Todd Cordell has you covered for tonight’s NHL DFS cash game lineups.
As always, I should note these plays are sorted by price and not preference.
Feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@ToddCordell) if you have questions about any of the players you’re considering or don’t see mentioned.
Auston Matthews (TOR)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM)
Rickard Rakell (ANH)
Seth Jones (CBJ)
Connor McDavid (EDM) – I love McDavid in this spot. The Jets have quietly been one of the league’s worst teams at 5v5 and they’re without P.L. Dubois to injury. McDavid, who has 17 points in 8 games at home, should be able to take advantage of favorable matchups and feast.
Auston Matthews (TOR) – Matthews is as consistent as they come. His ‘low’ over the last 10 games is 12.1DK. He has put up at least 15 in eight of those games. I expect continued success at home against an Ottawa team that ranks 27th in Expected Goals Against/60. If I had to pick just one, I lean Matthews because his floor is a little higher but both players are consistently dominant and bring slate breaking potential.
John Tavares (TOR) – If you want exposure to Toronto, but can’t afford Matthews, Tavares is a nice way to get it. Only 11 players have more scoring chances at 5v5 this year. He generates a lot around the net and the Senators aren’t exactly good at protecting that area.
Dylan Larkin (DET) – Averaging about four peripherals per game and is playing a ton of minutes in all situations. He is playable regardless but I’ll like him a lot more if Kevin Lankinen doesn’t start.
Sean Monahan (CGY) – Monahan has just two goals on the season but it’s not for a lack of chances. He has piled up 41 on the year, which ranks him 2nd on the Flames behind only Matthew Tkachuk. I’d bet on his fortunes changing if he continues to generate chances. That shouldn’t be an issue against a Canucks team that ranks 31st in chances against/60.
Brock Nelson (NYI) – Nelson doesn’t shoot a ton but the looks he does generate are of high quality. Buffalo’s goaltending ranks 22nd in high-danger save percentage on the season and this is the Sabres’ first game back after a lengthy COVID-induced break. I wouldn’t be surprised if there is some rust, which could help NYI’s top offensive players.
Colin White (OTT) – I just can’t quit this guy. He continues to generate chances at a high rate and Toronto ranks 24th in high-danger looks against/60.
Mathieu Joseph (TB) – Is skating on Tampa Bay’s 2nd line at even-strength. Doesn’t have the best floor but there is upside at a cheap price.
Patrick Kane (CHI) – Shoots the puck a ton, has averaged nearly 24 minutes per game over the last 10, and is going up against Detroit. An added bonus is Thomas Greiss, who has struggled this season, is expected to start.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) – RNH has been held off the scoresheet in six of eight but that doesn’t scare me at all. He shoots a lot, plays on a lethal power play, is in an advantageous matchup, and Jesse Puljujarvi is back (the top line averages more than 4 xG per 60 with Puljujarvi on that line).
Filip Forsberg (NSH) – Elite chance generator who has recorded at least three shots on goal in 10 consecutive games. Don’t love the matchup but he is too cheap for a player with his floor/upside.
Brock Boeser (VAN) – Vancouver gets the matchup they want on home soil and so far that’s been good news for Brock Boeser, who piled up 11 shots over the first two games of the series. Calgary has been struggling at 5v5 and Jacob Markstrom has largely bailed them out. Luckily, he probably won’t be starting tonight.
Anthony Mantha (DET) – His floor isn’t as safe as Larkin’s because he doesn’t get the same type of minutes, however, Mantha is a very efficient shot/chance generator. I think he is underpriced, especially if Malcolm Subban starts.
Rickard Rakell (ANH) – Rakell has 52 scoring chances and 49 shots on goal this year. He has scored once. Once! The flood gates are going to open for him sooner than later, and a date with a San Jose team that ranks 28th in save percentage seems like an ideal spot.
Martin Necas (CAR) – Necas is one of my favorite punts up front. He has 2SOG or more in nine of his last 10 and is playing on a line that has dominated at 5v5 (55 xGF%). I like that to continue against a Blue Jackets team that is controlling 46% of the xG on the year and is, once again, without Zach Werenski.
Max Comtois (ANH) – He is piling up the high-danger chances and going up against a side that ranks 26th in preventing them.
Roman Josi (NSH) – Averaging more than five SOG+BS per game over the last 10 and is playing an absurd amount of minutes every night. Might have the best floor of all defensemen in the NHL right now.
Dougie Hamilton (CAR) – Hamilton is always one of the game’s most consistent shot generators and, believe it or not, he is hitting new levels. He is actually averaging the most shots per minute of his career. Very much in play.
Brent Burns (SJ) – Ranks 11th among defenders in attempts per 60. He loves to shoot and should get plenty of opportunities against Anaheim. The Ducks sit 26th in attempts against/60.
Darnell Nurse (EDM) – A couple weeks ago he was just priced at 5.1K on DK. He put up 18.4, 14.5, 15.6, 18.7, 14.3 and 12.6 (while averaging well over 24 minutes per game) and his price is only $600 higher. Take advantage of that. Nurse brings floor, and upside, in a very good matchup.
Seth Jones (CBJ) – Has picked up at least 5 SOG+BS in four consecutive games while finding the scoresheet in each. He is finding his game and, with Werenski out again, he should get all the opportunity in the world at ES and on PP1.
Noah Dobson (NYI) – He’s not getting a ton of minutes at even-strength but that hasn’t stopped him from giving us a good floor with upside to boot (he plays PP1).
Erik Gudbranson (OTT) – Gudbranson has been one of my favorite punts this year, especially when going against good teams. Why? He is a very willing shot blocker and he finds himself absorbing shots while consistently getting hemmed in his own zone. Toronto has one of the best offenses in the league and they should have a ton of the puck. There will be plenty of opportunities for Gudbranson to block shots and hit the 3BS bonus.
Deep punts: Scott Mayfield, Dylan DeMelo
Frederik Anderson (TOR) – After a slow start Anderson has really found his game, posting a .920SV% or better in four straight. Couple that with the best win odds on the slate and it’s not hard to see why he is priced so highly.
Mike Smith (EDM) – I don’t really care for Mike Smith but he has played well since returning to the lineup, the Jets are struggling mightily at 5v5, and they’re without one of their better players in Dubois.
Ilya Sorokin (NYI) – Buffalo ranks 24th in xG/60 over the last 10 games and they’ll likely have some rust coming off a COVID break.
John Gibson (ANH) – If you’re not playing Sharks, you can’t go wrong with one of the league’s best goaltenders in a game he has a real shot at winning.
Thatcher Demko (VAN) – Vancouver has out-chanced Calgary by 16 over the last two games. With them struggling at 5v5, I think you can punt Demko here; particularly if Jacob Markstrom isn’t in the opposing net.
As always, hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions about the slate.
Numbers via NaturalStatTrick.com