Ryan Clifford brings you his top stacks, goalies, and cash game plays for your NHL DFS lineups tonight.
As always, you’ll find at least one of us in chat in the hour leading up to lock. Please join us there for any late scratches, goalie changes, or other DFS news.
We also have an NHL dedicated Twitter account where you’ll find important news and updates, as well as curated beat writer lists broken down by team.
Also new this season, my personal NHL projections and models are available for download under the projections section of the NHL tab. Of course, you can still access all player projections in our Fantasy Cruncher powered optimizer.
Slate Preview: Game/Team Projections
Top GPP Stacks
TOR: Mitchell Marner/Auston Matthews/Zach Hyman (Proj Own: 20-30%)
Is has always been the case when Hyman skates with Marner and Matthews, I prefer to just mini-stack the two studs. Hyman is more of a plug, and although he is more capable of producing points than say, Joe Thornton, $5,500/$4,800 is still a big price tag to pay for someone of his caliber. Regardless, the Leafs are at home, and even with the insane ownership, I think all GPP lineups should start with Auston Matthews. If you’re single-entering, perhaps you leave Matthews as a one-off and build around him with lower-owned pieces, but I just couldn’t bring myself to fade Matthews on home ice on a four-game slate. If you want to build out the stack a little farther, Morgan Rielly makes for a nice addition on defense, as he’ll be manning the point on Toronto’s PP1, which also features Matthews and Marner.
VGK: Max Pacioretty/Cody Glass/Mark Stone (Proj Own: 10-20%)
Pacioretty and Stone have shown similar, if not more upside for GPP purposes than Matthews and Marner this season. With only about half of TOR1’s ownership likely tonight, this could be a nice pivot for single entry players looking for something a little bit more contrarian. My projections have Vegas scoring the most goals tonight (3.39) at the team level. This should come as no surprise considering the five previous meetings between these teams in 2021. Vegas has outscored the Blues 25-11 in those games, never scoring less than 4 goals. Jordan Binnington has lost 12 of his last 15 starts, so all arrows are pointing up here for the Golden Knights. I would also strongly consider the Marchessault/Karlsson/Smith line here too, though you’re looking at similar ownership figures for lower upside.
ARI: Conor Garland/Nick Schmaltz/Michael Bunting (Proj Own: 10-20%)
The Coyotes are enjoying a late-season resurgence, winning six of their last seven games. They’re averaging more than 4 goals per game in this stretch, and Michael Bunting appears to be a diamond in the rough. The fourth-round pick from 2014 has now scored 5 goals in nine career games in the NHL, including a hat trick his last time out against the Kings.His price is up a little bit, but still down around minimum price on both slates. Calvin Petersen likely gets the nod in goal for the Kings tonight. He’s lost 8 of his last 11 starts. All three of these forwards will skate together on Arizona’s top power play unit, so adding on either Jakob Chychrun and/or Alex Goligoski for some more correlation at 5-on-4 may be a nice idea here.
LA: Dustin Brown/Anze Kopitar/Alex Iafallo/Drew Doughty (Proj Own: 10-20%)
On the other side of this game, my model actually projects the Kings to roll tonight, finishing with the second-most projected goals (3.2) on the slate, just behind the Golden Knights. This is a stack I especially like on DraftKings tonight, as the Kings should be shooting the puck a whole lot tonight. The Coyotes have allowed the fifth-most shots against since March 1, while the Kings rank inside of the top ten in shots for per game. What I will say about that: if you are not playing Kings in your GPP lineup, it would behoove you to use Adin Hill as your goaltender…he’s going to see a ton of rubber tonight. As usual, I’d consider Drew Doughty a priority add-on to this stack, with full correlation to the Kopitar line. He skates with all three on the power play, and generally is on the ice with Kopitar and Iafallo on the PK, too. If one of those guys puts a puck into the net, there’s a great chance Doughty will be in on the scoring.
MIN: Kirill Kaprizov/Joel Eriksson Ek/Jordan Greenway (Proj Own: 5-10%)
Love the stack. Hate the matchup. While I do have the Wild winning tonight’s meeting with the Avs, it does seem to project as a low-pace and low-scoring snoozefest in St. Paul. I do think the 5-4 meeting between these two clubs on Monday was an outlier, but I also think with single digit ownership projected for Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek, it’s worth taking a shot here in GPP lineups. Kaprizov has scored 4 goals in his last six games, while Eriksson Ek is always one of my favorite DSF plays when he’s getting top six minutes. Jordan Greenway is not as important to me, and I’m fine if you want to just mini-stack the other two, and look for better value in place of Greenway (Bunting comes to mind).
MON: Tyler Toffoli/Eric Staal/Jonathan Drouin/Shea Weber (Proj Own: 8-16%)
Last, but certainly not least, Montreal’s new-look line with Eric Staal centering Toffoli and Drouin looked incredible in their first action together on Monday night. The Habs generated 15 shot attempts for to just 3 attempts against in 11 minutes with these three on the ice together at 5v5. Even more impressive, 7 of those attempts were classified as scoring chances. An even bigger reason why I like these three tonight is for power play upside. The Habs have the league’s sixth-ranked PP since March 1, while the Leafs PK ranks seventh-worst, killing just 75.7% of their opposition’s chances with the man advantage. All three of the forwards will skate on Montreal’s top power play unit With Brendan Gallagher out. This also make Shea Weber a priority add on defense, as the unit’s point man. Nick Suzuki also skates on that PP1, and I wouldn’t mind adding him on for even more low-owned correlation.
Cash Plays or GPP One-Offs
I use a composite projection for cash plays and GPP one-offs (one in the same for me). This projection factors in projection, projected shots on goal, and floor.
Arizona: W Michael Bunting, C Nick Schmaltz, W Conor Garland, D Jakob Chychrun
Colorado: C Nathan MacKinnon
Los Angeles: W Alex Iafallo, C Anze Kopitar, W Dustin Brown, W Adrian Kempe, D Sean Walker
Minnesota: C Joel Eriksson Ek, W Marcus Johansson (DK), D Jared Spurgeon
Montreal: W Corey Perry, W Josh Anderson, C Eric Staal, D Shea Weber, D Jeff Petry
St. Louis: W Vladimir Tarasenko, D Torey Krug, D Justin Faulk
Toronto: C Auston Matthews, W Alex Galchenyuk, D Jake Muzzin
Vegas: W Max Pacioretty, D Alec Martinez, D Alex Pietrangelo (FD)
Cash Core Four
- C Auston Matthews, TOR
- W Michael Bunting, ARI
- D Jakob Chychrun, ARI
- D Sean Walker, LA
Here are my top goalies:
- Marc-Andre Fleury, VGK
- Cam Talbot, MIN
- Adin Hill, ARI *GPP only; lock if not playing any Kings