Ryan Clifford brings you his top stacks and goalies for your NHL DFS GPP lineups tonight.
As always, you’ll find at least one of us in chat in the hour leading up to lock. Please join us there for any late scratches, goalie changes, or other DFS news.
We also have an NHL dedicated Twitter account where you’ll find important news and updates, as well as curated beat writer lists broken down by team.
Also new this season, my personal NHL projections and models are available for download under the projections section of the NHL tab. Of course, you can still access all player projections in our Fantasy Cruncher powered optimizer.
Slate Preview: Game/Team Projections
Let’s Talk Chalk
Highest Owned Stack: TOR1 – Marner/Matthews/Hyman (25-35%)
Best Leverage Play: TOR2 – Nylander/Tavares/Galchenyuk (4-8%) or Mike Smith (EDM) in goal (1-3%)
Highest Owned Defenseman: Morgan Rielly, TOR (20-25%)
Best Leverage Play: Jake Muzzin, TOR (2-5%)
Highest Owned Goalie: Philipp Grubauer, COL (15-20%)
Best Leverage Play: ANH1 – Comtois/Lundestrom/Rakell (1-3%) or Ryan Miller (ANH) in goal (2-4%)
Top GPP Stacks
VGK: Max Pacioretty/Chandler Stephenson/Mark Stone (Proj Own: 5-10%)
I had a hard time coming up with six stacks I wanted to play tonight. I have VGK1 and PHI1 so far ahead of everyone else tonight. Vegas is on home ice tonight to take on the L.A. Kings. With the Golden Knights hosting, Los Angeles won’t have the luxury of choosing to stick Anze Kopitar on the ice everytime Pacioretty and Stone come over the boards. This should lead to some cushy matchups for VGK1. Pacioretty is on a seven game point streak, including 6 goals and 5 assists in his last six.
PHI: James van Riemsdyk/Sean Couturier/Travis Konecny/Shayne Gostisbehere (Proj Own: 15-25%)
I’ve lost count on how many games the Sabres have lost in a row at this point. 14? 15? Something along those lines. Buffalo is allowing an average of 4.3 goals against since the beginning of March. While Philly’s top line has faltered a bit, the team has attempted to kick start things again by moving Travis Konecny into Joel Farabee’s spot on the right wing. What this has done is to give the top line full power play correlation on the Flyers top unit. Shayne Gostisbehere is the point man on that unit, so I’d make him a priority add-on in this matchup.
MIN: Kirill Kaprizov/Victor Rask/Mats Zuccarello (Proj Own: 3-6%)
Kaprizov snapped his six-game scoring drought against the Blues on Thursday. I tried to warn everyone that this line would cool off, as their underlying numbers did not support the gaudy stats they were putting up for that impressive three or four-week stretch. Now that they’ve cooled down, and ownership has gone elsewhere, this may be the time to jump back onto the bandwagon with Minnesota getting a golden matchup against the San Jose Sharks. Only the Senators, Flyers, and Sabres are allowing more goals against per game than the Sharks. Martin Jones is coming off of an embarrassing 5-goals-against performance against the Arizona Coyotes, a game in which he faced only 28 shots.
BUF: Victor Olofsson/Dylan Cozens/Sam Reinhart (Proj Own: 3-6%)
Thanks to a couple monster games by the New York Rangers, the Philadelphia Flyers rank towards the bottom of the league in goals against, with only Buffalo, Ottawa, and San Jose even in the same neighborhood. Carter Hart has been atrocious, but Brian Elliott has had a rough go of it lately, too. In his last six appearances, Elliott holds a GAA of 4.00, with an 82% save percentage. Gross. Making Buffalo even more enticing tonight, Philly has the league’s worst PK rate…killing just 71.4% of their opposition’s chances with the man advantage. Buffalo’s power play is about the only good thing going for them, ranked No. 12 in the league. Rasmus Dahlin is the point man on the Sabres PP1, if you’re looking for some extra correlation.
COL: Mikko Rantanen/Nathan MacKinnon/Gabriel Landeskog (Proj Own: 8-16%)
Is it possible that Colorado’s superstar-studded top line is going to go overlooked on a seven-game slate? So much talk is focused on Matthews versus McDavid, that I’m afraid that will be the case. While I strongly prefer VGK1/PHI1, as noted earlier, this trio has insane upside any time they step onto the rink…especially in a matchup against the lowly Ducks. I’ve talked a lot about average goals against per game, well the Ducks rank third-worst in the league behind the aforementioned Sabres and Flyers since the start of February. In their last 15 games, Anaheim is allowing 3.8 goals against per game. Ryan Miller gets the start. He’s been atrocious this season, with a 3.48 GAA and 10 losses in 13 appearances.
COL: Brandon Saad/Nazem Kadri/Andre Burakovsky (Proj Own: 4-8%)
It’s not the Avs top line that I like so much, as it is just the Avs in general. I see them putting up a ton of goals tonight. If it doesn’t wind up coming from the top line or power play unit, we could have another GPP-winning night from their second line of Saad, Kadri, and Burakovsky…three guys that have already broken a couple of slates this season. Even less ownership here, and salaries that allow you to pay up for one of my top two stacks that I like so much tonight as stacking partners.
One-Offs and Defensemen
Buffalo: Tage Thompson, Rasmus Dahlin, Rasmus Ristolainen, Matt Irwin
Calgary: Josh Leivo, Sean Monahan
Colorado: Joonas Donskoi
Edmonton: Jesse Puljujarvi, Josh Archibald, Adam Larsson
Minnesota: Ryan Hartman
NY Islanders: Kieffer Bellows
Philadelphia: Shayne Gostisbehere, Philippe Myers
Pittsburgh: Jared McCann
San Jose: Kevin Labanc, Rudolphs Balcers
Toronto: Alex Galchenyuk, Jason Spezza
Vegas: Jonathan Marchessault, Nicolas Hague
Here are my top GPP goalies:
- Tristan Jarry, PIT
- Cam Talbot, MIN
- Mike Smith, EDM
- Connor Hellebuyck, WPG