Ryan Clifford brings you his top stacks and goalies for your NHL DFS GPP lineups tonight.
As always, you’ll find at least one of us in chat in the hour leading up to lock. Please join us there for any late scratches, goalie changes, or other DFS news.
We also have an NHL dedicated Twitter account where you’ll find important news and updates, as well as curated beat writer lists broken down by team.
Also new this season, my personal NHL projections and models are available for download under the projections section of the NHL tab. Of course, you can still access all player projections in our Fantasy Cruncher powered optimizer.
Slate Breakdown Podcast
I’ll be doing podcasts to go along with my write-ups this season. I can cover a whole lot more this way…
Podcast is off tonight. Will be back with another tomorrow…
Slate Preview: Game/Team Projections
Let’s Talk Chalk
Highest Owned Stack: PIT PP1 – Guentzel/Crosby/Malkin & CHI1 – Kane/Suter/DeBrincat (10-20%)
Best Leverage Play: Vitek Vanecek (WAS) or Joonas Korpisalo (CBJ) in goal (2-5%)
Highest Owned Defensemen: Roman Josi, NSH (15-20%)
Best Leverage Play: Ryan Ellis, NSH (4-8%)
Highest Owned Goalie: Mackenzie Blackwood, NJ (10-15%)
Best Leverage Play: BUF1 – Olofsson/Eichel/Reinhart (4-6%)
Top GPP Stacks
BUF: Victor Olofsson/Jack Eichel/Sam Reinhart (Proj Own: 4-6%)
The Sabres have been horrid this season…against everyone but the New Jersey Devils. They’ve won three of four against New Jersey thus far, while averaging 3.5 goals per game. The Buffalo power play looks mighty sharp, and the Devils have the NHL’s worst PK after 14 games; they’ve killed less than 60% of their shorthanded chances. I don’t even mind adding Taylor Hall onto this stack, as well as Rasmus Dahlin, who works the point on Buffalo’s PP1. I’ve been saying for weeks that Buffalo was going to break out of this scoring slump soon. I anticipated my model not catching it when it would happen, but it’s very high on them tonight.
WPG: Blake Wheeler/Mark Scheifele/Pierre-Luc Dubois (Proj Own: 5-10%)
The Canadiens have been plagued with issues for the past couple of weeks, which culminated in Claude Julien’s sacking. Dubois remains severely misplaced on DraftKings, which should make this a very popular stack tonight on that site. However, looking at a couple different sources for ownership projections, it appears that won’t be the case. The low projected ownership solidifies them as one of my favorites as the Jets will look to take advantage of a poor Montreal PK.
NSH: Viktor Arvidsson/Mikael Granlund/Filip Forsberg (Proj Own: 5-10%)
The Red Wings were shutout by Nashville on Tuesday night, but a big goaltending performance from Jonathan Bernier kept the final score respectable. I’m not sure who will get the nod for Detroit tonight, but I don’t care. There were simply too many good choices had by Nashville in that game, and those chances are going to start going in at some point. The Red Wings are yet another team on tonight’s slate with a horrendous PK, with just three teams killing off a lower percentage of shorthanded tries.
CGY: Matthew Tkachuk/Elias Lindholm/Andrew Mangiapane (Proj Own: 5-10%)
I feel like I keep missing these guys. I sat out on Calgary when they throttled the Leafs. I came back to them when they managed just a goal in the second meeting. And that’s how its gone with this team for me. They get the best matchup on the slate tonight, though, so it’s time for me to give them another shot. Ottawa continues to be the only team allowing over 4 goals against per game, and they are bottom ten in almost every defensive category thinkable. Calgary is in Ottawa tonight, which could mean Gaudreau and Monahan get the shutdown treatment, opening up this trio for some nice looks against the Sens depth.
CBJ: Patrik Laine/Nick Foligno/Oliver Bjorkstrand (Proj Own: 2-5%)
Bjorkstrand is a big offensive threat that just hasn’t been seeing decent minutes or linemates for a majority of his career. When he’s in the top six, and skating with good players, he’s been as consistent as they come. That’s the situation he finds himself in tonight, as Laine and Foligno will be his running mates against a Blackhawks team that’s allowed 5 goals against in back-to-back games, and will be rolling Malcolm Subban in net tonight. Zach Werenski is back in the lineup tonight, and comes with a cheap price tag on both sites.
DAL: Jamie Benn/Joe Pavelski/Denis Gurianov
The Panthers have been dominating possession in this series, but this is a team that has still had a horrendous penalty kill on home ice this season. They’ve only managed to kill off two-thirds of opposing power plays, giving up 8 PP goals against in 24 times being shorthanded. Therefore, this is another opportunity to stack up the power play here, with second-liners Jamie Benn and Denis Gurianov, working with Joe Pavelski and defensemen John Klingberg and Miro Heiskanen on that PP1. If we stack up all five, and the Stars smash, there’s a good chance you’ll be sitting pretty as so much of the team’s offense is funneled through these guys.
One-Offs and Defensemen
Boston: Urho Vaakanainen
Buffalo: Dylan Cozens, Rasmus Dahlin, Matt Irwin (DK)
Chicago: Dominik Kubalik, Carl Soderberg, Adam Boqvist
Dallas: Joel Kiviranta, Esa Lindell, John Klingberg, Miro Heiskanen
Detroit: Bobby Ryan
Edmonton: Dominik Kahun
Florida: Carter Verhaeghe, Anthony Duclair, Patrik Hornqvist, Frank Vatrano, Mackenzie Weegar, Aaron Ekblad
New Jersey: Andreas Johnsson, Nikita Gusev, Ty Smith
NY Islanders: Ryan Pulock
Ottawa: Nick Paul, Erik Brannstrom
Pittsburgh: Kasperi Kapanen, Zach Aston-Reese
Tampa Bay: Blake Coleman
Vancouver: Tanner Pearson, Adam Gaudette, Alexander Edler, Jordie Benn
Washington: Conor Sheary
Winnipeg: Nikolaj Ehlers, Derek Forbort
Here are my top GPP goalies:
- Jake Oettinger, DAL *lock if not playing any Panthers
- David Rittich, CGY
- Semyon Varlamov, NYI
- Connor Hellebuyck, WPG
- Mackenzie Blackwood, NJ
- Thomas Greiss/Jonathan Bernier, DET