Learn about the Olympic Golf competition and what types of golfers are likely to succeed on it for PGA DFS.
There is no PGA Tour event this week due to the Olympic Golf competition. As such, we put together this article, which previews the Olympic Golf Competition.
- 60 players
- 4 rounds of stroke play with no cut
- Prizes are Gold, Silver or Bronze medal
Suggestions on how to play this week:
- Play very little or maybe not even play at all. Save your money for the FedEx Cup Playoffs which start in a few weeks. It’s going to be a shitshow from a DFS perspective this week for multiple reasons:
- With the field only being 60 players, the roster overlap for GPPs will be crazy high (especially considering how bad the bottom of the field is)
- With no cut, standings get super condensed, as all players will play 4 rounds. You have to have the nuts to make money in cash or GPP.
- The field is very weak in the bottom half making them almost unrosterable, as they have no chance of winning. The 33rd highest ranked player in the field out of 60 players is Kalle Samooja (no I did not make that name up). That should tell you how bad the bottom half of this field is.
- I see a lack of motivation this week. Players are obviously vying for one of the 3 medals. But what motivation do they have after less than stellar play in rounds 1 and 2? Once players know they can’t medal there isn’t much motivation there.
- COVID/Environment: We have already seen Rahm and Dechambeau WD due to COVID and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple during the event have to WD. Players also won’t be the happiest with the environment in Japan as this will not be like your “normal” Olympics. They will feel very isolated which can weigh on a player as well.
All of these items just scream for me to stay away from this week, but if you are degen and want action for the week I listed the best plays for each of the 3 salary tiers below to help you build your lineup (play responsibly).
- Wednesday-Saturday: 6:30pm-3:30am EST
- Kasumigaseki CC is more like an American golf course than what you would expect for a course 1 hour outside of Tokyo. The course is tree lined and can stretch out to nearly 7,500 yards. The course features bentgrass greens (similar to Northern US) and zoysia fairways and rough (similar to lots of courses in Georgia, Kentucky, Tennessee, etc).
- When looking to handicap players for the week, we will want to focus on overall ball striking and putting with a preference to bentgrass greens.
- Collin Morikawa $11,200
- Morikawa, the winner of the Open Championship, will be a popular pick this week and for good reason. He is the betting favorite in the event and has captured 2 majors in the last 12 months.
- His game is predicated on elite ball striking which bodes well for this course. He leads the field on approach and is 10th off the tee
- Hideki Matsuyama $10,500
- Winning the Masters combined with an Olympic Gold on home soil, would make Matsuyama one of the biggest Japanese sports legends off all time.
- He is familiar with this course having won the 2010 Asia Pacific Amateur here.
- He makes for a good play for both Cash and GPP as you know that he will grind out every shot in his home nation, whereas other players may toss the proverbial towel in after a few lackluster rounds
- Viktor Hovland $9,900
- Hovland is 2nd in approach, 9th off the tee and surprisingly 19th in putting. He has made drastic improvements in his putting as he has only lost strokes once in his last 9 events!
- Already has 7 top 6 finishes this year and most likely will add to that this week
- Comes into event in good form finishing 11th at the Open and winning in his last start prior to the Open
- Sungjae Im $9,000
- The motivation for Im this week is immense. If he is able to medal in this event, he will become exempt from the 2-year mandatory military service for South Korean men. He withdrew prior to the Open Championship so he could focus solely on this event. We often say that a certain week could be life changing……but hardly ever do we actually mean it like this.
- The military angle is not the only reason to like Im this week as he is the 27th ranked player in the world and is ranked 4th in putting and 7th off the tee in this field
- Si Woo Kim $7,800
- He is in the same boat as Sungjae Im above in terms of South Korean military service. He also skipped the Open Championship to prep for this event. At $7,800 he makes for a great GPP play as we have seen him contend in top tier events (winner at the Players).
- This week there really is no need to drop down to the super cheap players as there is a lot of great value in the low 7k range with players who are in great form. Look no further than Vegas and Pereira who would be locks for cash games this week.
- Jhonattan Vegas $7,400
- Vegas has really found his game of late and that was shown once again last week at the 3M which was his 3rdrunner up finish on the PGA Tour in 2021!!! And yes he is only $7,400.
- Leads the field off the tee
- He has been very consistent as well making the cut in 14 of his last 15 starts. All this points to a top 20 finish this week and maybe a chance at a medal if is his putter gets hot.
- Mito Pereira $7,200
- Pereira has been on a tear over the last few months. 2 months ago he won back to back on the Korn Ferry Tour, which earned him a promotion to the PGA Tour. His first two events on the PGA Tour were not the results he had hoped for, but that very well could just be an adjustment period. The next two starts (the last 2 weeks) have resulted in a 5th place finish at the Barbasol and a 6th place finish at the 3M. $7,200 is a bargain for a player in that good of form.
- Stay away from the below 7k range as the bottom of this field is really bad and there is plenty of better options in the low 7k range that have an exponentially greater chance at contending. If you are truly desperate to choose someone from the below 7k range then look towards Campillo ($6,400) or Kieffer ($6,200)
Note: There will not be a Cash article, GPP article or DFS stream this week. Full content schedule will return next week when the PGA Tour resumes.