Game one of the Stanley Cup Finals faces off shortly after 8:00pm on the east coast. We’ve got some huge Showdown GPP’s in the DraftKings lobby, and here’s a look at the players I’ll be targeting for my lineups tonight.
RYAN’S RULES FOR BUILDING OPTIMAL NHL SHOWDOWN LINEUPS
RULE #1: Set minimum salary to $42,000, maximum to $50,000
RULE #2: Use at least 4 players for one team
RULE #3: Don’t play both team’s goaltenders
RULE #4: Play no more than 2 defensemen
RULE #5: Do not full-stack any lines
RULE #6: No more than 1 mini-stack
RULE #7: Use only lines 1 & 2 when mini-stacking
RULE #8: Multi-enter whenever possible
ST. LOUIS BLUES @ BOSTON BRUINS (8:05pm Faceoff)
Game One (Series tied 0-0)
Implied Odds: Boston 59% | Total: 5.0
Boston will start the series with their “big 3” together. I’m not going to fade these guys on home ice in game one of the Finals. Jordan Binnington has been good – but let’s not forget this is still a rookie goaltender, being pushed onto the biggest of stages, and in hostile territory. The Bruins have converted on a playoff best 34% of their power play chances, while the St. Louis PK ranks 11th out of 16 teams – killing just 78% of their opposition’s chances. I’m going to go ahead and eat the chalk tonight – I’ll have a BOS1 mini-stack in about 80% of my lineups.
Brayden Schenn had been elevating his play throughout the Western Conference finals (points in 3 of last 4 games), while Jaden Schwartz’s production dipped (points in just 1 of those 4 games). I won’t have many STL1 minis, but Schenn/Tarasenko would be my favorite combo from that group. We know what Jaden Schwartz is capable of – a hat-trick in game five – but with his salary and ownership likely being higher, and his recent production lower than Schenn’s – that’s a stand I’m willing to take tonight. I may have 1 or 2 Schwartz/Tarasenko mini’s, but that’s about it.
I’m expecting a really slow pace when Krejci and O’Reilly are on the ice. Outside of some one-offs, I’m not too interested in the second-liners.
Tyler Bozak – with 3 goals in 6 games against San Jose – is one of my favorite one-offs for price and upside. The Blues third line continues to generate a whole lot of shots/chances/goals, and Bozak not only gives you exposure to the even-strength production of STL3, but you’re also getting exposure to the St. Louis PP1, as well as fantasy points for faceoff wins.
I’m limiting my player pool tonight. With an over/under of just 5 goals, I want to tighten things up a bit. Some notable omissions from my one-off pool are Pastrnak (will have mini-stack exposure, but don’t see a scenario where he has a ceiling game and Marchand or Bergeron don’t), Schwartz (lack of recent production and a potential BOS1 shadow) and O’Reilly (very low peripheral floor and I think if they are out against BOS2 for a majority of their 5v5 time, they’ll be playing at a snail’s pace. Obviously, all of these players could have a big game, and I wouldn’t fault you at all for rostering them, but personally, that’s where I’m at tonight.
Favorite Mini-Stacks: Schenn/Tarasenko; Schwartz/Tarasenko; Bergeron/Marchand; Bergeron/Pastrnak; Marchand/Pastrnak
One-Off Player Pool: STL – Binnington, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Bozak, Tarasenko, Perron, Sundqvist, Barbashev; BOS – Rask, Krug, Bergeron, Krejci, Coyle, Marchand, DeBrusk, Johansson