Your weekly guide to Saturday evening’s Showdown slate on DraftKings. Ryan Clifford breaks down the top options at CAPT & FLEX, optimal stacking rules, and all of the slate-specific strategy you’ll need to get yourself atop the leaderboards!
I finally got around to recording my entire process for building MME Showdown lineups with the Elite Fantasy optimizer, which is now posted on the website under the main optimizer tutorials section. Here it is: Optimizer Tutorial for DK Showdown.
I won’t be able to record videos this week with the short turnaround time between games. We should all know how to do this by now, but if you don’t, you can always refer to the video above.
Setting Up the Optimizer
You’ll want to jump into our optimizer, which has been preloaded with our projections for the entire week, and then you can set up your initial groups:
- At least 1 QB (Goff CAPT, Goff, Wilson CAPT, Wilson)
- At most 1 K (Gay, Myers)
- At most 1 DST (Rams, Seahawks)
- In the position stacks tab, stack CAPT with at least 1 QB/RB/WR/TE/K/DST from the same team
Building the Punt Pool
Next up, we need to put our “punts” into the player pool, as we’ll be building a group with them.
You must pay attention to the inactive list that is announced 60-90 minutes before kickoff. Make sure none of these guys are on that list. Some of them will probably be, and you’ll need to adjust your pool at that point.
Here are the punts you should add to your player pool at this point.
Rams: Johnny Mundt (TE)
Seahawks: Rashard Penny (RB), Freddie Swain (WR), Colby Parkinson (TE), Greg Olsen, TE)
Russell Wilson has the obvious upside with his legs. He’s appeared as the optimal CAPT four times out of 23 total appearances in perfect lineups. I don’t think ownership will be too high that we can’t at least match the field here.
Jared Goff will probably have little ownership with his thumb injury coming in. Listen, if he suits up, he’ll be able to throw the ball. The Rams are not going to throw him out to the wolves unable to throw in the playoffs. We obviously need to keep an eye on inactives, but if he’s in, I think he’s the type of quarterback that can throw 4 touchdown passes to 4 different receivers. We may even be able to get a bit of leverage on the field here.
Chris Carson and Cam Akers are the clear RB1’s and should be treated as such.
The receivers are also pretty clear here. We want exposure to Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf on Seattle’s side; Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods on the Rams side. I’ll also have a small taste of Josh Reynolds in my builds. He’s been solid against the Seahawks this season.
Here’s a look at my approximate exposures at CAPT:
- Russell Wilson 16%
- Cam Akers 15%
- Jared Goff 12%
- Robert Woods 12%
- D.K. Metcalf 12%
- Tyler Lockett 12%
- Chris Carson 10%
- Cooper Kupp 8%
- Josh Reynolds 3%
Refer to the video above for detailed instructions on setting up tonight’s CAPT pools.
Filling the FLEX Pool
The last step is to fill in the FLEX pool with all of the remaining players that will appear. Again, you may need to adjust when inactives are released, but for now, you should have 35 total players in your pool.
CAPT (9): Goff, Akers, Woods, Kupp, Reynolds, Wilson, Carson, Metcalf, Lockett
QB (2): Goff, Wilson
RB (5): Akers, Brown, Carson, Hyde, Penny
WR (8): Woods, Kupp, Reynolds, Jefferson, Metcalf, Lockett, Moore, Swain
TE (7): Higbee, Everett, Mundt, Dissly, Hollister, Olsen, Parkinson
K (2): Gay, Myers
DST (2): Rams, Seahawks
We’re ready to build! Head back into “Advanced Options” and use the following settings:
- 1-2 unique players
- $48,900 maximum salary
- max 3 offensive players vs. defense
- 15% randomness – MAKE SURE TO TURN ON & CLICK ON “CHANGE ALL PLAYERS” (see image below)
- 0.1 minimum projection included in calculation
Notable Positive Correlations
Jared Goff – Robert Woods 0.36
Russell Wilson – Tyler Lockett 0.34
Russell Wilson – D.K. Metcalf 0.33
Jared Goff – Cooper Kupp 0.31
Jared Goff – Tyler Higbee 0.29
Jared Goff – Josh Reynolds 0.22
Jared Goff – Gerald Everett 0.20
Russell Wilson – David Moore 0.18
Jason Myers – Seahawks DST 0.17
Jared Goff – Van Jefferson 0.16
Russell Wilson – Will Dissly 0.16
Russell Wilson – Jacob Hollister 0.15
Notable Negative Correlations
Jared Goff – Seahawks DST -0.51
Cam Akers – Seahawks DST -0.27
Matt Gay – Seahawks DST -0.25
Matt Gay – Russell Wilson -0.19
Rams DST – Russell Wilson -0.19
Robert Woods – Seahawks -0.16
Jared Goff – Jason Myers -0.14
Jared Goff – Russell Wilson -0.14
Cam Akers – Russell Wilson -0.14
Tyler Higbee – Seahawks -0.13
Chris Carson – D.K. Metcalf -0.12
Chris Carson – Tyler Lockett -0.12
D.K. Metcalf – Tyler Lockett -0.12
Cam Akers – Jason Myers -0.11
Cooper Kupp – Seahawks DST -0.11
Jared Goff – Chris Carson -0.10
Cam Akers – Chris Carson -0.10
Matt Gay – Chris Carson -0.10
We’re ready to go. Click on “Calculate 50 Lineups” (or less depending on how many you are building) and your first 50 lineups will be built. If you’re like me, and you’re building more than that, click that same button again and spit out 50 more. With the randomness set to 15% and 3 unique players, you shouldn’t get too many duplicate lineups.
When you have your second set of 50 lineups, click on “select lineups” and “move 50 selected” from the drop down menu, and it will move all of the non-duplicated lineups over to your first batch. Keep repeating the process until you have your desired number of lineups.
Click on “export lineups”, make sure to select to proper slate, and your lineups are ready to upload into DK!
Remember to keep an eye on inactives, I’ll be in chat once they’re out.
Follow me on Twitter @RyanClifford