I know each writer has their own way of doing things so, as always, I’d like to stress my plays are sorted by price (DK first) as opposed to preference.
Auston Matthews (7.8 DK, 8.6 FD) – Matthews is one of the league’s best scorers, and he’s averaging nearly six peripherals per game over the last 10, giving him a rock solid floor. He generally avoids quality competition at home, which means he should see little of Mika Zibanejad’s line – the only good one New York has.
Tyler Seguin (7.4 DK, 8.3 FD) – The Penguins have defended better of late, however, they’re still not a team I’d try and avoid. I’m willing to take my chances on a guy who sits 3rd in shots, 5th in scoring chances, and logs 20+ minutes a night.
Jack Eichel (7.2 DK, 7.9 FD) – I don’t love targeting the Canadiens, particularly when they are at home, but Eichel is a peripheral god and he’s averaging nearly 22 minutes per game over the last 10. He also has just one point in the last five despite piling up a ton of shots and chances. I feel like a breakthrough is going to come sooner than later.
Mika Zibanejad (6.4 DK, 7 FD) – He is a very talented offensive player who logs big minutes and draws a nice matchup against a Toronto team that has struggled defensively all season. On the year, they sit 29th in attempts against/60 and 25th in chances against/60. They can be exploited, and Zibanejad is the best bet to do so.
William Karlsson (5.1 DK, 6.7 FD) – With 12 points and 37 peripherals over the last 10 games, Karlsson is really heating up. He is in perhaps the best spot imaginable to continue his hot streak tonight. Over the last 10 games, Detroit ranks 31st in attempts against/60 and 30th in chances against/60 at 5v5.
Nick Bjugstad (4.3 DK, 4.5 FD) – Has been a shooting machine of late and his ice time has risen in a big way with Evgeni Malkin out. He’s played no less than 17 minutes over the last handful of games, which is well above his season average of ~14.5.
Luke Kunin (2.9 DK, 3.2 FD) – Kunin is one of the Wild’s better prospects, and he’s getting plenty of run right now on the 2nd line and 2nd power play unit. While the production hasn’t been there of late, he’ll give you a respectable floor and he does have upside.
Nikita Kucherov (7.6 DK, 9.4 FD) – Kucherov leads the league in scoring by a country mile and is a volume shooter. I generally don’t like playing guys against St. Louis – they’re really strong defensively – but Kucherov is as matchup-proof as it gets.
Johnny Gaudreau (7.5 DK, 8.1 FD) – Gaudreau hit a wall for a while but he certainly looks to be coming out of it having tallied eight points and 29 shots over the last six games. Vancouver is playing pretty shaky defensively right now, too. Only four teams have given up shot attempts at a higher rate over the last 10.
Brad Marchand/David Pastrnak – I prefer Pastrnak, especially on FD, because he’s cheaper but both players are elite point producers and neither is shy of pulling the trigger. They’re in play against a Florida team that’s dealt with awful goaltending all season long.
Alexander Radulov (7.2 DK, 6.7 FD) – Point per game player who has averaged almost six peripherals per game over the last 10. He’s in play on any site but is especially attractive on FD.
Filip Forsberg (6.1 DK, 7.6FD) – Forsberg ranks top-6 in both shot attempts/60 and scoring chances/60 at 5v5. Without Dustin Byfuglien and Josh Morrissey, the Jets have been pretty leaky in that game state.
Dustin Brown (5 DK, 6.4 FD) – Rostering Kings has been anything but fun this season but Brown’s producing points (and shots) of late and gets to take on a bad Ducks team in the latter half of a back-to-back.
Frank Vatrano (4.6 DK, 4.5 FD) – Volume shooter who can really wire it. While he is no longer in the top-6, a 3rd line role should allow him to see a lot of time against the depth players on Boston.
William Nylander (4.4 DK, 4.9 FD) – Has found the scoresheet in four of his last five and the shot/chance numbers have always been there. He’s always in play at this price, especially with Auston Matthews on his line.
Kevin Fiala (3.3 DK, 4.2 FD) – The raw production still isn’t where we’d like it to be but he generates 5v5 shots and chances at a 1st line rate (top-93 in both) and is seeing more ice with Minnesota than he did with Nashville.
Andrew Mangiapane (2.8 DK, 3.4 FD) – Mangiapane has been really good on the 4th line over the last few months, but he’s taken it up a notch with five points and 27 peripherals in his last 10 games. I think he’s more than capable of doing some damage against Vancouver’s depth, and he could stumble into a few extra shifts with Sam Bennett banged up.
Morgan Rielly (6.3 DK, 6.4 FD) – Rielly averages nearly a point per game and is very strong peripherally. If you want exposure to Toronto without paying a big, big price for Auston Matthews or John Tavares, playing Rielly is a good way to do it.
Roman Josi (6.2 DK, 6.5 FD) – Josi is in play every night – he has a high floor and ceiling – but I really like him tonight. The Preds tend to lean on him even more in big games. A clash with the Jets, who sit two points ahead in the race for 1st in the Central Division, certainly classifies as such.
Alex Edler (6.2 DK, 5.2 FD) – I really like Edler, especially on FD. He has played at least 26 minutes in eight consecutive games, which allows him to provide us with a very solid floor. The upside is there, too, as he skates on the top power play. That’s especially attractive against undisciplined teams like Calgary.
Shea Weber (6 DK, 5.8 FD) – He is playing his best hockey of the season – at least from a DFS perspective – having registered seven points and 66(!) shots+blocks over the last 10 games. His floor is sky high and that’s while playing about 22 minutes a night. With Montreal in desperate need of every point they can get, I wouldn’t be surprised to see his workload increase.
Dougie Hamilton (5.4 DK, 5.9 FD) – Among defensemen, Hamilton ranks 3rd in attempts/60 and 1st in scoring chances/60. His floor from shooting is rock solid. Minnesota’s post-deadline team isn’t as strong defensively as it was earlier in the year, either, and they’re playing in a B2B situation.
Shea Theodore (5.1 DK, 4.7 FD) – Vegas doesn’t tend to overwork its top defenders, especially in potential blow up spots, but I still really like Theodore tonight. He shoots a ton, is not afraid to jump into the play, and has an attractive matchup against the Red Wings. I talked about their 5v5 struggles in Karlsson’s blurb but I failed to mention they’re also horrendous defending on the PK – where Theodore really excels.
Ryan McDonagh (5 DK, 5.1 FD) – Plays big minutes for the best offensive team in the NHL and, peripherally, he is as good – if not better – than a lot of the highest priced guys.
Colin Miller (3.9 DK, 3.9 FD) – Miller is a poor man’s version of Theodore. Doesn’t get the same ice time, and thus his floor is a little lower, but he also shoots a ton and excels on the power play. I like him in this matchup.
Danny DeKeyser (3.6 DK, 3.7 FD) – The Red Wings have leaned heavily on him of late. He’s averaged more than 24 minutes per game over the last 10, which is well above his season average of 21.5. There’s no reason to believe his ice will be cut tonight, which makes him an attractive play. I doubt the Wings will score much but 24+ minutes in a pace-up game is ample opportunity to pile up the peripherals.
Brandon Carlo (2.7 DK, 3.6 FD) – Not a ton of point upside but his peripherals are solid and he’s consistently seeing 22+ minutes for one of the best teams in the league. Can’t ask for more at this price.
Salary aside, here are my top-5 goaltenders:
- Jaroslav Halak
- Carey Price
- Frederik Andersen
- David Rittich (don’t hate Mike Smith if he starts but probably wouldn’t go there)
- Connor Hellebuyck
Numbers via NaturalStatTrick.com