Avoid groupthink and build PGA DFS cash lineups with a different strategy in mind based on hours of @friedeggpaulie’s research and his deep knowledge of the players and professional golf!!
What can you expect from this PGA DFS article every week?
- I focus solely on DraftKings’ main slate, as that is where most of the play resides and also where the biggest edge lies. I will be providing the top cash game plays by salary tier. You can mix and match these players to build your cash lineups.
Strategy for the Week for Cash:
With a field of 156 players and a cut of low 65 and ties:
- With the weak field that we have this week, we are going to see higher variance in results than normal. So, we should expect a much lower than normal 6/6 and 5/6 percentage for lineups in cash.
- LOCKS: Daniel Berger, Phil Mickelson, Adam Long
- NOTE: THIS WEEK IS A BIT OF A SHITSHOW, SO I RECOMMEND PLAYING LESS THAN NORMAL AMOUNT OF MONEY.
Let’s jump into the Cash Game Player Pool for this week:
- Daniel Berger $10,100
- #1 overall player in my model this week ranking slightly ahead of Patrick Cantlay. So, therefore, it makes no reason to pay up for Cantlay when we can save salary with Berger here.
- Yes, I know he missed the cut on the number last week, collapsing down the stretch. But I don’t play players based on emotion. I play them based on whether they are the best option for a given event. And Berger is one of the strongest value plays of the week as he should be $11,000+ in this weak field.
- Top 40 in 23 of last 26 events on PGA Tour
- 5th and 10th in 2 appearances at this event
- 2nd in putting, 3rd in birdies, 5th in par 5 scoring, 7th off the tee and 22nd on approach
- Will Zalatoris $9,900
- Top 40 in 23 of last 25 events between PGA and Korn Ferry Tours
- 2nd from 200+ yards
- 17th and 7th in last 2 weeks
- Kevin Streelman $8,900
- 2nd, 7th, 6th, 14th, and 17th in last 5 years at this event
- 22nd and 37th in last 2 weeks
- Phil Mickelson $8,600
- 3rd or better in 4 of last 5 years at this event, including a win in 2019
- Comes into the event in better form than he has in past years as he made the cut at Torrey Pines and in Saudi Arabia
- Decreased emphasis on Off the Tee game this week really helps him as he can rely on his strengths which are putting, 100-125 yards and 200+ yard approach shots.
- Matt Jones $8,100
- Made 8 of his last 10 cuts at this event, including 6 top 30 finishes
- 30th, 48th, 21st and 11th in the last 4 weeks
- 7th in the field in putting
- Nick Taylor $7,600
- Top 30 here in 4 of last 5 years, including a win last year
- MC, 47, 11, 29 in 4 starts so far in 2020
- Jim Furyk $7,400
- Only 1 of 4 players in the field who is top 20 from both 100-125 yards and 200+ yards
- Made 5 of last 7 cuts at this event
- Only PGA event this year was Sony, where he finished 47th
- Did play one Champions Tour event since then and finished 9th
- Bo Hoag $7,300
- 36th, 18th and 16th the last 3 weeks
- Adam Long $7,300
- Long is the 62nd ranked player in the world, which is the 8th-highest ranked player in the field. Yet, he is priced $2000 less than players with a similar ranking.
- Made 13 of his last 15 cuts, and we are getting a depressed price here because he missed the cut on the number last week.
- Scott Piercy $7,100
- Top 20 here each of the last 3 years
- Missed both cuts so far in 2020 but played solid in the Fall with similar strength fields to what we’ll see this week (he made his last 6 cuts in Fall 2020)
- 36th overall ranked player in the field this week in my model
- Will Gordon $6,700
- High upside play as he ranks 1st from 200+ yards and 9th in birdies.
- 20th overall ranked player in my model this week but just hasn’t seemed to put it all together of late
- Has extreme splits on Poa for putting as he is 17th on Poa greens and 94th on non-Poa greens in terms of strokes gained per round
Did you miss my AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Course Preview? Now you didn’t… Dominate PGA DFS!