Just two games tonight as week three rolls on. It’s “dress rehearsal week” in the NFL, so you can expect to see starters play about a half of football in most cases. Let’s have a look at some of my favorite players by position for use in tonight’s DFS contests.
As you’ll hear over and over again this month: you absolutely must check back here before the slate locks, as a good portion of the slate’s most important news and notes won’t be dropped until the hours leading up to kickoff. About an hour before lock, I’ll be posting a list of tiered rankings right below this introduction.
For some more tips and tricks of the trade, be sure you take a few minutes to read our own Tyler Buecher’s breakdown of How to Play Preseason NFL DFS.
Check back here for updates right up until lock.
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UPDATE #6 (7:25PM) – Scotty Miller (TB) will have his snaps “monitored”. Had him listed in tier 2. Would probably remove him at this point.
Baker Mayfield would like to play all of the first half tonight. Browns head coach Freddie Kitchens hinted that the first-team may not play the entire half, but we should see at least a quarter and a half. There are three passers behind Mayfield that could all split snaps, so Mayfield is the only one I’m interested in here.
Nick Chubb – Chubb and Kareem Hunt will probably rotate with the first-team. Chubb has big-play ability – scoring on 63 and 92-yard highlight runs in 2018. I want to monitor news about his playing time, because if he gets normal run with the first-team, he is one of my favorite plays on the slate.
D’Ernest Johnson – Johnson is making a big push to make this team. He led the team in snaps last
Rashard Higgins – Higgins typical preseason hype is back in full-force. He led the team in targets and catches last week, and turned in a 5-98-1 stat line in week one. He should get run with Mayfield and the first-team offense if OBJ doesn’t play – which looks likely.
Jaelen Strong – With OBJ looking unlikely to play, Strong should also be featured with the first-teamers. Strong caught three balls, including a touchdown in week two, and is a big red zone target.
David Njoku – Njoku is also solidly in play with the Browns starters getting extended work tonight. As usual in the situations, if you like Mayfield, I’d recommend putting in a few different lineups, and stacking him with either Higgins, Strong, or Njoku in each lineup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston and the starting offense should play a majority of the first half tonight. That obviously puts Winston in play, and I think Ryan Griffin should be considered too. Griffin will get second-half snaps, and has been excellent in the preseason – I only worry about how much Gabbert will play. I could honestly see a scenario though, where Winston plays about a quarter and a half, Gabbert plays the rest of the first half and maybe a couple series in the third quarter, giving Griffin a majority of the second half – that would be huge.
Dare Ogunbowale – Although I don’t think Ogunbowale plays much with the starters, he should see a ton of work in the second half, and he’s also looked great this preseason. Peyton Barber and Ronald Jones will likely split carries with the first team, which isn’t a situation I want to deal with.
Justin Watson – Mike Evans won’t play tonight. Watson is a guy who could see some work with the first-team offense, and also should get a ton of reps in the second half. He had a great camp, but has disappointed thus far in preseason games. He needs a bounce back, and I think Arians gives the kid every chance for that tonight.
Chris Godwin – Godwin will be the #1 receiver without Mike Evans on the field. I do expect him to play the entire quarter-and-a-half session with the first-team, giving him a really high ceiling. I will have a bunch of Winston-Godwin stacks tonight.
Bobo Wilson – Wilson will play a ton in the second half. He played 51 snaps in week two – second amongst receivers only to Watson (57) – and was targeted 7 times (tied with Hudson for the team lead). I will want some Griffin-Wilson stacks tonight, which should be lower owned with all the starters getting time.
Tanner Hudson – Hudson and Ryan Griffin have had insane chemistry thus far. Hudson was targeted 7 times on 41 snaps last week, catching 6 balls for 93 yards and a touchdown. In week one, 9 targets for 7-84-1. Again, I think Hudson’s ownership could stay fairly reasonable with Njoku and Howard sucking up a lot of it.
O.J. Howard – Howard is certainly in play, too, as he’ll be playing first-team reps with Winston. Now, the thing about Howard is that Cameron Brate, and possibly Hudson will also be sharing first-team reps. Usually this isn’t a huge issue because the Bucs play in a lot of two tight end sets, but it is something to consider.
Josh Allen and the Bills first-team offense will play at least a quarter and a half, and possibly could see the entire first half. We know Allen has rushing upside, but something tells me the Bills coaching staff doesn’t want Allen out there taking hits while scrambling, so don’t expect to see as much of that. He’s a little erratic throwing the ball, which puts him behind Winston and Mayfield tonight. Matt Barkley and Tyree Jackson will split second half reps, so I’m not interested in either.
Christian Wade – There are simply too many options that will get work with the Bills first-team. McCoy, Gore, Singletary, and Yeldon will all probably see first half snaps. Wade doesn’t get many touches, but the former rugby player has been explosive, and I have a feeling the Bills would like to see more of him. In week one, he took his lone carry 65 yards to the house. He got over twice as many snaps in week two, and took his only catch 48 yards.
Cole Beasley – The PPR special. Beasley was targeted 5 times on 11 pass plays he was on the field for last week – and caught all 5 balls for 44 yards. Tonight he could see an entire half with Allen, and I can’t imagine he doesn’t catch another 5 balls if that’s the case.
Duke Williams – Williams impressed in week two after a poor week one. He went 3-38-1 on 4 targets, and played 29 snaps, which led Bills receivers. He is a big red zone threat, who is excellent at high pointing balls, so he’s one of my favorite low-owned upside plays tonight.
Tommy Sweeney – Sweeney has been a pleasant surprise for the Bills this summer. He was only a seventh-round pick in April, but has been playing a ton early on, including reps with the first team. He led all Bills pass-catchers with 31 snaps last week, and caught 2 for 47 yards. Dawson Knox will play for Buffalo tonight, but he hasn’t practiced all camp, and shouldn’t cut into Sweeney’s work load much.
The big mystery of the night is, are the Lions starters going to play? And if so, for how long? At this point, I think Stafford and co. are unplayable in DFS. I will be monitoring news up until kickoff though, and will be sure to let you know if anything changes. David Fales is the QB I’m most interested in here. He’s looked solid, but again, it’s tough to play him without knowing how much work the first team will get.
Kerryon Johnson – Once again, we’re at the mercy of the lack of reporting on Lions plans for their first-team offense. Johnson got 8 snaps last week while Stafford didn’t even play. This makes me think he’ll be a big part of the first half should Stafford and the first-team play. I’ll keep my eyes open for news, but Johnson is really the only Lions back I’m considering right now.
Andy Jones – Jones led the WR group with 31 snaps last week. He was targeted 5 times, but only caught 2 balls for 60 yards. I don’t think Jones or Amendola will play even if the first-team goes, so Jones should find himself on the field quite a bit in the first half. Kenny Golladay will shoot to the top of this list if I find out he’s playing over a quarter, but without concrete info, I can’t recommend him.
Brandon Powell – Powell was targeted a team-high 6 times last week, catching 3 for 53 yards. He will get a ton of work, as always, and could even see time with Stafford if he plays for more than a quarter. Both of these Lions receivers will be low-owned.
T.J. Hockenson – Again, this is dependent on how much the Lions first team plays. Hockenson got 15 snaps in week two, and could be in line for even more tonight if Stafford sees extended time. If we hear Detroit’s starters will play, Hockenson shoots right up to the top tier for me…stay tuned.