Boston’s top line is expensive, and it’s going to be very popular, but rightfully so…
HIGH KEY STACKS
BOS1: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak
Possible add-ons: Charlie McAvoy, Torey Krug
Boston’s top line is expensive, and it’s going to be very popular, but rightfully so. Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak have been one of the league’s most dominant lines for years, and they have a very attractive matchup tonight against the Rangers. Over the last 10 games, they have given up 63.27 attempts (28th) and 32.33 chances (30th) per 60 minutes. If they continue to bleed shots/chances tonight, BOS1 will almost certainly take advantage.
TOR2: Andreas Johnsson, Auston Matthews, William Nylander
Possible add-on: Jake Muzzin
TOR1 and TOR2 are both ultra-talented lines that post stupid offensive numbers. With not much separating the two, I usually decide which I prefer based on the expected matchups. Tonight, John Tavares and co. should see plenty of Sean Couturier’s line, while Auston Matthews and co. should see a lot of Nolan Patrick’s. The latter is obviously a much juicer matchup, especially with JvR and Giroux on the wings (the Flyers allow 67.68 attempts and 33.61 chances per 60 with that duo on the ice).
MID KEY STACKS
VGK2: Alex Tuch, Paul Stastny, Mark Stone
Possible add-on: Nate Schmidt
I really like this combo. Mark Stone is one of the league’s best two-way players, Paul Stastny is a very good playmaker, and Alex Tuch has a very potent shot he’s not afraid to use. All three also see power-play time, and the Avalanche have spent more time killing penalties than any other team in the league. This is a good spot for a talented line I think will fly under the radar.
COL1: Alexander Kerfoot, Nathan MacKinnon, J.T. Compher
Possible add-on: Tyson Barrie
I generally don’t like stacking against Vegas, but I think it can be pretty easily justified on tonight’s four-game slate. MacKinnon is one of the highest floor/ceiling players in the NHL. He’s going to create offense regardless of who he is playing with on the ice. While Kerfoot and Compher are obviously nowhere close to the caliber of Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, they are useful players, they’re getting tons of ice time, they’re cheap, and they’re fully correlated with MacKinnon on the top power play. An added bonus: Malcolm Subban is expected to start in place of the injured Marc-Andre Fleury.
LOW KEY STACKS
DAL2: Mattias Janmark, Roope Hintz, Alexander Radulov
Possible add-on: John Klingberg
Be it with or without Tyler Seguin, Hintz and Radulov have posted really good numbers when they’ve played on the same line. That’s continued with Mattias Janmark, although over a small sample size. I think this line is dangerous, it’s cheap, 2/3 of it plays on the top power play, and they should avoid the Matthew Tkachuk/Mikael Backlund duo at even-strength, which is key to having success against the Flames.
CGY3: James Neal, Sean Monahan, Austin Czarnik
Possible add-on: Rasmus Andersson
This is a boom or bust play, but I think they have pretty high upside, considering the price. While Monahan has hit a wall of late, he is still averaging over a point per game and is one of the more consistent goal scorers in the league. James Neal has struggled all year, but the Flames continue to give him good opportunities to try and get out of it (I’d say ES minutes with Monahan and PP2 classifies as such). Czarnik’s a solid rate producer at 5v5 and, like Neal, he will also skate on PP2. I feel like you could do worse at $11.4K (DK pricing).
As always, I recommend correlating. If you’re not, I think Jaroslav Halak is the top play on the board. Ben Bishop (DK only) and Philipp Grubauer (DK or FD) are decent bets as GPP fliers.
Beyond the cheap players mentioned in the stack portion of the article, here are some values I like:
Nazem Kadri (4.3 DK, 5 FD) – Good shot/chance generator, nice matchup and has exposure to Toronto’s big guns on PP1.
Derek Ryan (3.2 DK, 4.5 FD) – Has eight points over the last 10 games and is centering Johnny Gaudreau on the top line.
Marcus Johansson (4 DK, 4.4 FD) – Playing with DeBrusk/Krejci on L2 in his return to the lineup and has a very attractive matchup against the Rangers. Johansson, and BOS2 in general, could be a good way to differentiate a little bit.
Brendan Lemieux (2.6 DK, 3.5 FD) – Generally plays the role of an agitator, but he is not without talent and is being given a great opportunity alongside Mika Zibanejad on the top line.
Shea Theodore (4.3 DK. 4.7 FD) – High-end offensive defenseman who was $5K+ (DK) basically all month. Misses one game and now his price has dropped $800? We’ll take the savings.
John Gilmour (3.1 DK, 3.5 FD) – Matchup sucks, but he is gifted offensively and, generally, solid peripherally.
Noah Hanifin (3 DK, 3.7 FD) – Quiet of late, but he seems pretty cheap for a defender who plays 20+ minutes a game for an elite team and has more than 30 points on the year.