Tuesday’s NHL DFS Cash Game Breakdown will go through the best cash game plays for tonight’s eight (8) game main slate that will have a roster lock of 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT.
As I’ve mentioned a couple times in the chat, our cash game strategy may need to shift gears now that we’re getting deeper into the season. Certain teams are just incredibly bad due to the wheeling and dealing we saw over the last couple of weeks thanks to the trade deadline (yes, I am referring to Ottawa). So yes, there’s going to be instances where you undoubtedly will need to stack more in cash games. It may not necessarily be tonight, but I’ll try my best to call those instances out in my cash articles.
Please also be aware that salary differences between FanDuel and DraftKings have gotten out of hand. I may end up ranking a player in my top four in a position that should really only be played on one particular site. I will try to highlight the best values for a specific site in GREEN, but you should probably get an idea of whether or not I’m willing to play a player on BOTH sites (including the site with the overpriced salary) by reading the player breakdown.
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to read my DFS NHL Frequently Asked Questions article that goes through some important information about what you need to know as a Guru Elite NHL Subscriber.
Also, please check out the following important information…
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
MAIN SLATE (8 Games – 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT lock)
OVERALL CASH GAME RANKINGS
1) Tyler Seguin, Stars (DK: $7300; FD: $7700) – Loving what I’m seeing right now from Seguin and Radulov. They are playing some of the best hockey that we’ve seen this season and get a picture-perfect matchup against a Sabres team that has lost their will to win, and that will be playing without their best player in Jack Eichel. Seguin’s a guy I always love targeting in cash because of his high shot volume, and that won’t change tonight.
2) Sidney Crosby, Penguins (DK: $7600; FD: $9300) – Five points and 16 SOG in just three games against the Capitals this season. The Caps bring the best out of Crosby and I don’t expect anything less tonight with the Penguins fighting for home ice in the first round, and possibly even to hang onto their spot in the playoff picture.
3) Tyler Bozak, Blues (DK: $4000; FD: $4800) – The Coyotes have actually been playing at an increased pace over the last month or so, and that’s obviously going to help an effective team that plays at a slower pace than the Blues. I think Bozak provides some value on a team that will be without the scoring of Vladimir Tarasenko. While Bozak took a backseat due to Auston Matthews in Toronto, he has proven this season that he can get the job done at both ends of the ice, and that definitely includes producing offense when needed.
4) Mikael Backlund, Flames (DK: $5800; FD: $5300) – It’s very difficult for me to play CGY1 tonight in cash due to their expensive price tags and the fact they’ll definitely be playing a Devils team that will look to play that slow Andy Greeneish boring pace, which tends to be effective in slowing down a high-paced offense like CGY1 who looked pretty good on Sunday against the Golden Knights, even though they were outplayed by CGY2. Backlund tends to be an exceptional play on home ice where he tends to get quality ice time against the opposition’s strongest lines, which also means a lot of empty net and volatile possession situations (lines trying to push offense where they leave holes on defense).
5) David Krejci, Bruins (DK: $5700; FD: $6200)
6) Nicklas Backstrom, Capitals (DK: $6000; FD: $6800)
7) Charlie Coyle, Bruins (DK: $3600; FD: $4000)
8) Adam Henrique, Ducks (DK: $4000; FD: $4900)
1) Robert Thomas, Blues (DK: $2800; FD: $3700) – No Vladimir Tarasenko basically takes away what would have been the lock of the night; however, we shouldn’t be overlooking the talented Thomas, who will be rolling with ROR and Schenn on the top line tonight. The 19-year-old Thomas absolutely destroyed the OHL and will get a longer look than usual with Tarasenko out. I trust a veteran like Ryan O’Reilly to put him in good situations to produce throughout the night, and at this price tag, why shouldn’t we play him?
2) Alexander Radulov, Stars (DK: $7300; FD: $6500) – Radulov is a much better option on FD than Seguin due to the price break. He provides a similar floor that Seguin does, and as I’ve mentioned in the past, he can be just as aggressive as Seguin when it comes to shooting the puck.
3) Matthew Tkachuk, Flames (DK: $6100; FD: $5600) – Tkachuk is in the same situation that I outlined with Backlund, only he gets an added boost from his role on the top PP unit. You CAN play both, but I probably would recommend playing one or the other in cash.
4) Jared McCann, Penguins (DK: $4600; FD: $4900) – With Zach Aston-Reese coming down with an injury yesterday, it forced Head Coach Mike Sullivan to do some line juggling, and it brought McCann back with Crosby, which definitely paid dividends. Year after year, we’ve seen guys who have been able to establish consistent roles as a Crosby linemate have career years (e.g. Guentzel, Sheary, Neal), and McCann has the skills to be able to do so as well. He’s a significant discount compared to both Crosby and Guentzel, so it certainly has me interested.
5) Brayden Schenn, Blues (DK: $5100; FD: $6300) – I actually don’t mind playing BOTH Thomas and Schenn tonight. Not sure if I do, but it’s definitely in play because both players are cheap and are in very good situations against a team that has led the league in high-danger scoring chances allowed since the start of March.
6) Roope Hintz, Stars (DK: $3500; FD: $3700) – So I understand it may be difficult to play both Seguin and Radulov, but if you want additional exposure to DAL1, I think playing Hintz makes a lot of sense. He’s becoming more and more acclimated to playing with two of the best linemates he’s probably ever taken the ice with, in his career. Plus, we’ve seen quite a few times now that Radulov, in particular, does a really good job in setting the kid up for solid scoring chances.
7) Timo Meier, Sharks (DK: $6400; FD: $5800) – This play is probably the most “out there” play I have listed in tonight’s article, but the numbers suggest that this Sharks/Jets game COULD be high scoring. I have a great amount of confidence in Meier who has been that guy when you watch Sharks games that always looks like he’s EVERYWHERE on the ice. He is always seeking loose pucks and always firing those pucks on net. With Winnipeg looking thinner than usual at the blueline, I think it’s wise to look to a guy like Meier who can do a number of things to take advantage of the weaker defense in front of him.
8) Nikolaj Ehlers, Jets (DK: $5000; FD: $5400)
9) Danton Heinen, Bruins (DK: $5200; FD: $4300)
10t) Johnny Gaudreau, Flames (DK: $6700; FD: $7300)
10t) Jake Guentzel, Penguins (DK: $6600; FD: $7700)
12) Brian Boyle, Predators (DK: $3500; FD: $3600)
13) Tomas Tatar, Canadiens (DK: $5500; FD: $6200)
14) Troy Terry, Ducks (DK: $3000; FD: $4200)
1) Roman Josi, Predators (DK: $6200; FD: $7100) – Josi is basically Brent Burns right now when it comes to the peripheral points. The production in terms of goals and assists isn’t going to be there just because the Nashville offense is struggling, but it’ll come eventually, and Josi’s going to end up putting up 8+ on DK and 30+ on FD on the regular. The Predators have made it known that they want to play with some desperation on this road trip, so we’ll if it that has an impact on the scoresheet.
2) Shea Weber, Canadiens (DK: $5900; FD: $5600) – The lack of consistency combined with elevated price tags has me steering away from the Habs forwards, but Weber has been playing some of his best hockey lately, and it has coincided with his increased aggression with his trigger. He has averaged 4.6 SOG over his last five and has been much more accurate than usual with that shot. The increased shot volume also has him in Brendan Gallagher territory in the iCorsi department, which is incredibly impressive because Gallagher has led the league in iCorsi for years.
3) Tyler Myers, Jets (DK: $3900; FD: $3900) – I’m honestly not sure why Myers is consistently overlooked as a value defenseman. With Dustin Byfuglien AND Josh Morrissey out of the lineup, Myers is the clear cut #2 defenseman, which means he’s going to naturally get more opportunities to produce offensively. He routinely provides a decent floor and gets enough looks in the attacking zone where there’s a bit of upside too.
4) Rasmus Andersson, Flames (DK: $2900; FD: $3800) – With the Devils playing at a very crappy pace (3rd lowest in the month of March), it tends to put us in a position where it’s more risky targeting against them than your average garbage NHL team. Risky includes playing expensive guys like Gaudreau and Giordano. It’s a double-edged sword because they can easily walk away with 3+ points tonight, and they can just as easily walk away with 2 SOG. With Andersson, you have a kid who is definitely going to matchup against the Devils AHLers, and get some time on the 2nd PP unit. His peripheral stats have seen a bump up lately, so I think the floor is relatively safe.
5) Alex Pietrangelo, Blues (DK: $5800; FD: $6200)
6) Mark Giordano, Flames (DK: $6300; FD: $6700)
7) Justin Schultz, Penguins (DK: $4600; FD: $4700)
8) Justin Braun, Sharks (DK: $3000; FD: Fade)
*Make sure your goalie is starting
1) Carey Price, Canadiens (DK: $8000; FD: $8700) – Detroit is doing everything they can to get some more lottery tickets in this Jack Hughes Sweepstakes having lost 10 of their last 11 contests. Beyond that, the confidence level in Price is pretty damn high when you consider that the Habs have won each of their last eight meetings against the Wings.
2) Ben Bishop, Stars (DK: $7800; FD: $9200) – I could easily put David Rittich in this spot, and especially so on FD, but 9 times out of 10, I’m going to play the better goalie when I am given the choice between two options. Bishop has probably played the best hockey of his career this year in Dallas and I can confidently say that he’s the biggest reason why the Stars are a playoff team if the season ended today. From a GSAA perspective, Bishop has been the SECOND best goaltender in the NHL, right behind the outstanding Andrei Vasilevskiy.
3) David Rittich, Flames (DK: $8400; FD: $8000)