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What’s up my peeps? After what has to be the most insane week of NBA scheduling, we are finally getting back to our normal routine this week. Granted, a six-game Monday slate isn’t at the top of my wish list, but it’s certainly a step in the right direction.
When it comes to studs, tonight’s chalk is going to be exceptionally heavy, so don’t be afraid to pivot to some lower owned beefcake in tournaments. While tonight’s value chalk is “edible”, I’ve certainly tasted better. This is the spot where winning the “ownership game” could put you firmly above the payout line in GPPs.
As always, be on the lookout for late breaking news, as this could change the slate entirely. Remember, this is a GPP article so don’t be alarmed if some of the more popular names don’t make the list.
Position by Position
1. Trae Young (ATL)
2. Malcolm Brogdon (IND)
3. Ricky Rubio (PHO)
4. Ben Simmons (PHI)
5. Terry Rozier (CHA)
1. Buddy Hield (SAC)
2. Devonte’ Graham (CHA)
3. Zach LaVine (CHI)
4. Devin Booker (PHO)
5. Dillon Brooks (MEM)
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)
2. Alec Burks (GSW)
3. Kelly Oubre, Jr. (PHO)
4. Harrison Barnes (SAC)
5. Tobias Harris (PHI)
1. Domantas Sabonis (IND)
2. Jabari Parker (ATL)
3. Dario Saric (PHO)
4. Jaron Jackson Jr (MEM)
5. Al Horford (PHI)
1. Joel Embiid (PHI)
2. Rudy Gobert (UTA)
3. +Aron Baynes (PHO)
4. Wendell Carter, Jr. (CHI)
5. Willie Cauley-Stein (GSW)
Top Stud (over $8K on FD): Giannis Antetokounmpo (followed by Trae Young)
Top Stud (over $8K on DK): Giannis Antetokounmpo (followed by Trae Young)
Top Value (under $5K on FD): Tyus Jones (followed by Robin Lobez)
Top Value (under $5K on DK): Dennis Smith, Jr. (followed by Robin Lopez)
– If you’re taking the “studs and scrubs” approach Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL), Trae Young (ATL), Joel Embiid (PHI) and Domantas Sabonis (IND) have the highest ceilings on the slate (in that order).
– If you’re looking to construct a low owned lineup, here are a few recommendations that will buck the current roster construction trends for this slate:
-On Fanduel, my most common core of players seems to be Trae Young (ATL), Tyus Jones (MEM), Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) and Robin Lopez (MIL). On DraftKings, I’m coming up with Young, Lopez, Dennis Smith Jr. (NYK) and Eric Paschall (GSW). I expect these guys to be heavily owned tonight so keep that in mind when constructing your tournament lineups.
-Pay up at center. Trae Young (ATL) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) will be the studs of choice in most lineups tonight. That means DFS’ers will need to trim the fat somewhere. That will most likely come at the center position. Given his matchup and salary, that should leave a guy like Joel Embiid (PHI) lower owned. He might not be an ideal choice for cash games, but he’s averaging 54.00 fantasy points per game in his last three outings against Utah. That puts him firmly in play as a tournament option with upside.
•Consider rostering “alternate beefcake”. There’s a reason why Young and Antetokounmpo will be heavily owned tonight. Not only are they projected to score the most fantasy points tonight, they also have the top two ceilings on the slate. Pivoting off of these guys will take a lot of “intestinal fortitude”, however, there’s enough talent on the slate to “pivot without being stupid”. Guys like Embiid, Devin Booker (PHO) and Domantas Sabonis (IND) can easily fit into a lineup, giving you lots of contrarian GPP upside.
-Start off with a core of Golden State Warriors. Draymond Green (GSW) will sit tonight, likely giving the Warriors a thin rotation of eight players (nine players if Looney takes the court). That means lots of minutes and extra usage to spread around amongst the remaining guys. This doesn’t necessarily guarantee DFS success. Remember what happened when the Dallas Mavericks played Golden State in this similar situation? It didn’t turn out well for those of us who invested in the Warriors. Tonight’s matchup against Atlanta should help this time around. Due to player pricing, this strategy is much easier to pull off on DraftKings, however, selecting the right players on Fanduel could make you look like a genius. Personally, I’m keeping it simple and rolling out a core of Ky Bowman (GSW), Alec Burks (GSW) and Eric Paschall (GSW). I’m also crossing my fingers, for what it’s worth.