Get off the beaten path with RadThad’s NBA DFS Breakdown, plays designed to help you take down a GPP!!
What’s up my peeps? Today we are gifted a “hearty” eight game NBA DFS slate. To that I say, “Yes, please!” and “Thank you!”. We all know by now that eight games can easily turn into seven games or less, but for now I am psyched!
Needless to say, with so many games at our disposal, there will be no shortage of “studs” or “scrubs”. Taking advantage of late breaking news is the way to get your average these days, so stay on your toes. I’ll be sure to update the article as changes to the slate occur, with subsequent alerts via the “Twitter machine”.
Remember that this is a GPP article so don’t get flustered if some of the “chalkier” names aren’t listed below. The “meat” of the article is at the bottom, so I won’t be offended if you start there first.
-Both Jimmy Butler (MIA) and Tyler Herro (MIA) are IN tonight against the Sacramento Kings. Butler will play without a minutes restriction. Many will hesitate to roster Butler, seeing as how he has missed the last 10 games while going through “health and safety protocols”. There’s a chance that he won’t be “himself”, however, I’ll take my chances with him in tournaments. I’m not touching the rest of the Miami Heat players, with the possible exception of Bam in tournaments.
–Kristaps Porzingis (DAL) will NOT play tonight against the Phoenix Suns. To be honest, that doesn’t make anyone a “must play” from the Dallas Mavericks. Luka will get a boost as a tournament play, but Luka is always an awesome GPP option. The last time Porzingis sat (January 23), Willie Cauley Stein (DAL) started and ended up with 12.6 fantasy points. Boban Marjanovic (DAL) saw 19 minutes of action and ended up with 28.4 fantasy points so you can consider him in GPPs.
1. Luka Doncic (DAL)
2. Steph Curry (GS)
3. Ja Morant (MEM) *cash games on DK/ GPP on FD due to low ownership
4. Delon Wright (DET)
5. Coby White (CHI)
Hon. mention: Anfernee Simons (POR) *much better play on FD
1. Zach LaVine (CHI)
2. Victor Oladipo (HOU)
3. +Tyler Herro (MIA) *if +Jimmy Butler (MIA) sits
4. Kendrick Nunn (MIA)
5. Andrew Wiggins (GS)
Hon. mention: Gary Trent (POR)
1. +LeBron James (LAL)
2. Brandon Ingram (NO)
3. Jaylen Brown (BOS)
4. Mikal Bridges (PHX)
5. Harrison Barnes (SAC)
Hon. mention: Kelly Oubre, Jr. (GS)
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)
2. +Anthony Davis (LAL)
3. Bam Adebayo (MIA)
4. Jayson Tatum (BOS)
5. Christian Wood (HOU)
Hon. mention: Brandon Clarke (MEM) and Jae Crowder (PHX)
1. Deandre Ayton (PHX)
2. Richaun Holmes (SAC)
3. Brook Lopez (MIL)
4. Mason Plumlee (DET)
5. Hassan Whiteside (SAC)
Hon. mention: James Wiseman (GS)
Top Stud (over $8K on FD): Giannis Antetokounmpo (followed by Luka Doncic)
Top Stud (over $8K on DK): Luka Doncic (followed by Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Top Value (under $5K on FD): Thad Young (followed by Cody Zeller)
Top Value (under $5K on DK): Xavier Tillman (followed by Cody Zeller)
– If you’re taking the “studs and scrubs” approach Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL), Damian Lillard (POR), Luka Doncic (DAL) and Bam Adebayo (MIA) have the highest ceilings on the slate (in that order).
-On FanDuel my most common cash core of players consists of Damian Lillard (POR), DeMar DeRozan (SA), Thad Young (CHI) and Steven Adams (NO). You can actually throw Chris Paul (PHX) in there as well. I expect these guys to be very heavily owned, so consider using other options in tournaments.
-On DraftKings, I’m getting a lot of DeRozan, Cody Zeller (CHA), Gordon Hayward (CHA), Ja Morant (MEM) and Xavier Tillman (MEM).
– If you’re looking to construct a low owned lineup, here are a few recommendations that will buck the current roster construction trends for this slate:
–“ How many Portland Trailblazers is too many?”. There’s a good chance that no one actually asks that question tonight with regards to cash games, however, with Derrick Jones Jr. (POR) listed as “out” with a foot injury and Robert Covington (POR) listed as “questionable” with a concussion, you may want to come up with an answer in tournaments. Lillard will already be a popular option on FanDuel, but adding Carmelo Anthony (POR), Enes Kanter (POR) and/or Gary Trent (POR) as part of a tournament core could be a savvy move if Covington sits. They are all priced as if Covington is “in” and will be the biggest beneficiaries (in addition to Lillard) if “Bob Cov” is out.
–Pay attention to the Miami Heat injury situation. At the moment, Kendrick Nunn (MIA), Duncan Robinson (MIA), Bam Adebayo (MIA), Kelly Olynyk (MIA), Precious Achiuwa (MIA) and K.Z. Okpala (MIA) are the only Miami Heat players that are not declared “out” or “game time decisions” for tonight’s game against the Sacramento Kings. You’ll want to pay close attention to any late breaking news with regards to the situation. None of these guys are listed as core plays, however, Bam is very close. If both Butler and Herro are declared “out”, you can add him to the cash game core as well. Nunn would also be very high on my list, but he would be more of a tournament spend.
–Roll the dice at the center position. Usually, my advice is to “spend up” at the center position, however, there isn’t a lot to spend up for when it comes to center on this slate. It’s a very odd situation, indeed. In tournaments, taking a chance on a cheap guy with upside could put you at the top of the leaderboard. Don’t sleep on guys like Hassan Whiteside (SAC) or Gorgui Dieng (MEM) if you’re willing to take a risk in GPPs. They won’t give you that “warm and fuzzy” feeling when you click the “submit” button, but you could like a genius when it’s all said and done.
–Take a “Steph” in the right direction. Steph Curry (GS) might not be the first player that comes to mind when you think of “beefcake” on this slate, however, he’s still comfortably listed in that category. He dropped over 50 fantasy points on the Minnesota Timberwolves three games ago and can put up over 60 fantasy points on any given night. He’s cheaper than Damian Lillard (POR) and will come at much lower ownership. Above, I listed the four players with the highest ceilings on the slate. Guess who came in at number five. That’s right, Steph Curry (GS).