Ryan Clifford brings you his top stacks and goalies for your NHL DFS GPP lineups tonight.
As always, you’ll find at least one of us in chat in the hour leading up to lock. Please join us there for any late scratches, goalie changes, or other DFS news.
We also have an NHL dedicated Twitter account where you’ll find important news and updates, as well as curated beat writer lists broken down by team.
Also new this season, my personal NHL projections and models are available for download under the projections section of the NHL tab. Of course, you can still access all player projections in our Fantasy Cruncher powered optimizer.
Slate Breakdown Podcast
I’ll be doing podcasts to go along with my write-ups this season. I can cover a whole lot more this way…
Slate Preview: Game/Team Projections
Let’s Talk Chalk
Highest Owned Stack: COL1 – Rantanen/MacKinnon/Landeskog (30-40%)
Best Leverage Play: COL2 – Saad/Kadri/Donskoi (4-8%) or Adin Hill (ARI) in goal (1-3%)
Highest Owned Defensemen: Cale Makar, COL (20-30%)
Best Leverage Play: Devon Toews, COL (4-8%)
Highest Owned Goalie: Cam Talbot, MIN (25-35%)
Best Leverage Play: LA1 – Brown/Kopitar/Iafallo (10-15%)
Top GPP Stacks
BOS: David Pastrnak/Patrice Bergeron/Brad Marchand (Proj Own: 15-25%)
As usual, COL1 is an easy fade for me when they’re chalk. I’ve got the Boston top line projected for about 60% the ownership that the Avs studs will see. Listen, we know the upside these three bring to the table, they just haven’t been able to get there yet. Based on my projections though, on a three-game slate, we may not necessarily need them to go ham in order to be a GPP winning stack, so I like attacking them here. The Rangers will have their backup net minder in the crease tonight. Georgiev has lost four of his last five starts.
LA: Dustin Brown/Anze Kopitar/Alex Iafallo (Proj Own: 10-15%)
The Kings will be in St. Paul to take on the Minnesota Wild. While Los Angeles has dropped three of five to the Kings thus far, they have steadily improved throughout the season’s first six weeks, and took the most recent matchup with the Wild in a 4-0 shutout. The revival for Brown and Kopitar continues. Brown has six goals in his last seven, averaging nearly a point-per-game this season. Iafallo has 4 goals and 4 assists in his last eight. Kopitar has been the star of the show, ranking sixth in the league with 17 assists; 21 total points in 18 games thus far. Most attractive to me, though, is Cam Talbot getting his first start for Minnesota in nearly four weeks. While I don’t have the data to prove it, I’ve long targeted goaltenders coming back from long layoffs, and it rarely fails me. This may be a night I look to fire up Drew Doughty with this stack, as well; he’s the preferred stacking option on defense.
MIN: Kevin Fiala/Joel Eriksson Ek/Jordan Greenway (Proj Own: 15-25%)
I have the highest project total tonight coming from this game, so it only makes sense that most of tonight’s featured stacks come from it. Kevin Fiala continues to ascend towards becoming one of the league’s top players. He is a high volume shooter, hitting DK’s 3-point SOG bonus in three of his last four games. Eriksson Ek has largely disappointed since taking the center spot on the Wild’s top line, but he continues to generate shots and chances…his time is coming. I don’t care much for Greenway, and on a three-game slate it might make sense to use the $3,900 elsewhere, as there is plenty of better value to be found.
MIN: Mats Zuccarello/Victor Rask/Kirill Kaprizov (Proj Own: 4-8%)
While Minnesota’ top line is my preference from a raw points perspective, their ownership makes it a harder sell in GPP’s. I think I’d rather pay down for these three, who have gelled really well since Minnesota’s lines were shook up last week. The Wild have scored 5 goals at even strength in just 32 minutes (9.3 GF/60) with these three on the ice together. Obviously they won’t be able to maintain this pace, but they call ’em heaters for a reason, and I’m more than willing to invest $12,000 into a GPP lineup on DK to have some exposure tonight.
ARI: Conor Garland/Nick Schmaltz/Clayton Keller (Proj Own: 8-12%)
Arizona scored a second straight 4-3 victory over Anaheim on Wednesday. The team reverted to their original line combos, with Schmaltz centering Keller and Garland. While it’s not a great special teams matchup, all three of these guys fully correlate on the Coyotes top power play. Colorado has been disappointing thus far, simply an average team at best. Hunter Miska starts for the Avs tonight, who is 0-2 with a GAA above 3.5 and save percentage well below .900. With the power play correlation, I like Jakob Chychrun a lot as a stacking addition on defense, though I’d consider him more for FanDuel lineups, thanks to an egregious price discrepancy.
NYR: Pavel Buchnevich/Mika Zibanejad/Alexis Lafreniere
It was Chris Kreider who broke out on Wednesday night, but this was to be expected with Zibanejad and co. having to deal with Sean Couturier. With the Rangers on home ice, I’m interested to see what they do with Zibanejad. Although he’s generally been their “shut down” center, I really can’t imagine them throwing the rookie Lafreniere out there with Marchand, Bergeron, and Pastrnak. They have plenty of forwards that play a well-rounded game, so I’m expecting one of the lower lines to get the shadow treatment tonight. If that’s the case, this line should see a decent matchup as Boston continues to struggle with depth throughout their lineup.
One-Offs and Defensemen
Arizona: Phil Kessel (DK), Jakob Chychrun (FD), Alex Goligoski
Boston: Craig Smith, Urho Vaakanainen
Los Angeles: Adrian Kempe, Matt Roy
Minnesota: Ryan Suter
NY Rangers: Colin Blackwell, Adam Fox (FD)
Here are my top GPP goalies:
- Tuukka Rask, BOS
- Calvin Petersen/Jonathan Quick, LA
- Alexandar Georgiev, NYR