Ryan Clifford brings you his top stacks and goalies for your NHL DFS GPP lineups tonight.
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Slate Preview: Game/Team Projections
Let’s Talk Chalk
Highest Owned Stack: BOS1 – Pastrnak/Bergeron/Marchand (20-25%)
Best Leverage Play: BOS2 – Ritchie/Krejci/Smith (10-15%) or Mackenzie Blackwood (NJ) in goal (8-12%)
Highest Owned Defenseman: Dougie Hamilton, CAR (20-25%)
Best Leverage Play: Brett Pesce, CAR (4-8%)
Highest Owned Goalie: Jaroslav Halak, BOS (25-35%)
Best Leverage Play: NJ1 – Kuokkanen/Zajac/Sharangovich (1-3%)
Top GPP Stacks
BOS: Brad Marchand/Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak (Proj Own: 20-25%)
Brad Marchand will return to the lineup tonight. With Edmonton in a back to back situation, and McDavid and Draisaitl rather quiet last night; I’d expect BOS1 to have the slate’s highest ownership at the stack level. New Jersey is a worthy opponent, but their PK has had problems this season. Therefore, I’m considering Matt Grzelcyk a priority add-on to this stack, as he gives you full correlation to the perfection line on the Bruins top power play.
CHI: Patrick Kane/Pius Suter/Alex DeBrincat (Proj Own: 8-12%)
The Blackhawks look to be in a high pace matchup with the Carolina Hurricanes tonight. With Chicago on home ice, they’ll have their pick of the litter when it comes to matchups; expect Kane and DeBrincat to get some nice looks against the Canes depth. These three have combined for 6 goals and 9 assists in Chicago’s last four games. There’s been 25 goals scored in just three meetings between these teams this season. It’s probably a good idea to have a piece of one of these teams, and although I like them both, it’s Chicago and these three that I prefer.
CAR: Sebastian Aho/Andrei Svechnikov/Vincent Trocheck/Dougie Hamilton (Proj Own: 5-15%)
Again, lots of goals have been scored between these two teams in three previous meetings this season. Whether it’s Chicago or Carolina, I would like to have a piece of this game in most all of my GPP lineups tonight. The Canes seem to have a huge advantage on the power play. Since February 1, Carolina ranks No. 1 on the power play, converting on 31.3% of their chances with the man advantage. Chicago in that time frame? Dead last on the PK, killing just 71.4% of their opponent’s chances. With Carolina’s top power play unit spanning three 5v5 forward lines, in order to keep tighter correlation I’ll look to stack up Aho/Trocheck/Svechnikov/Hamilton or Trocheck/Svechnikov/Staal/Hamilton if I need to save some salary.
MON: Brendan Gallagher/Phillip Danault/Tomas Tatar (Proj Own: 1-3%)
We should see extremely low ownership on these three…the O.G. Habs top liners. In the few games prior to Montreal being shut down into the COVID protocol, the old chemistry shared between these three began to shine through once again, with Gallagher/Danault/Tatar combining for 4 goals and 7 assists in four games. Tonight they get an Edmonton team that just skated a hard fought overtime game against the Leafs in Toronto last night. After having to travel to Montreal overnight, they’re right back on the ice in what should be a high pace affair…can they hold up?
FLA: Jonathan Huberdeau/Alex Wennberg/Brett Connolly (Proj Own: 10-20%)
Thanks to a couple injured star players, the Panthers top six presents some major value tonight in a matchup against a brutal Red Wings team. Only Colorado averages more shots on goal per game than the Panthers over the past month, while the Red Wings allow the seventh-most shots against. We could see a barrage of pucks coming for Thomas Greiss tonight. On DraftKings, I’d expect at least a couple of these guys to hit value on shots on goal alone. As a bonus, Huberdeau/Wennberg/Connolly will all be skating together on Florida’s top power play unit. Keith Yandle is the point man on that unit, and is another guy that provides big upside with some salary relief thanks to Aaron Ekblad’s absence.
FLA: Anthony Duclair/Noel Acciari/Carter Verhaeghe (Proj Own: 5-10%)
While I do prefer the previous Panthers stack on DraftKings, these three have combined for 4 goals in three games since Barkov’s departure from the lineup, and provide more value on FanDuel. While you don’t get the power play exposure, Duclair and Verhaeghe have skated together extensively this season, and have showed some nice chemistry even sans Barkov. Acciari has been a worthy fill-in, and while he obviously doesn’t provide the same amount of upside as you’d get with Barkov, he also costs about $3,000 less. Detroit has been much, much better on home ice this season. With the Panthers on home ice, I definitely want to get a piece of them into GPP lineups, as this could be a massacre despite Florida being without three of their top point producers.
One-Offs and Defensemen
Boston: Craig Smith, Karson Kuhlman, Matt Grzelcyk
Carolina: Nino Niederreiter, Dougie Hamilton
Chicago: Connor Murphy
Detroit: Filip Zadina, Givani Smith, Evgeny Svechnikov, Danny DeKeyser
Edmonton: Jesse Puljujarvi, Adam Larsson
Florida: Jonathan Huberdeau, Keith Yandle, Gustav Forsling
Montreal: Josh Anderson
Nashville: Dante Fabbro, Mattias Ekholm (FD)
New Jersey: Janne Kuokkanen
Tampa Bay: Tyler Johnson, Anthony Cirelli, Barclay Goodrow
Washington: Daniel Sprong
Here are my top GPP goalies:
- Anton Khudobin, DAL
- Sergei Bobrovsky, FLA
- Juuse Saros, NSH
- Kevin Lankinen, CHI