The stakes don’t get much higher than Game 7 in the NHL Playoffs. We have two of them tonight, as Boston/Toronto and San Jose/Vegas will decide their fates.
This will also be the final DFS slate of round one – only a Showdown contest awaits us tomorrow. Here’s a brief overview of tonight’s action, followed by a breakdown of my favorite skaters, stacks and goalies for DFS contests tonight:
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS @ BOSTON BRUINS (7:05pm Faceoff)
Game Seven (Series Tied 3-3)
Implied Odds: Boston 56% | Total: 5.5
Both teams will field the same lineups in game seven. This means Danton Heinen will start alongside of Bergeron and Marchand on the top line. These three have been solid together – dominating possession and generating a huge amount of shots, chances and goals. They’ll get a lot of time against TOR1, which plays at a fast pace, which should benefit BOS1 greatly. McAvoy and Chara will mostly skate with the Bergeron line, so either of them fit as an add-on with the stack.
The Bruins power play has gone 7-for-16 (43.8%) against Toronto this series. Once again, stacking Pastrnak and Krug with that top line is a nice way to differentiate a little bit, and a Pastrnak/Krug mini-stack is a nice way to fill out a lineup if you have a D/UTIL left to fill.
That’s about all I like on the Bruins side tonight. As I have all series, I will have exposure to both TOR2 and TOR3. The only difference here is on the blue line. Morgan Rielly started skating with TOR1 more in game five, so I don’t consider him someone you need to add onto TOR2 stacks. He’s still a nice option, with power play correlation to Matthews and Johnsson – and he’s also my top cash-game defenseman – but I wouldn’t even have built a TOR2 lineup if I couldn’t fit Rielly in recent weeks…that’s not the case tonight.
Favorite GPP Stacks: TOR2 – Matthews/Johnsson/Kapanen (Rielly optional); TOR3 – Nylander/Marleau (Brown optional); BOS1 – Bergeron/Marchand/Heinen (McAvoy or Chara optional); BOS PP1 – Bergeron/Marchand/Pastrnak/Krug (Heinen optional for full BOS1 correlation)
Favorite Cash Options: C Auston Matthews (TOR); C John Tavares (TOR); W Patrick Marleau (TOR); D Morgan Rielly (TOR); W Brad Marchand (BOS); W David Pastrnak (BOS); W Noel Acciari (BOS); D Torey Krug (BOS)
Favorite Goalies: Frederik Andersen (TOR); Tuukka Rask (BOS)
VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS @ SAN JOSE SHARKS (10:05pm Faceoff)
Game Seven (Series Tied 3-3)
Implied Odds: San Jose 52% | Total: 6.0
There are whispers from both teams about some possible lineup changes tonight. We won’t know what these are until pre-game skate, so you must keep an eye on lines tonight. I don’t expect the Vegas top-six forwards to change, but I could see the Sharks mixing things up. As it stands now, though, they’re projected to roll out Meier/Pavelski/Couture (vs. VGK2) and Hertl/Kane/Nyquist (vs. VGK1). As I have all series, I really like VGK1 in this spot – especially now that the Hertl line is getting matched up with them. Marchessault/Karlsson/Smith are dominating possession, and piling up shots and chances – they are overdue for a big game.
The main event of this game is the matchup between the Couture and Stastny lines, however. These two play at such a high pace, and you can make a real solid argument about either. I slightly prefer SJ1 here, factoring in not only the data, but ownership and salary, as well. People are still on a high over VGK2’s early series heroics, but they were pretty ineffective against the Couture line their last time into San Jose.
As a cheaper stack, I don’t mind the Eakin/Tuch/Nosek line, although there’s talk of Nosek being scratched for someone else tonight, so keep your eye on that, too.
Favorite GPP Stacks: VGK1 – Marchessault/Karlsson/Smith; VGK2 – Pacioretty/Stone/Stastny; VGK3 – Eakin/Nosek/Tuch (check pre-game lines to make sure they are together); SJ1 – Couture/Meier/Pavelski (Burns optional)
Favorite Cash Options: W Max Pacioretty (VGK); W Reilly Smith (VGK); W Alex Tuch (VGK); D Colin Miller (VGK); D Brayden McNabb (VGK); C Logan Couture (SJ); C Joe Thornton (SJ); W Evander Kane (SJ); D Brent Burns (SJ); D Justin Braun (SJ)
Favorite Goalies: Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK); Martin Jones (SJ)
1) BOS PP1 – Bergeron/Marchand/Pastrnak/Krug (Heinen optional for full BOS1 correlation)
2) BOS1 – Bergeron/Marchand/Heinen (McAvoy or Chara optional)
3) VGK2 – Pacioretty/Stone/Stastny
1) VGK1 – Marchessault/Karlsson/Smith
2) SJ1 – Couture/Meier/Pavelski (Burns optional)
3) TOR2 – Matthews/Johnsson/Kapanen (Rielly optional)
1) TOR3 – Nylander/Marleau (Brown optional)
2) VGK3 – Eakin/Nosek/Tuch (check pre-game lines to make sure they’re together)
1) Auston Matthews, TOR (DK $6800 FD $8500)
2) Logan Couture, SJ (DK $5900 FD $7400)
3) John Tavares, TOR (DK $6400 FD $7600)
4) Joe Thornton, SJ (DK $3900 FD $5200)
1) Brad Marchand, BOS (DK $6500 FD $8700)
2) Max Pacioretty, VGK (DK $6000 FD $6800)
3) Evander Kane, SJ (DK $5600 FD $6400)
4) David Pastrnak, BOS (DK $6700 FD $8300)
5) Reilly Smith, VGK (DK $5400 FD $5900)
6) Alex Tuch, VGK (DK $4700 FD $4200)
7) Patrick Marleau, TOR (DK $3300 FD $3900)
8) Noel Acciari, BOS (DK $2500 FD $3100)
1) Morgan Rielly, TOR (DK $6100 FD $6800)
2) Brent Burns, SJ (DK $6400 FD $6900)
3) Torey Krug, BOS (DK $5700 FD $6300)
4) Colin Miller, VGK (DK $4400 FD $3900)
5) Brayden McNabb, VGK (DK $3100 FD $3500)
6) Justin Braun, SJ (DK $3000 FD $3700)
1) Tuukka Rask, BOS (DK $7900 FD $8600)
2) Martin Jones, SJ (DK $7700 FD $7500)
3) Frederik Andersen, TOR (DK $7400 FD $7800)
4) Marc-Andre Fleury, VGK (DK $7600 FD $8200)