I think TOR2 will see more of the JvR-Patrick-Giroux line than Sean Couturier’s, which would make them even more attractive.
HIGH KEY STACKS
CGY1: Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan, Elias Lindholm
Possible add-on: Mark Giordano
Despite falling asleep at the wheel for a month, if not longer, Calgary’s top line still owns a 54.18 Corsi For% and +16 goal differential at 5v5 on the year. They are legitimately in the conversation for best line in the NHL. When they’re on, they’re borderline unstoppable and they proved that last time out combining for *checks notes* 14 points against New Jersey. Obviously, it’s borderline impossible to duplicate that but it was a nice reminder they’re capable of a GPP winning performance, and there’s always that possibility against a poor defensive team in the New York Rangers.
TOR2: Andreas Johnsson, Auston Matthews, William Nylander
Possible add-on: Morgan Rielly
Philadelphia is allowing 61.9 attempts/60 (26th) and 27.46 chances/60 (23rd) over the last 10 games, they bleed goals on the PK, they’re in a road back-to-back, and I think TOR2 will see more of the JvR-Patrick-Giroux line than Sean Couturier’s, which would make them even more attractive. Regardless, they’re very much in play – especially with Johnsson and Nylander coming in at such attractive prices.
MID KEY STACKS
VAN2: Josh Leivo, Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser
Possible add-on: Alex Edler
This trio averages better than 60 shot attempts and 4.00 goals per 60 minutes of 5v5 play. They’re a handful at the best of times, and I expect that to be the case tonight against an injury-plagued Devils team littered with AHLers. Making them even more enticing is they’re fully correlated on PP1 and, although strong on the PK, the Devils are one of the more undisciplined teams in the league.
PHI1: Oskar Lindblom, Sean Couturier, Jakub Voracek
Possible add-on: Shayne Gostisbehere
This line averages nearly 60 attempts and better than 30 chances per 60 minutes played. Those are very strong numbers. While a B2B situation is not ideal, PHI1 is in an extremely attractive spot against a leaky Toronto team that has played at the league’s highest Corsi pace (attempts for + against/60) over the last 10 games.
LOW KEY STACKS
VGK3: Brandon Pirri, Cody Eakin, Alex Tuch
Possible add-on: No correlation play
Make sure you check for updates because Vegas, for whatever reason, likes to scratch Brandon Pirri seemingly every other game, but if this line is intact, I like it for salary relief. Small sample size, etc, but they have generated 49 attempts and 29 chances in 43 minutes. That’s a lot. I think they could make some noise against a tired, shallow Dallas team.
ANA1: Nick Ritchie, Ryan Getzlaf, Daniel Sprong
Possible add-on: Hampus Lindholm (PP with Ritchie, Getzlaf)
Sprong leads the team in shot attempts/60, Getzlaf is the best playmaker on the roster, and Ritchie has set a new career high in points in just 54 games. I think this line is more talented than their pricing suggests, and they have a surprisingly decent matchup against the Avalanche – a team that ranks 25th in chances against/60 over the last 10.
As always, I recommend correlating with a stack. If you are feeling wild, or have extra money to spend, here are my preferred plays:
- David Rittich
- Jacob Markstrom
- Marc-Andre Fleury
- Semyon Varlamov
- Sergei Bobrovsky
Beyond the cheap names mentioned in stacks above (Sprong, Nylander, Lindblom, etc.), here are some values I like:
Nazem Kadri (4.5 DK, 5.2 FD) – If you want Leafs exposure without paying up, Kadri is a nice option. Has shot the puck a ton of late and skates on PP1.
Blake Coleman (4.3 DK, 4.6 FD) – L1, PP1, PK1, shoots a lot and is in a pace-up spot against a Canucks team that ranks 2nd in Corsi events/60 over the last 10.
Vladislav Namestnikov (3.9 DK, 5.2 FD) – Doesn’t have a high floor but 20+ minutes and PP time alongside Mika Zibanejad is attractive.
Kenny Agostino (2.7 DK, 3.6 FD) – Skates a regular shift in the top-6 and sees power play time, which is about all you could ask at his price.
Samuel Girard (3.1 DK, 3.6 FD) – Peripherals are pretty solid of late and he’s playing top pairing/PP2 for a big home favorite.
Rasmus Andersson (3.1 DK, 3.9 FD) – He is always one of my favorite punts and he remains so tonight. Has a good matchup, sees power play time and, with T.J. Brodie struggling of late, it’s very possible he sees some time on the top pairing with Mark Giordano.