTES: I love this spot for Pascal Siakam. He's been an absolute stud over the past four games, averaging 22 points and 8 rebounds, and that was with Kawhi in the lineup. With Kawhi out, and potentially Lowry out, look for Siakam to take on even more of the offensive load. Serge Ibaka could also see 32+ minutes and an increase in usage without Kawhi. Another player to keep an eye on is Norman Powell who has played more than 20 minutes off the bench in five of the past seven games and whose minutes would likely be more secure with Kawhi out. If Lowry misses, and with Kawhi out, we'd obviously have Fred Van Vleet running the show, but we could also see more Delon Wright as well.
– Jeremy Lamb is Q
– Cody Zeller is OUT
NOTES: The Hornets struggled with Wily Hernangomez starting in place of Zeller two games ago so they turned to Bismack Biyombo yesterday and he delivered with 16 points, 12 rebounds, 2 blocks, and 2 steals, though the Hornets still lost. Expect Biyombo to earn another start today against DeAndre Ayton and the Suns. Biyombo is just $3400 on DK and $3600 on FD, which makes him clearly the top value play on the board. Devonte' Graham has stepped in as the starter in place of Jeremy Lamb. If Lamb is out and he continues to start, he makes for a strong value play as well. It would also not be surprising at all to see Nicolas Batum, who has been quiet offensively all year, take on more minutes and become more aggressive on the offensive end if Lamb continues to miss. We've seen the kind of upside Batum possesses in past years and he's still cheap on both sits at under 5k.
Tyler Johnson ($5,100 DK, $4,900 FD) – Johnson is an athletic guard who loves to push the pace and get to the rim. This is an ideal game scenario for him against the Hawks who run and gun and don't play any defense whatsoever. Johnson could also pick up a few extra minutes if this one gets out of hand. This is a home game for the Hawks, so you'd hope they'd come out with some energy and make it competitive, but they're also playing very poorly right now and could just as easily lay an egg. This is a spot where I could see Johnson hitting 30-35 fantasy points which would give us that 6-7x we're looking for.
Kemba Walker (9,200 DK, $8,900 FD) – Kemba has been quiet of late but there's nothing like a matchup against the Suns to get a player on track. I really like pairing Kemba with Devin Booker as they both can score in bunches and I can envision a scenario where they go back and forth looking to "one-up" each other if this one stays close. We all know how explosive Kemba can be and this is an ideal spot for him to get it going.
Devin Booker ($8,900 DK, $9,000 FD) – I was debating whether to write up Booker or TJ Warren, both of whom I like today, but ultimately chose Booker, who is coming off a bit of a down game and should come out firing in this one. The Suns will view this one as a winnable game at home, which gives Booker 38-40 minute upside. Booker is an absolute beast on the offensive end and this feels like a game where he could really go off.
Dennis Schroder ($5,300 DK, $5,400 FD) – Schroder feels a bit underpriced. He's seeing right around 28-30 minutes a night, but if this one gets out of hand, or is on the cusp of getting out of hand, his rotation coming off the bench should put him on the floor during that late first half, early second half time when a lot of games turn into blowouts, and he could pick up a few extra minutes during a stretch when the other team has given up and the game is easy.
Nicolas Batum ($4,700 DK, $4,800 FD) – Yes, I'm a sucker for Batum, but I do think in the absence of Jeremy Lamb and his 21.5% usage, there's room for Batum to step into a larger role, which he has done in the past for this team. He also gets an outstanding matchup against the Suns, in a game, on the road, where the Suns should be able to keep it competitive. EDIT: Jeremy Lamb is now Q.
Justise Winslow ($6,900 DK, $7,000 FD) – Winslow is the de facto starting point guard for the Heat even though we think of him more as a wing player. This is a superb matchup against the Hawks who are a terrible defensive unit. With the ball in Winslow's hands making plays, he should rack up assists while being a more than capable rebounder and scorer.
Pascal Siakam ($6,500 DK, $7,100 FD) – Talked a little bit about Siakam above. He's been outstanding this season, but especially recently, and this is an ideal spot for him to step up even more with Kawhi Leonard out and potentially Kyle Lowry as well. Siakam is already a point per minute guy, and in this situation, though the matchup isn't ideal against the Pacers, he's got both minutes upside and the opporunity to get up a bunch of shots and take on a ton of usage.
Domantas Sabonis ($6,800 DK, $7,000 FD) – Sabonis gets a nice boost if Turner sits, but he's very much playable even if Turner plays. The Raptors' achilles heel all year long has been allowing too many offensive rebounds and Sabonis is excellent in that department. The possibility that Turner sits combined with the fact that he's beat up even if he does play makes Sabonis an intriguing option.
Bismack Biyombo ($3,400 DK, $3,600 FD) – I'm torn on Biyombo because he's a player that you absolutely cannot trust. There's a reason why, after eight years in the league, he's never been a successful starter. However, he's just so cheap and the 10x upside is there. If you wanted to get super funky and think that Biyombo might run into some foul trouble or be otherwise ineffective, you could turn to Wily Hernangomez here as a GPP pivot, but I wouldn't go too crazy with it.
Steven Adams ($7,400 DK, $7,100 FD) – Adams is a grown man who should have his way with the young Thomas Bryant in the paint. I expect Adams to be able to bully Bryant and get several easy buckets close to the hoop. This is a great spot for Adams to get a double-double and I'm expecting one from him tonight.